tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post6886259879744240814..comments2023-08-05T11:01:15.147-05:00Comments on Scott Sabol's World of Weather: Why Can't We Handle Probability in Weather Forecasts?Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-7076384752198304402015-02-10T08:52:15.089-05:002015-02-10T08:52:15.089-05:00The article today by Dr. Ricky Rood,that you refer...The article today by Dr. Ricky Rood,that you referenced further validates the challenges with understanding a forecast. In the paragraph you referenced ( point 1 paragraph 3), he states" Probability and likelihood are notoriously difficult ways to communicate in quiet consultation, and even more difficult in newspapers, on the radio, television and online. Probability and risk are just made Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15800114387689702707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-28112253662874423172014-02-06T08:34:16.802-05:002014-02-06T08:34:16.802-05:00Scott,
Thanks for the update and the comments. I ...Scott,<br /><br />Thanks for the update and the comments. I can see your point about the accuracy of any one given location.<br /><br />To my other question; what about some training/seminars that would be helpful in understanding what is going on. If I were to get one of those home weather stations, would they be helpful in understanding what MIGHT be happening for the day? How can I look at Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15800114387689702707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-83571258302379808762014-02-05T09:16:56.988-05:002014-02-05T09:16:56.988-05:00Dennis, very good points. Details for specific cit...Dennis, very good points. Details for specific cities for each day are very difficult. We would be grossly generalizing large scale data for locations. Believe it or not, the forecasts would be harder than you think. We don't have computer model guidance for resolutions down to say 5 km that would be needed to create a computer model projection for say Westlake or any city. We are decades andScott Sabolhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-49989524969537705332014-02-05T08:58:55.432-05:002014-02-05T08:58:55.432-05:00So, would it not be better to provide an hour by h...So, would it not be better to provide an hour by hour forecast on a daily basis vs an 8 day forecast?<br /><br />I rather be able to wake up in the morning and see an accurate detail forecast for the day.<br /><br />Would also rather like to see the detail forecast by cities like "Here is todays forecast for Westlake, Painesville, Port Clinton" since as you have said many times, the Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15800114387689702707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-54673825281142562222013-05-29T09:24:04.194-05:002013-05-29T09:24:04.194-05:00This was a great post. Thank you for sharing! This was a great post. Thank you for sharing! Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247746625620053907noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-64229908719063445722013-05-29T09:23:48.947-05:002013-05-29T09:23:48.947-05:00This was a great explanation. Thank you for sharin...This was a great explanation. Thank you for sharing. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247746625620053907noreply@blogger.com