tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-199394982024-03-16T13:51:12.515-05:00Scott Sabol's World of WeatherNortheast Ohio weather and science blog covering severe storms, long term outlooks, climate, behavioral meteorology, technology and other observationsScott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.comBlogger888125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-65743258440042500202024-02-29T09:02:00.001-05:002024-02-29T09:02:02.334-05:00Tornado Warnings to Snowfall: How Often?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgl4Qdb8IFedf6nJ3ZpTGpMntaDOYM7G6frmwVlT9xPYISr0DwlSS4Yu6EvuHHlsrMP-lX8oLnFpT6H1WS11QFkeGUKEQF07d_IKFwBzdaVM19Fbc6NpEXmP45PqLvpGencc739PxBUl39MENelzm2_ICCXN-FMuNu5Etz8UeypWSkG9vNj-Fga/s1280/Timelapse%20Science%20Ctr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgl4Qdb8IFedf6nJ3ZpTGpMntaDOYM7G6frmwVlT9xPYISr0DwlSS4Yu6EvuHHlsrMP-lX8oLnFpT6H1WS11QFkeGUKEQF07d_IKFwBzdaVM19Fbc6NpEXmP45PqLvpGencc739PxBUl39MENelzm2_ICCXN-FMuNu5Etz8UeypWSkG9vNj-Fga/w640-h360/Timelapse%20Science%20Ctr.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>February 28 featured temperatures in the lower and mid 60s with thunderstorms. A handful of thunderstorm warnings with ONE tornado warning in Knox County around 6am February 28. This tied the earliest tornado warning of the season (2011 was the other year)</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9H4gJ3-_OGZZHHLYXcJMHYIlYQ1tNsWXq5g3vXvzpRWJyMX5YMge59LgmkU0dSC6GBLPCuBQ3Si0vFTYUpmN5wA6GpR7O8jjzxxsKu199BfiBepVynAm03xvRYm6kc8pS09w3xPG6ERB8vXaCjUKZktDHetozIinq4xhVhhE-NWQUBeFqho8I/s1280/Severe_storm_Warnings_2022_2023.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9H4gJ3-_OGZZHHLYXcJMHYIlYQ1tNsWXq5g3vXvzpRWJyMX5YMge59LgmkU0dSC6GBLPCuBQ3Si0vFTYUpmN5wA6GpR7O8jjzxxsKu199BfiBepVynAm03xvRYm6kc8pS09w3xPG6ERB8vXaCjUKZktDHetozIinq4xhVhhE-NWQUBeFqho8I/w640-h360/Severe_storm_Warnings_2022_2023.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Severe weather across multiple states.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgxq5Wqq3M9uchmkRU9Wi3W2GbfNORaDsYoeaSFHdmdq56dTUmJrgJdudXRn-IEDKP-DlHKQndqPSzDuOBvmjdbKYKdCgD1i77PkBbO-OLP-_Qr-1cBCtbw5rNwSdjpVPdHBz4aj_oYJa6pSn8GxD6dHkobE1Q7FtEWXCuTSlcLCe_1qFb1Q9QB/s1280/Severe_storm_Warnings_2022_2023.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgxq5Wqq3M9uchmkRU9Wi3W2GbfNORaDsYoeaSFHdmdq56dTUmJrgJdudXRn-IEDKP-DlHKQndqPSzDuOBvmjdbKYKdCgD1i77PkBbO-OLP-_Qr-1cBCtbw5rNwSdjpVPdHBz4aj_oYJa6pSn8GxD6dHkobE1Q7FtEWXCuTSlcLCe_1qFb1Q9QB/w640-h360/Severe_storm_Warnings_2022_2023.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Temperatures dropped quickly from mid 60s to the 20s by early evening across northern Ohio. Scattered snow showers develop in the evening with a heavy band of lake effect by February 29 between 5 and 8am.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbn0NqPOzNXz-ZcJ6McaHg6npSQVhQ2xxxxBpXyVEOEyn-l9kQL9lYnruOwzShZww49LBsJ0L8Cjuv6ZNUZuXXjdFoHNTL9lfcwTqfVkvhGXuz3Iig3CUua7wHhawPrTYJNEhRZiY_CNEfU_708BW_waHY6xCsf6RqfQdh6TCOSo_l_zycQbWq/s768/sfc.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="658" data-original-width="768" height="548" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbn0NqPOzNXz-ZcJ6McaHg6npSQVhQ2xxxxBpXyVEOEyn-l9kQL9lYnruOwzShZww49LBsJ0L8Cjuv6ZNUZuXXjdFoHNTL9lfcwTqfVkvhGXuz3Iig3CUua7wHhawPrTYJNEhRZiY_CNEfU_708BW_waHY6xCsf6RqfQdh6TCOSo_l_zycQbWq/w640-h548/sfc.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>The drop in temperature impacted the entire Mid-west, Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Here is an animation showing the temperatures from 2:45pm Tuesday 2/27 through 2:45am Wednesday 2/29:</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhLWbnFvxXvkPeHTn4r14ZU8GP4hy-6PAVJonW7vEYvfh8ZdAqmWTivU2tZOw8dFSV6Izxhk-oMT5_D7jL2C-9F4xL-OiaLtPDABpoigaX2p_n_nCiztN-wpDxlnPgzAHwF7e6VmmeNuCeuYXrNLBl03Xymy4emILghD0MyqfgC6rPdHxTgU9Jp/s984/RTMA.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhLWbnFvxXvkPeHTn4r14ZU8GP4hy-6PAVJonW7vEYvfh8ZdAqmWTivU2tZOw8dFSV6Izxhk-oMT5_D7jL2C-9F4xL-OiaLtPDABpoigaX2p_n_nCiztN-wpDxlnPgzAHwF7e6VmmeNuCeuYXrNLBl03Xymy4emILghD0MyqfgC6rPdHxTgU9Jp/w640-h526/RTMA.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Radar loop for the northern Ohio shoreline the following morning (Thursday AM) shows a significant band of lake effect snow:</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhMvlLFUfh2mGYxr6kVZ1hO6vvlSy5ZGSbkWRmuu6jMuWMRs29I5Jk8MXgj-P7oP1wpdqZ6Yhz6Mp1TMQozL4YsM42moc7VzLgZ0PP6Ih9jy9uJiRIHzclymt9wiFTwRTM68z7hZG0n3Ph6m5grOGVnrVu7dZONT-CaM-wSmJ8KfrhqM-qJtxwD/s1192/KCLE-Super-ResReflectivity17_16AM-ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converter.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1192" data-original-width="600" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhMvlLFUfh2mGYxr6kVZ1hO6vvlSy5ZGSbkWRmuu6jMuWMRs29I5Jk8MXgj-P7oP1wpdqZ6Yhz6Mp1TMQozL4YsM42moc7VzLgZ0PP6Ih9jy9uJiRIHzclymt9wiFTwRTM68z7hZG0n3Ph6m5grOGVnrVu7dZONT-CaM-wSmJ8KfrhqM-qJtxwD/w322-h640/KCLE-Super-ResReflectivity17_16AM-ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converter.gif" width="322" /></a></div><div><br /></div>How often do we go from TORNADO WARNINGS to SNOW in 24 hours? Here is the short list:<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhiIwFK3dSuAePTkAbJDSMqcy7RjoK8_nBF_nIyuNWiqnQTZQ90Lp1jqmHFZ1T-QAVzDkFOH7fmLSG6NTiyWUTGn1VDtQa9Qs-efA2lxgsOiMZBi7KKdKGZJO8DZ0myb49EcABb6GZn22hXXQTFfUYG1NdRDdi8Clzuw9GV-HSyaIpIi3P8XsG8/s426/24.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="251" data-original-width="426" height="236" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhiIwFK3dSuAePTkAbJDSMqcy7RjoK8_nBF_nIyuNWiqnQTZQ90Lp1jqmHFZ1T-QAVzDkFOH7fmLSG6NTiyWUTGn1VDtQa9Qs-efA2lxgsOiMZBi7KKdKGZJO8DZ0myb49EcABb6GZn22hXXQTFfUYG1NdRDdi8Clzuw9GV-HSyaIpIi3P8XsG8/w400-h236/24.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>How about TORNADO WARNINGS to SNOW in 48+ hours?</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpZ-s6yMZQ8K2l-PlK6NrfnhsDGq9Y7amN82iDXx7q8EGWldlTMLd_QNPew8v3kMsFw1Z31NZk0ec07STJmWSrWl3yxBfg97M3kDFe-INjfxYIc7MhH_hg0YXwop5rqEZk5ii5jgSRhGT3W4dtyZe_o8jGE9wsP_tzU6O3IMBTCHAR1M3S72B-/s478/48.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="251" data-original-width="478" height="210" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpZ-s6yMZQ8K2l-PlK6NrfnhsDGq9Y7amN82iDXx7q8EGWldlTMLd_QNPew8v3kMsFw1Z31NZk0ec07STJmWSrWl3yxBfg97M3kDFe-INjfxYIc7MhH_hg0YXwop5rqEZk5ii5jgSRhGT3W4dtyZe_o8jGE9wsP_tzU6O3IMBTCHAR1M3S72B-/w400-h210/48.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">So its been 7 years -- March 3, 2017 -- since we had measurable snow 24 hours after a tornado warning!</span></b></div><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-24158298357412477262024-02-09T08:45:00.006-05:002024-02-09T09:48:26.882-05:00How Cloudy Was January?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinm__dZxLeZjigHetd2w6fvM3KNsOhyw6S2TNrUE2TMLa1Eh0T9WRiSStG9COVUa3u9B3xloseoPtcUjhbf3ihBJIxJVGQDJz-0aC0WMfZpnUz_gA0fqboNKCK2cXkkbD9vS3KTa6rAevD-TMUIPk4b7o39PPCa88NNfs_LaHhnbpCqY9FGTua/s3264/IMAG1228.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1840" data-original-width="3264" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinm__dZxLeZjigHetd2w6fvM3KNsOhyw6S2TNrUE2TMLa1Eh0T9WRiSStG9COVUa3u9B3xloseoPtcUjhbf3ihBJIxJVGQDJz-0aC0WMfZpnUz_gA0fqboNKCK2cXkkbD9vS3KTa6rAevD-TMUIPk4b7o39PPCa88NNfs_LaHhnbpCqY9FGTua/w640-h360/IMAG1228.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>January cloud cover was extremely extensive and long lasting across northern Ohio. Here are the top 10 cloudiest January in Cleveland (based on overcast observations):</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhobHFNGAL97cZhtFEpBB2ZeQ0JqqBVpZrkIRNmBsMcog49sI9k5k2w766xtiCHj_NxlButiUhHyW924QvR3tBqZKMRMilFba_1XCChbpYWDvUqLrj1Ie-zTZ79i1_VC4K7ZOmF1Nv2c_Tx8c0lF0Fl_t6bGOXwAhqqt60FMbj7EdmYiu8p4DpA/s466/TOP10_Cloudiest_january.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="466" data-original-width="329" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhobHFNGAL97cZhtFEpBB2ZeQ0JqqBVpZrkIRNmBsMcog49sI9k5k2w766xtiCHj_NxlButiUhHyW924QvR3tBqZKMRMilFba_1XCChbpYWDvUqLrj1Ie-zTZ79i1_VC4K7ZOmF1Nv2c_Tx8c0lF0Fl_t6bGOXwAhqqt60FMbj7EdmYiu8p4DpA/w283-h400/TOP10_Cloudiest_january.jpg" width="283" /></a></div><div>When we break down the month into 4 cloud cover categories, this is what we found comparing January 2024 to the last 10 years: 26 of the 31 days had overcast skies. No clear days. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1D-SqiAzhedbE1CWzHh0fHQYiCDN8NKQq-s9ypfrQb4RVZ-xV04JZJ3hzOXvt7aA3s-qO-b0_-vO4jMTEKSkq7f9FyuWc7A9cGWa5fBqCea2A5Mh0au-orzPwY6nLegBoQtYjOfkhi1tkKo9b1AudwGlt7Cp8IHWJDNWenVosgXwc1dDWF_4S/s770/CLOUD_COVER.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="264" data-original-width="770" height="221" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1D-SqiAzhedbE1CWzHh0fHQYiCDN8NKQq-s9ypfrQb4RVZ-xV04JZJ3hzOXvt7aA3s-qO-b0_-vO4jMTEKSkq7f9FyuWc7A9cGWa5fBqCea2A5Mh0au-orzPwY6nLegBoQtYjOfkhi1tkKo9b1AudwGlt7Cp8IHWJDNWenVosgXwc1dDWF_4S/w640-h221/CLOUD_COVER.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>How did northern Ohio cloud cover compare to the rest of the US in January?</div><div>Here is the average amount of cloud cover: Typically the Pacific Northwest, Great Lakes, mid-west and portions of New England are the cloudiest locations.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5ifsafuhtptRCW530R2CGLZtLbVMUv9LUAl0V2l73F39CeN5x6ugZMCM9mhfttqpZBhyphenhyphenLLZBg5i2WETqbiS4z3wwRgnQ9A5cOU2vBS_6-3AqNBl4t_Ajywt4vYXmtw8Nh8pr1pxYW-P_m_uwrVJQrFkyQct4tNSL9lnOHhce1MZCnkYKm4sF5/s1769/Jan_cloud_averages_FINAL.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1433" data-original-width="1769" height="518" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5ifsafuhtptRCW530R2CGLZtLbVMUv9LUAl0V2l73F39CeN5x6ugZMCM9mhfttqpZBhyphenhyphenLLZBg5i2WETqbiS4z3wwRgnQ9A5cOU2vBS_6-3AqNBl4t_Ajywt4vYXmtw8Nh8pr1pxYW-P_m_uwrVJQrFkyQct4tNSL9lnOHhce1MZCnkYKm4sF5/w640-h518/Jan_cloud_averages_FINAL.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Map Courtesy: Brian Brettschneider</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Here is the ACTUAL cloud cover rankings for January:</div><div><br /></div><div>The cloudiest regions were southern Michigan, western New York, southern Florida and yes, northern Ohio. In fact, <b>southern Florida's cloud cover was top 5 all time. Northern Ohio was 3rd cloudiest.</b></div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg2Z3RXTMk6nJZdh3thoqvUvqGA2nuX5B-6Pp_YlMVr_wl5DUlpG376ZdYDTWYyShNn9rB8VjnKte9Wnv87lTxSs_9vJPwhk7M7m0Yc0RUkI2TlGI8IVGJaLVypqjd7IjYnq2YuEgelBr1HH7ilkF34xDIbI5Bz9VbLUYVcCYNIKsSeBMcg2Fmn/s1769/Jan_cloud_rankings_FINAL.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1433" data-original-width="1769" height="518" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg2Z3RXTMk6nJZdh3thoqvUvqGA2nuX5B-6Pp_YlMVr_wl5DUlpG376ZdYDTWYyShNn9rB8VjnKte9Wnv87lTxSs_9vJPwhk7M7m0Yc0RUkI2TlGI8IVGJaLVypqjd7IjYnq2YuEgelBr1HH7ilkF34xDIbI5Bz9VbLUYVcCYNIKsSeBMcg2Fmn/w640-h518/Jan_cloud_rankings_FINAL.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Map Courtesy: Brian Brettschneider</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>For comparison, this was the cloud cover ranks nationally for last year (2023)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhuXW0tZnlUpykzKIdgeGFnpRGJ_VTq7gdhdSyiP4i5YssYdYYK40aerz7MAvbHWV6WvUu0Gx2n04OLDdTKK2jj3Y1y4gZRXnYwfgoRWvl_jUvRjFGTwIltY4bHKUp90tmJ9D2UM1NX39q5HLYAXQ3PlcjuRJqPbgiNTKkpKvIGgearHveqLcYS/s1008/jan2023_ranks.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="815" data-original-width="1008" height="518" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhuXW0tZnlUpykzKIdgeGFnpRGJ_VTq7gdhdSyiP4i5YssYdYYK40aerz7MAvbHWV6WvUu0Gx2n04OLDdTKK2jj3Y1y4gZRXnYwfgoRWvl_jUvRjFGTwIltY4bHKUp90tmJ9D2UM1NX39q5HLYAXQ3PlcjuRJqPbgiNTKkpKvIGgearHveqLcYS/w640-h518/jan2023_ranks.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>2002 was one of the least cloudy January months in northern Ohio since the early 1950s. Here was the cloud cover ranking nationally for comparison.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgylhFfpVvPwee_bb_mr8El_fsoaK0WhMgDm_zVFmqme6dy336JtL_YbcEnD54cywQPn6GQbEvQvbjZ9Yj7lYNCUIolLJi89RvRtGP1YxmtT2qFUBupM9pH0EvJfu4hfM3gDoUoFrFyzgTV5K0Gy3yUlTDY1lV43fjdHZufEYOqngq9onCs3ole/s1012/jan2002_ranks.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="681" data-original-width="1012" height="430" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgylhFfpVvPwee_bb_mr8El_fsoaK0WhMgDm_zVFmqme6dy336JtL_YbcEnD54cywQPn6GQbEvQvbjZ9Yj7lYNCUIolLJi89RvRtGP1YxmtT2qFUBupM9pH0EvJfu4hfM3gDoUoFrFyzgTV5K0Gy3yUlTDY1lV43fjdHZufEYOqngq9onCs3ole/w640-h430/jan2002_ranks.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>So why so much cloud cover this January vs other years?</div><div><br /></div><div>Here is a loop showing where the HIGHS and LOWS are located for each day in January. Blue colors are low pressure, warmer colors are high pressure. The lower the pressure, the more rising air and typically more cloud cover.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibRmj3HZA1fdWfY1pGBKTZZ4tJdZQIE0vO5jYzRcQHJNS7v5iU3arttDZum4kvnYIomr2Z3TdEavQsr50CltWEd2oJaprksEb5_CZhPrnd_AgtfSdPYSuyYznXg3jJ1SHFKeYWOod08XGF_2WR5oTTRSpk56hbxH4EgZNzMygCgNtglrmmCf0z/s700/daily_500mB.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibRmj3HZA1fdWfY1pGBKTZZ4tJdZQIE0vO5jYzRcQHJNS7v5iU3arttDZum4kvnYIomr2Z3TdEavQsr50CltWEd2oJaprksEb5_CZhPrnd_AgtfSdPYSuyYznXg3jJ1SHFKeYWOod08XGF_2WR5oTTRSpk56hbxH4EgZNzMygCgNtglrmmCf0z/w640-h496/daily_500mB.gif" width="640" /></a></div>Active Pacific jet stream throughout the month. Early January, jet was across northern Pacific with the southern branch across Mexico and the southern US. By mid month, they partially merged then the southern branch become more dominant. This jet stream configuration kept these frequent low pressure system moving across the central US and Great Lakes. <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGvumM8DshfSVjLgsV5Xu0__FyA-FiV9lt1B6DkDW7ZB8A9sYEPyM294iD9WdwKRnSKpmNQNhKLtEdA00gyy1dSsuoQmCyiHnXfnza46d22UZcRnHvjCs_82x7DDIVoBR5cCsLgYZ_pUOwnMnfxJj3pdMSxuE68aW00t4niHdlfuPsWY6v4Kdl/s700/ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker%20(3).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGvumM8DshfSVjLgsV5Xu0__FyA-FiV9lt1B6DkDW7ZB8A9sYEPyM294iD9WdwKRnSKpmNQNhKLtEdA00gyy1dSsuoQmCyiHnXfnza46d22UZcRnHvjCs_82x7DDIVoBR5cCsLgYZ_pUOwnMnfxJj3pdMSxuE68aW00t4niHdlfuPsWY6v4Kdl/w640-h496/ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker%20(3).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Great Lakes ice cover is well below average. This has kept the relatively mild water exposed to the frequent weather systems during the month. While the Great Lakes are not solely responsible for the cloud cover, they have contributed to it.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMY6_VcgqCLQXnGnadsjLDdd0tbB9eRG1tczGO2AJ9Z5AMo2EDF6WyBjKA4VYPJAfMCdY_7-iUcaWQ4nUhB8N9BBjaxaQfEZAkF3DhQTNYXjQDR0DQ-ATDABO0TihvDFIS2yD3A6XvhROrzJXoSojT7k0xSsP-B0XabXHz9YUXK7UjnKTcqAXs/s1500/bas_ice_compare.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="850" data-original-width="1500" height="362" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMY6_VcgqCLQXnGnadsjLDdd0tbB9eRG1tczGO2AJ9Z5AMo2EDF6WyBjKA4VYPJAfMCdY_7-iUcaWQ4nUhB8N9BBjaxaQfEZAkF3DhQTNYXjQDR0DQ-ATDABO0TihvDFIS2yD3A6XvhROrzJXoSojT7k0xSsP-B0XabXHz9YUXK7UjnKTcqAXs/w640-h362/bas_ice_compare.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div></div></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-37831936684907267652024-01-22T07:53:00.003-05:002024-01-22T07:53:42.848-05:00Snow Totals From Last Week's Storm?<p>Snow started early Friday morning and ended late Saturday evening/night.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgNow2lDZPie8_CLQ6q2HsaTfmWTEp1ZzIkn3SRHTHmW-inlFNPL0q2KDjvCpagCLWK66khgWz0Q427IDL-iqHsFL38A_91V-yFBNWgOCLextF1bvREc68NTeXJztw6qJwiFe5DZXnBxP00ebACd_P8lJ0UDv9F2id9f9DzAJvqGQF6TELKUdet/s1024/20240122_072421.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgNow2lDZPie8_CLQ6q2HsaTfmWTEp1ZzIkn3SRHTHmW-inlFNPL0q2KDjvCpagCLWK66khgWz0Q427IDL-iqHsFL38A_91V-yFBNWgOCLextF1bvREc68NTeXJztw6qJwiFe5DZXnBxP00ebACd_P8lJ0UDv9F2id9f9DzAJvqGQF6TELKUdet/w640-h480/20240122_072421.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><p><br /></p><p>Here are the individual totals for each region of northern Ohio:</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrZGWcjkXyIzo2yE1ixMg1PiIAdmR7YLttXrz9W1Ewk1RRpjU1cQ2w6skonSXIYI1xt4QYMaSRPKO_phIXRvo1h1AwhAYMy-ryUqIzCXkeJMYqRjuj9L5CQPRqdrPOqByiqqbKYTLLzjxOY0h8v991fYdoOVzHEtRMZe3CZLozfMhwliD3I531/s770/snow1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="770" height="280" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrZGWcjkXyIzo2yE1ixMg1PiIAdmR7YLttXrz9W1Ewk1RRpjU1cQ2w6skonSXIYI1xt4QYMaSRPKO_phIXRvo1h1AwhAYMy-ryUqIzCXkeJMYqRjuj9L5CQPRqdrPOqByiqqbKYTLLzjxOY0h8v991fYdoOVzHEtRMZe3CZLozfMhwliD3I531/w640-h280/snow1.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjI0111uOj0cL7cJadp6tF-IEbxIEEIqa0f5myUrlg55W7yGhzcv2Ltu8_Ap8XZ3XmbVjm3F_ZgCIcZgUYbxrZfPvdtt5JDCm-wWn-QQ8LbqxscYhpXStFuo_dJCrW1RY9E6zylI9o2a6Q76d0jNXp2RtxLvGMWNPHlYmIr9_w43XjuQd5TshVO/s927/snow2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="478" data-original-width="927" height="330" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjI0111uOj0cL7cJadp6tF-IEbxIEEIqa0f5myUrlg55W7yGhzcv2Ltu8_Ap8XZ3XmbVjm3F_ZgCIcZgUYbxrZfPvdtt5JDCm-wWn-QQ8LbqxscYhpXStFuo_dJCrW1RY9E6zylI9o2a6Q76d0jNXp2RtxLvGMWNPHlYmIr9_w43XjuQd5TshVO/w640-h330/snow2.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6zO5yctvosmmMwZBNs0DTxzQSwQH8kG7O4HQxydIAmHoaVEzHZ5i4OoSLKHBwQ6_HEXQ67djbBNFW4NJJ4a7WiRfnKyQEiAc9aIDFPJbFxAbyYAGsxoJ81HBUov9RDZ4lZeM1GOtksHtqiaX8m8g1ct7Ws11eLc_-xmYLt-lnmEvRgyc369R4/s810/snow3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="810" data-original-width="792" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6zO5yctvosmmMwZBNs0DTxzQSwQH8kG7O4HQxydIAmHoaVEzHZ5i4OoSLKHBwQ6_HEXQ67djbBNFW4NJJ4a7WiRfnKyQEiAc9aIDFPJbFxAbyYAGsxoJ81HBUov9RDZ4lZeM1GOtksHtqiaX8m8g1ct7Ws11eLc_-xmYLt-lnmEvRgyc369R4/w626-h640/snow3.jpg" width="626" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiE7l0lqzptBfhELRPATZ7c2DczCd-wsYiVh8EjMTosmOYLXJmn_HIKtpKbKkKkV3nKwKCjVeh-W8zSDU8at8k_JOIR004dKVQifx4DzES4zwFdgkhCP7ThO4-iSLHmGkO-N-D2hm6W1SPsnhTqrmg6OgtvcBkwdndKyIiY56iUrOE3CPDsANB2/s774/snow4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="653" data-original-width="774" height="540" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiE7l0lqzptBfhELRPATZ7c2DczCd-wsYiVh8EjMTosmOYLXJmn_HIKtpKbKkKkV3nKwKCjVeh-W8zSDU8at8k_JOIR004dKVQifx4DzES4zwFdgkhCP7ThO4-iSLHmGkO-N-D2hm6W1SPsnhTqrmg6OgtvcBkwdndKyIiY56iUrOE3CPDsANB2/w640-h540/snow4.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXOx9JTwGQUP_q16q04dvC0isFQfw73sHopOjJAHAI5D27vHMpqJ9hD5Vrd5cSfg-cNWMTOLZAL5a1b4nikDjOdljq8mWPTkgfHDoBCkxlbl3i2PzL8rm1Az2otICKFS_-igmpwTH9I0L8RkPpzwi7g-QaDPUihOWDHXd57-lz3hqTwzKBcZHj/s1211/snow5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="786" data-original-width="1211" height="416" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXOx9JTwGQUP_q16q04dvC0isFQfw73sHopOjJAHAI5D27vHMpqJ9hD5Vrd5cSfg-cNWMTOLZAL5a1b4nikDjOdljq8mWPTkgfHDoBCkxlbl3i2PzL8rm1Az2otICKFS_-igmpwTH9I0L8RkPpzwi7g-QaDPUihOWDHXd57-lz3hqTwzKBcZHj/w640-h416/snow5.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5v-AA3lZvLVsxwYwtY9kqVJSML2DuY9HIAFu_aVptFOpI0KXUnrQTioLKlGOzC3A_NjSzOy9Y7I3J5dhsbkzzGCP_wvs4qZysU_WN8pEqHUVCeky6u_s2SgPyk621cj8Mz9M2wMsZSM6PHiS8iYEA1i5DRucKN8o8uGVb_2tcFqKkyAZMxi-s/s736/top_snow_reports.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="431" data-original-width="736" height="374" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5v-AA3lZvLVsxwYwtY9kqVJSML2DuY9HIAFu_aVptFOpI0KXUnrQTioLKlGOzC3A_NjSzOy9Y7I3J5dhsbkzzGCP_wvs4qZysU_WN8pEqHUVCeky6u_s2SgPyk621cj8Mz9M2wMsZSM6PHiS8iYEA1i5DRucKN8o8uGVb_2tcFqKkyAZMxi-s/w640-h374/top_snow_reports.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWWZzkaMbn4pMQTTcg5g-EC7iXpYJ6G-Zn7C-goIClkOLnE1GcWrr9M9pJyNl0goJwlHVL9VPNHtPYNIvMShtIoc1x-pJ3d0-RN4seBMZwm8sFt5nSqfvdXtEg6l7c1McC4Yel4nHRw0qSsYTIEmWNz9k6chVkE957Gc4m67rY38mUEE8Evks3/s955/SNOW.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="732" data-original-width="955" height="490" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWWZzkaMbn4pMQTTcg5g-EC7iXpYJ6G-Zn7C-goIClkOLnE1GcWrr9M9pJyNl0goJwlHVL9VPNHtPYNIvMShtIoc1x-pJ3d0-RN4seBMZwm8sFt5nSqfvdXtEg6l7c1McC4Yel4nHRw0qSsYTIEmWNz9k6chVkE957Gc4m67rY38mUEE8Evks3/w640-h490/SNOW.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3pZz-FP-HHhEPV8qigsyr_eOdIreJeyGNJanmMgbmKee9IaMTV76sxDb_DcHc6cUfZjDehdLQub6aGOaE1mgq5MXFnfBoq559BGWOOQl3EQckou2CazGLRod01Dk0qdU1Eh3lsNiANXOOfy3FSyxMw_7uZj5ecEhKdpWHgxTesstQcn1oxzSp/s1500/US_snow.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="978" data-original-width="1500" height="418" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3pZz-FP-HHhEPV8qigsyr_eOdIreJeyGNJanmMgbmKee9IaMTV76sxDb_DcHc6cUfZjDehdLQub6aGOaE1mgq5MXFnfBoq559BGWOOQl3EQckou2CazGLRod01Dk0qdU1Eh3lsNiANXOOfy3FSyxMw_7uZj5ecEhKdpWHgxTesstQcn1oxzSp/w640-h418/US_snow.png" width="640" /></a></div>Seasonal Snow Totals Through January 22 - Last 10 Winters:<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhpSeEKWdmi_am93HZVjWLAKWNfYHMqxOBHguXky32J6-Keh00maurSY33gsbiFHYHAVaHlrxBSNFjfy7XAp0eLW3M9IK6XbbzSyBVtQJqepZr-bn5FYTZuBXV2opamMdpNamCBmPT4thceMuOsi6RZulXLJOh75ap35AgpTRpDuXm-CFsgddr/s1280/snowfall_to_date_10_years.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhpSeEKWdmi_am93HZVjWLAKWNfYHMqxOBHguXky32J6-Keh00maurSY33gsbiFHYHAVaHlrxBSNFjfy7XAp0eLW3M9IK6XbbzSyBVtQJqepZr-bn5FYTZuBXV2opamMdpNamCBmPT4thceMuOsi6RZulXLJOh75ap35AgpTRpDuXm-CFsgddr/w640-h360/snowfall_to_date_10_years.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Comparison between last winter and this winter through January 22 across northern Ohio.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivWt8l02VHc72tTB43zXioCCGWGj9SJwHLcqfS-M5SGKZAz70jMgSga7moUnu9BZlMcXLf33HZ3VyRmNwYIYnvoepzbuaa8BZMAkBo52Vjm8Btw8m0F3iAg-YJjP7Cf0hJXZRu2TZwZxumPus44lTtBvIFkLDhdoP8BCvRlf6D-zd_h3oqelAD/s987/ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker%20(1).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="497" data-original-width="987" height="322" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivWt8l02VHc72tTB43zXioCCGWGj9SJwHLcqfS-M5SGKZAz70jMgSga7moUnu9BZlMcXLf33HZ3VyRmNwYIYnvoepzbuaa8BZMAkBo52Vjm8Btw8m0F3iAg-YJjP7Cf0hJXZRu2TZwZxumPus44lTtBvIFkLDhdoP8BCvRlf6D-zd_h3oqelAD/w640-h322/ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker%20(1).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-76353774488650126652024-01-11T09:46:00.003-05:002024-01-12T07:13:33.612-05:00Deepest Storm in 30 Years Tuesday!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMC7e_j4ihWIaAHal30LpCnIJM8GQws6NcS-v0Tgpc9zLGviWZXiWtjLcVa6Wo8E7renDgE1O-7MiIgUinYszlauDr6f_Nf0drqNW04dwlyCeZh21yI0698UKRQXXmoS3bFvb0K4YCUpJ2ECJyv4pA7hC5IV_yooyCdEUDNFGyD52g4qz2oE7-/s535/barometer.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="535" height="350" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMC7e_j4ihWIaAHal30LpCnIJM8GQws6NcS-v0Tgpc9zLGviWZXiWtjLcVa6Wo8E7renDgE1O-7MiIgUinYszlauDr6f_Nf0drqNW04dwlyCeZh21yI0698UKRQXXmoS3bFvb0K4YCUpJ2ECJyv4pA7hC5IV_yooyCdEUDNFGyD52g4qz2oE7-/w400-h350/barometer.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>How did I miss this. Tuesday's panhandle system was deep but little did I know that it was VERY deep. Using the <a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=18&network=OH_ASOS&zstation=CLE&sdate=2024%2F01%2F01&days=365&var=mslp&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=js">Iowa Mesonet site</a> (a fantastic meteorological resource for everything data/graphing you can think of) I was able to check the lowest pressures for each year. at roughly 7pm, the air pressure dropped to <b>978.4 mB</b> or 28.89" <b>This ranks the 4th lowest since 1970 and the deepest since January 14, 1992!</b> So mark your calendar, January 9, 2024 at 7pm EST.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6zjAkyTU4laygorw-b11fYItzS7Xkn85CgmX82XYiuMl1nb04wPj6R22qmmZeYgr-D1ZA03alyZrYBAfexdsa5h_DKe2X9V0vZOh5ginekxqefIix9oKmCiCq6owNz_sjYBqud7B451uHhfq8ZcTlwhBMQU5v0ZcTgvuWDjVvZfi_o_iuwJmi/s1145/SLP_1092024.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="419" data-original-width="1145" height="234" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6zjAkyTU4laygorw-b11fYItzS7Xkn85CgmX82XYiuMl1nb04wPj6R22qmmZeYgr-D1ZA03alyZrYBAfexdsa5h_DKe2X9V0vZOh5ginekxqefIix9oKmCiCq6owNz_sjYBqud7B451uHhfq8ZcTlwhBMQU5v0ZcTgvuWDjVvZfi_o_iuwJmi/w640-h234/SLP_1092024.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhNB0b9O7L-RlHsoGqbxIiBVptrFTjrngu9bj1vOnkvQHC9bQgBCwgyqWYcl7akI4OsVXJH63beQ4wbmSqLgKfYgay-4iQ5RuUrqHHgNc4vxZjyvEclRIrqN9zSjI06AZNtc-Qrf7IJjzCQnm43W_tb4fibxemmiNAE9dMpG8HFGiw_nvnIS25/s1200/ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="653" data-original-width="1200" height="347" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhNB0b9O7L-RlHsoGqbxIiBVptrFTjrngu9bj1vOnkvQHC9bQgBCwgyqWYcl7akI4OsVXJH63beQ4wbmSqLgKfYgay-4iQ5RuUrqHHgNc4vxZjyvEclRIrqN9zSjI06AZNtc-Qrf7IJjzCQnm43W_tb4fibxemmiNAE9dMpG8HFGiw_nvnIS25/w640-h347/ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>This also caused 60+ mph winds across parts of northern Ohio.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfWGPiHWo19x1Q_eA6AAC4M3Ex00GqZm9ZM4UQRxqWZnw0YCCdUTbd6WXTc3soWlwnSPaqLIQqV62scGTrtnlp55wqiPe32p05UsbJE7gZSg2UJKnwpP-xZjhLWEfjK_5m5DMTHSoEZalpIAiMGXfWlQbllzN9uQq98gYeEIUSGOXpirUnjskx/s1280/JUNK35.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfWGPiHWo19x1Q_eA6AAC4M3Ex00GqZm9ZM4UQRxqWZnw0YCCdUTbd6WXTc3soWlwnSPaqLIQqV62scGTrtnlp55wqiPe32p05UsbJE7gZSg2UJKnwpP-xZjhLWEfjK_5m5DMTHSoEZalpIAiMGXfWlQbllzN9uQq98gYeEIUSGOXpirUnjskx/w400-h225/JUNK35.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>The next deep panhandle storm will arrive Friday perhaps as deep as the Tuesday system. Center of the storm tracks across NW Ohio Friday evening 1/12/2024. Expect 50+ mph wind gusts yet again.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJ2TEg9CfUKUIgbUXmCTuZVn9d8AREM4_BYl1UpPNiT7ctZp8bGFVOK2ce27bg_Aa-_Qcy8QWS63R-SFmeYeKKxYLWpdUQEGvGyf4C6ecN1mrZqRfeyJMQngOVQIOlH6NJXZUWe0Z1DlnVBjoMJXbywMKekKMNesrnRynFktImNqaursP_uevp/s984/112.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJ2TEg9CfUKUIgbUXmCTuZVn9d8AREM4_BYl1UpPNiT7ctZp8bGFVOK2ce27bg_Aa-_Qcy8QWS63R-SFmeYeKKxYLWpdUQEGvGyf4C6ecN1mrZqRfeyJMQngOVQIOlH6NJXZUWe0Z1DlnVBjoMJXbywMKekKMNesrnRynFktImNqaursP_uevp/w640-h526/112.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgO7RVhJwHjPMSIA7q-uujvB5H2jjt-PJoIVOl9lc0yjpbJc9eOBAvtGU0oTsemXmQEja4PYcs1UBcVs1ziNvc8YRJ6J6WDGApAEedwPSn4X7AtUHJek2CkX21KjoF1QziV7kgzwsXCnZkmvdnA-m_1EYUIsftrSbdHmgNZmjb9KsxQOhmj7jZZ/s1280/Graph%20Futurecast%20-%20iCast%20Wind%20Gusts%20TOMORROW.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgO7RVhJwHjPMSIA7q-uujvB5H2jjt-PJoIVOl9lc0yjpbJc9eOBAvtGU0oTsemXmQEja4PYcs1UBcVs1ziNvc8YRJ6J6WDGApAEedwPSn4X7AtUHJek2CkX21KjoF1QziV7kgzwsXCnZkmvdnA-m_1EYUIsftrSbdHmgNZmjb9KsxQOhmj7jZZ/w400-h225/Graph%20Futurecast%20-%20iCast%20Wind%20Gusts%20TOMORROW.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>Here is where this ranks since 1970. The values below are from the Iowa Mesonet site which might be slightly different. Top 25 listed here.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrkeyR9D2NWuArVlhXPPRIJRPHuRqgvnfx5t3IY7cCBtRbmDYauRPWR5uGrEwx2EIRllEuLKS8g5Jgzj9LbQNfIRG6llMebXeNhe-Zla_JGOkK9w3vQhS4JTE8YuCYyhs0PVyz58pNVijpmSMH1x7-Ch7y6td3uFjUq406wLfVY-B4sfGFLQfa/s505/SLP1.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="505" data-original-width="182" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrkeyR9D2NWuArVlhXPPRIJRPHuRqgvnfx5t3IY7cCBtRbmDYauRPWR5uGrEwx2EIRllEuLKS8g5Jgzj9LbQNfIRG6llMebXeNhe-Zla_JGOkK9w3vQhS4JTE8YuCYyhs0PVyz58pNVijpmSMH1x7-Ch7y6td3uFjUq406wLfVY-B4sfGFLQfa/w230-h640/SLP1.jpg" width="230" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Here is the <i>daily average surface pressure</i> contour for the top 4 on the list. The current storm at the bottom.<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8y-7DymIduClQpdvNLPwOlacg4HOnS0CipVuCvu7U0Aa0lOJoCoPWMfZgj6UB-NhI4vTK9KigVBIyreIQ9cHUlWqi_YtXlzNXOPy7qv3sbclzUrAFYFM6wedr-sNwIhSN-JM3ZLciCRV17dqEa1yHdc-4PY8JnV0CSPaY5iE-OTqTaSz071ow/s700/1_1978.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8y-7DymIduClQpdvNLPwOlacg4HOnS0CipVuCvu7U0Aa0lOJoCoPWMfZgj6UB-NhI4vTK9KigVBIyreIQ9cHUlWqi_YtXlzNXOPy7qv3sbclzUrAFYFM6wedr-sNwIhSN-JM3ZLciCRV17dqEa1yHdc-4PY8JnV0CSPaY5iE-OTqTaSz071ow/w640-h496/1_1978.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">January 26, 1978</td></tr></tbody></table><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi71xYC2D8OQpb-BXoScNnu25eBOeWFc9Zs63JqXzFG2EoRdWzxVZmFLNZ_w-YAw32LuL6aP_wWpEY4-ELezKLhbZrj4RLshTf71H63-pFye4SRgcp1H_WPvQEoziD94ek4vBvPL-4jtEDCU-P4wAmuU1n-fD9slNLYzK_v78UZXwTED7rSD-oM/s700/4_1970.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi71xYC2D8OQpb-BXoScNnu25eBOeWFc9Zs63JqXzFG2EoRdWzxVZmFLNZ_w-YAw32LuL6aP_wWpEY4-ELezKLhbZrj4RLshTf71H63-pFye4SRgcp1H_WPvQEoziD94ek4vBvPL-4jtEDCU-P4wAmuU1n-fD9slNLYzK_v78UZXwTED7rSD-oM/w640-h496/4_1970.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">April 2, 1979</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS970ryIEXYFXQrUkI-rl26JmHiYfVKZWf1CK63aRlJAURQwyYM9Rbe8HP-WhN7B5LDt3tHFcDmzsoGVUegi_YaPVVaCxXXrEs0Xix0GOp0C7eHkY1c_xGUq5KlNODsMsOnthtveUy6ID1H2TUzK41qwRX5PjdxqoxGFobCbaLrkTsFm8UORe-/s700/1_1992.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS970ryIEXYFXQrUkI-rl26JmHiYfVKZWf1CK63aRlJAURQwyYM9Rbe8HP-WhN7B5LDt3tHFcDmzsoGVUegi_YaPVVaCxXXrEs0Xix0GOp0C7eHkY1c_xGUq5KlNODsMsOnthtveUy6ID1H2TUzK41qwRX5PjdxqoxGFobCbaLrkTsFm8UORe-/w640-h496/1_1992.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">January 14, 1992<br /><br /></td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgubAycFGExeSgLDNkyaxVW-NBONwK-cuPlUyerqgAMJv4mBo61D8KwhuVnTM_OjhFKF8T5VgZKfkBrznO2qcWXDQSSO_Us4gSHq15iWn3W4MYAzY1EVADPquf-3TyQwIXU46KgjfTtMhj-Q6_9gyZsompWoimQvFYnuOAsgdocunRkKUSZx35G/s700/1_9_2024.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgubAycFGExeSgLDNkyaxVW-NBONwK-cuPlUyerqgAMJv4mBo61D8KwhuVnTM_OjhFKF8T5VgZKfkBrznO2qcWXDQSSO_Us4gSHq15iWn3W4MYAzY1EVADPquf-3TyQwIXU46KgjfTtMhj-Q6_9gyZsompWoimQvFYnuOAsgdocunRkKUSZx35G/w640-h496/1_9_2024.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">January 9, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table><br />Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-34365474593333868392024-01-08T09:11:00.004-05:002024-01-08T09:11:38.615-05:00How Many Days WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL Thus Far?<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgD3oqNb5gRQA-lelmQH_VaNeDpr6_RPMr3zshZbPkbltq2_2NoAiQBphCgic0KEcywtLAm8HJ5XWsZq5_6eDxf9kyHb4POcdUGdNleZuZG9ActRcFO2qoeFS5ye-ntNFcslhaqDi-8A0g_CFuwOKKyXIp_XU_cl9ojllaDS89E9tYXPgXgFcRQ/s1600/sundog.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1200" data-original-width="1600" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgD3oqNb5gRQA-lelmQH_VaNeDpr6_RPMr3zshZbPkbltq2_2NoAiQBphCgic0KEcywtLAm8HJ5XWsZq5_6eDxf9kyHb4POcdUGdNleZuZG9ActRcFO2qoeFS5ye-ntNFcslhaqDi-8A0g_CFuwOKKyXIp_XU_cl9ojllaDS89E9tYXPgXgFcRQ/w400-h300/sundog.jpeg" width="400" /></a></div><span style="background-color: white; color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 20px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><p>Our winter outlook back in late October featured a very slow start to winter with above normal temperatures for December. So far, that has worked out.</p></span><p></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 20px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">Interestingly since December (through Jan 10), we've only had <b>3 DAYS BELOW NORMAL</b> (high & low average). Looking back I can't find a winter with this few BELOW NORMAL days in northern Ohio. Graphic shows last 30 years (left side) with a few notable historically warm/cold winters on right.</span></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8ns8gKjI5-OcyleeJ_kZXLp-WKKsUp_p7WlWvbcywc2OLNnZNh4zf-9zfwUU_NVx2uxCdUkkeZNgLnq1-58TPHH2C9QFw2UI__MulBLjKHfkf81hd9Tu4oI45wIpkUt4U-0078FQK4NkECvBEdk2ZFVjc1yEoJGnDzJ8pEiH9GY2HfN2DR3M3/s907/DAYS_BELOW_NORMAL.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="589" data-original-width="907" height="416" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8ns8gKjI5-OcyleeJ_kZXLp-WKKsUp_p7WlWvbcywc2OLNnZNh4zf-9zfwUU_NVx2uxCdUkkeZNgLnq1-58TPHH2C9QFw2UI__MulBLjKHfkf81hd9Tu4oI45wIpkUt4U-0078FQK4NkECvBEdk2ZFVjc1yEoJGnDzJ8pEiH9GY2HfN2DR3M3/w640-h416/DAYS_BELOW_NORMAL.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="background-color: white; color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 20px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span><p></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 20px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">About 80% of Ohio is running 5-10 degrees ABOVE NORMAL since the start of December.</span></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUJlHXIRPU6D9R4HGZtOQzu_FDrFjw3lMbg-dX5GHT2U9rgKwINC0W_84vIA82K-ncKzjIjzUXoFMoNQnbopS7raa2hfG0ei0zDFJqEUSrTQoNW1xuOWMeWtZiSlbxixLvjGsS8vfW3qTQR0GtLX8b0_CUoqNu24AG3QR-FVjD2YYJPMCIwkSL/s1200/Ohio_avgT-departure.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUJlHXIRPU6D9R4HGZtOQzu_FDrFjw3lMbg-dX5GHT2U9rgKwINC0W_84vIA82K-ncKzjIjzUXoFMoNQnbopS7raa2hfG0ei0zDFJqEUSrTQoNW1xuOWMeWtZiSlbxixLvjGsS8vfW3qTQR0GtLX8b0_CUoqNu24AG3QR-FVjD2YYJPMCIwkSL/w640-h360/Ohio_avgT-departure.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p></p><p><span style="color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white; font-size: 20px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">Average temperatures across the entire mid-west, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley is ranked close if not the warmest on record.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;"><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxaGm9FHtoBiGpxLLiHLeBttz0ahZrTboVIfwIAX41ueS5rGaNsNYWBT3eVRllvdNpHR2xUP19sBoqxKe8t2DyHFfrkPt2zGKHo0VBzWPGdIzyrBwWIxLzc-pBmRah5fwGndKfT6QOsdQ1ZmYzwEPzM7UxSE9crYTo1JDUjRmR18-MLKmD7zCU/s1200/midwest_avgT_ranks.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxaGm9FHtoBiGpxLLiHLeBttz0ahZrTboVIfwIAX41ueS5rGaNsNYWBT3eVRllvdNpHR2xUP19sBoqxKe8t2DyHFfrkPt2zGKHo0VBzWPGdIzyrBwWIxLzc-pBmRah5fwGndKfT6QOsdQ1ZmYzwEPzM7UxSE9crYTo1JDUjRmR18-MLKmD7zCU/w640-h360/midwest_avgT_ranks.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Midwest/Ohio Valley/Great Lakes Temperature Ranks Since December 1</td></tr></tbody></table></span><span style="color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="color: #0f1419; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;">In fact temperatures across roughly half of the US are now ranked in the top 10 warmest thus far.</span></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg-wi3Z3jU19zNRzhkmj7UNB-_N_LL2zR7KWMTf9x_RbmM7RFs9II-hoKE4g4r3JqcC_m3AlNlQmhqWld9MiUBqE65GZnO8xk2JuDIWEDO7c0AjEnPpCoaQzyJEQZpDVKzzn9_cDx7UyM0ydIbfnQTyasUjlueTGnRB4ZHhlAwxlM0nlOoYQrZy/s1200/USA_avgT_ranks.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg-wi3Z3jU19zNRzhkmj7UNB-_N_LL2zR7KWMTf9x_RbmM7RFs9II-hoKE4g4r3JqcC_m3AlNlQmhqWld9MiUBqE65GZnO8xk2JuDIWEDO7c0AjEnPpCoaQzyJEQZpDVKzzn9_cDx7UyM0ydIbfnQTyasUjlueTGnRB4ZHhlAwxlM0nlOoYQrZy/w640-h360/USA_avgT_ranks.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Temperature Ranks (Dec 1 to Jan 7)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-19962615938297162692023-12-22T09:28:00.000-05:002023-12-22T09:28:02.092-05:00How Often Do We See Snow on Christmas? Cold? <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWR2dToSenjgSI2ZMxiWeEum2Qc8xCwefdXCmecnyIBunnMLdkUv_buy17XLemY5QVaSmiM6ekGhyNr0WJs-e5VXjhj9FFB94bCkvq-vIhiEQ1z3gZRpn6OlUZUCZCe79Qzvf_VIdu09aLxyoLuedbWfqv-C6FqMh6GkWldpL0cH-LRz1QbEXv/s640/1982_christmas.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="640" data-original-width="640" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWR2dToSenjgSI2ZMxiWeEum2Qc8xCwefdXCmecnyIBunnMLdkUv_buy17XLemY5QVaSmiM6ekGhyNr0WJs-e5VXjhj9FFB94bCkvq-vIhiEQ1z3gZRpn6OlUZUCZCe79Qzvf_VIdu09aLxyoLuedbWfqv-C6FqMh6GkWldpL0cH-LRz1QbEXv/w400-h400/1982_christmas.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><p>Maybe you remember the super warm Christmas back in 1982 when we reached 66° degrees. Perhaps you remember the following Christmas when the high temperatures was 1°. Most of remember the brutally cold period leading up to Christmas last winter (2022).</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrLL6CuB6qIyDHH56YamgHaKNW8JC_u0G8MJqSUcul60ONSvOLA2BFWyMxkqyvU1FykYf2XdrA8KQMslipEVPdCT71VDkXd8RfDmBEfzDBFBPpKHr1iMH-b6qic88goFJWhQgp2mS6fJwuw9CoBQN5iTCsy4YZigwv4PlNGclG5YwWRn4zHOlx/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(14).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrLL6CuB6qIyDHH56YamgHaKNW8JC_u0G8MJqSUcul60ONSvOLA2BFWyMxkqyvU1FykYf2XdrA8KQMslipEVPdCT71VDkXd8RfDmBEfzDBFBPpKHr1iMH-b6qic88goFJWhQgp2mS6fJwuw9CoBQN5iTCsy4YZigwv4PlNGclG5YwWRn4zHOlx/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(14).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>What was the Christmas weather like when you were a kid? I created this handy chart showing the Christmas weather history for northern Ohio going back to 1940.</p><p>Enjoy!</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTlTYfMdR9NZOo230UrgND3L592aepbOu8nX3MJwPYkmeX-P0ltrf3Vhmdo_7GzYOmcgq2qpYli_4KZW0868FfEt20ONizZxEx6rxTvUgW78zWoxyuuQhJQ5pmQHOPQQYc9Bek49oQsmv7EfA4ZesmU4ZkLonlJw71siTmuJtStm2YZk-b-c1n/s1682/christmas_day.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1682" data-original-width="607" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTlTYfMdR9NZOo230UrgND3L592aepbOu8nX3MJwPYkmeX-P0ltrf3Vhmdo_7GzYOmcgq2qpYli_4KZW0868FfEt20ONizZxEx6rxTvUgW78zWoxyuuQhJQ5pmQHOPQQYc9Bek49oQsmv7EfA4ZesmU4ZkLonlJw71siTmuJtStm2YZk-b-c1n/s16000/christmas_day.jpg" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-81497519070872751362023-12-18T08:08:00.004-05:002023-12-18T08:26:52.787-05:00December 18 - Forecast Discussion - First Snow in Ages!<div class="separator"><br /></div><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/oo_CcmOMPvk?si=ONX9cSZqogJABHtp" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe><p>As of this writing (December 18 at 7am) we haven't seen shovel-able snowfall since November 28th. </p><p>The last time this happened was...well, last year. Here are the years where we saw less snow between Nov 28 and Dec 17. Notice how the occurrences were more sporadic before the 2000s. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtfn9IAcbjf3vhLkqgwtqF9EVh4CUZ5E0SG18hjYkKpfcStnsDIhb1B8-f0Kou30_0tx6X2gpGL3p8pB64Qsha6oOdIfZ7G5odwLfrs4f3FH2mgYW6VLHVUe_XXryWT_ubXDxoD6ZGJbPHNo6vrGmUWPyjh9c55au7W6llPDR3aP-Mtygl2Xn_/s1868/chart%20(3).jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="548" data-original-width="1868" height="188" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtfn9IAcbjf3vhLkqgwtqF9EVh4CUZ5E0SG18hjYkKpfcStnsDIhb1B8-f0Kou30_0tx6X2gpGL3p8pB64Qsha6oOdIfZ7G5odwLfrs4f3FH2mgYW6VLHVUe_XXryWT_ubXDxoD6ZGJbPHNo6vrGmUWPyjh9c55au7W6llPDR3aP-Mtygl2Xn_/w640-h188/chart%20(3).jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Snowfall departures across the US are also running well below normal. Interesting that portions of northern Missouri, central Kansas, North Dakota and parts of New England running well above normal.</p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYlC5U5GZfiRi9tLGvlzMpZ8I_FB5-0h3SUH5TLw6jbLpnZUpyyFQ5uZSAsrIKuSBXOPx3kUot6pC6Ubx2-JBOZbVsHsYzehVuWyfY0GGNwdh8YgvYh5Z98LTCJ1SnxoakBoxnmR9jqP9F358-mCn6RpLxdcVqVSHWyKDUWX9bxVKs_ZcDbwUB/s2086/20231218_070610.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1046" data-original-width="2086" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYlC5U5GZfiRi9tLGvlzMpZ8I_FB5-0h3SUH5TLw6jbLpnZUpyyFQ5uZSAsrIKuSBXOPx3kUot6pC6Ubx2-JBOZbVsHsYzehVuWyfY0GGNwdh8YgvYh5Z98LTCJ1SnxoakBoxnmR9jqP9F358-mCn6RpLxdcVqVSHWyKDUWX9bxVKs_ZcDbwUB/w640-h320/20231218_070610.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Graphic Courtesy Ben Noll<br /><br /></td></tr></tbody></table><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1tZnQNNcYYXdq4s39kgyMzxKLrpp53CsMFFuegVwCZOnNJwHe20-YmsXNIuVfDSAeZvGCyXbTh04tPVwSzaHBxwvsX_Mu0hqgwJOI652bq4A3dpyllBvIy42CZqtLyA9hPZGRF9xFrLtnrB4EDnM7Fdl3R6m33ZGZ8YEaMjacXwZVwj30Uve_/s800/nohrsc_mrcc_seas.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="600" data-original-width="800" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1tZnQNNcYYXdq4s39kgyMzxKLrpp53CsMFFuegVwCZOnNJwHe20-YmsXNIuVfDSAeZvGCyXbTh04tPVwSzaHBxwvsX_Mu0hqgwJOI652bq4A3dpyllBvIy42CZqtLyA9hPZGRF9xFrLtnrB4EDnM7Fdl3R6m33ZGZ8YEaMjacXwZVwj30Uve_/w400-h300/nohrsc_mrcc_seas.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Ohio Valley snowfall totals (as of December 15)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><span><a name='more'></a></span><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div>Currently, the east coast storm is heading into New England. On the back end, the trailing cold front is approaching. Winds will gust to 30+ mph this afternoon/evening.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgif18-RDp98xlmHM3vCtChvw8HaehLQb33Ow4o5WYJK2uDXKsN1CjZsdI_dtiAWJPrq5XpOq4GmSQ_ML3opm6rWj6z1Mg9YNRvW0s0nyHTkAbTPsLT516EidkAAxA49KnMKKvHA4vqT-B5UC2d7ULO5QWNeweddoWwb_nVxtIP_AmrBbjrZGi1/s1280/Ohio%20-%20TEMPSRadsat_tempCONTOUR2.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgif18-RDp98xlmHM3vCtChvw8HaehLQb33Ow4o5WYJK2uDXKsN1CjZsdI_dtiAWJPrq5XpOq4GmSQ_ML3opm6rWj6z1Mg9YNRvW0s0nyHTkAbTPsLT516EidkAAxA49KnMKKvHA4vqT-B5UC2d7ULO5QWNeweddoWwb_nVxtIP_AmrBbjrZGi1/w640-h360/Ohio%20-%20TEMPSRadsat_tempCONTOUR2.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzauIQV6ZxZSg0csN6tSqEwPM71wTJyyQ4FkilGBAkIHbmyRSyly4WLff7m3MtNqL108ZNu9BNigPFSinQRMz166BK6qTnyJ9i45LBfbPyBHGtrqe81kpokTimwkPdQ8MxVy2FEIJ_yhtYID1md2FDGsIuEVScDt31P4NL6ZZmufYxD30q_LXV/s1280/Gusts-24%20HR.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzauIQV6ZxZSg0csN6tSqEwPM71wTJyyQ4FkilGBAkIHbmyRSyly4WLff7m3MtNqL108ZNu9BNigPFSinQRMz166BK6qTnyJ9i45LBfbPyBHGtrqe81kpokTimwkPdQ8MxVy2FEIJ_yhtYID1md2FDGsIuEVScDt31P4NL6ZZmufYxD30q_LXV/w640-h360/Gusts-24%20HR.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Here is the forecast timeline:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicOKpn2OldqEPB9OHuj1AJV08Js0OUNcCl4PIZnk-W8sPTIVmyk0vZiFOjfCdazNBbeH5qbcGqRrnc2rBgbs2KIpz_s9FlpBPB7Fj5Ej7WO3JhxwvFF0VfPSBeQLchxMNiHtH5k4UMR69KEc2K1hA__ev2hi8qG4hHpPteNze6kB9LMCkZyNJc/s1280/Daily%20Timeline.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicOKpn2OldqEPB9OHuj1AJV08Js0OUNcCl4PIZnk-W8sPTIVmyk0vZiFOjfCdazNBbeH5qbcGqRrnc2rBgbs2KIpz_s9FlpBPB7Fj5Ej7WO3JhxwvFF0VfPSBeQLchxMNiHtH5k4UMR69KEc2K1hA__ev2hi8qG4hHpPteNze6kB9LMCkZyNJc/w400-h225/Daily%20Timeline.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Most of the rain is light and spotty this morning with temperatures in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Eventually, the front will pass this afternoon. Temperatures will start to fall starting around midday and continue into the evening commute. Timing for snowfall accumulation will be after 4pm and will continue into the early evening commute. <i>Initial melting will occur as temperatures remain in the lower/mid 30s as the snow begins.</i></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCFFGqv9PBI7Ef7F0YaWbmDY7ChWcU6ZTPk7mi6fhZyR9r2scETl77u8ePY3wClZ1Lan7jJTGrCe5bpCDIAouzmn_G9gc1D8hD1S8nzd-BWzNz2gv57F7Hl22iTYMGzCoMAOWaCp9Eqi6c7jlPcbmV4jnQm8fTJefKG0MH_9b0Rwpt293dB6Xp/s480/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(11).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="270" data-original-width="480" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCFFGqv9PBI7Ef7F0YaWbmDY7ChWcU6ZTPk7mi6fhZyR9r2scETl77u8ePY3wClZ1Lan7jJTGrCe5bpCDIAouzmn_G9gc1D8hD1S8nzd-BWzNz2gv57F7Hl22iTYMGzCoMAOWaCp9Eqi6c7jlPcbmV4jnQm8fTJefKG0MH_9b0Rwpt293dB6Xp/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(11).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Winter Storm Warning (replaced the Watch) in effect from this afternoon through late morning Tuesday. Forecast snow amounts for snowbelt haven't changed much. Warning replaced the watch because we are 24 hours before the onset of the snow. Winter Weather Advisory (4-6" snow in 12 hours) was issued for Shoreline Ashtabula, Lake, Cuyahoga, Medina, Summit, Portage and Trumbull counties. <i>Note that the entirety of these counties will not receive these snow numbers. Higher snow amounts in the advisory areas will be in eastern/southern Cuyahoga, northern Medina, Summit and Portage counties.</i> </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifztpmG9I-dsKNVWDLOTMzEGp3ebN0wZZmChaRa9NPP9Nd_HC8ZIagJPelimKu7k2SkQ6O7rlZpZFhESWiMOIXMh3QCzR0rpMymdEyw65HlMiJlK1KQUT4XMgADfr6Gf-4h5HuSEBX8yzrPLht0VgpNAR1ifyFjZ9Ha1jgS8vvWYDHeed8EF2h/s1280/Weather%20Alerts%20-%20USA%20Warnings.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifztpmG9I-dsKNVWDLOTMzEGp3ebN0wZZmChaRa9NPP9Nd_HC8ZIagJPelimKu7k2SkQ6O7rlZpZFhESWiMOIXMh3QCzR0rpMymdEyw65HlMiJlK1KQUT4XMgADfr6Gf-4h5HuSEBX8yzrPLht0VgpNAR1ifyFjZ9Ha1jgS8vvWYDHeed8EF2h/w640-h360/Weather%20Alerts%20-%20USA%20Warnings.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Once the front clears, general snow will end by mid evening. Then we transition to lake effect snow late evening/overnight. By 7-9am Tuesday, lake effect will taper as drier air arrives from the west. Temperatures will remain in the lower 30s Tuesday so any snow cover will remain through the day.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCuRFvgCBZvqlnrSnIq95x3cbe4AJCvDVlGTUPhDTmssNeTMoM8AWjAQcCCaHqrwQMlg29P1rX01a8jYBFNQIGdx_a6USrlD-cdKLIez2CE70LJb0lrd7li72jEYotH3zoVlhrruAKeo6uWDXU3-xOuOcIFJeT_IZtquvf1RAMWszav16P5dZb/s480/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(12).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="270" data-original-width="480" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCuRFvgCBZvqlnrSnIq95x3cbe4AJCvDVlGTUPhDTmssNeTMoM8AWjAQcCCaHqrwQMlg29P1rX01a8jYBFNQIGdx_a6USrlD-cdKLIez2CE70LJb0lrd7li72jEYotH3zoVlhrruAKeo6uWDXU3-xOuOcIFJeT_IZtquvf1RAMWszav16P5dZb/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(12).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Here is the snowfall forecast. First part is Monday late afternoon/evening. Second part is late evening/overnight. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8th41DUgFnwV9C8sWOxfPsgFXt_aLIYg9Petl3rciF0hZrjbakoo24gYrUgePvHSpdxf2Jz4Y9btfkRYio-sAtE-0_HmRyVALEWBqBDHLI5i6r6n-1DTx8aSR71vnnhqJSLTWfonu9FwWNB79YZETuGfwXx_fy8B4jZ5TWQ8v1eDtUAiaBqFL/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(16).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8th41DUgFnwV9C8sWOxfPsgFXt_aLIYg9Petl3rciF0hZrjbakoo24gYrUgePvHSpdxf2Jz4Y9btfkRYio-sAtE-0_HmRyVALEWBqBDHLI5i6r6n-1DTx8aSR71vnnhqJSLTWfonu9FwWNB79YZETuGfwXx_fy8B4jZ5TWQ8v1eDtUAiaBqFL/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(16).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Temperatures climb back into the 40s starting Wednesday and through the weekend melting off the snow cover. Stalled front late in the week will produce a few spotty, light showers. Panhandle storm track continues next week. White Christmas chances under 10%. Better chance for rain late Christmas evening/Tuesday.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgv0ySb2JjZlw9TSvsoT6GEjGwruT4Nvoyw6IOnl9YRl47LtqIBfp27BJkSMpUa82IhZiV_AkX-IA-zSGZx1vcOhV91spQMxkKli6FD3CET6CVOEONFS_6dJjvLUTSFrE5JtIV6mZ1GjMRL79jiJ8NzrsVJrfgZROtoj8bZKzJeG2zP_itUF9tl/s500/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(14).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="281" data-original-width="500" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgv0ySb2JjZlw9TSvsoT6GEjGwruT4Nvoyw6IOnl9YRl47LtqIBfp27BJkSMpUa82IhZiV_AkX-IA-zSGZx1vcOhV91spQMxkKli6FD3CET6CVOEONFS_6dJjvLUTSFrE5JtIV6mZ1GjMRL79jiJ8NzrsVJrfgZROtoj8bZKzJeG2zP_itUF9tl/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(14).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Colder period by the 26/27th (highs in the 30s).</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0UQPGo47LjHSJZX55GasMygpRlcSFxQM0hlD9VuoxkJf910HoDBgOdOc2NtCQmxkLBTdvt7HG2fMA3aFJHOwQezF2z1_xFM9wdcA15T0-hmWbYVFI4IiGxwxK9JAX15ltbPMJ5j4XMKF5d9W21cckyNyqW01B7_-ECF2-iU0f0VQb3lQZeRQ9/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(15).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0UQPGo47LjHSJZX55GasMygpRlcSFxQM0hlD9VuoxkJf910HoDBgOdOc2NtCQmxkLBTdvt7HG2fMA3aFJHOwQezF2z1_xFM9wdcA15T0-hmWbYVFI4IiGxwxK9JAX15ltbPMJ5j4XMKF5d9W21cckyNyqW01B7_-ECF2-iU0f0VQb3lQZeRQ9/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(15).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3u5bFpnb1k8FpzmKKBtCi3cpTWqvxDw7WiH89fbxu7SZXDvluVnbrB4pB2BKu-bF-3lI67SJaVh2Mfl6-33IcoT_uRT1pJ_Sj_eLZzFwD0DjrO0HCZlfye3PnKDsAgNM1-sRl7yRuPqiKjsAmNDiEqXe_YzEbl1WSBuQo3OU5jc-5Re5Ndsl7/s1280/8%20Day%20AM%20-%205%20Offset%20Plus%203.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3u5bFpnb1k8FpzmKKBtCi3cpTWqvxDw7WiH89fbxu7SZXDvluVnbrB4pB2BKu-bF-3lI67SJaVh2Mfl6-33IcoT_uRT1pJ_Sj_eLZzFwD0DjrO0HCZlfye3PnKDsAgNM1-sRl7yRuPqiKjsAmNDiEqXe_YzEbl1WSBuQo3OU5jc-5Re5Ndsl7/w640-h360/8%20Day%20AM%20-%205%20Offset%20Plus%203.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div></div><br /><br /><br />Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-31137955239989262142023-12-15T07:54:00.006-05:002023-12-15T07:54:57.103-05:00December 15 Forecast Update - A Look at December Thus Far<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1qE0wOnoycG15_tLdT0FJyZ3O-7B3NyS7hk3VmHXIGbRnTWrFANv_BvwBOYLJU4CpYOSwOpBgRk8SactFK8neIanhWLJYYHUNwlvq2kjyTgpN0wzJhHFYmxK7hQ8ajnBKaMcwaQ3L6DKOIVX1uxtzwRI8ku2dhvAgqV4nAf2OKsZpalSShwLs/s640/1982_christmas.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="640" data-original-width="640" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1qE0wOnoycG15_tLdT0FJyZ3O-7B3NyS7hk3VmHXIGbRnTWrFANv_BvwBOYLJU4CpYOSwOpBgRk8SactFK8neIanhWLJYYHUNwlvq2kjyTgpN0wzJhHFYmxK7hQ8ajnBKaMcwaQ3L6DKOIVX1uxtzwRI8ku2dhvAgqV4nAf2OKsZpalSShwLs/s320/1982_christmas.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /><p>So far, December temperatures have been above normal not only across northern Ohio but across most of the US. Red colors indicate above normal temperature regions. Check out <a href="https://sabolscience.blogspot.com/2023/12/why-milder-december-detailed-look-into.html">my previous POST</a> which goes into why the pattern has been so mild/snowless.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdWwh-6euWMRtOvf2tgXjQmKjK6_0WQ_c8rmVMdcP92lM9evJ86YCx5Q9k6H172XcS0pjjqvbNDmCN9V2BE8kTTUtEeD97ZL04PJtQPKMcvh4WLftPggWt_2IdUv-7z-w0syBbx3sO8SCZtyr28yAheTrh7slidCCnHL9tqThVu5UjRgZpnz_y/s984/cdas-all-namer-t2m_f_anom_15day_back-2598400.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdWwh-6euWMRtOvf2tgXjQmKjK6_0WQ_c8rmVMdcP92lM9evJ86YCx5Q9k6H172XcS0pjjqvbNDmCN9V2BE8kTTUtEeD97ZL04PJtQPKMcvh4WLftPggWt_2IdUv-7z-w0syBbx3sO8SCZtyr28yAheTrh7slidCCnHL9tqThVu5UjRgZpnz_y/w400-h329/cdas-all-namer-t2m_f_anom_15day_back-2598400.png" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Snowfall thus far has also been slightly below normal for northern Ohio. Snowfall over the last 10 years through December 15. The average is around 7". This year, snowfall has been a bit under 5".<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgp430n7z95QPgd2q7vChInZGJgzuyXTFDHob-vddE8okhi1zF4zolm2rSiB6sxP4dXG6dUnvwb2SHbejVFh6cnSxnWgObMzHW-Nf-2qiVp6mYM8FI1XLq-GQFGUngeY86jGODhPjX6xUIrCvrY31VKBVCcJIKeDaQ5wdoJrFp110fTdnnKLG3Q/s1280/snowfall_to_date_10_years.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgp430n7z95QPgd2q7vChInZGJgzuyXTFDHob-vddE8okhi1zF4zolm2rSiB6sxP4dXG6dUnvwb2SHbejVFh6cnSxnWgObMzHW-Nf-2qiVp6mYM8FI1XLq-GQFGUngeY86jGODhPjX6xUIrCvrY31VKBVCcJIKeDaQ5wdoJrFp110fTdnnKLG3Q/w400-h225/snowfall_to_date_10_years.png" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Here is the list of the least snowy winters through the END of December. How much snow did these winters get AFTER January 1st? Most of these winters ended up with significant snowfall. Only TWO ended up with below normal snowfall. This isn't a forecast. But it does tell us that we should never use one month (in this case December) as a predictor of the rest of the winter season.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibz0yXy6AWsnr1nzB_yxjgFp5cfbSYNa_1gHHQpBJUrMRddO4qqK7w9B0-KFaFQo90ylo_gLQCggjpO3BYlcmk43b9W5X3lH5r8WMSxf1jFnS93gypLTzSeZ6ypG1wCFOcg2ULbRhWo23xK1AoQtZgWD-9NU67FxsoKth3kc67BlDlWO6eSS2m/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(8).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibz0yXy6AWsnr1nzB_yxjgFp5cfbSYNa_1gHHQpBJUrMRddO4qqK7w9B0-KFaFQo90ylo_gLQCggjpO3BYlcmk43b9W5X3lH5r8WMSxf1jFnS93gypLTzSeZ6ypG1wCFOcg2ULbRhWo23xK1AoQtZgWD-9NU67FxsoKth3kc67BlDlWO6eSS2m/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(8).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Here's a look at the last ten Decembers going back to 2013 nationwide. Warmer colors indicate above normal temps. Green/blue colors indicate below normal temps. Notice how many of these years have featured more overall "warmth" than cold. <b>The last December that featured more than 50% of the US with below normal temperatures was 2013!</b></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhvkq6v1ZQUX0xsGCYxHYWd-KhADSjoRMV7uOmH1bq4dWW2TDlRiXA3ZnUtIFODyinHfyqUvJbw-lqzBQaOuRPwrSn9wOrayj78b9kZH7BT99J7x43RIBKbxNJEcKXAEHQ4ReRbvvsXmMhT4hLN3O4_aDYQtcWgF1tVkEtSraBdyB3hyphenhyphenDMX5eOK/s570/ezgif.com-crop.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="508" data-original-width="570" height="356" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhvkq6v1ZQUX0xsGCYxHYWd-KhADSjoRMV7uOmH1bq4dWW2TDlRiXA3ZnUtIFODyinHfyqUvJbw-lqzBQaOuRPwrSn9wOrayj78b9kZH7BT99J7x43RIBKbxNJEcKXAEHQ4ReRbvvsXmMhT4hLN3O4_aDYQtcWgF1tVkEtSraBdyB3hyphenhyphenDMX5eOK/w400-h356/ezgif.com-crop.gif" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><span><a name='more'></a></span><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>For today's forecast, we start out with clear skies and milder temperatures. Ridge of high pressure right overhead keeping the winds very light. Trailing cold front with rain ahead of it arrives before sunrise Sunday. </div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg8I1NiueDyTPe6wMWobWbVuIxnafZxGAk6peQE3YXPANIqP6BwysIAgMz-_sUHoNzBqgpy0s2oTInjbKsnyuxo0qeuY8c-BeaVNXpNoTaCUi17IuaKsFrUEIjgZG__SDivAr1BUWULfrPTjPvm9tetwGaUgJmEnuwZuFJCfoNtmgEqjtK5AON3/s500/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(10).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="281" data-original-width="500" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg8I1NiueDyTPe6wMWobWbVuIxnafZxGAk6peQE3YXPANIqP6BwysIAgMz-_sUHoNzBqgpy0s2oTInjbKsnyuxo0qeuY8c-BeaVNXpNoTaCUi17IuaKsFrUEIjgZG__SDivAr1BUWULfrPTjPvm9tetwGaUgJmEnuwZuFJCfoNtmgEqjtK5AON3/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(10).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>So we stay dry and around 10-12 degrees above normal today and Saturday. Clouds will increase ahead of the front Saturday. Rain on Sunday will impact all of Ohio and last between 6-9 hours. Most of the steadier rain looks to be east of northern Ohio by early afternoon. Rain coverage Sunday afternoon/evening will be on and off. Temperatures will remain in the mid/upper 40s. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuoEEBWTFT05VJKxM-5sT-DucEzTrwe23sGEqDp-sHrJ8aElS3_gcXdabWY4VtMMQLxnbLV5y8V2OEBOtegG4HyPylNA1upYxeL7SeLMpsq6GvRInLDvfdPVDry0zKZPyu0MQl5-4g7I4fpeHB3JxmXwueTjvZRH0HilbKnUSAfZqcDCntXS13/s500/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(5).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="281" data-original-width="500" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuoEEBWTFT05VJKxM-5sT-DucEzTrwe23sGEqDp-sHrJ8aElS3_gcXdabWY4VtMMQLxnbLV5y8V2OEBOtegG4HyPylNA1upYxeL7SeLMpsq6GvRInLDvfdPVDry0zKZPyu0MQl5-4g7I4fpeHB3JxmXwueTjvZRH0HilbKnUSAfZqcDCntXS13/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(5).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Rainfall Sunday will be at least 1/2" with locally higher amounts.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvLDq1v-LxgJk3rOZ8eICEpFw-XUMgNpimI3sm1JCEKMWLcIQOFdpUkkmPUE4oTiWLEDq8503R2WUdGb80xa_i3cwA6tP4J8_fI0cU5K1t6Le4xkdXaE8DaBPoXvoPPHaHKCnOe0i-8xmJUpYqnDSFf_PrgN16KJ6HeFOm1-WKTrgUq3D5MP27/s1280/RPM%204km%20NE%20Ohio%20-%20Rainfall%20Forecast.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvLDq1v-LxgJk3rOZ8eICEpFw-XUMgNpimI3sm1JCEKMWLcIQOFdpUkkmPUE4oTiWLEDq8503R2WUdGb80xa_i3cwA6tP4J8_fI0cU5K1t6Le4xkdXaE8DaBPoXvoPPHaHKCnOe0i-8xmJUpYqnDSFf_PrgN16KJ6HeFOm1-WKTrgUq3D5MP27/w400-h225/RPM%204km%20NE%20Ohio%20-%20Rainfall%20Forecast.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>The gulf coast low is in the early stages of formation as of this writing. This will head up the east coast. Cold front will be absorbed into it. It intensifies as it heads north. Northern Ohio will be on the western edge late Sunday and Monday. </div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b>Here is the breakdown on how next week will unfold:</b></div><div><br /></div><div><ul style="text-align: left;"><li>Cold air filters in behind the low Monday</li><li>Winds will gust to 30-35 mph Monday. Temps will fall into the mid 30s Monday afternoon.</li><li>Scattered rain to snow late Monday with general accumulations</li><li>Too early for snowfall numbers. Higher chances for light accumulations</li><li>Monday night/early Tuesday lake effect snow will develop </li><li>East coast storm moves out fast. Drier conditions late Tues/Wednesday</li><li>Panhandle storm track continues (per long range outlook). Next system looks to be rain not snow the weekend before Christmas</li></ul></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEso5RWDQmQsK_GlrgOiIk-yGk2JfgY9mitbqweQzJrvyPkhslN_F_cEAR2yuoC3txZIc_8PXyfmY3uppHYqnhG7oBnzMWLysI8qAp_9MC1VnFwUu-fXNLkgq-kqFe69VCIBsMiq10zWz2UqkLvSIs6saYruLRGa70V_DpvSWBewEOTjMCCi8i/s500/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(6).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="281" data-original-width="500" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEso5RWDQmQsK_GlrgOiIk-yGk2JfgY9mitbqweQzJrvyPkhslN_F_cEAR2yuoC3txZIc_8PXyfmY3uppHYqnhG7oBnzMWLysI8qAp_9MC1VnFwUu-fXNLkgq-kqFe69VCIBsMiq10zWz2UqkLvSIs6saYruLRGa70V_DpvSWBewEOTjMCCi8i/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(6).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHtE3oGjcLiJl74KMfcB2IOUaYd5dRKUZBrT8GGKesOxMYaIk-WQQje036O4c2qL2OTvF68z3kiDD6akXejTm0FHh3kJ6HJ_uiZMre7CYpViC_jfEwCpeEOrBqAyYZkoQp4_YplBl3zcEMQUvOg1baihHiZAyB1sphVqIUCqK2kaM9laUgtl1I/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(7).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHtE3oGjcLiJl74KMfcB2IOUaYd5dRKUZBrT8GGKesOxMYaIk-WQQje036O4c2qL2OTvF68z3kiDD6akXejTm0FHh3kJ6HJ_uiZMre7CYpViC_jfEwCpeEOrBqAyYZkoQp4_YplBl3zcEMQUvOg1baihHiZAyB1sphVqIUCqK2kaM9laUgtl1I/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converted%20(7).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Snowfall coverage through Tuesday. Updates on snowfall forecast this weekend</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH1lgwHGOySVrHMOLC4agRJAounYmy9yHf2t4CL4xCrZgzSj2SFjDdHI8WO1BNQ30YCSINJeEg-Zcvy0zAnyOabgMDosHV5gE1HkSTCfmT8MZRPZutSERQWxwjU4sr2z0vZpWeiydfXbjPXL49Qi3-2u81n0nXiNoE5heXemhhQ6o9wIDc807f/s1280/Long%20Range%20Snow%20Cover.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH1lgwHGOySVrHMOLC4agRJAounYmy9yHf2t4CL4xCrZgzSj2SFjDdHI8WO1BNQ30YCSINJeEg-Zcvy0zAnyOabgMDosHV5gE1HkSTCfmT8MZRPZutSERQWxwjU4sr2z0vZpWeiydfXbjPXL49Qi3-2u81n0nXiNoE5heXemhhQ6o9wIDc807f/w640-h360/Long%20Range%20Snow%20Cover.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p></div></div><span><!--more--></span>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-72443390279192954702023-12-14T08:25:00.004-05:002023-12-14T08:26:11.934-05:00Why The Milder December? A Detailed Look Into January<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQMd9ZJB1ISdSOpUCUDuQft87vWYJQVAmVtBsV9XU9w0pfkGr1I8ZwH4-GUc9c3OCu_GfKyU2RrUrdhR-hc3JN8_Y9NHLkfDgad3-fGrfc22odQIFGJ3jBVyKUgUIMsqVPogV-DKHmNbGWMjq6dunrpsOWI_5Y8C6b2tTKiHMp2U1RzUxbNqKf/s1103/snow_road_sun_woods.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1103" data-original-width="900" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQMd9ZJB1ISdSOpUCUDuQft87vWYJQVAmVtBsV9XU9w0pfkGr1I8ZwH4-GUc9c3OCu_GfKyU2RrUrdhR-hc3JN8_Y9NHLkfDgad3-fGrfc22odQIFGJ3jBVyKUgUIMsqVPogV-DKHmNbGWMjq6dunrpsOWI_5Y8C6b2tTKiHMp2U1RzUxbNqKf/s320/snow_road_sun_woods.jpg" width="261" /></a></div><br /><p>Just finished a detailed video of the primary drivers of the milder December and how these drivers will influence the pattern shift into January. Enjoy!</p><p><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe allowfullscreen="" class="BLOG_video_class" height="418" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/LX-rZQ1m5OQ" width="504" youtube-src-id="LX-rZQ1m5OQ"></iframe></div><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-48151044849486090532023-12-11T09:07:00.007-05:002023-12-11T09:07:42.679-05:00How Do You Define a "Harsh Winter"?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRnyi99PynI6TKHLvrxAFa1XBwzWeRhbJbdI7AMmBILx9BngTGJB_PDm8YtHHzyEoC9aeMPKlUd1sU2C-6_4bT0q9cB4FPLcRXywaZYgKxvZHxV0Vd9R5bYmvz_2Bfeytfo3Hsadaji3E2wiEMvbaxzhg8ZKYcqCRHHX1SFHWQ22GOniqA5LMx/s1959/LEice2011.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1104" data-original-width="1959" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRnyi99PynI6TKHLvrxAFa1XBwzWeRhbJbdI7AMmBILx9BngTGJB_PDm8YtHHzyEoC9aeMPKlUd1sU2C-6_4bT0q9cB4FPLcRXywaZYgKxvZHxV0Vd9R5bYmvz_2Bfeytfo3Hsadaji3E2wiEMvbaxzhg8ZKYcqCRHHX1SFHWQ22GOniqA5LMx/w640-h360/LEice2011.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>HOW DO YOU DEFINE A "HARSH WINTER?"</div><div><br /></div>No question typifies weather subjectivity and story telling more than this one. Ask this question and you'll get a different answer virtually every time. Here are some of responses via Twitter when I asked this question recently. I'll analyze each one with data from Cleveland to see how often each weather occurs. Responses are abbreviated.<div><br /></div><div>TWITTER (X) RESPONSES AND ANALYSIS:<span> </span><br /><div><br /></div><div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">1) Above average snow & below average temps</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">First, here is snowfall vs normal for each winter since 1960-61 using a running average.</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiv97hD4d0U1_9jlg0UqFRwoiOxjsAKR-0n6i6jH2iBeoNEEew9yLToAs0LW_sbMAFLnZlPljeNerTROuUUHfKLJm60ru-fldhZVUbHfcKkh-Tjr26j0o3VVM4Onld7PTjNJL-VXywtDjJRNY16X19gJ9vzwW5AVKuwVHQ6C8SEnqJMxUhaaAE8/s945/SNOWVSNORMAL_1960_61.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="592" data-original-width="945" height="250" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiv97hD4d0U1_9jlg0UqFRwoiOxjsAKR-0n6i6jH2iBeoNEEew9yLToAs0LW_sbMAFLnZlPljeNerTROuUUHfKLJm60ru-fldhZVUbHfcKkh-Tjr26j0o3VVM4Onld7PTjNJL-VXywtDjJRNY16X19gJ9vzwW5AVKuwVHQ6C8SEnqJMxUhaaAE8/w400-h250/SNOWVSNORMAL_1960_61.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;">Now winter temperatures vs average over the same time frame. Again, we use a 10 year running average.</div></div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgBnR_Zz3FlNxIwx5ce43GoblBZCZbxHty6t_2FrtZtWZgH-NJydVemjQk3DEy2k3usr4bhz72qmxKQdGPT1aB7gBJ0pNDhUhxCbMPQzoBI4vdBn9a-3b1Xdze-kmyEoDSH6uG4zpgi-d_4iw0yw22svR9FK4wQpXu0hW_YAF_GpvkiMsM1S7v5/s883/DJF_tempsVSnormal.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="547" data-original-width="883" height="248" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgBnR_Zz3FlNxIwx5ce43GoblBZCZbxHty6t_2FrtZtWZgH-NJydVemjQk3DEy2k3usr4bhz72qmxKQdGPT1aB7gBJ0pNDhUhxCbMPQzoBI4vdBn9a-3b1Xdze-kmyEoDSH6uG4zpgi-d_4iw0yw22svR9FK4wQpXu0hW_YAF_GpvkiMsM1S7v5/w400-h248/DJF_tempsVSnormal.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"></td></tr></tbody></table><br />The only winters that fit each component (temps and snowfall) are:</div><div><br /></div><div>1962-63, 1969-70, 1977-78, 1981-82, 1983-84, 1993-94, 1995-96, 2002-03, 2003-04, 2008-09, 2013-14 and 2014-15<br /><div><br /></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">2) Sustainable snow cover into April</span></b></div><div><br /></div><div>Most Aprils rarely has sustainable snow on the ground. Here are the total days with 1"+ snow cover for each winter since the late 1930s. Most year its only one day. Only 6 winters had 3 or more days in April in the last 40 years.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSbyTMJlF4LHfrxNT5uxkgXnz2qO2dA4Vg06Av3T5nvGFWez650n5YL37JE3YnaNx7AvJgGFvCgewbYu-RLDZb0drAx7fIuKt447klR0V92vloKZQu3vb8QDJISgFnbyV8xZLNPCWFwXxNKJcJccjYEnQsQPls-Z0yGz5cnELLvuhBcKGxWjLu/s1514/chart.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="445" data-original-width="1514" height="188" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSbyTMJlF4LHfrxNT5uxkgXnz2qO2dA4Vg06Av3T5nvGFWez650n5YL37JE3YnaNx7AvJgGFvCgewbYu-RLDZb0drAx7fIuKt447klR0V92vloKZQu3vb8QDJISgFnbyV8xZLNPCWFwXxNKJcJccjYEnQsQPls-Z0yGz5cnELLvuhBcKGxWjLu/w640-h188/chart.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><b>Expanding snow cover days into March and April, we find <i>21 of the last 64 years with 10 days or more with snow cover</i> between March 1 and April 15:</b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhX84k6ouko6yNBAEElFbG-VhZQ7RMwJDe1HCu2cwj_-6f2YM1btgjgtnzWK4VxEqlQEtO-ZWhlKx9dY-V6P1BQJOkz5b5q9MGdqlvLNQmQxq_YrD1CWu3CSBm5r9j5e3C1nY86y_zatcPAVge2ZZ4DAr1L4C0IjYF9LBh53YikKn-6hQr1jAo2/s1514/chart%20(3).jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="444" data-original-width="1514" height="188" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhX84k6ouko6yNBAEElFbG-VhZQ7RMwJDe1HCu2cwj_-6f2YM1btgjgtnzWK4VxEqlQEtO-ZWhlKx9dY-V6P1BQJOkz5b5q9MGdqlvLNQmQxq_YrD1CWu3CSBm5r9j5e3C1nY86y_zatcPAVge2ZZ4DAr1L4C0IjYF9LBh53YikKn-6hQr1jAo2/w640-h188/chart%20(3).jpeg" width="640" /></a></div></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">3) Less than 10 days without sunshine</span></b></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;">Hard to quantify due to data limitations.</div><div><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">4) Extreme cold with no breaks</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">"Extreme cold" is arbitrary. So we'll go with total days with temperatures under 20 degrees.</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEin8IFNK_nEJcye9k7wuAYnSrl9GFxh3-kUp-9MJuP7GHPwQJ7wVdBNUZ2eouOnKn6-hQ-Ix5E18ANv2WohxM2txgYM0geXDXmu9EtnDkuwwFYksHvw2gmYvYRPsHEXmLD17dI21I086NVd6WQSp4msR85Wnl4ZKJ-i5k7rsHuVUqIL6KkfTsgu/s840/DAYS_AT_UNDER20.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="496" data-original-width="840" height="378" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEin8IFNK_nEJcye9k7wuAYnSrl9GFxh3-kUp-9MJuP7GHPwQJ7wVdBNUZ2eouOnKn6-hQ-Ix5E18ANv2WohxM2txgYM0geXDXmu9EtnDkuwwFYksHvw2gmYvYRPsHEXmLD17dI21I086NVd6WQSp4msR85Wnl4ZKJ-i5k7rsHuVUqIL6KkfTsgu/w640-h378/DAYS_AT_UNDER20.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><span style="font-size: medium;"><b>5) DJF - 45 days or more below freezing for highs AND Total </b><b>snowfall 50"+</b></span></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Nice graph showing the 45 days at/under freezing. Red box indicates years with total snowfall 50"+</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div style="text-align: center;">Most recently: 2014-15, 2013-14, 2010-11, 2002-03, 2000-01, 1995-96, 1984-85, 1983-84, 1980-81</div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhftQ9d-vDFURmYsrpgJ5hfhOafxVI-LJv6Q6nfLtaQyyfEVaKyZ5ezTuP4dHL4j2dEFT-wpjyR5BHwAbTwog9gIGAQ5xMvMKgbfbS4RKcdbtSCW1ABOLVXKKUznBFnE6nu0QqyMomBgouwSObtL3pNVXay5hTE_dbXHB8UREHA0zPHYzmtiAEt/s970/45Days_atUNDER32degrees.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="594" data-original-width="970" height="392" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhftQ9d-vDFURmYsrpgJ5hfhOafxVI-LJv6Q6nfLtaQyyfEVaKyZ5ezTuP4dHL4j2dEFT-wpjyR5BHwAbTwog9gIGAQ5xMvMKgbfbS4RKcdbtSCW1ABOLVXKKUznBFnE6nu0QqyMomBgouwSObtL3pNVXay5hTE_dbXHB8UREHA0zPHYzmtiAEt/w640-h392/45Days_atUNDER32degrees.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">6) Below zero temps</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Not many in recent years. Only 4 in 2017-18. The two back-to-back super cold winters of 2013-14 and 2014-15 saw 23 combined.</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_Y-BI-ViijZnZP74eV-VFe0C0Bp6gss21MV-U45-jqVrJ80XTJJ8IcgTMaoSaYOU9YNpqMj6ClXooL3L2TZFDd_txsI4TEDItTipJx3L0ZW6AykKVpttaZ4Jq-5UckA05-c7L17HQZBUstkTHKU-KKOlK8qxTj6U_oKtvKxs2bKCd1IlFJg7s/s847/Number_Nights_belowZERO.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="516" data-original-width="847" height="390" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_Y-BI-ViijZnZP74eV-VFe0C0Bp6gss21MV-U45-jqVrJ80XTJJ8IcgTMaoSaYOU9YNpqMj6ClXooL3L2TZFDd_txsI4TEDItTipJx3L0ZW6AykKVpttaZ4Jq-5UckA05-c7L17HQZBUstkTHKU-KKOlK8qxTj6U_oKtvKxs2bKCd1IlFJg7s/w640-h390/Number_Nights_belowZERO.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">7) Temps consistently below 32</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Winters since 1969-70 where we had more than 14 straight days at/under 32 degrees. Date shows when the streak ended.</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiWdRhv-nCu8tDHuijg5pgpxVTppokLHcgjxxxUugrQZ1VZV6CeI0hbs23-1Fyl5To-pMDw9KgIyCxoLRg_LNWOZNPCr_FA_q4jmA-nCgxeJ5E7623HYZCWnbjBID939pEU_Ckgcoss18lEiLRCeOGLTiqUfHdEw-P6GaZj8SDqEWT1Nz7fEfy_" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="361" data-original-width="149" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiWdRhv-nCu8tDHuijg5pgpxVTppokLHcgjxxxUugrQZ1VZV6CeI0hbs23-1Fyl5To-pMDw9KgIyCxoLRg_LNWOZNPCr_FA_q4jmA-nCgxeJ5E7623HYZCWnbjBID939pEU_Ckgcoss18lEiLRCeOGLTiqUfHdEw-P6GaZj8SDqEWT1Nz7fEfy_=w185-h400" width="185" /></a></div><br /><br /></b></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">8) More than 4 weeks with more than 6" of snow on ground</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Only 6 winters had more than 28 days with at least 6" snow over:</div><div style="text-align: center;">1962-63, 1976-77, 1977-78, 1978-79, 2008-09, 2009-10</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3SrZUEzbFyt3nF-MEbFmNBsK8H-FtrM38g02obzvdkOZK9TQ8naRqcX_FBul28pTX8aGszOhh7iwgz77hx0nPWY8UU0Uben_emg_tTJcbFvT18IGlRdzerI1ngDT_3phlbEfZZFuPieffiSF5A6OJLBk6gDY9mrLJ2hvpFBm9STXvBVHkT8Cm/s865/DAYS_SOG_6INCHES.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="552" data-original-width="865" height="408" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3SrZUEzbFyt3nF-MEbFmNBsK8H-FtrM38g02obzvdkOZK9TQ8naRqcX_FBul28pTX8aGszOhh7iwgz77hx0nPWY8UU0Uben_emg_tTJcbFvT18IGlRdzerI1ngDT_3phlbEfZZFuPieffiSF5A6OJLBk6gDY9mrLJ2hvpFBm9STXvBVHkT8Cm/w640-h408/DAYS_SOG_6INCHES.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">9) DJF - half of days with snow cover</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div style="text-align: center;">Most recently, these winters:</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;">2014-15, 2013-14, 2010-11, 2009-10, 2004-05, 2002-03</div><div style="text-align: center;">1995-96, 1993-94, 1985-86, 1984-83, 1983-84, 1981-80</div><div style="text-align: center;">1980-81, 1978-79, 1977-78, 1976-77, 1967-68, 1963-67</div><div style="text-align: center;">1962-63, 1960-61</div></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">10) Snow totals above normal</span></b></div></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3CybAskm4BePuPI6mb-INe5QkswQVVCIiW2LTm6b99sr4ejarC5z43LpP9gIglSpP3iItuoWP9X6qiE0A04PmdyRae3RBv4dSX4gDFBekI_bgdIRjSadHFC5tOwDQrUYMsoBs9byNxkmBEaynsLtCjr-zWs8QfPaukC0nCSNrSLpB85uC_cS-/s945/SNOWVSNORMAL_1960_61.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="592" data-original-width="945" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3CybAskm4BePuPI6mb-INe5QkswQVVCIiW2LTm6b99sr4ejarC5z43LpP9gIglSpP3iItuoWP9X6qiE0A04PmdyRae3RBv4dSX4gDFBekI_bgdIRjSadHFC5tOwDQrUYMsoBs9byNxkmBEaynsLtCjr-zWs8QfPaukC0nCSNrSLpB85uC_cS-/w640-h400/SNOWVSNORMAL_1960_61.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Filtering out the winters with at least 8" snow above normal we get these winters:</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgWnlO40nLOzYDHyFlqe2NeW4vYLTb1ZxsVhkkEDZg3HHLNW9Mscx7jwzqCj6yqy-A_zWmJIpF1O4hq_fyEhgxkU6VMLMNNXzB-dMFCeA-7XWar5S_xP_LYZdBT84Fw0LrygelihOagU5Rve-tSNFFhbc01Mk3g2owZ59dSYMSj1MQ73b4gm91H" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="126" data-original-width="262" height="154" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgWnlO40nLOzYDHyFlqe2NeW4vYLTb1ZxsVhkkEDZg3HHLNW9Mscx7jwzqCj6yqy-A_zWmJIpF1O4hq_fyEhgxkU6VMLMNNXzB-dMFCeA-7XWar5S_xP_LYZdBT84Fw0LrygelihOagU5Rve-tSNFFhbc01Mk3g2owZ59dSYMSj1MQ73b4gm91H" width="320" /></a></div><br /><br /></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">11) Wind chills under -10</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">My nice chart I update each year denoting the total hours where we reach below zero wind chills. I noted the years in red where chills dropped under -10. Last winter it occurred frequently around the holidays. In fact it was coldest period (using wind chill) since January 1994. <i>Prior to last winter, the winter of 2012-22, 2018-19 and 2017-18 were the most recent winter with chills under -10</i>.</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZEys0V59giLDEwhKFEKQF2cCx2wE3jZIaYwKw9XOlIDgzluqILcEmnaUanVa2ePQ3-xZ1h0ePCaR1eBt6ZlThl24MhNDUz3eIyox-IZrD6X4olqjCMGXmX1xyWuz00kBNX0rlyaLQ3MZS1QATHKOeuYp71R3soEwLlJmtA3rJX-l6pz5MdKSw/s1031/WC_history1.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="626" data-original-width="1031" height="388" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZEys0V59giLDEwhKFEKQF2cCx2wE3jZIaYwKw9XOlIDgzluqILcEmnaUanVa2ePQ3-xZ1h0ePCaR1eBt6ZlThl24MhNDUz3eIyox-IZrD6X4olqjCMGXmX1xyWuz00kBNX0rlyaLQ3MZS1QATHKOeuYp71R3soEwLlJmtA3rJX-l6pz5MdKSw/w640-h388/WC_history1.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;">The winter of 2008-09, 2006-07 and 2000-01 </div><b><br /></b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYr1RRzJRG1ds-geMF_A-WpgBybdekZnH7oHZevQtxP11d9_UGF3_1Xz0uHdEV7GGQBDis0cBNL_qX1CryHFIZc25oERFVMjMBq4ZH3OWVMD5xJwasQdAMW1-6lCmnsKo7cqU69aHBQ-cPquxrs0u7RVbqlK1p0CGKzQgwL1B0pLC0LX2Iuo0C/s924/WC_history3.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="597" data-original-width="924" height="414" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYr1RRzJRG1ds-geMF_A-WpgBybdekZnH7oHZevQtxP11d9_UGF3_1Xz0uHdEV7GGQBDis0cBNL_qX1CryHFIZc25oERFVMjMBq4ZH3OWVMD5xJwasQdAMW1-6lCmnsKo7cqU69aHBQ-cPquxrs0u7RVbqlK1p0CGKzQgwL1B0pLC0LX2Iuo0C/w640-h414/WC_history3.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">12) High temps under 20 degrees for 30% of the winter</span></b></div></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;">Has never happened</div><div><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">13) 20 days with single digit temps & Frequent 10" snows</span></b></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;">The only winters with ONE DAY 10" snowfalls are:</div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhVbMVONB6ztJF37wGBkddn5Nc1IdZk7rTjna6kt4tZP5zRrsD9ok1RWtnO-0lS-RMWHS29HYACP5Dz-FbgQ79juuZheWJ8n6u-pg2X05Kyc0eH7tzCedWuv-hW0MWRYUf_MFI9XviA28YnrIiqkWh7os5wM8BzVLiLl63ycX8qjOIj-dKcL45k" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="161" data-original-width="79" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhVbMVONB6ztJF37wGBkddn5Nc1IdZk7rTjna6kt4tZP5zRrsD9ok1RWtnO-0lS-RMWHS29HYACP5Dz-FbgQ79juuZheWJ8n6u-pg2X05Kyc0eH7tzCedWuv-hW0MWRYUf_MFI9XviA28YnrIiqkWh7os5wM8BzVLiLl63ycX8qjOIj-dKcL45k" width="118" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;">How about TWO DAY 10" snowfall? That has happened 57 times. Here are the occurrences in the last 50 winters:</div></div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjkZEMHDCXODG8oTJCzlnrG4c6zTydhhqn6NhJNb5tabPk554g1ngRjr0ToA_gaar9dhFAcXD0RPJG8hYePsENVltLBKNXRdSzqDyNi35-hvR4s3-WL2sJjBoIudrTjNtDicZhJgzs2vhbOy3oouRNyIKzsr6ZID0p9XIrCRw81PMkGTn3EC0xM" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="341" data-original-width="363" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjkZEMHDCXODG8oTJCzlnrG4c6zTydhhqn6NhJNb5tabPk554g1ngRjr0ToA_gaar9dhFAcXD0RPJG8hYePsENVltLBKNXRdSzqDyNi35-hvR4s3-WL2sJjBoIudrTjNtDicZhJgzs2vhbOy3oouRNyIKzsr6ZID0p9XIrCRw81PMkGTn3EC0xM" width="255" /></a></div><br />How about 2 day 10" snowfalls AND 20 days with single digit temperatures in the same winter?</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjcb5pyMw9dD-VSOc12V33y6axoLn6Qj9u1b8k08o0rnieF4hfLRn8HR2BCB8TIvQw4OCtIJfnsjvipqHUgRrtTYvRTgNuwGW4ksNpWhPPfiourcxZUUYXURE3VaZd_7p5SN2ah6AEZxf7Sk2v8D_Vs9iW6dIJ4Ti9Ss3maQGIJ_2quH_zYzu7M" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img alt="" data-original-height="151" data-original-width="184" height="185" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjcb5pyMw9dD-VSOc12V33y6axoLn6Qj9u1b8k08o0rnieF4hfLRn8HR2BCB8TIvQw4OCtIJfnsjvipqHUgRrtTYvRTgNuwGW4ksNpWhPPfiourcxZUUYXURE3VaZd_7p5SN2ah6AEZxf7Sk2v8D_Vs9iW6dIJ4Ti9Ss3maQGIJ_2quH_zYzu7M=w225-h185" width="225" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><br /></td></tr></tbody></table></div><div><br /></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">14) 5 snowfall events greater than 6"</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Hard to believe but the most in one year (since 1960) is 6 and that happened in 2004-05. Here is the list showing all winters with at least two.</div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgEbcatiOF12rZTgMUc3DyNLX4zvVL29tXhnDZRGQoTRVZm2xR0SLZbAeFbwSdAjZmX5FNmUJQLsZPzuPfmpG3Gf46YFvx8JTqwio81cvRFAP8VwB5A2_kkhCRA4Oi05FRo6F30YOM8h-YgXV-46wWCUj3QQ3zeIIZ8_wNXm_b6t8JENXURFywR" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="241" data-original-width="157" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgEbcatiOF12rZTgMUc3DyNLX4zvVL29tXhnDZRGQoTRVZm2xR0SLZbAeFbwSdAjZmX5FNmUJQLsZPzuPfmpG3Gf46YFvx8JTqwio81cvRFAP8VwB5A2_kkhCRA4Oi05FRo6F30YOM8h-YgXV-46wWCUj3QQ3zeIIZ8_wNXm_b6t8JENXURFywR" width="156" /></a></div><br /><br /></b></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">15) Below 10 degrees for two weeks</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Since 1960, we've only had TWO WINTERS where we had more than 10 straight days with overnight lows at/under 10 degrees. </div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjvhDMPDMPL6kzYT_TJAMb1oGJS3SiaCaDZCDdemXXPh2ZACWcNOTCMHs93s4y0DMwq-MJZfFtlanKKrRC-gXb_BFigBIZrRsyZuT7awCoN6onvZ_QuIzC2JOYLSL0ZMAsaLnC7csMBBktLP7t30rdci98LbiUMOgS50DB3HVQwoSYcZORl7tRT" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="101" data-original-width="197" height="164" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjvhDMPDMPL6kzYT_TJAMb1oGJS3SiaCaDZCDdemXXPh2ZACWcNOTCMHs93s4y0DMwq-MJZfFtlanKKrRC-gXb_BFigBIZrRsyZuT7awCoN6onvZ_QuIzC2JOYLSL0ZMAsaLnC7csMBBktLP7t30rdci98LbiUMOgS50DB3HVQwoSYcZORl7tRT" width="320" /></a></div><br /></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">16) Consecutive days with at least 1" of snow cover</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;">Last year we had only 15 days with at least an inch of snow cover. Second lowest since 1960-61. </div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjbtHVnQbKU4oo4239KqQWR_F0g1yxulPKXFO3AlDbpC8uBR78hPul7DLkFH6-JH158wSKu1FWn_mioesqQ0h3f2TGm7vo8Hy8rue858X0FM0ooojfIDXmGcUHKPC3DJLPWc3E9hoxjTULQZHHNpb2hvpiAxomkbJu0pJdVOx-P7lGZImoNUcF_/s903/SOG_DJF_ONEINCH.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="550" data-original-width="903" height="390" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjbtHVnQbKU4oo4239KqQWR_F0g1yxulPKXFO3AlDbpC8uBR78hPul7DLkFH6-JH158wSKu1FWn_mioesqQ0h3f2TGm7vo8Hy8rue858X0FM0ooojfIDXmGcUHKPC3DJLPWc3E9hoxjTULQZHHNpb2hvpiAxomkbJu0pJdVOx-P7lGZImoNUcF_/w640-h390/SOG_DJF_ONEINCH.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">The top ten winters with snow cover since 1960-61:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhGWdJ6wfToFym_81Fv5XQMQE29CBUWFyBgHUmK4rPHR_P05TZNVHe5eXGV5Hos0E3uvVveJbJ4OL1oaOzCZ7G21nsE1fCd6BLSIE-OgND5WMGiANAjACxQYW-DFPM3s6XFQma9dpJRS8Lv9S6gxkoxov0tZeA-4BnzuRj4SRUalNrJd7gtB-8W" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="181" data-original-width="79" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhGWdJ6wfToFym_81Fv5XQMQE29CBUWFyBgHUmK4rPHR_P05TZNVHe5eXGV5Hos0E3uvVveJbJ4OL1oaOzCZ7G21nsE1fCd6BLSIE-OgND5WMGiANAjACxQYW-DFPM3s6XFQma9dpJRS8Lv9S6gxkoxov0tZeA-4BnzuRj4SRUalNrJd7gtB-8W" width="105" /></a></div><br /><br /></div></div><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">17 Consecutive days under 40</span></b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b>Here is the list showing the top 15 winter and the date when the consecutive streak ended.</b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div><b><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEi7Wz5jj9N2AUc6FJyJOnJG5W2_topyJvaPNE5yEVUoZuvszt2gBSebpbiTr9rBwaRb2HuXMAQ0FDXQrmGJnyQFLL8EYLH0pjrRQTwx43DwDTZLs3n0_INvJ2B5Pdlx34vNXOAv1V1K3k38CJPw8j6qtFrrQmLwbRZowO7QYyitO4NSwoLqfr13" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="281" data-original-width="157" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEi7Wz5jj9N2AUc6FJyJOnJG5W2_topyJvaPNE5yEVUoZuvszt2gBSebpbiTr9rBwaRb2HuXMAQ0FDXQrmGJnyQFLL8EYLH0pjrRQTwx43DwDTZLs3n0_INvJ2B5Pdlx34vNXOAv1V1K3k38CJPw8j6qtFrrQmLwbRZowO7QYyitO4NSwoLqfr13=w179-h320" width="179" /></a></div><br /><br /></b></div><div>So you can see that everyone's definition of a<i> harsh winter</i> is different. By checking history, many of these listed above don't occur as frequently as we would believe. There is definitely some availability bias here. That is we tend to create--in this case--a weather narrative using the most noticeable, seemly important information we have at our disposal. Yet in reality, that information can be incomplete. The the lack of super cold and snowy winters in recent years has seemed to artificially "enhance" our memories of what a rough winter used to be. As is often the case, what we remember of winter weather from yesteryear gets blurred and sometimes exaggerated over time. If we experienced an historic weather events firsthand those indelible marks, can inflate--perhaps due to availability bias or recency bias (more recent events tend to be overemphasized)--what might have been a more benign event.</div><div><br /></div><div>Either way, our feelings on winter are highly subjective and always filled with emotion unlike any other season. Let's see if winter 2023-24 conditions make these lists!</div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-61326714010069086332023-12-11T07:50:00.001-05:002023-12-11T07:50:15.665-05:00December 11 Forecast UPDATE<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsz48OE4jFhZIpktTszC40sCejWC5icMzQ1nRjSrCOkNkpvxoeNoywaf_o7iCzH1IuyKcO5GWRXk2ERfYBtJ-rU56BRg3jheUmyp-b1cctOKLpCOsZF-9mPdjxBfqmzSIC5tIwHhxRuCU4WJQje_CeGkwLF3AsB7m_8XCayAYCyEtbY7gXvOWB/s1280/4_timelapses.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsz48OE4jFhZIpktTszC40sCejWC5icMzQ1nRjSrCOkNkpvxoeNoywaf_o7iCzH1IuyKcO5GWRXk2ERfYBtJ-rU56BRg3jheUmyp-b1cctOKLpCOsZF-9mPdjxBfqmzSIC5tIwHhxRuCU4WJQje_CeGkwLF3AsB7m_8XCayAYCyEtbY7gXvOWB/w640-h360/4_timelapses.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Some spotty light sleety snow this morning. Intensity is very low. Heavy cloud cover. Temperatures are in the lower/mid 30s which is limited accumulation. Wind chills in the mid 20s. Mainly wet roads.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzeFhj-5kqBwqvcoFPdW6p0PIkTxUuJgdd60-SEOI3LN5ioVfp5JnFh7Otke0KOezGF5BTbPCpi4uqn4hW384iJrWBiLQm-niJTmJiVQ3fUdxTghNRkQHdFe9TdGpHN2-uG0bggIn20xGKdniDWTKxEnqNQ8lMqh1oe-6uRMgg4ZWeM1qKBSMR/s1280/WJW%20Earth.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzeFhj-5kqBwqvcoFPdW6p0PIkTxUuJgdd60-SEOI3LN5ioVfp5JnFh7Otke0KOezGF5BTbPCpi4uqn4hW384iJrWBiLQm-niJTmJiVQ3fUdxTghNRkQHdFe9TdGpHN2-uG0bggIn20xGKdniDWTKxEnqNQ8lMqh1oe-6uRMgg4ZWeM1qKBSMR/w400-h225/WJW%20Earth.png" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFC_DoVuDz9AKhFw0WFILCrNnHYJnrOlv80lKqMSR-1zGZgZvexd9GYcEgO39__SrX6kca5h3BS_EGCnxAK3QKQ2-4RqAFJh9ixu_dkLfVdxT4V2H6OcW1uHU6PGtn8UOTkF_D09k_G1yNJFlIHjp9QkoP-GDcAPVEZSss1UGAEKULydNu5Ow5/s1280/N%20Ohio%20-%20Wind%20Chill.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFC_DoVuDz9AKhFw0WFILCrNnHYJnrOlv80lKqMSR-1zGZgZvexd9GYcEgO39__SrX6kca5h3BS_EGCnxAK3QKQ2-4RqAFJh9ixu_dkLfVdxT4V2H6OcW1uHU6PGtn8UOTkF_D09k_G1yNJFlIHjp9QkoP-GDcAPVEZSss1UGAEKULydNu5Ow5/w400-h225/N%20Ohio%20-%20Wind%20Chill.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>We are 10 days into December. Most days have been above average.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUaeTrjdpU2D_j-P7vSgex_jwD_sNjXjsT-0Gzjjsnmlw2nw1-1DyRKSYaJEXfkj5c0RKRFQZoN_J5_UwrJABmNK-7Hxji010FJ3cS4L7ZbMzTm1ClmrgL9fhekYcIJXRbxSezI69xy-_IoaE4dnJS8SXcrXZwlBnXLLU4ipHcy1plvbc-cUol/s1280/Temperature%20History%20Graph.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="677" data-original-width="1280" height="338" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUaeTrjdpU2D_j-P7vSgex_jwD_sNjXjsT-0Gzjjsnmlw2nw1-1DyRKSYaJEXfkj5c0RKRFQZoN_J5_UwrJABmNK-7Hxji010FJ3cS4L7ZbMzTm1ClmrgL9fhekYcIJXRbxSezI69xy-_IoaE4dnJS8SXcrXZwlBnXLLU4ipHcy1plvbc-cUol/w640-h338/Temperature%20History%20Graph.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Most of North America is also experiences above normal temperatures so far this month. Notice the lack of blue color.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbFEEzhEtCXf8DZnAa2G9cMjZpYTDpsIxK0iFfqjOYU_yP3h6SKi5FsEdZLCt6GCJqOKzKOzOMJISsH3gyjY2ao373hVpXPIiMRIj4ULDWB12BjFTNRoXfo2bTLu2fHXqZXT-qNN9rdAf2yECckSvY2py9V7bKf5UdwM3Z2gtL-SBNyMNpKmcq/s984/cdas-all-namer-tmp2m_anom_mtd_back-2252800.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbFEEzhEtCXf8DZnAa2G9cMjZpYTDpsIxK0iFfqjOYU_yP3h6SKi5FsEdZLCt6GCJqOKzKOzOMJISsH3gyjY2ao373hVpXPIiMRIj4ULDWB12BjFTNRoXfo2bTLu2fHXqZXT-qNN9rdAf2yECckSvY2py9V7bKf5UdwM3Z2gtL-SBNyMNpKmcq/w400-h329/cdas-all-namer-tmp2m_anom_mtd_back-2252800.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>Historically, since 2013 (last 10 winters) in northern Ohio we've averaged around 12 days below average in December. last year, most of the below normal days occurred after December 20th. We remember the brutal cold around Christmas in 2022. (<a href="https://sabolscience.blogspot.com/2023/02/how-does-christmas-2022-blizzard.html">The complete recap HERE</a>).</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj64AR4VYHyH0ltg1oemwx1WNH-KddsQCPbxzbw8TXRPlqtzvVNgsO2jErUSokJK3lnMdA9CwQtcpM906b5leoOfQ-X47IvGPHu30b_BwEVzT8lbWomzbQgLEnzTaqlYCJcD15JVFoSHGHu9x13iXGNSsiPtmfFxR4n6TDfY1j_AKa1EzOnCBQ5/s961/DECEMBER_BELOW_NORMAL_DAYS.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="631" data-original-width="961" height="421" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj64AR4VYHyH0ltg1oemwx1WNH-KddsQCPbxzbw8TXRPlqtzvVNgsO2jErUSokJK3lnMdA9CwQtcpM906b5leoOfQ-X47IvGPHu30b_BwEVzT8lbWomzbQgLEnzTaqlYCJcD15JVFoSHGHu9x13iXGNSsiPtmfFxR4n6TDfY1j_AKa1EzOnCBQ5/w640-h421/DECEMBER_BELOW_NORMAL_DAYS.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div>Back to today. Skies will start to clear in spots later this afternoon. Most of the clearing will occur after sundown and overnight tonight.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj364cGtP7MFw83kf9LgZgiz_rp8hh2EDV9QJxpWFZEghbyMPhZyh1hakpVvR07okwcH6CpmHjdUwBHk-0TjBt7AFCDVGmpl9Cb-H27vCtWUlcXasHJDT-UBFFdZouksz9c92vMB6uh55-fhyphenhyphenrQxc_My_Th1tX4R77JhkAr3JQMIK1LNfwNLlaq/s1280/Hour%20By%20Hour%2024%20HR%20Forecast%20-%20Clouds.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj364cGtP7MFw83kf9LgZgiz_rp8hh2EDV9QJxpWFZEghbyMPhZyh1hakpVvR07okwcH6CpmHjdUwBHk-0TjBt7AFCDVGmpl9Cb-H27vCtWUlcXasHJDT-UBFFdZouksz9c92vMB6uh55-fhyphenhyphenrQxc_My_Th1tX4R77JhkAr3JQMIK1LNfwNLlaq/w400-h225/Hour%20By%20Hour%2024%20HR%20Forecast%20-%20Clouds.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Gulf moisture stays south as the dominant direction fronts are arriving from is the northwest. Southwest winds Tuesday with a break from the cold. Limited moisture so clouds will increase Wednesday with no snow or rain. A slight wind shift (SW to NW) will drop temps briefly Wednesday into the mid 30s.</div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaHVZ-SkM53NJ7bNwLqtOhvQUkkbtM48rz-vuPc_KJ-sJKL3MgxMwhX_hGqwwIcpGkr6o5Y5JuAP5vm0sSAqbLoph6W4AyjfV1ByVh6ChRVthIg8_av0C7coyZBhgjjCh__XlfO_hZzR4wO647GWfc5EJ0EyTMox2ursniyjBb5FuA4lN0Mpsb/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(28).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaHVZ-SkM53NJ7bNwLqtOhvQUkkbtM48rz-vuPc_KJ-sJKL3MgxMwhX_hGqwwIcpGkr6o5Y5JuAP5vm0sSAqbLoph6W4AyjfV1ByVh6ChRVthIg8_av0C7coyZBhgjjCh__XlfO_hZzR4wO647GWfc5EJ0EyTMox2ursniyjBb5FuA4lN0Mpsb/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(28).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Beyond that, the week ahead looks very quiet across much of the eastern 2/3rds of the US.</p><p>Rainfall forecast is well below normal across much of the mid-west.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9brxn1aWAWXlDisepIwoDvEUL8rqJZWm7CWQCQnn71DUZ3knV2b5u0JyI8QRH9dqllH-2fzDHNr2o0DYYAB2T1JOe5FSkVH7aReIsue1nE9pR8Uk3XvCI9O5G3ae1S4j3avnTgM0L3BqCqblS4ghxkUgo5oP-Mjt_NNt9rFICQ8uCl4Q7fnhM/s1280/EURO%20Rainfall%20Forecast.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9brxn1aWAWXlDisepIwoDvEUL8rqJZWm7CWQCQnn71DUZ3knV2b5u0JyI8QRH9dqllH-2fzDHNr2o0DYYAB2T1JOe5FSkVH7aReIsue1nE9pR8Uk3XvCI9O5G3ae1S4j3avnTgM0L3BqCqblS4ghxkUgo5oP-Mjt_NNt9rFICQ8uCl4Q7fnhM/w400-h225/EURO%20Rainfall%20Forecast.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Snowfall is virtually non-existent through next Sunday possibly longer.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheY6RkN1CbpgmoeHQ8a8EgOne_PX1lRfCrNrzNWB9zgb3TpC4AWmLEWFR67DX3GqJshIBT7afoslN6FPCn6vcTN4-Z1cXJU_Og5YOHh8FCOOHYnVXgA8prL9Q4mvGbzNpqEWF9SRQMOYk5wXgNCE8Bw2GYoauZgFjTpQIFBpCsWLWuspe0t4ym/s1280/Long%20Range%20Snow%20Cover.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheY6RkN1CbpgmoeHQ8a8EgOne_PX1lRfCrNrzNWB9zgb3TpC4AWmLEWFR67DX3GqJshIBT7afoslN6FPCn6vcTN4-Z1cXJU_Og5YOHh8FCOOHYnVXgA8prL9Q4mvGbzNpqEWF9SRQMOYk5wXgNCE8Bw2GYoauZgFjTpQIFBpCsWLWuspe0t4ym/w400-h225/Long%20Range%20Snow%20Cover.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Next front should pass at the earliest late Sunday December 17 or early Monday of next week. Cold air behind this front looks brief. Limited moisture so rain and/or snow looks brief and light.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg8e3AzxoX_aqSA_K0PBkzlWVml1A1aX5ejEqD_txpmnbjzTOZpl70jdjgsT7VhWZBwMgikjEk4js-G_e82ow-2aSw8yighpWGpTZTzd8uL14zo9P0xz5dEHtEXRbfg6FgOfrs9LR_v-tDm_3T_Khe8sLzK_EzRvX_ksNUcH_Sejlx2ukfLNcYg/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(29).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg8e3AzxoX_aqSA_K0PBkzlWVml1A1aX5ejEqD_txpmnbjzTOZpl70jdjgsT7VhWZBwMgikjEk4js-G_e82ow-2aSw8yighpWGpTZTzd8uL14zo9P0xz5dEHtEXRbfg6FgOfrs9LR_v-tDm_3T_Khe8sLzK_EzRvX_ksNUcH_Sejlx2ukfLNcYg/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(29).gif" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div>West to east flow across the central US reestablishes itself the week before Christmas<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2Av5AFNVDYditzrGrQ-sLk-J4mPUi0flPSVgy6iY_SsmV3Ol14xXTg_zoEArHhE-yfrnpyKPHlI_lforvRjNV6HaBgdDD1MljwtNPlvyZy8uRtGK3KDp13xN6zuQQkSe7Wp6mTwaTWgBzMQthnjpQ_0BVnz4S8vGm25n1kT4d-j_KhVVL7ypy/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(30).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><br /><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2Av5AFNVDYditzrGrQ-sLk-J4mPUi0flPSVgy6iY_SsmV3Ol14xXTg_zoEArHhE-yfrnpyKPHlI_lforvRjNV6HaBgdDD1MljwtNPlvyZy8uRtGK3KDp13xN6zuQQkSe7Wp6mTwaTWgBzMQthnjpQ_0BVnz4S8vGm25n1kT4d-j_KhVVL7ypy/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(30).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /></div><div>Why is mid December shaping up to be relatively quiet and snow-free for the mid-west? Extremely strong jet stream off of eastern Asia due to late November ridge of high pressure over central Asia and its interaction with the Himalayan Mountains.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg6M7ifq3jZs3XjbzwXDy_yK5V9dBab0oyiUHzdyclCTn-tr1Vft1DM_cJjUnyalzzY-dgjHs1VlbX0zrGj1HbmIzjPlLJZpbDWI1smviWu1_dvkBAGmUUFYIgOD5mDYnWKnEBfUDuM4ddziJrC5RD4lqtRsVx49ZbTeGjmoZsjmupIP-j1UZqI/s938/Asia_ridge.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="733" data-original-width="938" height="501" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg6M7ifq3jZs3XjbzwXDy_yK5V9dBab0oyiUHzdyclCTn-tr1Vft1DM_cJjUnyalzzY-dgjHs1VlbX0zrGj1HbmIzjPlLJZpbDWI1smviWu1_dvkBAGmUUFYIgOD5mDYnWKnEBfUDuM4ddziJrC5RD4lqtRsVx49ZbTeGjmoZsjmupIP-j1UZqI/w640-h501/Asia_ridge.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div>The strong Pacific jet keeps the flow of Pacific air going into the western US. Without any strong storm systems across the continent to steer cold from the north, the flow stays west-to-east and fairly uneventful.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjI2x_RRbw7irm599iK490qH-bAU8_jq1MW5W4bIHEDMNBg9izgCeeATSBPZsHsv_s7Pkfa6fgosaCBnnuLFEiY0cwDTqdDLtG3VDhm-UcqGCp5J7yT4DfSmTNMWcX1I0OImLD_jStctr-rOMbg2q0kT8wf6vkGJ3LxdIpCCTqX5vQoIebeauwq/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(31).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjI2x_RRbw7irm599iK490qH-bAU8_jq1MW5W4bIHEDMNBg9izgCeeATSBPZsHsv_s7Pkfa6fgosaCBnnuLFEiY0cwDTqdDLtG3VDhm-UcqGCp5J7yT4DfSmTNMWcX1I0OImLD_jStctr-rOMbg2q0kT8wf6vkGJ3LxdIpCCTqX5vQoIebeauwq/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(31).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Milder trend looks to continue into Christmas week along with an active southern storm track.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgf53bd0kWbnxTNnAAEdsXOpplFtU4dVUt9aywEg7B4q7u0QCW0gMSVf0H3Ap9RFBun08W5y0aR07Ivq7C9nrBJdwagtovhqDxZlsYhG64V6rssxzns3naMmo5b0DVv7fj0diqjkgVgSGdHO_eAIYIx-TXVGuxxUjb3o9YuDGevOYFwPXc7uFRW/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(32).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgf53bd0kWbnxTNnAAEdsXOpplFtU4dVUt9aywEg7B4q7u0QCW0gMSVf0H3Ap9RFBun08W5y0aR07Ivq7C9nrBJdwagtovhqDxZlsYhG64V6rssxzns3naMmo5b0DVv7fj0diqjkgVgSGdHO_eAIYIx-TXVGuxxUjb3o9YuDGevOYFwPXc7uFRW/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(32).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh80M_IXJ6HZjE545E-ok2SQc-7wTp1d1uXbmuS0N8TEAHKn2O8peUK7_KLTdgG069HfhtlTVgFGA3xHh5J3AhbFGoQcdSxOkvSX1OCOF6b07f720LN3fkky-ig-Kh95b8ldTBQehz6IqWIxmq5UNR29ZLOfApoqauxRlYpkm2XpFjSegI7byAo/s1280/8%20Day%20AM%20-%205%20Offset%20Plus%203.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh80M_IXJ6HZjE545E-ok2SQc-7wTp1d1uXbmuS0N8TEAHKn2O8peUK7_KLTdgG069HfhtlTVgFGA3xHh5J3AhbFGoQcdSxOkvSX1OCOF6b07f720LN3fkky-ig-Kh95b8ldTBQehz6IqWIxmq5UNR29ZLOfApoqauxRlYpkm2XpFjSegI7byAo/w640-h360/8%20Day%20AM%20-%205%20Offset%20Plus%203.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>We are still watching the high potential for COLD after the first of the year. </div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-85958007299000990502023-12-07T07:17:00.004-05:002023-12-07T07:17:54.655-05:00Thursday, December 7 Forecast UPDATE<p>Good morning everyone. Our active weather pattern continues this weekend.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5YBuKo0tpxclmfyXNIAWlhmxE79_4f-ImTkusWZfJb6HFMGwKUcbYiF-APZDuZkjm_3pam-jCsrynGCboRLAdhhF65Xq9U-jLascJZTwk1TjlKd63cepKQzVGwec7RUBAmBTeL33EolXkuMyi3KpucHkA89TlU3ce2sEYs7nn05I69N5Fk6Br/s1280/Timelapse%20Flats%20Cam.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5YBuKo0tpxclmfyXNIAWlhmxE79_4f-ImTkusWZfJb6HFMGwKUcbYiF-APZDuZkjm_3pam-jCsrynGCboRLAdhhF65Xq9U-jLascJZTwk1TjlKd63cepKQzVGwec7RUBAmBTeL33EolXkuMyi3KpucHkA89TlU3ce2sEYs7nn05I69N5Fk6Br/w640-h360/Timelapse%20Flats%20Cam.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>First, it's not your imagination. The first 6 days of December have been abnormally cloudy...even for northern Ohio. This graphic shows the percentage of cloud cover for the first 6 days of December over the last 5 years. Grey colors indicate overcast skies. Light blue show clear skies. <b>The last time we started out this cloudy in December was 5 years ago!</b></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgW2xnkoT7Ntr8Zk3DYRWNTB0blMbIj9LDsTqsd1jL_apn1gwmbsqbmoU3n7citrF8y_4uHWDNlj3w7tabCe0vpOGQOG5KVQBQUXgYjRnK_fJChmEolOe_XKZ300ChftFVlct5QMYokieAnG7obMJvs0XonaUtkTkpIcpQrWbATGzQrf1W3lpu/s1280/Cloud%20Cover.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgW2xnkoT7Ntr8Zk3DYRWNTB0blMbIj9LDsTqsd1jL_apn1gwmbsqbmoU3n7citrF8y_4uHWDNlj3w7tabCe0vpOGQOG5KVQBQUXgYjRnK_fJChmEolOe_XKZ300ChftFVlct5QMYokieAnG7obMJvs0XonaUtkTkpIcpQrWbATGzQrf1W3lpu/w640-h360/Cloud%20Cover.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Seasonal snowfall totals through December 7 are still running slightly below normal.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBMpEzaa1cHe7Oj_mXqhonV__8CbIRCEjix0U3evZovjrz6mjGowXcKJuuVSW1kZ6E0Fmf4u7TRUvlLraHlFSJoLRQHzQIMRDdEmiTklRr1pZagdoshUy-qeJY3nAbfbxFLV980Htfx7nzzu12Vd6Vg8sVV0oyOAM7IQmhbd-SG_sEPvbINC9c/s1280/snowfall_to_date_10_years.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBMpEzaa1cHe7Oj_mXqhonV__8CbIRCEjix0U3evZovjrz6mjGowXcKJuuVSW1kZ6E0Fmf4u7TRUvlLraHlFSJoLRQHzQIMRDdEmiTklRr1pZagdoshUy-qeJY3nAbfbxFLV980Htfx7nzzu12Vd6Vg8sVV0oyOAM7IQmhbd-SG_sEPvbINC9c/w400-h225/snowfall_to_date_10_years.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><p>Today, a weak warm front moves through this morning with flurries/heavy cloud cover. Sun returns this afternoon with temps rising into the mid/upper 40s.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnSQTqbn_0ulIzhAugxo9VHXfsdfhADrjyOD6VJR_R95T2-u7P2gXSBBnR7kwH5il71xQLC1oXLq0uXP6OHb78zVXSxExHJiZYJY4hdw3EJi-X_hCKj8RJvW2WLapeJ4UvpEz1aEu3t4BWhfZctOCrG7fKjeif32nTX4EtaLw9SxmvC9hH2KiF/s1280/Graph%20Futurecast%20-%20iCast%20Temp%20-%2010am%20to%205pm.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnSQTqbn_0ulIzhAugxo9VHXfsdfhADrjyOD6VJR_R95T2-u7P2gXSBBnR7kwH5il71xQLC1oXLq0uXP6OHb78zVXSxExHJiZYJY4hdw3EJi-X_hCKj8RJvW2WLapeJ4UvpEz1aEu3t4BWhfZctOCrG7fKjeif32nTX4EtaLw9SxmvC9hH2KiF/w400-h225/Graph%20Futurecast%20-%20iCast%20Temp%20-%2010am%20to%205pm.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9sLLaE0jcbunTAgu1Ia5UTXRS2GB1PVMXsEWZes9bWlbixymB7AOdxmkZlxFo-p0XhLiEAfDBCHlWPKxDHTwSsTjfusV33EvKOhY3aPHcL3sQ2kdJg7cvYGVyhDUXPZDubCOpc27betOikldN69sAtc6uHe8fcM3kzZ8mwDcTWjEk_YKoMyvE/s1280/Hour%20By%20Hour%2024%20HR%20Forecast%20-%20Clouds.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9sLLaE0jcbunTAgu1Ia5UTXRS2GB1PVMXsEWZes9bWlbixymB7AOdxmkZlxFo-p0XhLiEAfDBCHlWPKxDHTwSsTjfusV33EvKOhY3aPHcL3sQ2kdJg7cvYGVyhDUXPZDubCOpc27betOikldN69sAtc6uHe8fcM3kzZ8mwDcTWjEk_YKoMyvE/w400-h225/Hour%20By%20Hour%2024%20HR%20Forecast%20-%20Clouds.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Two days in the mid/upper 50s with southwesterly winds. Next system already developing out west. Expect this to move west to east this weekend. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJ0v3zJVmyg_nT560iW560o2ShmNT__s8xsVBdLn6m8KZ2dw2iSL5TmPQEYctR4Kpk7DHSO3Z3uBrHRmJDapvD3ZXD_iYFEasGXkH2P_oQWed4qgNPlrZR4OEvVDszL3UsFOMgJ6j31YMRBnKRR-o55V_aVY0dZvznJXJa0PmrHQVwXe5M_Hlb/s1280/Ohio%20-%20TEMPSRadsat_tempCONTOUR2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJ0v3zJVmyg_nT560iW560o2ShmNT__s8xsVBdLn6m8KZ2dw2iSL5TmPQEYctR4Kpk7DHSO3Z3uBrHRmJDapvD3ZXD_iYFEasGXkH2P_oQWed4qgNPlrZR4OEvVDszL3UsFOMgJ6j31YMRBnKRR-o55V_aVY0dZvznJXJa0PmrHQVwXe5M_Hlb/w640-h360/Ohio%20-%20TEMPSRadsat_tempCONTOUR2.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Temperature forecast for Friday, Saturday and early Sunday: Saturday will be slightly milder than Friday. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg75bRlmeuPEaWuVaPnRzbn8A2POGamUezhjPnRJlgpphJyVPI7_0uQk6BFdFoZrnyK24v3EikbXwyvvdN8ULP6o3a9wK_OI5N89amrOsWvTqmML5cxoC7qaZdTmzZQUZjDMDevvFArPiyZn-u2zOHHf8_jaOBo8D86gcpUl952ACBffsGc-JM6/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(24).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg75bRlmeuPEaWuVaPnRzbn8A2POGamUezhjPnRJlgpphJyVPI7_0uQk6BFdFoZrnyK24v3EikbXwyvvdN8ULP6o3a9wK_OI5N89amrOsWvTqmML5cxoC7qaZdTmzZQUZjDMDevvFArPiyZn-u2zOHHf8_jaOBo8D86gcpUl952ACBffsGc-JM6/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(24).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Temps will drop throughout the day Sunday. Winds will gust to 25 mph and higher Sunday. Around 50 early Sunday morning, 45 around noon and 30s by 6PM. 30s on Monday. Temps back to near 40 by Tuesday.</div><div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQEtQ_cAY4SUa9ZY8PF-7C3-MZN3iL50ip7bCaELpVnuNxOV5cdDF4_g5CcYz3CiUQUShJH8VY-FcWAj-1guSWxhr85t1LBgBlemBCCl7iwiTWA5c036reemK0PrmxM5ojqBbeaH9AtjC-tnBn-xA6z-YasaXU_TlfpCRBq-6zOpnvloJ6SLto/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(25).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQEtQ_cAY4SUa9ZY8PF-7C3-MZN3iL50ip7bCaELpVnuNxOV5cdDF4_g5CcYz3CiUQUShJH8VY-FcWAj-1guSWxhr85t1LBgBlemBCCl7iwiTWA5c036reemK0PrmxM5ojqBbeaH9AtjC-tnBn-xA6z-YasaXU_TlfpCRBq-6zOpnvloJ6SLto/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(25).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Gulf moisture feeds the front. A spotty shower will arrive well ahead of the main line of showers late Saturday morning. Limited coverage. Overall mainly dry periods through early Saturday afternoon. Rain coverage will increase significantly Saturday night and Sunday morning.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3Aa3_5ZZh7S5yDR1gbWhm-lcK6Lx1gj_zNuHne_Q64CiDChrDdKCbkmrAZt9gIXhZtlADJG65XYvacK08jpvaLMczROw9Fgy3C47jp5RuVmJhM5pPehzt5O7yM3CB-J4Y0Ov6zITlsfi2UxnTq1W2F0LxK7ewx7keIE1ReEzhr__3mea88fKo/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(23).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3Aa3_5ZZh7S5yDR1gbWhm-lcK6Lx1gj_zNuHne_Q64CiDChrDdKCbkmrAZt9gIXhZtlADJG65XYvacK08jpvaLMczROw9Fgy3C47jp5RuVmJhM5pPehzt5O7yM3CB-J4Y0Ov6zITlsfi2UxnTq1W2F0LxK7ewx7keIE1ReEzhr__3mea88fKo/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(23).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5D2a01D73KxL6XZQRa9rgVAwuDvLMwnftNuuEfuTXiVAqdW0muraqmZMa3Qn5joV2dQ2wjsaIlA4OVOqOQ7m_0VtzC6CeK3ThOzDObcTtrtw4xfEwvaCok2e74wCp-V_KtgpVQLIKVn6JeU2OfL812BvHJhG7NFQ58VYgGEyklOnOLXl5koAZ/s1280/Our%20Next%20System.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5D2a01D73KxL6XZQRa9rgVAwuDvLMwnftNuuEfuTXiVAqdW0muraqmZMa3Qn5joV2dQ2wjsaIlA4OVOqOQ7m_0VtzC6CeK3ThOzDObcTtrtw4xfEwvaCok2e74wCp-V_KtgpVQLIKVn6JeU2OfL812BvHJhG7NFQ58VYgGEyklOnOLXl5koAZ/w640-h360/Our%20Next%20System.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>By Sunday morning, winds will gust to 30-35 mph throughout the day. Rain continues through mid afternoon with an abrupt changeover to wet snow around sundown. Heaviest rain will be across eastern Ohio.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjanwdZK2C5QuU-qkmjQJGzswuzIj3BeCgzIDySgPOJpH3YLifhpEdfx0KB4rWfn01uIkgpLh_ZGClPKp1OKhgwnun1TWQj9VkdoeQaW-vc-ufAy0iKb1rSCUH82QgbAkgF8Az7Bf76ZHoeoxogIOWxjZmPQd-aAmzKEAr6NF527Ox0OmVQd8yv/s1280/EURO%20Rainfall%20Forecast.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjanwdZK2C5QuU-qkmjQJGzswuzIj3BeCgzIDySgPOJpH3YLifhpEdfx0KB4rWfn01uIkgpLh_ZGClPKp1OKhgwnun1TWQj9VkdoeQaW-vc-ufAy0iKb1rSCUH82QgbAkgF8Az7Bf76ZHoeoxogIOWxjZmPQd-aAmzKEAr6NF527Ox0OmVQd8yv/w640-h360/EURO%20Rainfall%20Forecast.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>This front moves FAST so <b>accumulations will be quick and brief Sunday evening/night</b>. Temps will be cold enough for some weak lake effect snow Monday. Too early for snow forecast numbers. But initial indications show that the cold isn't extreme. This should limit lake effect accumulations to the lighter side. <b>Drier air arrives fast Tuesday.</b></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimlmm0o2Ac9cBw_X7aBkFmS2INBZiRO4v54nS5-Gq_pERiBLCtzIL86bwBOL4uSCPVxDdlGqyTL5ObB7ekeZTe3u6xEGBC7VO48PHgoUrBbXNahGBJc5rJoGhesKglo7XivRwANEq0loobjczxjOqK0r1F093Ro2MlN_7bcWjbTvkv9E0zH3yF/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(26).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimlmm0o2Ac9cBw_X7aBkFmS2INBZiRO4v54nS5-Gq_pERiBLCtzIL86bwBOL4uSCPVxDdlGqyTL5ObB7ekeZTe3u6xEGBC7VO48PHgoUrBbXNahGBJc5rJoGhesKglo7XivRwANEq0loobjczxjOqK0r1F093Ro2MlN_7bcWjbTvkv9E0zH3yF/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(26).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Snowfall forecast: Coverage will be mainly across eastern Ohio. Initial estimates keep amounts under 2 inches.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlTgz85Xe2tc12pUoWS9b8pmwaXmrakD3g2cWx7vf71D0zKulAFSUDp7iGKhrvC2vZdjpzOfbTE68vqH2xOQsFrXXwx4mo4QTWsVzd85H-7uHm9f9frEEcZm7yseYDG_JPbetQnzs3BUooUOrVbM6MbmbQInS_ynmrp4mxN1ZesPZk3i67rgr5/s1280/RPM%2012km%20Snowfall.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlTgz85Xe2tc12pUoWS9b8pmwaXmrakD3g2cWx7vf71D0zKulAFSUDp7iGKhrvC2vZdjpzOfbTE68vqH2xOQsFrXXwx4mo4QTWsVzd85H-7uHm9f9frEEcZm7yseYDG_JPbetQnzs3BUooUOrVbM6MbmbQInS_ynmrp4mxN1ZesPZk3i67rgr5/w640-h360/RPM%2012km%20Snowfall.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Temperatures rebound by Tuesday/Wednesday of next week and continuing into the following weekend. Next system develops by Sunday December 17th. I would expect this to intensify with widespread rain (snow) by Dec 18-20 for Ohio.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj04kGp3DUsGscwdEuGmMgv4neYsAHQgaFYY5tGqimtJEZ00EWlxM14CFvPB7UpRYRKiqCRn74OrI1wRk-r9jNXYJHtHeeBzrhZ6KiplMsdLMUU_lVlzfUqfkqvoUqqSG0s12QEFTkzHaED17jcN41Ay9wrWBv-DUY0YsvzrG7szbmn6YiTJxIy/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(27).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj04kGp3DUsGscwdEuGmMgv4neYsAHQgaFYY5tGqimtJEZ00EWlxM14CFvPB7UpRYRKiqCRn74OrI1wRk-r9jNXYJHtHeeBzrhZ6KiplMsdLMUU_lVlzfUqfkqvoUqqSG0s12QEFTkzHaED17jcN41Ay9wrWBv-DUY0YsvzrG7szbmn6YiTJxIy/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(27).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Panhandle storm track continues during the week before/after Christmas. Too early for day-to-day details. That said, white Christmas chances climbing!<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-u8od_wyoEF-Iz_bYXkgL75Oj9IyMGGz5DPXiWfWxEhuJHAykylmw3bNl6FsIhSL0A6eWnn1763vzuO2rFwVMFIJo4qQEmEHmy3hpIc7hQGP3PHnV-R3AyIk0MiXf35A01g8CE5sSoSSHNxe7T-D1I7hYtpYai7N5byATdTJUIyYMx5VmZYf5/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(22).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-u8od_wyoEF-Iz_bYXkgL75Oj9IyMGGz5DPXiWfWxEhuJHAykylmw3bNl6FsIhSL0A6eWnn1763vzuO2rFwVMFIJo4qQEmEHmy3hpIc7hQGP3PHnV-R3AyIk0MiXf35A01g8CE5sSoSSHNxe7T-D1I7hYtpYai7N5byATdTJUIyYMx5VmZYf5/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(22).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>See my <a href="https://sabolscience.blogspot.com/2023/12/monday-december-4-forecast-update.html">previous post HERE</a> for details on the longer range outlook components I'm monitoring as we head into early 2024.<br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-7915297028128496932023-12-04T08:26:00.005-05:002023-12-04T08:26:57.821-05:00Monday, December 4 Forecast Update<p> Good day everyone.</p><p>Areas of drizzle/light rain along the shoreline in Lake County with some flurries mix in the snowbelt. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7_0EI2DaXpMQvYKug2vuI29_oB1ANskWGx7eqbloJj6DPcp5q2DgePyZMbPmqJOuI1rkB-8PDHfqBu0sSEYb9XtFZT2EklOwTZP8zSdv14062nW3kXfCY3d8tnhnTfNz9K2asAENohz3k1-pmfYr0yFd27grrkzR2SDr5qMwwO8R4qd2-_C4G/s1280/WJW%20Earth1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7_0EI2DaXpMQvYKug2vuI29_oB1ANskWGx7eqbloJj6DPcp5q2DgePyZMbPmqJOuI1rkB-8PDHfqBu0sSEYb9XtFZT2EklOwTZP8zSdv14062nW3kXfCY3d8tnhnTfNz9K2asAENohz3k1-pmfYr0yFd27grrkzR2SDr5qMwwO8R4qd2-_C4G/w400-h225/WJW%20Earth1.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuEa_TzJUnEs0oTjLity5d0h-AeY0AQJ1bQXfkH_l_ab1dL3yv4ow0d6Crpt4E1RZ1RKO-ND2YrLsargJ_4qI-8gDnkskA-5suYlFkr_DwDss2mmRwi45-7Z7Ge87ED-twJsZ30gBv2AaKt0feioDWrY3Hk0P-qBFv2fIHOd-bfX2VB4vyG3ui/s1280/WJW%20Earth2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuEa_TzJUnEs0oTjLity5d0h-AeY0AQJ1bQXfkH_l_ab1dL3yv4ow0d6Crpt4E1RZ1RKO-ND2YrLsargJ_4qI-8gDnkskA-5suYlFkr_DwDss2mmRwi45-7Z7Ge87ED-twJsZ30gBv2AaKt0feioDWrY3Hk0P-qBFv2fIHOd-bfX2VB4vyG3ui/w400-h225/WJW%20Earth2.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Monday Morning Radar - 7:50am</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Limited moisture so little accumulations. Mainly wet pavement this morning with heavy cloud cover. Temperatures remain in the mid/upper 30s this morning. A few locations will climb to 40 in spots south.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7yuOqXtwT3Yl0AAN3fq9vC5ykwEMsaz_vccDQnev9Md4C3oibX6azQLWP5H5GdzMQp62EoRYEHiCFxId0TPlKL8eQkxINBpQ3TqLEf_xiCKgVRMkcB0NyLwh_ZQeHxXtZLkGRxhbmvgbrjacdofvNBaiZZCRE1ZBYu_hBfHi-wzsriIrz-ra0/s1280/Graph%20iCast%20POP%20Percent%2012-36%20hrs.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7yuOqXtwT3Yl0AAN3fq9vC5ykwEMsaz_vccDQnev9Md4C3oibX6azQLWP5H5GdzMQp62EoRYEHiCFxId0TPlKL8eQkxINBpQ3TqLEf_xiCKgVRMkcB0NyLwh_ZQeHxXtZLkGRxhbmvgbrjacdofvNBaiZZCRE1ZBYu_hBfHi-wzsriIrz-ra0/w400-h225/Graph%20iCast%20POP%20Percent%2012-36%20hrs.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Today's futurecast (future radar + temperatures) continues to highlight <b>spotty lake enhanced drizzle/flurries through early afternoon</b>. Intensity will be low. <b> Coverage will peak at 30-40%</b> with a gradual drop in coverage by late afternoon/early evening.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgb2WOZfv09NoLxri5OmZcGb7jNpsdsfid4rMsqKAfg4_SpN1vswxYMmmkLWfGyUxG2joFYSMbKYRHQj6rZhRWnt-uV7PzLS6QvQAtyDDtZcC09PJN6OLA-5FUPjWNerEdCh57GCI4C9acqmvIDtXUJFnnYOMcNuRB9Ul-i7xm59HcU6HrmrXyh/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(5).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgb2WOZfv09NoLxri5OmZcGb7jNpsdsfid4rMsqKAfg4_SpN1vswxYMmmkLWfGyUxG2joFYSMbKYRHQj6rZhRWnt-uV7PzLS6QvQAtyDDtZcC09PJN6OLA-5FUPjWNerEdCh57GCI4C9acqmvIDtXUJFnnYOMcNuRB9Ul-i7xm59HcU6HrmrXyh/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(5).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Next system is developing along the US/Canadian border. Clipper cold front arrives from the northwest early tomorrow. This will be fast moving. Arrival time is between 8 and 10am. Precipitation coverage will be higher than today. Initially precip falls as rain then rain/snow mix later in the day as colder air arrives on the northern/western side of the low.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLxaP5QlglzUopJkXxYmZgZlDu8AyHGuithRFVcDu2bf-T7oniuIDxO3DBpzIEunj3Jw2mdwtSpc6roI-xbixO6N8Rj_l7WaUc4fyUDujp4peQnxT0apPSXnkl4TetdPjyhTSFFW1Slm43iW2EPg792WJd6sVWcegI7_ySppaUZNUcJOVRymyb/s1280/Ohio%20-%20TEMPSRadsat_tempCONTOUR2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLxaP5QlglzUopJkXxYmZgZlDu8AyHGuithRFVcDu2bf-T7oniuIDxO3DBpzIEunj3Jw2mdwtSpc6roI-xbixO6N8Rj_l7WaUc4fyUDujp4peQnxT0apPSXnkl4TetdPjyhTSFFW1Slm43iW2EPg792WJd6sVWcegI7_ySppaUZNUcJOVRymyb/w400-h225/Ohio%20-%20TEMPSRadsat_tempCONTOUR2.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Any snow accumulation would be quick and brief. Surface temperatures remain in the mid/upper 30s so snow will melt fairly rapidly. Mainly wet pavement during the afternoon/evening commute. I chose to illustrate the snowfall coverage versus adding snowfall numbers due to the temporary nature of the accumulation.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg2ePUf4_r9_t3jLlQKKXmS2JJa7CNjdbs0U5joMHE83UiaOrMS5xuW6CFLCIDFVI5sYX_q7hhwELSdGFO6jcyUVe6AX7K5ESzLkPoZYU3W5AT0_UQ5tZfNcgEYTBAIACmHC-ebeYN-klK4egG2SUy-dfZ1mHzZ4uaQqmhaKkj2D0NKgLVBbOdp/s1280/RPM%2012km%20Snowfall.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg2ePUf4_r9_t3jLlQKKXmS2JJa7CNjdbs0U5joMHE83UiaOrMS5xuW6CFLCIDFVI5sYX_q7hhwELSdGFO6jcyUVe6AX7K5ESzLkPoZYU3W5AT0_UQ5tZfNcgEYTBAIACmHC-ebeYN-klK4egG2SUy-dfZ1mHzZ4uaQqmhaKkj2D0NKgLVBbOdp/w400-h225/RPM%2012km%20Snowfall.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Winds will come out of the north early Wednesday with some light snow Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with light accumulations. Sun returns late Wednesday.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhF7cxw1ukyDTw0swxYOEn0dCxHhK8g_uOjW8Qp08AD6g8cTJwlKQCQbiTVMDAuNXW-xXT1CLhyimnxu97dc7aF7uTFNLsMqJn9I74gYaNUNYkMl_fNWqLO3OcDUSWkXlHQ9kenUw4qtbQGQGyp4gCuPwKQ2bvFh-V-DribCbbnJzxurb4mc738/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(6).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhF7cxw1ukyDTw0swxYOEn0dCxHhK8g_uOjW8Qp08AD6g8cTJwlKQCQbiTVMDAuNXW-xXT1CLhyimnxu97dc7aF7uTFNLsMqJn9I74gYaNUNYkMl_fNWqLO3OcDUSWkXlHQ9kenUw4qtbQGQGyp4gCuPwKQ2bvFh-V-DribCbbnJzxurb4mc738/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(6).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Thursday starts a 3-4 days milder period with mainly dry weather. Yet another panhandle system arrives late Saturday/Sunday with locally steady rainfall.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2uSE8D4xSvahGD3YKA4Cx3dGsJTbMBxUxiFocRsPXADmXoARGz2LGsEvkdyq4gSzpZwA8OZMJw9uQlsRJOn8MH7HUr5jevAC4Ouj_NctQy55DO3Eb9YdD64_ZqOJiIDdOe10EeYFHdKhWt3UpmyUkk8u31kAu9WaKCnNRbn7cLco9sUzsfE7w/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(7).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2uSE8D4xSvahGD3YKA4Cx3dGsJTbMBxUxiFocRsPXADmXoARGz2LGsEvkdyq4gSzpZwA8OZMJw9uQlsRJOn8MH7HUr5jevAC4Ouj_NctQy55DO3Eb9YdD64_ZqOJiIDdOe10EeYFHdKhWt3UpmyUkk8u31kAu9WaKCnNRbn7cLco9sUzsfE7w/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(7).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Temperatures will rise into the mid 50s Friday and Saturday before the rain arrives.</p><p>Colder period starts late Sunday/Monday and last for 3-4 days next week. Based on the depth of the cold, chances for lake effect snow development are much higher early next week.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPqp16xJ2lotzKMFwvcvJUu9DuBJ0gDOhw5u_9LsukFU4JdzPGQX7nPAuNENGsrz9I7NtxNipf9WguExDZg9rA-6J9YlsbmUhLiKvVhIFWkdwd66jW4-zs-fgcVDzZ9sVovfrJGKA2k2dK726jpPX4g5mAJsP6iEzPU3fGr80f-gGCdY2-UPee/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(8).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPqp16xJ2lotzKMFwvcvJUu9DuBJ0gDOhw5u_9LsukFU4JdzPGQX7nPAuNENGsrz9I7NtxNipf9WguExDZg9rA-6J9YlsbmUhLiKvVhIFWkdwd66jW4-zs-fgcVDzZ9sVovfrJGKA2k2dK726jpPX4g5mAJsP6iEzPU3fGr80f-gGCdY2-UPee/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(8).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhebyDANooMYKAhO5QkyB7DpPMSlyXr8VWovZAO9zZLMXaR8wVz7VR3AjWaz7AbwE2hzSawnSut2TDHPxo85gbVNrQUsqYAAAcjcpP4ZFfmydtKwXQU4XtiA1Ndvoq8puBbnWz82i0dJfNCz0a5GGlz9vbvhFJcupngr57fV9ZJLWIOfnmzf7rk/s984/snow_gfs.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhebyDANooMYKAhO5QkyB7DpPMSlyXr8VWovZAO9zZLMXaR8wVz7VR3AjWaz7AbwE2hzSawnSut2TDHPxo85gbVNrQUsqYAAAcjcpP4ZFfmydtKwXQU4XtiA1Ndvoq8puBbnWz82i0dJfNCz0a5GGlz9vbvhFJcupngr57fV9ZJLWIOfnmzf7rk/w400-h329/snow_gfs.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Overall Snow Forecast through Dec 20</td></tr></tbody></table><p>By the 15th, the mid month milder period will begin and last through the following weekend.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhntL30xBa8GHnlZI2oILYYfkGV5CaiQOF2aYv6nDtKFvgX2VE8C8orUGtCfLc4lNena-5u8BZThDbJJKwtxkI3swmJNgnZIIcXZRDBfse2fiNHeR1yk_c5EamSMdIsRwuQKA1BgG6NJ4v719Fk3Myfe7vcU6c91NglNZWGD4434Pn6yfyXwvpu/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(12).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhntL30xBa8GHnlZI2oILYYfkGV5CaiQOF2aYv6nDtKFvgX2VE8C8orUGtCfLc4lNena-5u8BZThDbJJKwtxkI3swmJNgnZIIcXZRDBfse2fiNHeR1yk_c5EamSMdIsRwuQKA1BgG6NJ4v719Fk3Myfe7vcU6c91NglNZWGD4434Pn6yfyXwvpu/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(12).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>Longer Range Outlook:</p><p>The ongoing El Nino has influenced the southern storm track/rain events over the last 2-3 weeks. This will continue as El Nino continues this month and beyond. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZc0zetVdpK_il_ZwNK4OCKARqniSqinyWjkkPuWEf0tDh99EkLPf6eude2_sfVK_B1RlRwpkZBi4zs2XIURMM5_7hC7tS_HkojlF16jlv33SzXp7GV1MYuUlmyJwb4HY-g3dQ9jBDS8AuYJdmPNTqOcQVrOvDpEsztXUaCBhksc94Q_ZEh4Ak/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(36).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZc0zetVdpK_il_ZwNK4OCKARqniSqinyWjkkPuWEf0tDh99EkLPf6eude2_sfVK_B1RlRwpkZBi4zs2XIURMM5_7hC7tS_HkojlF16jlv33SzXp7GV1MYuUlmyJwb4HY-g3dQ9jBDS8AuYJdmPNTqOcQVrOvDpEsztXUaCBhksc94Q_ZEh4Ak/w400-h225/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(36).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>The polar vortex is showing signs of weakening. Why is this happening? This is where it gets tricky. </p><p>El Nino continues. On top of this, <a href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjoupdate.ppt">other tropical influences</a> are forecasted to enter a favorable phase for cold at the end of the month. There is a link to <b>high pressure over north central/Kara Sea/Siberia</b> and its interaction with the Himalayan Mountains and ultimately the strength/position of the Polar Vortex. These interactions change the strength and depth of the polar jet stream which can influence the <b>warming at the top of the atmosphere near the North Pole</b> (Stratospheric Warming). This warming at the top <b>can lead to colder conditions at the surface.</b> This warming by itself doesn't always mean colder temps in the eastern US. However, if the weaker Polar Vortex occurs when <b>high pressure develops near Greenland and becomes persistent, the conditions become more conducive for colder then normal temps across portions of northern/eastern North America. </b> </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMbMjkTcu-61KKszpcR5Tz9kJaP5AfqXXr9TGWj0sqhIZIjKy7PKV371QYh49VdP7gSk8l8Och3uOlmIj3u4LOSHaN6X8twBcNAjovTujZ221gZvY2CS9hVUcTS9vwN1yGk47kHjE9Yi7M39G7869DYgZUgaEUpT-yjNMoJkML1gbwKRupVjUf/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(11).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMbMjkTcu-61KKszpcR5Tz9kJaP5AfqXXr9TGWj0sqhIZIjKy7PKV371QYh49VdP7gSk8l8Och3uOlmIj3u4LOSHaN6X8twBcNAjovTujZ221gZvY2CS9hVUcTS9vwN1yGk47kHjE9Yi7M39G7869DYgZUgaEUpT-yjNMoJkML1gbwKRupVjUf/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(11).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Add the already active storm track (southwest to the northeast) and the late Dec/early January period could get pretty interesting. </p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-17861645320620487872023-11-22T09:33:00.006-05:002023-11-22T09:33:58.383-05:00MLB Pitch Clock 2023: How Did It Impact Game Outcomes?<p><br /></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqiqsLQUz5JTNcAhMMe_XpLtdT45a9lyG0iSVUDLZfyVoZGXPYQliwbB-MlyOY6liIyP3RVjyyV224K8IYDapuKvudYjX6l4cnW15d6q6iQlKeaOLaVCn4sw58_n_zY53mBr1PuRr6Jy7gS3T_yWfaluZsTA21b36FeycNvKeLxqQ1qq2gQGD4/s2500/mlb-pitch-clock.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1667" data-original-width="2500" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqiqsLQUz5JTNcAhMMe_XpLtdT45a9lyG0iSVUDLZfyVoZGXPYQliwbB-MlyOY6liIyP3RVjyyV224K8IYDapuKvudYjX6l4cnW15d6q6iQlKeaOLaVCn4sw58_n_zY53mBr1PuRr6Jy7gS3T_yWfaluZsTA21b36FeycNvKeLxqQ1qq2gQGD4/w640-h426/mlb-pitch-clock.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">photo courtesy: CNN</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Say what you want about the MLB pitch clock and the new rules this past season. The desired effect--to shorten the game--was achieved.</p><p>Time of MLB games dropped </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgVOyFOrce9BQ8Dteq_AX2GNALNXA5jjMtz-WdaJlW8E_tbI1TDiJkIE5XpFo_k9IIh1PBx8tu7FItuZ06sXpdyqngnOc7VeMWV20k3mHEc3X14m9_eXpdJHa5rVDcU4HjNRg1Fkz6QuQHsaELcthUdM2RlSfCLeJuIACtdN2XUex93mJ2Xxc7M/s879/TIME_GAME.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="490" data-original-width="879" height="356" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgVOyFOrce9BQ8Dteq_AX2GNALNXA5jjMtz-WdaJlW8E_tbI1TDiJkIE5XpFo_k9IIh1PBx8tu7FItuZ06sXpdyqngnOc7VeMWV20k3mHEc3X14m9_eXpdJHa5rVDcU4HjNRg1Fkz6QuQHsaELcthUdM2RlSfCLeJuIACtdN2XUex93mJ2Xxc7M/w640-h356/TIME_GAME.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Pace of play (time in between pitches has also dropped)</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtoBAg4VTS8gw7hmPA3WvDluQ5lmGFgstIzP_skoIAU5BIPYhsGwtejXLMQNNwtQMO4qNaYRPlVid6QOwemsgr01MdaN84_3KxBPoRNsUH7az9EzRup3hH-cXoHsV7jPM4VkMprpKGivJIra81whyphenhyphenNvMtq9QX4rnOSz0s-UIeJmehNZF9jA253/s853/PACE_PLAY.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="482" data-original-width="853" height="362" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtoBAg4VTS8gw7hmPA3WvDluQ5lmGFgstIzP_skoIAU5BIPYhsGwtejXLMQNNwtQMO4qNaYRPlVid6QOwemsgr01MdaN84_3KxBPoRNsUH7az9EzRup3hH-cXoHsV7jPM4VkMprpKGivJIra81whyphenhyphenNvMtq9QX4rnOSz0s-UIeJmehNZF9jA253/w640-h362/PACE_PLAY.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>What about the game itself? </p><p>Larger bases and limited throws to first base with a runner on strongly suggested stolen bases success rates would be higher. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0cRt3D67DupVL78Qv0979_KNj7bBBZMNH7-n0zdi8QIhkCScPPHcIQjiAnims2XJSpa2nGshh0-ZFktLOIv4Z7vuSnMu_zLUVr34tnk1mOd1AZT6ThlP0E5ho6OYxFD6Iu3goOuFymNOiA__pueZeyWtWulzU0eZOacR-KiS-9kXNMt8t3Owb/s776/STOLEN_BASE_SUCCESS_RATE.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="494" data-original-width="776" height="408" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0cRt3D67DupVL78Qv0979_KNj7bBBZMNH7-n0zdi8QIhkCScPPHcIQjiAnims2XJSpa2nGshh0-ZFktLOIv4Z7vuSnMu_zLUVr34tnk1mOd1AZT6ThlP0E5ho6OYxFD6Iu3goOuFymNOiA__pueZeyWtWulzU0eZOacR-KiS-9kXNMt8t3Owb/w640-h408/STOLEN_BASE_SUCCESS_RATE.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Shift elimination helped bring the balls in play batting average (BABIP) for left handed hitters in line with right handed hitters.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi68BSXze23NLfXtbI_o2LmddNlMAm58qSPanEMtp6lpc67ddBwqCgzcVag4fiEuC0u1Ze5xDUSMZlcApteMdIHz2qPbutSHEwJ_YZC8Is_NHbh4MNm5GLt0K4U4717AWM_Efr0KQdVMBLkD_woLTauHHmGC4iOXyNfDRBpYiHhreKCkhUjsh4_/s1116/shifts_BABIP_RHH_LHH.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="623" data-original-width="1116" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi68BSXze23NLfXtbI_o2LmddNlMAm58qSPanEMtp6lpc67ddBwqCgzcVag4fiEuC0u1Ze5xDUSMZlcApteMdIHz2qPbutSHEwJ_YZC8Is_NHbh4MNm5GLt0K4U4717AWM_Efr0KQdVMBLkD_woLTauHHmGC4iOXyNfDRBpYiHhreKCkhUjsh4_/w640-h358/shifts_BABIP_RHH_LHH.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Weighted on base average (wOBA) also rose.</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjcwS15WZQ-GnwdcEBZBdQ2BpXm_lwq1N5-w1rlpCBcB6rzABJUDxq5_9Alvg-qkHjflPNfhn4Uu2Lt3XlAp1LX_AsKZpRbvFrMWORT6aKVuOjd1TQynD8MVLGqU0heX0-w8ZQYeeyyDR0mNveesZMOPzVSutZQnSkvN4ZTnnvdqOeXTCPmQGNM/s915/shifts_wOBA.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="629" data-original-width="915" height="440" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjcwS15WZQ-GnwdcEBZBdQ2BpXm_lwq1N5-w1rlpCBcB6rzABJUDxq5_9Alvg-qkHjflPNfhn4Uu2Lt3XlAp1LX_AsKZpRbvFrMWORT6aKVuOjd1TQynD8MVLGqU0heX0-w8ZQYeeyyDR0mNveesZMOPzVSutZQnSkvN4ZTnnvdqOeXTCPmQGNM/w640-h440/shifts_wOBA.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>All of these changes were expected as a result of the rule changes and the addition of the pitch clock. Yet many aspects of the game such as balls in play and the high strikeout totals -- to name a few --remained pretty much the same. </p><p>The 16 charts below illustrate how the core of the game has changed over the last 15 years or so.</p><p>Three plate outcomes (walk, strikeout, homerun) rates have been rising since roughly 2010 peaking in 2020 with a small drop in 2021 and 2022 with a jump in 2023 AFTER the rule changes.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpMfHGZFCJgge-_qdblFGA56MnSj2Jlz5juNWNSL9ezedsS3c-pUJnmCvVqPUrgULjvfP-9_J_4AlTfbsDKwp9goaYQo4EF8Hz_ij_S1cUiGgQop7qEAl8zJ_0Q57hyphenhyphencGraBkdjbfp_XWXKZZVJRN7XqephvtfQcrHbv5Suso9TXPZE1zEdPVH/s889/3_outcome.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="530" data-original-width="889" height="382" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpMfHGZFCJgge-_qdblFGA56MnSj2Jlz5juNWNSL9ezedsS3c-pUJnmCvVqPUrgULjvfP-9_J_4AlTfbsDKwp9goaYQo4EF8Hz_ij_S1cUiGgQop7qEAl8zJ_0Q57hyphenhyphencGraBkdjbfp_XWXKZZVJRN7XqephvtfQcrHbv5Suso9TXPZE1zEdPVH/w640-h382/3_outcome.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><p>Rate of balls in play started a sharp decline in the late 2000s hitting a low of 67.3% in 2020. A small increase in the last 3 years but no where to the 1990s/early 2000s levels.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjc1jMl9KvQ7c0iM1MmDKTumpzk7hEvwDWEydykUiKiMl7CtX6rezKhl_g0rHTbGuF6gh7BNqhg2WuuvlJTGFO-uRDgxUSDHk7AsVVB8Co6GGAvWIAc9ay8vHyk_jiD41ngrMcdTHEbiJJHI9U8tOB-wMZGAd-5UNVvV8oeUSHr_DymeB910k4/s834/Pct_BIP.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="528" data-original-width="834" height="406" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjc1jMl9KvQ7c0iM1MmDKTumpzk7hEvwDWEydykUiKiMl7CtX6rezKhl_g0rHTbGuF6gh7BNqhg2WuuvlJTGFO-uRDgxUSDHk7AsVVB8Co6GGAvWIAc9ay8vHyk_jiD41ngrMcdTHEbiJJHI9U8tOB-wMZGAd-5UNVvV8oeUSHr_DymeB910k4/w640-h406/Pct_BIP.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Strikeout rates saw a similar rise at roughly the same time. Again little change last season.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_wiBvTso4h1rTjVaAj5dm7N9uYQN0S-qsor35tMyAsIvFGp_fDddGA2UnsazmStER2c6E7QL34PcR7pfIeVdod4RmHVRvWOpyvcQb6UwDhuScj1vpsUx-rN4exSPam-L2_EBXHBO01pRhbzKMeZCW9eSxYVvfysQycpmmDu3Cx9prnUFsagwN/s988/SO_PA.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="552" data-original-width="988" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_wiBvTso4h1rTjVaAj5dm7N9uYQN0S-qsor35tMyAsIvFGp_fDddGA2UnsazmStER2c6E7QL34PcR7pfIeVdod4RmHVRvWOpyvcQb6UwDhuScj1vpsUx-rN4exSPam-L2_EBXHBO01pRhbzKMeZCW9eSxYVvfysQycpmmDu3Cx9prnUFsagwN/w640-h358/SO_PA.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Swing strike percentages have hovered around 19% over the last 5 seasons. The increase started around 2010.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpGqJrSt6bgUnIPVzOSaZVbF8vaTNGpGSarHtqT7JIGr3rG6hyphenhyphennp-DQ0Cic9QXLmmYhSUeeIq3yYzWIzdfkj_GbrdJVh_wt3xPru-DYhJtgvQeNq1U_frTbOh5oMI2BrXKkLjofEMRuJcc8qSjpARKyviF-jJDRYrGhJYY6OayZ-hMgdDusUfu/s904/Sw_St_pct.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="546" data-original-width="904" height="386" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpGqJrSt6bgUnIPVzOSaZVbF8vaTNGpGSarHtqT7JIGr3rG6hyphenhyphennp-DQ0Cic9QXLmmYhSUeeIq3yYzWIzdfkj_GbrdJVh_wt3xPru-DYhJtgvQeNq1U_frTbOh5oMI2BrXKkLjofEMRuJcc8qSjpARKyviF-jJDRYrGhJYY6OayZ-hMgdDusUfu/w640-h386/Sw_St_pct.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>The percentage of pitches swung at outside the strike zone started rising in the mid/late 2000s. Rates at 18.1% in 2002, 21.5% in 2005 jumping to near 30% by 2010 where they've stayed ever since.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhZX_QKGkV1B8voH9uNKgHTX43kQqt12mXtJMwMUyLwMS836B0T8hOwlWbek9sXQDhuRqesnvHQAEbDZDtH7lJ-yrZRclz9SHf03R52y-K8IyYy-5mRiEo1FzVpqIu_A6jEwFIySyGK7u6IYuJCqTd7agbY2qVUahhEq0AZEgBWZFrIXV7qRQ3i/s773/SWING_OUTSIDEZONE.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="773" height="386" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhZX_QKGkV1B8voH9uNKgHTX43kQqt12mXtJMwMUyLwMS836B0T8hOwlWbek9sXQDhuRqesnvHQAEbDZDtH7lJ-yrZRclz9SHf03R52y-K8IyYy-5mRiEo1FzVpqIu_A6jEwFIySyGK7u6IYuJCqTd7agbY2qVUahhEq0AZEgBWZFrIXV7qRQ3i/w640-h386/SWING_OUTSIDEZONE.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Contact on pitches outside the strike zone also way up starting in the late 2000s with the rate steady since 2010.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQM1GfZmKctn7dX5hg6bAOP_J5OxRMWSVUy50fgHaUW0d6oyU4KCrzX1KnKDtee9zjdZ0uDdlgwdhz6Pc21GPR2h3ZfDf2MXwcqzwHfYDmHv573-NNY_olckREv1Zbm29pR7XVCL7VEuzldlYG3V11v3HTtinBgUuQlCXwD0YH5Y5yYQeNAIHa/s781/CONTACT_OUTSIDE_ZONE.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="499" data-original-width="781" height="408" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQM1GfZmKctn7dX5hg6bAOP_J5OxRMWSVUy50fgHaUW0d6oyU4KCrzX1KnKDtee9zjdZ0uDdlgwdhz6Pc21GPR2h3ZfDf2MXwcqzwHfYDmHv573-NNY_olckREv1Zbm29pR7XVCL7VEuzldlYG3V11v3HTtinBgUuQlCXwD0YH5Y5yYQeNAIHa/w640-h408/CONTACT_OUTSIDE_ZONE.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>Percentage of pitches inside the zone dropped at roughly the same time.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEisLFoz0PLhUNUl4hmwPGWsOvSw-zIT5DorWTI8wj7IHH_2n7yP18v4lZ66ybT_8pokWS_IHA1qz7NK7csYjSHGLWK9xLRk7EzGvi3RwqGT5r-aqbCKDqVIVby0WCxzaZ4Nu8ueU1LsSZrjIs_ls3pgaWX3UgFT9QPG8eVorqoKXOw99bdEitIW/s785/PITCHES_INSIDE_ZONE.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="457" data-original-width="785" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEisLFoz0PLhUNUl4hmwPGWsOvSw-zIT5DorWTI8wj7IHH_2n7yP18v4lZ66ybT_8pokWS_IHA1qz7NK7csYjSHGLWK9xLRk7EzGvi3RwqGT5r-aqbCKDqVIVby0WCxzaZ4Nu8ueU1LsSZrjIs_ls3pgaWX3UgFT9QPG8eVorqoKXOw99bdEitIW/w640-h372/PITCHES_INSIDE_ZONE.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Flyball rates have rose since early 2010s lows back to early 2000s levels,</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5JdsIwo53vRY_e-VAy_mQLn19B1s7weQP9yu7HWQtTOJNEZXPLI_ivygmNDV-W9aJzFbr0Og7xKumUSlWHV22xnUharbMGggQe3wUO3JEuHjraD6IlvACCa67gj73FKdkc-q6ouT_2Afcy9lkevvf4Y1td5nsR4Z2FAvGW8iQH1wWZ1sebz2h/s803/FB_GB_LD.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="519" data-original-width="803" height="414" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5JdsIwo53vRY_e-VAy_mQLn19B1s7weQP9yu7HWQtTOJNEZXPLI_ivygmNDV-W9aJzFbr0Og7xKumUSlWHV22xnUharbMGggQe3wUO3JEuHjraD6IlvACCa67gj73FKdkc-q6ouT_2Afcy9lkevvf4Y1td5nsR4Z2FAvGW8iQH1wWZ1sebz2h/w640-h414/FB_GB_LD.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>Home run rates per plate appearance stayed the same until roughly 2015 then a 35% jump between 2015 and 2019. HR per plate appearances have remained elevated since.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVp8ZZw28oXEBVw5nA3qd0tYUpSBGqcSOx382NgIJNUoQIQRpxKbZMhR0l4aKCfAi9rihbYyA9d7B3u8v48Q6YkNcdBsQn-wzZEgh3D94Mj8u5gJT0aE6QVYc0i06DWyh5dB9z1_mepy0G5Yq1KbpZlzgGTwrpVUOD0FLMcnSD4Bohva8PvOC5/s874/HR_PA.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="517" data-original-width="874" height="378" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVp8ZZw28oXEBVw5nA3qd0tYUpSBGqcSOx382NgIJNUoQIQRpxKbZMhR0l4aKCfAi9rihbYyA9d7B3u8v48Q6YkNcdBsQn-wzZEgh3D94Mj8u5gJT0aE6QVYc0i06DWyh5dB9z1_mepy0G5Yq1KbpZlzgGTwrpVUOD0FLMcnSD4Bohva8PvOC5/w640-h378/HR_PA.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>As home run rates rose, slugging percentage on flyballs also rose through 2019. Since then, then have dropped to early 2010s levels.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMiggFJOxyUxn4PWBPoqhfFvLjxkyDUbe1QS7Rt8QFenrEiNNXwC0LHBKxBCxNSrzKu1YGnr4xzr87p6N1JFAVsUZdjo9F98_FfR_oFowHxnLJG6rrcN3h3AA6wQtfwnEDFdbE5kjYD10o1yrUq015N6hSFgYpMYGLl4iSpNl6VlqrSoYD2cOu/s877/FB_slg.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="439" data-original-width="877" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMiggFJOxyUxn4PWBPoqhfFvLjxkyDUbe1QS7Rt8QFenrEiNNXwC0LHBKxBCxNSrzKu1YGnr4xzr87p6N1JFAVsUZdjo9F98_FfR_oFowHxnLJG6rrcN3h3AA6wQtfwnEDFdbE5kjYD10o1yrUq015N6hSFgYpMYGLl4iSpNl6VlqrSoYD2cOu/w640-h320/FB_slg.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Percentage of runs via home runs rose in 2023. Overall levels remain at 2016 levels.</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkkHB4goxZtv_dOL5uKb51uLQoT0A7CwxlMLxO2QutzHDshAJA-E0pxifUcWagQzZ_BJkLEiL4M_GGVbcKK0JiurRabCx-eDRJQd4xaHTbcve_YuNmVxdZfAhB0PQwxyIXkzyJwEqI5O-Xrvwe5iaNC1RuXqBrBUxNNuPLHLj3pTEgbvMG9sCj/s758/pct_RUNS_HR.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="481" data-original-width="758" height="406" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkkHB4goxZtv_dOL5uKb51uLQoT0A7CwxlMLxO2QutzHDshAJA-E0pxifUcWagQzZ_BJkLEiL4M_GGVbcKK0JiurRabCx-eDRJQd4xaHTbcve_YuNmVxdZfAhB0PQwxyIXkzyJwEqI5O-Xrvwe5iaNC1RuXqBrBUxNNuPLHLj3pTEgbvMG9sCj/w640-h406/pct_RUNS_HR.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Slugging percentage AFTER 2 strikes started falling in the late 2000s. A few brief jumps but nothing sustainable. Average "After 2 strike slugging" remains steady over the last decade.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK9-cLjxZiJrT8et_hdv0_dqjs7DN_eYiocXvRY3543bZ_MoX8D0BkBqDWmyWIVSubf9D3LqOuRcKUBdcPatK7TdmuTiY2Gb3yJbS9TV20xia2wBgNVUHZoHnobf6c3YWmmsFDXH9FqM5EM57TPuP2lqPu7xxXBYDfL4y_ZFmlX7z5XtNoxgma/s938/slg_after2strikes.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="526" data-original-width="938" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK9-cLjxZiJrT8et_hdv0_dqjs7DN_eYiocXvRY3543bZ_MoX8D0BkBqDWmyWIVSubf9D3LqOuRcKUBdcPatK7TdmuTiY2Gb3yJbS9TV20xia2wBgNVUHZoHnobf6c3YWmmsFDXH9FqM5EM57TPuP2lqPu7xxXBYDfL4y_ZFmlX7z5XtNoxgma/w640-h358/slg_after2strikes.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Interesting to note that slugging with runners in scoring position, after a drop between 2006 and 2014, has jumped back to mid 1990s levels.</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUMHN8hKuuHWqRO5L0FXf-Wr4W1szuajqjF92yIN4LAv8Uhzp5ZexpM92Ny3T1FpQK5Hdh7oupoGSEcREliLemaMzfMkvUiON3KG-7C4_MNA3u1VCulZNFaJ_QoF20YJj3T0VQwBVwmqn7gIZv6FXfWqYm4ZU67McojD-1e8ZCch8qRGbOSj4t/s894/SLG_RISP.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="532" data-original-width="894" height="380" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUMHN8hKuuHWqRO5L0FXf-Wr4W1szuajqjF92yIN4LAv8Uhzp5ZexpM92Ny3T1FpQK5Hdh7oupoGSEcREliLemaMzfMkvUiON3KG-7C4_MNA3u1VCulZNFaJ_QoF20YJj3T0VQwBVwmqn7gIZv6FXfWqYm4ZU67McojD-1e8ZCch8qRGbOSj4t/w640-h380/SLG_RISP.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>On top of of offensive changes over the last 10-15 years, pitching speed and frequency has shifted. Velocities are higher across the board. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHGJaI8wNLciCipA5VOWjim8t_qx9q2Wn0uKo4slj4KmLL9EKxzYFYGsrhbdX29keqoQ_Wn6wB-05ZAfCKTGX6aNeiNwEMort9b0SS2-NjqAaqTr7NQbewfcXFAWUd-ixOK6VHzx_GO2r7-LvvLHcbjvXyrupmgafde3fJC4U99iJXpOKjnEpq/s990/PITCH_SPEEDS.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="580" data-original-width="990" height="374" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHGJaI8wNLciCipA5VOWjim8t_qx9q2Wn0uKo4slj4KmLL9EKxzYFYGsrhbdX29keqoQ_Wn6wB-05ZAfCKTGX6aNeiNwEMort9b0SS2-NjqAaqTr7NQbewfcXFAWUd-ixOK6VHzx_GO2r7-LvvLHcbjvXyrupmgafde3fJC4U99iJXpOKjnEpq/w640-h374/PITCH_SPEEDS.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Fastball frequency is down more than 12%. Sliders are up almost 8%. Cutters are up 5% versus a decade ago. However curveballs and changeups are unchanged.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEienlfp-bbNmMdr1eW157azX_POgTGOX5LI6L3ujHvFcYYkf7SKhkBMvj9xk0Fp0LeDB9EheX8kVyz6rYJrjwVP6ZAvi1ofidXFwccyDjCeZAMU1BOOovYEzIAHTFLPOXdbSJ5MhBhPtXyf56nCikk62J5Zxvbgjbwnn8QtwuTRVg5HrgJ_OSS3/s1057/PITCH_FREQ.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="611" data-original-width="1057" height="370" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEienlfp-bbNmMdr1eW157azX_POgTGOX5LI6L3ujHvFcYYkf7SKhkBMvj9xk0Fp0LeDB9EheX8kVyz6rYJrjwVP6ZAvi1ofidXFwccyDjCeZAMU1BOOovYEzIAHTFLPOXdbSJ5MhBhPtXyf56nCikk62J5Zxvbgjbwnn8QtwuTRVg5HrgJ_OSS3/w640-h370/PITCH_FREQ.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>All of this data points to system wide changes to how game actions are executed. These changes have occurred over almost a full generation. As of this writing, the 2023 rule changes/pitch clock additions changed base running and defensive alignments. Yet players' approach at the plate and the way pitchers pitch remains so far unchanged. The game is faster, pace of play is down yet the type of baseball we've been watching in recent years remains the same. Will this change in the next 5 -10 years? </div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-22367993783889574032023-11-03T09:11:00.004-05:002023-11-03T09:30:02.026-05:00Winter 2022-23 Recap - Part III - The Drivers<p>Part I and II recapped the <a href="https://sabolscience.blogspot.com/2023/10/winter-2022-23-recap-part-i-numbers.html">temperatures</a> and <a href="https://sabolscience.blogspot.com/2023/10/winter-2022-23-recap-part-ii-snowfall.html">snowfall</a> for last winter. Why did these temperatures and snowfall occur? What were the individual drivers of each period last winter? I am sure I will miss some features in this long post so let me know. We start in October with our first snowfall of the season.</p><p>Strong cold front with a ton of vorticity spun up over the Great Lakes. Temperatures at 1000 feet off the ground (850 mB level) dropped to between -4 and -6 the night of October 18th.</p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBIeQW9yPG3MroLAMJrVpGKyYW-hll-sj_e44MWhhQfL-O_N-RZlnjYxCAQWUGJiGdXcNFxBKLwYbcRbXuBd1aIv9bQ64L-gjcDJhMQYAgNelMRoTWHMXR8kn5JoCVyGULB-ITbhT4_rfE2GqQzx0DtlVOwBhaeZ9dS0n6rWa6aF0ncXXzIyiv/s984/vort_10182022.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBIeQW9yPG3MroLAMJrVpGKyYW-hll-sj_e44MWhhQfL-O_N-RZlnjYxCAQWUGJiGdXcNFxBKLwYbcRbXuBd1aIv9bQ64L-gjcDJhMQYAgNelMRoTWHMXR8kn5JoCVyGULB-ITbhT4_rfE2GqQzx0DtlVOwBhaeZ9dS0n6rWa6aF0ncXXzIyiv/w400-h329/vort_10182022.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Vorticity </td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHPiZ6EQD7TL_iQzqeH0U72eTaTj42tgSnD4JRk2E667rFgZ2CaDF3Dbtbo0DpyVtj9ghkPb1BTT6HxjrqBld7N2LzI0FGwUd7vkyLw-t82-gF3YnlMPVllXKtPuPdz7qMmFBVA-4tFu4ooyaDBSdiDe9A062IByl9xU-PlP3EqE-o1JqCfVjs/s984/850T_10182022.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHPiZ6EQD7TL_iQzqeH0U72eTaTj42tgSnD4JRk2E667rFgZ2CaDF3Dbtbo0DpyVtj9ghkPb1BTT6HxjrqBld7N2LzI0FGwUd7vkyLw-t82-gF3YnlMPVllXKtPuPdz7qMmFBVA-4tFu4ooyaDBSdiDe9A062IByl9xU-PlP3EqE-o1JqCfVjs/w400-h329/850T_10182022.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">850 mB temperatures</td></tr></tbody></table><br />500 mB height anomalies were extremely low and deep<br /><p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1r3E_OGB-yK2dDJhyBSCWcozX8AhCLqQhM9_meamf_KSK9s2VpnDJnJMTKk4guQWMNeZQ6Ny2l_ygRtSIkUalH6RH_3pqEiFC5XSftRlRWcytqOh09J-Ae8CvZ8gnmDxNJNNwlcU5h8RiIHy7enNzETKRexg51qRl61d4LEQqK10jOA6Kj8V4/s984/height_anom_10182022.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1r3E_OGB-yK2dDJhyBSCWcozX8AhCLqQhM9_meamf_KSK9s2VpnDJnJMTKk4guQWMNeZQ6Ny2l_ygRtSIkUalH6RH_3pqEiFC5XSftRlRWcytqOh09J-Ae8CvZ8gnmDxNJNNwlcU5h8RiIHy7enNzETKRexg51qRl61d4LEQqK10jOA6Kj8V4/w400-h329/height_anom_10182022.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">500 mB height anomalies</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><p></p><p>Cold temperatures were widespread across the central US and Ohio Valley</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWbxawBieuUqnJ3TsqvKeZduyPCYVhC75DYnvCGIPzmI4ogBS-Jv6O2tshYS1zhhjy-bhZdnC6fGIZRV3YtWGHxXa_FGyoxLmO3agrpWhdJqCBGV5cwF5AQHbmxQhEUQOlrdOWH-VqXbcfMPL3fGEX_5_49djavmGGlQja-c3YLEQ-on4jYKwQ/s984/850T_anom_10182022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWbxawBieuUqnJ3TsqvKeZduyPCYVhC75DYnvCGIPzmI4ogBS-Jv6O2tshYS1zhhjy-bhZdnC6fGIZRV3YtWGHxXa_FGyoxLmO3agrpWhdJqCBGV5cwF5AQHbmxQhEUQOlrdOWH-VqXbcfMPL3fGEX_5_49djavmGGlQja-c3YLEQ-on4jYKwQ/w400-h329/850T_anom_10182022.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>This resulted in light accumulations across the eastern 1/2 of northern Ohio</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCSzUsnJDOe6xADxrUBvR_pPPofP9BYjQdwoFTgNbw38q6J2mioq6A_A06vrkIDssTpvZbgG0U8isKqAlVrRMnJcqlQtnv4DJ576kebx9L4syV-RwBiBl38wghKTu-rFJuGfCnJtUsIc9n9TwpN3OtO3mdu8s7iBOYJfFqdyCiFt3osotMHmXT/s1200/1018-202022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCSzUsnJDOe6xADxrUBvR_pPPofP9BYjQdwoFTgNbw38q6J2mioq6A_A06vrkIDssTpvZbgG0U8isKqAlVrRMnJcqlQtnv4DJ576kebx9L4syV-RwBiBl38wghKTu-rFJuGfCnJtUsIc9n9TwpN3OtO3mdu8s7iBOYJfFqdyCiFt3osotMHmXT/w640-h360/1018-202022.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDAJBqA0Kp_pntBqtE0jyLnRDfK9uhYDY_vRzJMgoYx62Avb0LodZYd5_npApy0CPG67m4TvR4RetJE1wMDN1K4owtIyL763r0Fg4Es9T_Tq2LPrJZiOOar83VF-3hhyphenhyphenWhyphenhyphen4Lkjqgq7CofDH-bPDpf11jMwsAxhGBB5D43dZYkcMSGCf00d2SY/s1500/10192022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="978" data-original-width="1500" height="418" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDAJBqA0Kp_pntBqtE0jyLnRDfK9uhYDY_vRzJMgoYx62Avb0LodZYd5_npApy0CPG67m4TvR4RetJE1wMDN1K4owtIyL763r0Fg4Es9T_Tq2LPrJZiOOar83VF-3hhyphenhyphenWhyphenhyphen4Lkjqgq7CofDH-bPDpf11jMwsAxhGBB5D43dZYkcMSGCf00d2SY/w640-h418/10192022.png" width="640" /></a></div>By November, the pattern became more variable. First 10 days of the month featured well above normal temperatures followed by a sharp cold spell then another milder stretch around Thanksgiving.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghGU9QjHGH2H85-tkhNCxmdVSkzWdgiyCEHKsQ_9SnN_y-vmVUA-rEwEVrjVOVTuIhNiHQGVA4y7RmsozkQ88fHMrWZBrhu60TS7mMq7rGR5BlYY41Sehez5t7d7Fc9Wa3SBPPtom2pmayeus__hNdQFXZzPxGBX5ufl0PN52J5unpnCICjQJT/s1200/nov2022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghGU9QjHGH2H85-tkhNCxmdVSkzWdgiyCEHKsQ_9SnN_y-vmVUA-rEwEVrjVOVTuIhNiHQGVA4y7RmsozkQ88fHMrWZBrhu60TS7mMq7rGR5BlYY41Sehez5t7d7Fc9Wa3SBPPtom2pmayeus__hNdQFXZzPxGBX5ufl0PN52J5unpnCICjQJT/w640-h360/nov2022.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>The pattern across the country was about as polar opposite west to east as it can get during the first half of November. HUGE ridge and warmth across the east, trough and cold west</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4BD9NyxJ4ihgT4OkqJEZcxAsBrnM6qUutT4B0tRNG8mltSiTWerf0aM-eYzE7ro7UwNeQckXEDAoedhA8ImTLrAzMTTNBPYpNJCTcn1ImKxueyaAhK9sjiYQwVyp6udDq056zgbwBv3XMn4_h0bB1U3EEQAoE3dUgrmhBlv7luTAuBCRahoc-/s1172/1101-15.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="523" data-original-width="1172" height="286" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4BD9NyxJ4ihgT4OkqJEZcxAsBrnM6qUutT4B0tRNG8mltSiTWerf0aM-eYzE7ro7UwNeQckXEDAoedhA8ImTLrAzMTTNBPYpNJCTcn1ImKxueyaAhK9sjiYQwVyp6udDq056zgbwBv3XMn4_h0bB1U3EEQAoE3dUgrmhBlv7luTAuBCRahoc-/w640-h286/1101-15.gif" width="640" /></a></div>The pattern flipped the second half of the month. <div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLIAkuhmRyaH-SRClluZRImGiTzMBS71_XvkXP6gxkCxorDqYhQsFmkjpS1M_kTd_XQNvOWzswN8ih_kafDZTAtegT-uet6w5oAwtcgJ7d3XxrivFxhhjbEWz5DxIkfGxStM5dOdK5QFa8CEbTZh-hcOonFyxOPF2x_ZHoPtlSCFoHE0PkksOv/s1191/1116-30.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="518" data-original-width="1191" height="278" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLIAkuhmRyaH-SRClluZRImGiTzMBS71_XvkXP6gxkCxorDqYhQsFmkjpS1M_kTd_XQNvOWzswN8ih_kafDZTAtegT-uet6w5oAwtcgJ7d3XxrivFxhhjbEWz5DxIkfGxStM5dOdK5QFa8CEbTZh-hcOonFyxOPF2x_ZHoPtlSCFoHE0PkksOv/w640-h278/1116-30.gif" width="640" /></a></div>The first week of November was incredibly warm and snow free. By the middle of the month, temperatures averaged in the 30s for 10 straight days with frequent snowfall.<div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlTebrHIa-6qjl-WIZPmYhJqUGBfWi3eU5SgXcjpn69TWu2AyYzijosrA7xY1ffjTmq3rPtKfQ-wcgSnzjVpXZE71_qibjeexLkm15fdFDEUbDZktTuoItaHxCQXCnVpP2zPPMX4p9bFipMDcX0l7YUsRZORxtdrcSLFu4Mpa1ks9-U7uYgJOj/s1200/nov12-20.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlTebrHIa-6qjl-WIZPmYhJqUGBfWi3eU5SgXcjpn69TWu2AyYzijosrA7xY1ffjTmq3rPtKfQ-wcgSnzjVpXZE71_qibjeexLkm15fdFDEUbDZktTuoItaHxCQXCnVpP2zPPMX4p9bFipMDcX0l7YUsRZORxtdrcSLFu4Mpa1ks9-U7uYgJOj/w640-h360/nov12-20.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>The last 7 days of November temperatures moderated. Snowfall was sporatic</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPVdXmyrjy6ex_yrKNtdQtrjsVRQrq8he0Yx_VuFbCgd86KCzGP3rWM1kQcAP4itPCnrkOwH3COQEKs8WvhIPmobrQj1zfd0e9V5BgR2gX-Qbesgu5GGX64Ar6CJi3NlKIiD6wcqemgkOnrE3CHFSfZQ1qyAPB1bCyPaPZgZg81Z89U6hY_7Xf/s1200/nov21-30.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPVdXmyrjy6ex_yrKNtdQtrjsVRQrq8he0Yx_VuFbCgd86KCzGP3rWM1kQcAP4itPCnrkOwH3COQEKs8WvhIPmobrQj1zfd0e9V5BgR2gX-Qbesgu5GGX64Ar6CJi3NlKIiD6wcqemgkOnrE3CHFSfZQ1qyAPB1bCyPaPZgZg81Z89U6hY_7Xf/w640-h360/nov21-30.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Around Thanksgiving, there were indications that the middle/third week of December was trending MUCH colder than normal and the cold would be fairly widespread. A precursor to the extreme cold which invaded the central US the week of Christmas. My tweet on November 22 indicated this. The duration and day-to-day intensity of the cold was not known at that time. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLG_cGw1rS0uuW2uUx8bqJMIiWfKs8z0JXcDCAW6pVVrFtDD5c30OJngY-zK7lyFdPPEcnQNvWog7W_OU80vx-QucfOX4EM-VWCWhjLpalQC44JCd8QKnXIJtM5j7GpsWeUyL4ZjfBM7J_E0C5cwxIA-n_ECjK_zYAVscuJh01yEFuD3GWqfii/s603/nov22.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="434" data-original-width="603" height="460" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLG_cGw1rS0uuW2uUx8bqJMIiWfKs8z0JXcDCAW6pVVrFtDD5c30OJngY-zK7lyFdPPEcnQNvWog7W_OU80vx-QucfOX4EM-VWCWhjLpalQC44JCd8QKnXIJtM5j7GpsWeUyL4ZjfBM7J_E0C5cwxIA-n_ECjK_zYAVscuJh01yEFuD3GWqfii/w640-h460/nov22.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>December 12 projections started picking up on the Christmas cold.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieN6cDSptFtkbvc1anH00WrjDCXAPVyK3Pse0BC5TlAc3u1LGW4itX9YCz_0Ismlzum7vPQybk0lA86RZ1MUVsEOm3JXxo9RbdXkU4-5BeROVK22Vihu8xLAcT6_nN1Qm14Ml4X32E72KVt1CsRB3aAvOQSZBvNtSL4si4re-VefD9zkb3DyYp/s1024/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(51).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="638" data-original-width="1024" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieN6cDSptFtkbvc1anH00WrjDCXAPVyK3Pse0BC5TlAc3u1LGW4itX9YCz_0Ismlzum7vPQybk0lA86RZ1MUVsEOm3JXxo9RbdXkU4-5BeROVK22Vihu8xLAcT6_nN1Qm14Ml4X32E72KVt1CsRB3aAvOQSZBvNtSL4si4re-VefD9zkb3DyYp/w640-h398/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(51).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>By December 14, I drew up long range model comparisons to the December 25th cold in 2000.</div></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMu2bMX45GIeKsXd671jjFXG2E9G4uEti3UlNoKCjbnjtVgF8eWkjy4HMlGXfgTA1c20c3OqhNpxFIBtpFF5eBMmKbzJ25uBcF6LRv6_r5MEdGReql3WiWqTeOyaaPXepfDZmT7Z90-zX5vjQ9umpFh0uaEFc0tODnQZ_Cyu875H98VWKVIaVd/s1167/EURO12252022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="962" data-original-width="1167" height="528" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMu2bMX45GIeKsXd671jjFXG2E9G4uEti3UlNoKCjbnjtVgF8eWkjy4HMlGXfgTA1c20c3OqhNpxFIBtpFF5eBMmKbzJ25uBcF6LRv6_r5MEdGReql3WiWqTeOyaaPXepfDZmT7Z90-zX5vjQ9umpFh0uaEFc0tODnQZ_Cyu875H98VWKVIaVd/w640-h528/EURO12252022.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>By December 19, the cold signal for Christmas week was very strong stretching across the continent.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgIP6bmnpBTir5IAzHA2QNK3aKQxxPyhBHlYjNTQPe0YT44SrAvx26k0v56ZLK6Nn33to3s3Vxo8lf2UxspUsPIgfm18ngyTr9yzrkKEemi6ulqubgugJjRyH-nJB-KTIYggicl08rYDGHrye4028VCs7v63BkIv8EMrkE9EMWZmksHC_-GBZRR/s984/1221_26.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgIP6bmnpBTir5IAzHA2QNK3aKQxxPyhBHlYjNTQPe0YT44SrAvx26k0v56ZLK6Nn33to3s3Vxo8lf2UxspUsPIgfm18ngyTr9yzrkKEemi6ulqubgugJjRyH-nJB-KTIYggicl08rYDGHrye4028VCs7v63BkIv8EMrkE9EMWZmksHC_-GBZRR/w640-h526/1221_26.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><div><br /><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEipIJKRq4NEwYoe1aMYcpWFFXW6QBq4d9RN77EhK4jINuxSWA6b2uNeEP_AEZ6Ol1sVTkCyhMyUVFrEzp8GqQqSuNtkakSG7t3iF3dpNMQiIZJDZkawptZMKLaapN4WrqLjF-uDsI7VUPH_aJlte0Jh0LvG15f3wBU7zE_DIPI1DZskMsIygEMi/s1280/NDFD%20Temp%20Fcst%20Departure.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEipIJKRq4NEwYoe1aMYcpWFFXW6QBq4d9RN77EhK4jINuxSWA6b2uNeEP_AEZ6Ol1sVTkCyhMyUVFrEzp8GqQqSuNtkakSG7t3iF3dpNMQiIZJDZkawptZMKLaapN4WrqLjF-uDsI7VUPH_aJlte0Jh0LvG15f3wBU7zE_DIPI1DZskMsIygEMi/w640-h360/NDFD%20Temp%20Fcst%20Departure.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /></div><div>Our forecast 5 days before the cold!</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgkKOfNeWOhx59QbmTW-2JHdYhG8gBs3uk661e4Wh5t5XDHMDZFP7jH17n88IRfVfiazoZ7-7yWuR7a85d7Se6yONGBhfcrLCnqW_Tdi4PkZQVzGn7-aDotVwfq0EzxTllrQ-Bc7VoBik25nSX4CCxfYu7C6DERpwpWLHOwVT3_F_wbNgBrJLQb/s1244/SNOW%20Headlines.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="717" data-original-width="1244" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgkKOfNeWOhx59QbmTW-2JHdYhG8gBs3uk661e4Wh5t5XDHMDZFP7jH17n88IRfVfiazoZ7-7yWuR7a85d7Se6yONGBhfcrLCnqW_Tdi4PkZQVzGn7-aDotVwfq0EzxTllrQ-Bc7VoBik25nSX4CCxfYu7C6DERpwpWLHOwVT3_F_wbNgBrJLQb/w640-h368/SNOW%20Headlines.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Cold extended into central Florida<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiONSHrZdiWLsndBYujDbbPUTfxPxW4Z2ZM34XA5KwFwPBcGff8l5mn9phRjwQ6j5L5Yzm_faL0_6rxWulNjPb99k6Vu9v2di1BxT9V2SYa9nhYn1K7T86Byub2bzDZGJWPfBgEId5er6t9c9blfXETyus8TGMFsPtABbcNbyp3OYO61j4sAdL/s984/sundayFLA.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiONSHrZdiWLsndBYujDbbPUTfxPxW4Z2ZM34XA5KwFwPBcGff8l5mn9phRjwQ6j5L5Yzm_faL0_6rxWulNjPb99k6Vu9v2di1BxT9V2SYa9nhYn1K7T86Byub2bzDZGJWPfBgEId5er6t9c9blfXETyus8TGMFsPtABbcNbyp3OYO61j4sAdL/w640-h526/sundayFLA.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Progression of the cold across the central US</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgkxBXwkloGBvbTfZZAlwtKWakzf1-AdGvNXP60XeNwgOz5GwTxvpod1KYdUd58MYbII4X7YsIhAviQcZGztvFtvSib9R71GOmvRuhfeMcJH1erh2oG_rZhF090Se46hsU8wvA6EWwLPFFcw3cDTR7jfrrTRMUt5cg1IinB1boMXQoExF0ost6u/s984/OH_valley-WC.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgkxBXwkloGBvbTfZZAlwtKWakzf1-AdGvNXP60XeNwgOz5GwTxvpod1KYdUd58MYbII4X7YsIhAviQcZGztvFtvSib9R71GOmvRuhfeMcJH1erh2oG_rZhF090Se46hsU8wvA6EWwLPFFcw3cDTR7jfrrTRMUt5cg1IinB1boMXQoExF0ost6u/w640-h526/OH_valley-WC.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><p>Snowfall forecast for northern Ohio</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhz2_vYjEPigJJN6yzCh4fjeOTyPUOgR6yniVU1Ba-nbneYvY8DFNuSky7KPdBQcW3JToGjr94dKdwhQNqPzdnThu0fMqoa0R0l6kZtUYYs6KgA6wVdLoiwfgZeCmqRrE_BVwEmN3r2Kxjl9uNh-Ysm_0aWY9WNhSvMbFMUl0xf8W18Rm19kdBE/s988/nohrsc_sf72hour_end_122512z.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="487" data-original-width="988" height="317" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhz2_vYjEPigJJN6yzCh4fjeOTyPUOgR6yniVU1Ba-nbneYvY8DFNuSky7KPdBQcW3JToGjr94dKdwhQNqPzdnThu0fMqoa0R0l6kZtUYYs6KgA6wVdLoiwfgZeCmqRrE_BVwEmN3r2Kxjl9uNh-Ysm_0aWY9WNhSvMbFMUl0xf8W18Rm19kdBE/w640-h317/nohrsc_sf72hour_end_122512z.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Wave height on Lake Erie</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIlplSf53_PcE63Uk1wmztDsrlOCkuM-RqmRvZxLg8jeUqfEwrNNXWKuwRd7HJDFuVgJcseoHfiJv3CJsuE3DugLbuGtv9d0h-oMKmAPm5ZLMDL8bJz_bMfPi7356lAGfL47JjA3IngH0AyrhNyBdUVAL15620JpcHx3JS_6Sk20K5o9VMvYPQ/s711/Record_2022_12_23_07_59_04_904.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="432" data-original-width="711" height="388" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIlplSf53_PcE63Uk1wmztDsrlOCkuM-RqmRvZxLg8jeUqfEwrNNXWKuwRd7HJDFuVgJcseoHfiJv3CJsuE3DugLbuGtv9d0h-oMKmAPm5ZLMDL8bJz_bMfPi7356lAGfL47JjA3IngH0AyrhNyBdUVAL15620JpcHx3JS_6Sk20K5o9VMvYPQ/w640-h388/Record_2022_12_23_07_59_04_904.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>December temperatures were overall below normal with a quick rise by New Years Day.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDA1iZllfd_MGydn76P72ISy-G8OGecLxd5YdjYLWFAMLH419GBIql1mUzQt4xV9rtFXUL_KohJXeLVdocRjefjkcQ4lUmv8c9XEwkGx-KQ2vJWH4Q5n9dXekHDRhllZkklQb8NJkIAYfXNgjN7W_BWATdMLKXm0Xs1AcV6RODYfQwzXlKLXxy/s1200/dec_temps.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDA1iZllfd_MGydn76P72ISy-G8OGecLxd5YdjYLWFAMLH419GBIql1mUzQt4xV9rtFXUL_KohJXeLVdocRjefjkcQ4lUmv8c9XEwkGx-KQ2vJWH4Q5n9dXekHDRhllZkklQb8NJkIAYfXNgjN7W_BWATdMLKXm0Xs1AcV6RODYfQwzXlKLXxy/w640-h360/dec_temps.png" width="640" /></a></div><p>The ridge in the Pacific shifted north of the Arctic Circle. Trough developed across the Great Lakes and then the COLD. Strong Greenland ridge developed.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1StrLffe3XGdW7Z6pkfGOK_jwpbmLZ3iEBV9VT8jz5El555Wuu00t1q59WO5kXAZ53emQEW72ZkL1s0IQrjFOdmfgwWMiw7VFl4IT4EsmxSBqBxw0I1NLYJetIdfaXZSnR22BQ7sTPOOExojuA_OhbYoGNFQZqEWGFfOXihhoCZWJD5zWgXNv/s1792/dec1-15.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="672" data-original-width="1792" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1StrLffe3XGdW7Z6pkfGOK_jwpbmLZ3iEBV9VT8jz5El555Wuu00t1q59WO5kXAZ53emQEW72ZkL1s0IQrjFOdmfgwWMiw7VFl4IT4EsmxSBqBxw0I1NLYJetIdfaXZSnR22BQ7sTPOOExojuA_OhbYoGNFQZqEWGFfOXihhoCZWJD5zWgXNv/w640-h240/dec1-15.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div>The Northern Atlantic and Arctic pressure pattern were strongly negative as the Greenland ridge strengthened. (Blue bars below)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhiP50aStyQtcMw824MVKgBnrnRZczFQA7wwXJI_1DA8vmz7H71Id_mhHqFkK4tQDi_yU4UqjkGV4qFZtk3DWIA05pz0fGI1MyVJCzFDpMWD_Jz24ZRjvIwqhj_xi8_Ndai4g9_jB606y-_ZCumOsQlOtF-8i2lWDGOjiTpwtCiceVmShKbuWUy/s980/AO.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="648" data-original-width="980" height="265" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhiP50aStyQtcMw824MVKgBnrnRZczFQA7wwXJI_1DA8vmz7H71Id_mhHqFkK4tQDi_yU4UqjkGV4qFZtk3DWIA05pz0fGI1MyVJCzFDpMWD_Jz24ZRjvIwqhj_xi8_Ndai4g9_jB606y-_ZCumOsQlOtF-8i2lWDGOjiTpwtCiceVmShKbuWUy/w400-h265/AO.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVR3oAgeLtvEZcjat7Mpq552OA-LJ24K1HXs3JfiXCqGoFZB1CfaKsDrT37fa4g00JK4BzFHrHePJxY0DCzIsCuTYH5Cjz1W3uxKtBTLzm1tlgpdA2voT0Ur9OF_H76oxNSb5hpc20LLi-33IwHXdgDK3j4GUNM7lpxeugdys0fPxfoqbb_Qat/s948/NAO.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="603" data-original-width="948" height="255" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVR3oAgeLtvEZcjat7Mpq552OA-LJ24K1HXs3JfiXCqGoFZB1CfaKsDrT37fa4g00JK4BzFHrHePJxY0DCzIsCuTYH5Cjz1W3uxKtBTLzm1tlgpdA2voT0Ur9OF_H76oxNSb5hpc20LLi-33IwHXdgDK3j4GUNM7lpxeugdys0fPxfoqbb_Qat/w400-h255/NAO.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijfohfkcHI6FJq8imGGtuRWphq_0amuT4hLbuz76yEQS7t3vFkVw292yKBw8YOogJ4_cE2Ei1Wrd9VgcwXeXyxDHaR5ipCA2bcwV9EDFMLZb5V1fRyTQlqfcPixrsgTHhJN1eBUlhYOyWGlhs4CMPRSbQOwuBuBa2fXPmzmirRModEGDaUfWFk/s510/image001.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="269" data-original-width="510" height="211" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijfohfkcHI6FJq8imGGtuRWphq_0amuT4hLbuz76yEQS7t3vFkVw292yKBw8YOogJ4_cE2Ei1Wrd9VgcwXeXyxDHaR5ipCA2bcwV9EDFMLZb5V1fRyTQlqfcPixrsgTHhJN1eBUlhYOyWGlhs4CMPRSbQOwuBuBa2fXPmzmirRModEGDaUfWFk/w400-h211/image001.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Arctic Oscillation Phases</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div><br /></div></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiy_zGSNuzFw0u0Fkq73-smeJUSA6jC9GCclTQf1OTxc42keCbkU6rCAsh0xkmRBUStYVjYs6WK5jfHsvw1btx4UUc394hEFrarSAO3mzN4tFr151PgfIK0EMc7_2sQ3gr9f7KeUAsszsuUe07yIJJpfQSKakYs9PWkCcDdKWHaxcy3ptYhyphenhyphenCqc/s555/nao%20diagram.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="555" data-original-width="522" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiy_zGSNuzFw0u0Fkq73-smeJUSA6jC9GCclTQf1OTxc42keCbkU6rCAsh0xkmRBUStYVjYs6WK5jfHsvw1btx4UUc394hEFrarSAO3mzN4tFr151PgfIK0EMc7_2sQ3gr9f7KeUAsszsuUe07yIJJpfQSKakYs9PWkCcDdKWHaxcy3ptYhyphenhyphenCqc/w376-h400/nao%20diagram.jpg" width="376" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">North Atlantic Oscillation Phases</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>The Greenland block historically correlates to colder temperatures across the eastern US. This matched up with late December.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiESzyiyMlk4O85Y8soHBiRiVbVGTPhyQOEwyqBTYnf0yVlF5aMwU3Tra-4FpnOXFi-HzktzY3ZMCOPUcUiLnTGpwA7VtxI9PoVPireE9wPmVD7dR7ns5DG7IjZ3MNSG5UNldJJa2rPcDTR8ba_FsVJ7I_rLTnRlNR22ulcVZn7XxAFseETW3iS/s640/Screen_Shot_2022_11_27_at_8_12_23_AM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="514" data-original-width="640" height="514" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiESzyiyMlk4O85Y8soHBiRiVbVGTPhyQOEwyqBTYnf0yVlF5aMwU3Tra-4FpnOXFi-HzktzY3ZMCOPUcUiLnTGpwA7VtxI9PoVPireE9wPmVD7dR7ns5DG7IjZ3MNSG5UNldJJa2rPcDTR8ba_FsVJ7I_rLTnRlNR22ulcVZn7XxAFseETW3iS/w640-h514/Screen_Shot_2022_11_27_at_8_12_23_AM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">By January, a HUGE northern Pacific ridge developed locking in a milder pattern across the eastern US</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheSmXZESE-_oI_4HoIt1vnK7JxY8-6U9wH7X-PZWj84K3_aL-18ClSfglr5pCLfXWOseni8emuHnJPZGRVvvm7RJuw5OV1tUsf1L3lYCR_6ZUz1go8SEDxb4MbqfYuFL-hCfcEbYWGTgFUakXq9urudnRaeo3g-Y8-e0yi-MUf2AUxK3lZwVlI/s955/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(14).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="704" data-original-width="955" height="472" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheSmXZESE-_oI_4HoIt1vnK7JxY8-6U9wH7X-PZWj84K3_aL-18ClSfglr5pCLfXWOseni8emuHnJPZGRVvvm7RJuw5OV1tUsf1L3lYCR_6ZUz1go8SEDxb4MbqfYuFL-hCfcEbYWGTgFUakXq9urudnRaeo3g-Y8-e0yi-MUf2AUxK3lZwVlI/w640-h472/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(14).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: left;">The polar vortex rapidly strengthened in January. By early January, the pattern was showing signs of what we experienced in November. Fast moving systems with frequent changes in the temperature with little extreme cold. </div><span style="text-align: left;"><br /></span></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaHGuhWN4rD2xVqlNFqVDrUEyyhFXZbkm5bEUUd9aMSpIZ3DZwBKmvcW8InhbtiWrsVsvolLSwriv0UiYzLAu1SB94JUCU3Y2XXFgcAd_ZvnOKwcGoo1Jv3XCsIEfhptsEN996zwrk-vBvRWW-WBiW28hB5gDowAWn4bS-wDba97XmDbXHl7Ed/s640/hgt_ao_cdas.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="640" data-original-width="549" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaHGuhWN4rD2xVqlNFqVDrUEyyhFXZbkm5bEUUd9aMSpIZ3DZwBKmvcW8InhbtiWrsVsvolLSwriv0UiYzLAu1SB94JUCU3Y2XXFgcAd_ZvnOKwcGoo1Jv3XCsIEfhptsEN996zwrk-vBvRWW-WBiW28hB5gDowAWn4bS-wDba97XmDbXHl7Ed/s320/hgt_ao_cdas.png" width="275" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Greenland Block (ridge circled in black) weakened for most of January and February. NAO shot up.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUwJE8ad0P2nRbCmFwFa1NWAlZ4cF6a2IHD116RgaXqx-PMRRmRtqkVwAvw8gMf7KRc-JhOXpN-N1AkCcfbiRJ7J4g6ACsnxo9950LYerr_DUqs7-DxtsDe678DnuthJQEBCMA3s7plm7RN-yQu70Vbhh_b97L6W_V6IUopFSFprc-yDwpJ2xi/s948/NAO1.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="603" data-original-width="948" height="255" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUwJE8ad0P2nRbCmFwFa1NWAlZ4cF6a2IHD116RgaXqx-PMRRmRtqkVwAvw8gMf7KRc-JhOXpN-N1AkCcfbiRJ7J4g6ACsnxo9950LYerr_DUqs7-DxtsDe678DnuthJQEBCMA3s7plm7RN-yQu70Vbhh_b97L6W_V6IUopFSFprc-yDwpJ2xi/w400-h255/NAO1.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>Temperatures across much of eastern North America and US went well above normal. Here is the progression from late December through February.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVwQ6mtawyGrIRwEwAhn2ftYxotckVoF4oMmZjtx6NAzL_IvZKUvv9k9M5FzHMPkGrVHP7X7WT12odoj-ZKBZ2CUiGAhmEW0A2m2mSg4X_oDLf0uez751-I-aQtL9EEc73Qo8sa5pPVIt_ptFbEsALhe-Jz6tF8fL_BImI2dgaLYRKcCjsN_hc/s700/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(13).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVwQ6mtawyGrIRwEwAhn2ftYxotckVoF4oMmZjtx6NAzL_IvZKUvv9k9M5FzHMPkGrVHP7X7WT12odoj-ZKBZ2CUiGAhmEW0A2m2mSg4X_oDLf0uez751-I-aQtL9EEc73Qo8sa5pPVIt_ptFbEsALhe-Jz6tF8fL_BImI2dgaLYRKcCjsN_hc/w640-h496/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(13).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div>Overall temperature ranks over the two month period were top 5 across much of the eastern US.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDikN2onv9N8_cu2IKZOB81ixuHf1AyuFF63KNmXLOod17EwroD3Ba3SpFJLHzwdB7zrUmHVbw2lk5IH2OZMMLdAn7n5sniisSRCE9CnJKnPUx2ysYgABFLopbrG-gLMivkP1cedEQfVImi6-bOxti5Kv2wzUw4-PYgOuEf50dPDhTtTH_lruJ/s1200/Temp_ranks.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDikN2onv9N8_cu2IKZOB81ixuHf1AyuFF63KNmXLOod17EwroD3Ba3SpFJLHzwdB7zrUmHVbw2lk5IH2OZMMLdAn7n5sniisSRCE9CnJKnPUx2ysYgABFLopbrG-gLMivkP1cedEQfVImi6-bOxti5Kv2wzUw4-PYgOuEf50dPDhTtTH_lruJ/w640-h360/Temp_ranks.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>January temperatures vs normal for Cleveland. Notice most days were in the 40s and 50s.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitPkNuJopmgijGgk1mPG7iexVsxfJeREFm4zMrSGaqwj5BYHHPwwz9udeZnN4hvOK_UP_8hOv4-0wzipU86ClhgUCX3WqtlgAWZlJAMgtLKltVvgDkfBq_lAgfuWOaWNtPL2Gmr0zewtRfhfyJtdl_RagOrPIrI1ojDoNFYO34yNXAbAkuBWJq/s1200/jan2023.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitPkNuJopmgijGgk1mPG7iexVsxfJeREFm4zMrSGaqwj5BYHHPwwz9udeZnN4hvOK_UP_8hOv4-0wzipU86ClhgUCX3WqtlgAWZlJAMgtLKltVvgDkfBq_lAgfuWOaWNtPL2Gmr0zewtRfhfyJtdl_RagOrPIrI1ojDoNFYO34yNXAbAkuBWJq/w640-h360/jan2023.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>February temperatures vs normal for Cleveland. More 50s and a few 60s.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiw3DniGNmEKabfveZNiO6K9dXkVF5fBU0LY-KU7A9YGLBG56uY3OLNkSELzQbRnZOmJ9AonPEteR_KCpFhaCwuTEoNDRQ_dF8qqmxYwdNvdqvO3-uyoorVP0_RrKFyYQVH7q8h_T2xMt_Kdza6wcah-OwNVrYAzPaag8jT-RGOyI8MVYvAolih/s1200/feb2023.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiw3DniGNmEKabfveZNiO6K9dXkVF5fBU0LY-KU7A9YGLBG56uY3OLNkSELzQbRnZOmJ9AonPEteR_KCpFhaCwuTEoNDRQ_dF8qqmxYwdNvdqvO3-uyoorVP0_RrKFyYQVH7q8h_T2xMt_Kdza6wcah-OwNVrYAzPaag8jT-RGOyI8MVYvAolih/w640-h360/feb2023.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>December through February were some of the cloudiest winter periods on record for parts of the Great Lakes and New England. H/T Brian Brettschneider</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-qPP17easOuGmmH9y_bN5FFz-2CZyR3hIfxCCKZCg8uSMpK0bGdtdq4vzfF-VL6lLlV8mPpWh_uKxxQdSG8g-DsN5JHu7ynSLv8nIOuh5S-zd4hjOKZi_KyE_0KyH1_XlvWBBLCfqcLA2KQOl6PTnQ_BX9bDXtakoamQg63NKuLRtNWubXnJu/s1074/solar_winter2022-23.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="831" data-original-width="1074" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-qPP17easOuGmmH9y_bN5FFz-2CZyR3hIfxCCKZCg8uSMpK0bGdtdq4vzfF-VL6lLlV8mPpWh_uKxxQdSG8g-DsN5JHu7ynSLv8nIOuh5S-zd4hjOKZi_KyE_0KyH1_XlvWBBLCfqcLA2KQOl6PTnQ_BX9bDXtakoamQg63NKuLRtNWubXnJu/w640-h496/solar_winter2022-23.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>However, by March the Greenland Block resurfaced.</div></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEGWslskyCxmpU-M0Y07clXZm1XbuqmIe2EQWYDEqtzr2o42eL9u60bKjTxlQffd13lAA2UhE7nfkaddtTYLS3ELPy4YagTnu87MlR6eBvRhSO9cbrzzBmi3POydwvkX4hMOGauJTQ1sMCn8xysyjWtSBGsn1wrjnxJlSoliRzxhuvU6ohd0i8/s914/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(11).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="772" data-original-width="914" height="540" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEGWslskyCxmpU-M0Y07clXZm1XbuqmIe2EQWYDEqtzr2o42eL9u60bKjTxlQffd13lAA2UhE7nfkaddtTYLS3ELPy4YagTnu87MlR6eBvRhSO9cbrzzBmi3POydwvkX4hMOGauJTQ1sMCn8xysyjWtSBGsn1wrjnxJlSoliRzxhuvU6ohd0i8/w640-h540/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(11).gif" width="640" /></a></div><div><div>The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) quickly migrated into phases 7, 8 and 1 with off-the-charts magnitude. The forecast was indicating this in late February.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCGHKM0menWAiiUHwN3zNN5hnuJhzgRHJVuELpmETR9rLL0-zXmkmGzhcmbhXFPNzQT6hqzo_vuUwU57hhDALOPsBcoJEgTkP4vsmZ-A48S6lUZYQMVgu66wThyphenhyphenWUazMomwLdDOUVm_ut2zhykbXvYFzLmETXmXKebNWS2fo-3PW4cWGB5jRd9/s540/MJO2272023.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="540" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCGHKM0menWAiiUHwN3zNN5hnuJhzgRHJVuELpmETR9rLL0-zXmkmGzhcmbhXFPNzQT6hqzo_vuUwU57hhDALOPsBcoJEgTkP4vsmZ-A48S6lUZYQMVgu66wThyphenhyphenWUazMomwLdDOUVm_ut2zhykbXvYFzLmETXmXKebNWS2fo-3PW4cWGB5jRd9/s320/MJO2272023.gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div>Actual MJO verified just as strong. These tropical changes strongly hinted at a colder March eastern US with an active storm track.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZ3qa-QbobnYdqeEBN1naomiar8kYFDouyFvWcNsNM48iT3vjNFoSEqhF4qGo_vhsOpuQEBDy2yHWzzc74qUtbXh88WrmeWvnS3GAjgmIcbphDrBmaI_lIEze9BfaMizsxAwxNy89Um5lBfxVJdwom03CIbfJIdvJN-UjECvnbp0M7Nx3OsXi3/s850/JFM_mjo.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="850" data-original-width="800" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZ3qa-QbobnYdqeEBN1naomiar8kYFDouyFvWcNsNM48iT3vjNFoSEqhF4qGo_vhsOpuQEBDy2yHWzzc74qUtbXh88WrmeWvnS3GAjgmIcbphDrBmaI_lIEze9BfaMizsxAwxNy89Um5lBfxVJdwom03CIbfJIdvJN-UjECvnbp0M7Nx3OsXi3/w602-h640/JFM_mjo.gif" width="602" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MJO phase and magnitude in March</td></tr></tbody></table><div><p>In summary, the colder March pattern shift was the result of many factors? First since mid/late February, the temperatures in the upper atmosphere had been warming over the North pole. The sudden warming in the stratosphere over the pole translates to high pressure over the north pole at the surface with colder temperatures and often a <b>weaker polar vortex</b>. (</p><p>Great graphic below showing the warming in the upper atmosphere from November through March. As the polar vortex weakened, the displacement propagated down into the lower atmosphere first in late December. It rapidly strengthened in January. <b>Then a late February warming with a downward propagation in March and again in late April</b></p><p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEglyIBdE7MNDRSOxAXHYkJSX3MxdW152qenxiPrfcjTHzFxhxikuevGKlXD81OvYRen5iDAff2vQt9F8z-39hgaDU6csnQgy0r9MOiMo7QEDjWJ8G8y1VEDi4_u2j2yN5-jiSq4VU8KVMjROcWham57stgTLA76Bugu18SJwnBrX0wJIPm2wrDC/s1398/nam_ndjfma_2022.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="560" data-original-width="1398" height="256" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEglyIBdE7MNDRSOxAXHYkJSX3MxdW152qenxiPrfcjTHzFxhxikuevGKlXD81OvYRen5iDAff2vQt9F8z-39hgaDU6csnQgy0r9MOiMo7QEDjWJ8G8y1VEDi4_u2j2yN5-jiSq4VU8KVMjROcWham57stgTLA76Bugu18SJwnBrX0wJIPm2wrDC/w640-h256/nam_ndjfma_2022.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Polar Vortex Behavior from Nov to April (red indicates weakening--colder)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><p></p><p>These changes high in the atmosphere over the pole propagate to the lower levels and further south into the tropical regions. These changes intensified the MJO (<b>Madden Julian Oscillation) as it transitions out of warmer phases (2-3-4 much of the winter) to colder phases (8-7-1)</b>. (see MJO images above) The jet stream responded with more variability off of eastern Asia east over the northern Pacific and into North America. This has resulted in <b>high pressure developing near Alaska</b> and<b> low pressure undercutting north of Hawaii</b>. <b> Greenland high pressure</b> which reinforced the undercutting storm track strengthening the jet stream and the trough as it moved east into the Ohio Valley along with colder air. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4yLfgFpDoba3eTKuHJpxQscyceFGn1N8Tho9nq3uhMJ_BPTxufLG4GH43kHmc-7NiFmYDTt2QY48uRN1JzitPyBzsd562_JZhl_pX-oeBGQGl5-ODDwyOOj4xJj7OIVONqhk0OFKZHv3E9aR4YexHNCYJ2DQM_q3aGm0pTIb5AxywWQhLviZL/s913/march1-15.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="624" data-original-width="913" height="438" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4yLfgFpDoba3eTKuHJpxQscyceFGn1N8Tho9nq3uhMJ_BPTxufLG4GH43kHmc-7NiFmYDTt2QY48uRN1JzitPyBzsd562_JZhl_pX-oeBGQGl5-ODDwyOOj4xJj7OIVONqhk0OFKZHv3E9aR4YexHNCYJ2DQM_q3aGm0pTIb5AxywWQhLviZL/w640-h438/march1-15.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><p>Overall March temperatures vs normal. Notice little relative warmth.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEir7pGyAokVExy63m_kw9jgF8IKHLmpyzYTyQooQsC6oUv2O_52cNQLIi6vMryCmHABm_7BxA-S_L-cwBSKj-W8p7z0AGMxzp09LJo6pkNtaN0CPAxJakSeGgyON5lsninB7Z8zaF5WYVXoe9bJBEBCmWsctr8qUqLiUdDux8hXdzgPKHEhqheX/s1200/march_temps.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEir7pGyAokVExy63m_kw9jgF8IKHLmpyzYTyQooQsC6oUv2O_52cNQLIi6vMryCmHABm_7BxA-S_L-cwBSKj-W8p7z0AGMxzp09LJo6pkNtaN0CPAxJakSeGgyON5lsninB7Z8zaF5WYVXoe9bJBEBCmWsctr8qUqLiUdDux8hXdzgPKHEhqheX/w640-h360/march_temps.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>All of this occurring in a slowly decaying La Nina along the equatorial Pacific. Blue colors (cooler water)</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOo5qsTP16gfaOJU57AJd3sfeiApwxyO-m0Pd4dmaDvoAr4ZxOhadJElYjuy-YYA3AuW-3ld5rRnA9KLcy_jNpeYNCiP3K_fZjg3nx4qEMBw0DRmaa51cwJhUyxCR2Qy6Ur9ya1ijvl43iZNNhfrVyrTaiDb_GgR8HqzLgB_OA-Vjv_fEDe6FM/s1050/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(17).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="813" data-original-width="1050" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOo5qsTP16gfaOJU57AJd3sfeiApwxyO-m0Pd4dmaDvoAr4ZxOhadJElYjuy-YYA3AuW-3ld5rRnA9KLcy_jNpeYNCiP3K_fZjg3nx4qEMBw0DRmaa51cwJhUyxCR2Qy6Ur9ya1ijvl43iZNNhfrVyrTaiDb_GgR8HqzLgB_OA-Vjv_fEDe6FM/w640-h496/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(17).gif" width="640" /></a></div><p>If this late season pattern shift would have occurred 6 weeks earlier, our winter would have been MUCH different: COLD and more SNOW in January and February.</p></div><div><br /></div><div><div><br /><br /></div></div><br /></div><br />Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-56132983793938152772023-10-27T08:16:00.002-05:002023-10-27T08:16:37.542-05:00Winter 2022-23 Recap - Part II - Snowfall<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQzWRY_TQxayAY-Xa9dCGzN3m0xHRlghl_RhjxZ0gsk0q3PlyYFPhVc3YdMSUnRZSaSunRGBlPugdqLBj7moVNFmdPO-vk3DpxeK7NoHo-InsGK85UoiSbtfBfjaHHN5wPdE4uIl-Wb2JsMh09bzbIuP2sTkkX35cX_iMMEPw92CXMj5FVm1Ne/s728/january2023_snow.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="543" data-original-width="728" height="299" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQzWRY_TQxayAY-Xa9dCGzN3m0xHRlghl_RhjxZ0gsk0q3PlyYFPhVc3YdMSUnRZSaSunRGBlPugdqLBj7moVNFmdPO-vk3DpxeK7NoHo-InsGK85UoiSbtfBfjaHHN5wPdE4uIl-Wb2JsMh09bzbIuP2sTkkX35cX_iMMEPw92CXMj5FVm1Ne/w400-h299/january2023_snow.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">January 2023</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Snowfall across northern Ohio has been well below normal for 8 straight winters now.</p><p>Snow totals for northern Ohio via NWS:</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJnKilnXQ1y_Oz_xHZuYJyH9wwjcKBzpqxk5hKNP1bDbZ-9OSS2b-izO6gYUqlXOcuVRQs6Rfrh0u-4iSn87-6_nt6pHquDa48F4uYwLrbjkcerkO9LUpaAiEzUps344_lo6sTCSIQkZM1iS_EkhmMvz4E2IiIbudE_-bsrFljPsJgjeq98mvK/s705/NWS_2022-23_snowfall.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="536" data-original-width="705" height="486" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJnKilnXQ1y_Oz_xHZuYJyH9wwjcKBzpqxk5hKNP1bDbZ-9OSS2b-izO6gYUqlXOcuVRQs6Rfrh0u-4iSn87-6_nt6pHquDa48F4uYwLrbjkcerkO9LUpaAiEzUps344_lo6sTCSIQkZM1iS_EkhmMvz4E2IiIbudE_-bsrFljPsJgjeq98mvK/w640-h486/NWS_2022-23_snowfall.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><p>The last winter with above normal snowfall was 2014-15. Even that winter was only a few inches above average.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2janLthfibJNGOMyszgDjW3_joHb53Qo8MYLvEp01GcxM6tCSH7BSK6_JYtLPUnDjgUzoCsOGPZZKoquwC-yhAegBzDGAFRRtpZB7LdryurD_5EpjsnkzMW2jPl-Q8WnwexqI8pR5AbkcYjGPdOusGiTjgFocsxnQGOwg5-L6t00XPTAwEdlC/s1009/snow_vs_average.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="606" data-original-width="1009" height="384" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2janLthfibJNGOMyszgDjW3_joHb53Qo8MYLvEp01GcxM6tCSH7BSK6_JYtLPUnDjgUzoCsOGPZZKoquwC-yhAegBzDGAFRRtpZB7LdryurD_5EpjsnkzMW2jPl-Q8WnwexqI8pR5AbkcYjGPdOusGiTjgFocsxnQGOwg5-L6t00XPTAwEdlC/w640-h384/snow_vs_average.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Here is an animation showing the last 7 winters snowfall for northern Ohio. The last winter the snowfall had widespread 120" snow totals was the winter 2017-18.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7Eic5UbfUbv6pCcMJ6eMCdUVAQ8mTe2VpQjMWpt4PlmIDlKz8kQqqs-kv90aWSY2rfgWwR0mmBjTpcMoHy0-YeRErdJOPsQcwGsHcp9vK-uZ-zyZIFje8TnpkSe7B7RlGS_RIuPz2jqOjrkLpvyaR-b1NsQYx3jShTIdhYBZPLXybAw2jVVDF/s1008/snowfall_last%206%20years.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="508" data-original-width="1008" height="322" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7Eic5UbfUbv6pCcMJ6eMCdUVAQ8mTe2VpQjMWpt4PlmIDlKz8kQqqs-kv90aWSY2rfgWwR0mmBjTpcMoHy0-YeRErdJOPsQcwGsHcp9vK-uZ-zyZIFje8TnpkSe7B7RlGS_RIuPz2jqOjrkLpvyaR-b1NsQYx3jShTIdhYBZPLXybAw2jVVDF/w640-h322/snowfall_last%206%20years.gif" width="640" /></a></div><p>2014-15 winter snowfall totals. The last well above normal snowfall winter.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgd8CDYWpWjfHDX2tJSfRCmbKLYpjq0FXxzWLPRsafrRMBaod2hJ2WCF7JEh2F1wnPzujTZ1MNXHB15QYicn6LQ84Ao71A3WpCrGmdHiUFPX2kmtXEOFD57tMMzqnxtGq9GsogmCIuqqpMDLt5FsbTfEzGCSGSa8fSF9eyMD7TZzrn5TsZBWWzG/s760/Snowcolor1415.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="501" data-original-width="760" height="422" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgd8CDYWpWjfHDX2tJSfRCmbKLYpjq0FXxzWLPRsafrRMBaod2hJ2WCF7JEh2F1wnPzujTZ1MNXHB15QYicn6LQ84Ao71A3WpCrGmdHiUFPX2kmtXEOFD57tMMzqnxtGq9GsogmCIuqqpMDLt5FsbTfEzGCSGSa8fSF9eyMD7TZzrn5TsZBWWzG/w640-h422/Snowcolor1415.png" width="640" /></a></div><p>Here are the snowfall totals going back to the late 1930s at Hopkins Airport.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-mz33AGgg_6BGXl79-mWyB9O7b7QtkK3khyPZnCX3xkrXalxvN8yeQ1yXxOB9Ny5VbFTEBo5qI37WD3EhsZB1oUTTQB3wWfoogM64PKs-WNl0_E65n7v-ek97tTQs7C3B55wGfBBW7bizslC-RYm2LPjOqeEhthbg9SHNNSOB6aCbajVPuMhL/s915/snow_NWS_cle_history.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="289" data-original-width="915" height="202" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-mz33AGgg_6BGXl79-mWyB9O7b7QtkK3khyPZnCX3xkrXalxvN8yeQ1yXxOB9Ny5VbFTEBo5qI37WD3EhsZB1oUTTQB3wWfoogM64PKs-WNl0_E65n7v-ek97tTQs7C3B55wGfBBW7bizslC-RYm2LPjOqeEhthbg9SHNNSOB6aCbajVPuMhL/w640-h202/snow_NWS_cle_history.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>Snowfall history for Cleveland since 1893 (Cleveland downtown then Hopkins Airport)<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg911sp-e6VtX_rTaKXnWthaSZ3-SzhW3cEooZW6RSAh4M5DVfkTMI_1KaVK7mDTwty-epajO8us38vmnz9RK2gdlsxK3TjU5-Mhk1NBFl0GVgd8giaa8EB79C4ur3A5S3H5BtsdKBRy8Ph131gQ1cvJcqwrznFEDVvpNc2HElYBf_7-GsTj9x-/s1762/snow_history.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="511" data-original-width="1762" height="186" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg911sp-e6VtX_rTaKXnWthaSZ3-SzhW3cEooZW6RSAh4M5DVfkTMI_1KaVK7mDTwty-epajO8us38vmnz9RK2gdlsxK3TjU5-Mhk1NBFl0GVgd8giaa8EB79C4ur3A5S3H5BtsdKBRy8Ph131gQ1cvJcqwrznFEDVvpNc2HElYBf_7-GsTj9x-/w640-h186/snow_history.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Our first snow was in late October</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjD90uJDynjOD3uc7Iqgc2mvl6wgKh5CYZX5UPCu7LZXvYgXEM-yhFW9otfln5AVr2tlPhrw9-pyDTZXWznGWdqiX3lcZjPXA48FMWQmCnW69T9FSs5_0V6urLkR7B9JQyN7ftjAjvSfKWee6EfoCPn0zYWriOowjFmC2xmeAnxU9Vujoxy1N6M/s1200/1018-202022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjD90uJDynjOD3uc7Iqgc2mvl6wgKh5CYZX5UPCu7LZXvYgXEM-yhFW9otfln5AVr2tlPhrw9-pyDTZXWznGWdqiX3lcZjPXA48FMWQmCnW69T9FSs5_0V6urLkR7B9JQyN7ftjAjvSfKWee6EfoCPn0zYWriOowjFmC2xmeAnxU9Vujoxy1N6M/w640-h360/1018-202022.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>The snow was highly localized around the Great Lakes. Most was due to lake effect.<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYDWi5wbAA8MzvX25kezRPO7BEBfnlFrHFvLHlwPVXr1ZAjxrhKvkl3avJd80hzfyIcYIiUnj8vM2LCNG8Bx1nS8Os-Z0FMAvDu7rfToijzzA0XAAL147spCLBDQzkS3iEW5q_OT8ScwLY8KcE_mT_CNpSRxLdDZSqiu1vENRHXOFxTK4ozPRb/s1500/10192022.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="978" data-original-width="1500" height="418" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYDWi5wbAA8MzvX25kezRPO7BEBfnlFrHFvLHlwPVXr1ZAjxrhKvkl3avJd80hzfyIcYIiUnj8vM2LCNG8Bx1nS8Os-Z0FMAvDu7rfToijzzA0XAAL147spCLBDQzkS3iEW5q_OT8ScwLY8KcE_mT_CNpSRxLdDZSqiu1vENRHXOFxTK4ozPRb/w640-h418/10192022.png" width="640" /></a></div><div>Western New York was hit with a huge lake effect snow event a week before Thanksgiving.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_CGhkpIj0zqfqF5BJXppWx_-LrY0gg5fmZZ31ygYaUeecKfV387A-iHtcOuesaw7qW_q9GosmQs_zCMpEoqV5IuGU5cxhgpjQEDssJ_tN3FES_ghlg7QQY7cwQT-JBIDgpKKEC2ydiHiKix-fcchd-YoR2cejaaFBAKe_QygWuBu0N1OL7hQ5/s1172/buffalo_snowTOTALS.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="950" data-original-width="1172" height="518" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_CGhkpIj0zqfqF5BJXppWx_-LrY0gg5fmZZ31ygYaUeecKfV387A-iHtcOuesaw7qW_q9GosmQs_zCMpEoqV5IuGU5cxhgpjQEDssJ_tN3FES_ghlg7QQY7cwQT-JBIDgpKKEC2ydiHiKix-fcchd-YoR2cejaaFBAKe_QygWuBu0N1OL7hQ5/w640-h518/buffalo_snowTOTALS.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>We had another snowfall around Christmas. Amounts were fairly low but widespread.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-Xsz0jF5DyW5JvBsNtBY1XwfpvXvbnpT2fZa9MzQEj5k7nWWx_lzahSTXujcOkjm5DlfH6XuPxqYLBoiW17gyODo8ow8WwTzFU7PNZ87bz78XWwidbosjKu41UJREDJqUr2diVoaPinpmqYyD3zw7H55W1FW7JY0ONkBTASOrKI1vPGyDM3e1/s988/nohrsc_sf72hour_end_122512z.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="487" data-original-width="988" height="316" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-Xsz0jF5DyW5JvBsNtBY1XwfpvXvbnpT2fZa9MzQEj5k7nWWx_lzahSTXujcOkjm5DlfH6XuPxqYLBoiW17gyODo8ow8WwTzFU7PNZ87bz78XWwidbosjKu41UJREDJqUr2diVoaPinpmqYyD3zw7H55W1FW7JY0ONkBTASOrKI1vPGyDM3e1/w640-h316/nohrsc_sf72hour_end_122512z.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>The overall winter storm track was well north of the Ohio Valley. The track of the five big snow events illustrates this very well.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYasjRzZSS8_BZwdFAUZrkH3-431jH9XTZhNI6LF5jkq523hlJfHEJCd78xUbyvfI-zplfhyKl4-e9Li1BJH4PWkzr9HLK0z0zHEWIQgdRge3xE-90TH05q4N7_I4P38W3p7gsxO3DSkeSyJQxBMxFNSMRAAukJBox6VF-uUsoCVhVDkqMuihT/s1702/snow1.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="719" data-original-width="1702" height="270" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYasjRzZSS8_BZwdFAUZrkH3-431jH9XTZhNI6LF5jkq523hlJfHEJCd78xUbyvfI-zplfhyKl4-e9Li1BJH4PWkzr9HLK0z0zHEWIQgdRge3xE-90TH05q4N7_I4P38W3p7gsxO3DSkeSyJQxBMxFNSMRAAukJBox6VF-uUsoCVhVDkqMuihT/w640-h270/snow1.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Using the winter storm severity index (<a href="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/rsi/nesis">more on that HERE</a>), the mid December snow storm was ranked the 4th worst in the last 30 years</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhyC0IG5T7NYrkd-QtpSdZ4rB8yS0CEDmnthSi77pi2ik9mAMODSVpbwcWO24zsn1aJ5_NHOQM_6XlGAa8YJyZAAObgU0dQN3N6IS1PiUxEYjAdoa4T1g2nQVXdAW8bdCywhE5YRnN7IYuBn0qW_X8lHnQMUCgSoER24xKikssIpIvaahDN1q-5/s1108/storm_ranking.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="557" data-original-width="1108" height="322" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhyC0IG5T7NYrkd-QtpSdZ4rB8yS0CEDmnthSi77pi2ik9mAMODSVpbwcWO24zsn1aJ5_NHOQM_6XlGAa8YJyZAAObgU0dQN3N6IS1PiUxEYjAdoa4T1g2nQVXdAW8bdCywhE5YRnN7IYuBn0qW_X8lHnQMUCgSoER24xKikssIpIvaahDN1q-5/w640-h322/storm_ranking.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIoo5KcwPQhlmWmjtxjebX1svPp37U6dpSSpnyRoKfbYEuk7N3TtSa07l_LMjyfRM6sxwmwa3m-eCaPmp40XMMhy-RwUYTtFoca5Q2mtBm6H0NMyANxSKdjTimqflszKkDuN_GJpbN02hxuJc4KSwV4rS05TusoG0c2lbbNRysOZCRlq9mb0Bb/s1056/20221213-20221220-8.52.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIoo5KcwPQhlmWmjtxjebX1svPp37U6dpSSpnyRoKfbYEuk7N3TtSa07l_LMjyfRM6sxwmwa3m-eCaPmp40XMMhy-RwUYTtFoca5Q2mtBm6H0NMyANxSKdjTimqflszKkDuN_GJpbN02hxuJc4KSwV4rS05TusoG0c2lbbNRysOZCRlq9mb0Bb/w640-h494/20221213-20221220-8.52.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div>Christmas week snowfall</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkDRSvgcR7K2Amr-DpYzpORNu1_HBJNp3PqBp4gtsEtVmZeqKP0ZpBw13Ddal9c_Aw_9_5LQnuyHOXDcWfY9woS0vGPZ_svqikORqvwusmRmhpp2eUag9v4slrbEXCYBSkfjyTd_qx9X6G0UwuOgWRo4mTK2FFF-dknqimjhRMG35dIDifWwW4/s1705/snow2.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="678" data-original-width="1705" height="254" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkDRSvgcR7K2Amr-DpYzpORNu1_HBJNp3PqBp4gtsEtVmZeqKP0ZpBw13Ddal9c_Aw_9_5LQnuyHOXDcWfY9woS0vGPZ_svqikORqvwusmRmhpp2eUag9v4slrbEXCYBSkfjyTd_qx9X6G0UwuOgWRo4mTK2FFF-dknqimjhRMG35dIDifWwW4/w640-h254/snow2.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Mid January snowfall<div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWKOS4pB-Y4YqTXGSKiFSbrlrCphG-RV7xJMfMEOA99GIYIAfVdzU43TW2eUeEu31T_sQ5ipp4JmCx29E6KHmTvH1QaDV538OR8GTczRAqPBwdPaKyJqkuEFWlgwdDJ1MWdl6KB7sRbKxZ5S6Yhek_-7SmF-MfGcNQsqaV9OmImnT3B-Pbhs19/s1743/snow3.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="716" data-original-width="1743" height="262" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWKOS4pB-Y4YqTXGSKiFSbrlrCphG-RV7xJMfMEOA99GIYIAfVdzU43TW2eUeEu31T_sQ5ipp4JmCx29E6KHmTvH1QaDV538OR8GTczRAqPBwdPaKyJqkuEFWlgwdDJ1MWdl6KB7sRbKxZ5S6Yhek_-7SmF-MfGcNQsqaV9OmImnT3B-Pbhs19/w640-h262/snow3.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>Late February snowfall</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJKWN0MdI2DrA8sW44bIY16PQ7M57JTgNxobJopKb8NVj4z5otuK683v0F0985TPmcD6ddukbfzHTN0tVNkOHLnu2k9wXrheF87vBNXjQAeKq16mbPRsljEK6DlVoshl6wSzRrKgcNO0gKHBTL9CL_8BCCAJB2RAbe_ddafHehHRhObz5MPy1k/s1726/snow4.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="691" data-original-width="1726" height="256" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJKWN0MdI2DrA8sW44bIY16PQ7M57JTgNxobJopKb8NVj4z5otuK683v0F0985TPmcD6ddukbfzHTN0tVNkOHLnu2k9wXrheF87vBNXjQAeKq16mbPRsljEK6DlVoshl6wSzRrKgcNO0gKHBTL9CL_8BCCAJB2RAbe_ddafHehHRhObz5MPy1k/w640-h256/snow4.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>It wasn't until mid March before the pattern changed allowing snowfall to shift south into Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania.</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHssCXEyEkq9WNPj-DbFLviR1iGlWu13em0Dkl5TZcemJVMWb8ZoEVHZ-kvHCRr7uzNytEu6tASUJ29WDeBjz5Zr51-4JRWL8W2QFbfVHS5DtUZlIFOZtqM5sxBw82ufjy5Tql2SKMuzk5hBTtYeMfLlb0CHAXDaZ0ozrYw21ObvvMSEmyQ41k/s1751/snow5.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="597" data-original-width="1751" height="218" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHssCXEyEkq9WNPj-DbFLviR1iGlWu13em0Dkl5TZcemJVMWb8ZoEVHZ-kvHCRr7uzNytEu6tASUJ29WDeBjz5Zr51-4JRWL8W2QFbfVHS5DtUZlIFOZtqM5sxBw82ufjy5Tql2SKMuzk5hBTtYeMfLlb0CHAXDaZ0ozrYw21ObvvMSEmyQ41k/w640-h218/snow5.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Really detailed animation showing snowfall vs normal from the start of the season through the end. H/T Jered Rennie</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjv19cb6opR9THzMbv0A1o60lySEbG4CN3GAA1uPlkjqVg4xG5MkF9uVrkjrpyHnVuj5OEeMqdL0dc3jHotEd9sWEeJUgTtaNgfwT9GfsnkMz_sIJ8VnnT6VhqXKf7iJaY8muqvCgwSMJWII2TnSn6hsf-nH8FUbs_d0cPyMFcc-UfaUNXeQlO-/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20-%202023-10-27T090611.756.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="375" data-original-width="600" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjv19cb6opR9THzMbv0A1o60lySEbG4CN3GAA1uPlkjqVg4xG5MkF9uVrkjrpyHnVuj5OEeMqdL0dc3jHotEd9sWEeJUgTtaNgfwT9GfsnkMz_sIJ8VnnT6VhqXKf7iJaY8muqvCgwSMJWII2TnSn6hsf-nH8FUbs_d0cPyMFcc-UfaUNXeQlO-/w640-h400/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20-%202023-10-27T090611.756.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><div><div>A closer look at the snowfall departures around the Great Lakes. Above normal snowfall from central Iowa, Wisconsin and the northern Great Lakes.(blue colors). Tan colors show below normal snowfall</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOELxlgeGa6lEorsyWHP1bslOJuCNqkvTGZ5sPtoGGfRsPFD47yT8awtQOnL2vyzvYmp_tsZ-KJY5rUh7Jg3VaoFGui0aG-HZ2wyxD3u4XXt1R-GBc1gDoYX8BTRRvEY94AVoliSX2jRaQ-NVQElEZLaLuEsaXFvrR8eetxbMT6Ia7NLZIwCv-/s1200/snow_dept.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOELxlgeGa6lEorsyWHP1bslOJuCNqkvTGZ5sPtoGGfRsPFD47yT8awtQOnL2vyzvYmp_tsZ-KJY5rUh7Jg3VaoFGui0aG-HZ2wyxD3u4XXt1R-GBc1gDoYX8BTRRvEY94AVoliSX2jRaQ-NVQElEZLaLuEsaXFvrR8eetxbMT6Ia7NLZIwCv-/w640-h360/snow_dept.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Here are the final daily snowfall/snow on the ground details for northern Ohio:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmzow3lWUjerK8HrbhAxhLK1mfG8Uibm0sMnHLbmCnych0zfgHIzi-hZamOk_tL4nhNfSjzFISl3CF3xAyL5A7hdZqJuvyPW75afTz7Z-EIr40b_yRyaTH0Be5kiRGvjy9473dQPHejsavf8sk-V6-LHlbIDJwRR_AXd2SgsmMJBvXunlslNRQ/s1280/daily_snowfalls_1inch.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmzow3lWUjerK8HrbhAxhLK1mfG8Uibm0sMnHLbmCnych0zfgHIzi-hZamOk_tL4nhNfSjzFISl3CF3xAyL5A7hdZqJuvyPW75afTz7Z-EIr40b_yRyaTH0Be5kiRGvjy9473dQPHejsavf8sk-V6-LHlbIDJwRR_AXd2SgsmMJBvXunlslNRQ/w640-h360/daily_snowfalls_1inch.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizxHVM6WRTEIgCXStZMi3z3sJvhvCE6kGRMJjtSLDRVyfvs2B_eNpR5kKDjNbi-dWqBZ0dHV2i6NvQ7YxNGWCJEo_i45jiJ_jUo3C_RXjkMyKADdKinKtU0a9S2uO6wmsvUpDnZ0jKEEt_2-lXQnLg7r4HUDJBTjq06hwCwxNC8oW0an9ftt0e/s1280/daysSOG_10_years.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizxHVM6WRTEIgCXStZMi3z3sJvhvCE6kGRMJjtSLDRVyfvs2B_eNpR5kKDjNbi-dWqBZ0dHV2i6NvQ7YxNGWCJEo_i45jiJ_jUo3C_RXjkMyKADdKinKtU0a9S2uO6wmsvUpDnZ0jKEEt_2-lXQnLg7r4HUDJBTjq06hwCwxNC8oW0an9ftt0e/w640-h360/daysSOG_10_years.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjfpzHV2jqADiaSDVEgICtWFxqIdaKar2RWNCfUM7_n47Hk4KoeBW-rpBua-g-08A5yP13QLNB98EEHkuuZz2IwxhSdcg6FEjAHetZIMr1g3uxseksIV4B45X8n2oWTssKwG9zUXGBLuMUMpq6qqGBfPsYQwto5btHVMysYUZKEBCSGcvWh6ySl/s1280/snowfall_10_years.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjfpzHV2jqADiaSDVEgICtWFxqIdaKar2RWNCfUM7_n47Hk4KoeBW-rpBua-g-08A5yP13QLNB98EEHkuuZz2IwxhSdcg6FEjAHetZIMr1g3uxseksIV4B45X8n2oWTssKwG9zUXGBLuMUMpq6qqGBfPsYQwto5btHVMysYUZKEBCSGcvWh6ySl/w640-h360/snowfall_10_years.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZOAORWGaw3RsNv6yGyrjVmfNIv7OAjsjOkRVXx560uFph1jRbH4zWT6LTWKTfAQPg748LE6mo23egmzFHuoLX3b9IpFB4Pub4fNVcYxDwwkNbnwX7hbQNlCPLNqtxjLlcTx9y9Wgrx6hSvRts1tKvh_EyPT6L3mDi5QunTAWe4-b4RpRXakYO/s1280/daysSOG_Tgiving_Xmas_10_years.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZOAORWGaw3RsNv6yGyrjVmfNIv7OAjsjOkRVXx560uFph1jRbH4zWT6LTWKTfAQPg748LE6mo23egmzFHuoLX3b9IpFB4Pub4fNVcYxDwwkNbnwX7hbQNlCPLNqtxjLlcTx9y9Wgrx6hSvRts1tKvh_EyPT6L3mDi5QunTAWe4-b4RpRXakYO/w640-h360/daysSOG_Tgiving_Xmas_10_years.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /><br /><div><br /><p><br /></p></div></div></div></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-33385805489790526182023-10-26T08:49:00.010-05:002023-10-27T08:20:41.839-05:00Winter 2022-23 Recap - Part I - Temperatures<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwTwdisjAim8kIYC-_AcqPWtlRV34nEP6_P33o6rzNKXpgPlw5bS7rvTjdP_HlhD3iUlAID8i3pRirqV5rkuy9XxaXpCBV-OTPHAu7HNqbTi-o6CpTsQE8wj83lkMppvFkQsazwo4pKFePjpXseHNp4Cyk_ueX1BSUHHJsKCC4Em_b93fLStcx/s728/january2023_snow.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="543" data-original-width="728" height="299" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwTwdisjAim8kIYC-_AcqPWtlRV34nEP6_P33o6rzNKXpgPlw5bS7rvTjdP_HlhD3iUlAID8i3pRirqV5rkuy9XxaXpCBV-OTPHAu7HNqbTi-o6CpTsQE8wj83lkMppvFkQsazwo4pKFePjpXseHNp4Cyk_ueX1BSUHHJsKCC4Em_b93fLStcx/w400-h299/january2023_snow.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>This is a recap I should have posted months ago. As we are on the eve of the FOX 8 Winter Outlook for winter 2023-24, now is a great time for a detailed recap of last winter--or the lack of winter. Below will be numerous charts bar graphs highlighting various metric we use in describing the overall winter. Most of these revolve around temperatures and snow. I like to give historical and spatial perspective with each metric. So what you will see are bar graphs (for Cleveland, Ohio - December through February unless otherwise noted) and maps (for some) highlighting some of the metrics versus normal. </p><p>Overall temperatures for northern Ohio (Cleveland) were well above normal last winter</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLgR_oxLRsSJx-hV1FOstPLaxPh0RJqkwYItnLetMbUB4B0V-yb9XRdbZcnRrDWsKEQFbSGiX8U4s1WWIQN68jZNXyNWagXd_HHZHFl7Cv0prK8wNTaig6Dx6Q-AVNeEER42dMTyuWriBNm47QSAXVU19wbCA8xbfS-oY8MQSd2EPJEAl0MRqq/s1280/winter_tempsVSnormal.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLgR_oxLRsSJx-hV1FOstPLaxPh0RJqkwYItnLetMbUB4B0V-yb9XRdbZcnRrDWsKEQFbSGiX8U4s1WWIQN68jZNXyNWagXd_HHZHFl7Cv0prK8wNTaig6Dx6Q-AVNeEER42dMTyuWriBNm47QSAXVU19wbCA8xbfS-oY8MQSd2EPJEAl0MRqq/w640-h360/winter_tempsVSnormal.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Winter 2022-23 was the 3rd warmest on record!</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0N_Ybnt6qjJJb9T5C9HSavLnX6qK_bMDFNHnlp5ZzYRr1J4CVXmHzmwA06I6OJ7bk54vNYXwZwK1enBXDfawWj1PN3EuOOjusXYM2-jhVoIZlWHv1JW8Tf1siyaRU1XS96RjEVsEeTa_onwAtQZ95ld6WW1pXETWThM4XjHKTdYV829nz_Pwm/s1853/chart%20(10).jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="640" data-original-width="1853" height="222" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0N_Ybnt6qjJJb9T5C9HSavLnX6qK_bMDFNHnlp5ZzYRr1J4CVXmHzmwA06I6OJ7bk54vNYXwZwK1enBXDfawWj1PN3EuOOjusXYM2-jhVoIZlWHv1JW8Tf1siyaRU1XS96RjEVsEeTa_onwAtQZ95ld6WW1pXETWThM4XjHKTdYV829nz_Pwm/w640-h222/chart%20(10).jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><p>Winter temperatures were well above normal for most of the Great Lakes, mid-west and Ohio Valley</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSnmdWdrz1ZkffZTJ18FWqloDz837n8pHW7GhT4-IQhndNQJ6lySgRWZSlartr9KAlIisYOc5sDcAG_2MYSV9jluY6A-oyj4JP3Lqf7z8Q0LYvYCSykMqySLDW0fREp6BDzaL8Xb32wETDReDmn7780mF-GDSz9oG28ebRIU15dMWnz0pV4M8B/s1200/temp_rank.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSnmdWdrz1ZkffZTJ18FWqloDz837n8pHW7GhT4-IQhndNQJ6lySgRWZSlartr9KAlIisYOc5sDcAG_2MYSV9jluY6A-oyj4JP3Lqf7z8Q0LYvYCSykMqySLDW0fREp6BDzaL8Xb32wETDReDmn7780mF-GDSz9oG28ebRIU15dMWnz0pV4M8B/w640-h360/temp_rank.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Overall winter temperature ranks were top 10 from Texas, the entire gulf coast and up the eastern seaboard</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJcvgB4Vi7pjHMP5oX2s7jDZ-ORFJ3afChxucHhWLOiKXKblqjDM-gAmpBattUGbDQVX91ZKD6T-RdKxN7BWknJdI5iKAl_fCYdbCpBsVeoAEUhy8Ux7EgUtrilcTSah-KzWBqqLnfxVMiuKy5I2zP5x2oZP-U5AADSpUOVvddQvK3BfE9tC3B/s1124/DJF_rankings.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="772" data-original-width="1124" height="440" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJcvgB4Vi7pjHMP5oX2s7jDZ-ORFJ3afChxucHhWLOiKXKblqjDM-gAmpBattUGbDQVX91ZKD6T-RdKxN7BWknJdI5iKAl_fCYdbCpBsVeoAEUhy8Ux7EgUtrilcTSah-KzWBqqLnfxVMiuKy5I2zP5x2oZP-U5AADSpUOVvddQvK3BfE9tC3B/w640-h440/DJF_rankings.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>68 of the 89 possible days had high temperatures above normal!<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhX-KvfGyJJH3VCgS8uKEkRRZwT1_hE7LNES5yJkQVpJiTr5KN_sJpmOCjTwLwkYLRiuGNKkHn9iQsyRhgZhha2bdqgWWe047dN_VOV2yYBY9VVEiuXZkCe_PxYeDrptcIEI5uMva2CnULT3eFrypXu2_zX6TL7RkVUh_4VsawwrZGQidtp3QPZ/s1280/days_above_normal.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhX-KvfGyJJH3VCgS8uKEkRRZwT1_hE7LNES5yJkQVpJiTr5KN_sJpmOCjTwLwkYLRiuGNKkHn9iQsyRhgZhha2bdqgWWe047dN_VOV2yYBY9VVEiuXZkCe_PxYeDrptcIEI5uMva2CnULT3eFrypXu2_zX6TL7RkVUh_4VsawwrZGQidtp3QPZ/w640-h360/days_above_normal.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Number of days with high temperatures UNDER 30 (Lowest since 1997-98. Second lowest since 1871)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPGEvQV7TjLa_j7P2OjeDn3luQUqo_wIVkYGOoI8tx2U_g0saVi2E1c4KiJ14nEq2DPWnhY8rr0lY7vhbP5E2b85G28pudTSqVcecsNfMvuh9Kr_i48SCXUTlgcuDDUkmFE9FUNlvYakOzLo1LGvtKg98CWYAJqZOIlWZrfMb31EDnkQE-6una/s1280/days_under30.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPGEvQV7TjLa_j7P2OjeDn3luQUqo_wIVkYGOoI8tx2U_g0saVi2E1c4KiJ14nEq2DPWnhY8rr0lY7vhbP5E2b85G28pudTSqVcecsNfMvuh9Kr_i48SCXUTlgcuDDUkmFE9FUNlvYakOzLo1LGvtKg98CWYAJqZOIlWZrfMb31EDnkQE-6una/w640-h360/days_under30.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Number of days with high temperatures at/above 40 (Third highest and most since 1931-32)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWRa3qGzARbZ4nrBP6HoTxQYow5S0SLO58ssgd7PRtudBG5fTESulvhD8maagm0_3YZJIEj0ciUGlsmSrqrFprGOELYFHZQFF-Pn8E72KXpJIE_gf0VYWWwUTFr_09ygPW8E_kNhEir2ABfPJLngkZ9Uy7rj1wZc3QbrhH0DDDIBZvSENAe9oJ/s1280/days_above40.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWRa3qGzARbZ4nrBP6HoTxQYow5S0SLO58ssgd7PRtudBG5fTESulvhD8maagm0_3YZJIEj0ciUGlsmSrqrFprGOELYFHZQFF-Pn8E72KXpJIE_gf0VYWWwUTFr_09ygPW8E_kNhEir2ABfPJLngkZ9Uy7rj1wZc3QbrhH0DDDIBZvSENAe9oJ/w640-h360/days_above40.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Number of days with high temperatures at/above 50</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKeo-EB2sy_HcAddsoSR39sDDEbGLSd3AVAw_U4CNo5ZGCC8XCmdS2xYGnk0uSe6Ign46-ujscveAhMO56ytQqXIwt9znbAfWOjnOv0dfFP8aIIh5Cl1DUBmZSyU4M47okBWdFEvAzF0JwgaNoweYYJOcWfaAK2pJSlPnEoOz6f_eEhp9IrQvz/s1280/days_above50.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKeo-EB2sy_HcAddsoSR39sDDEbGLSd3AVAw_U4CNo5ZGCC8XCmdS2xYGnk0uSe6Ign46-ujscveAhMO56ytQqXIwt9znbAfWOjnOv0dfFP8aIIh5Cl1DUBmZSyU4M47okBWdFEvAzF0JwgaNoweYYJOcWfaAK2pJSlPnEoOz6f_eEhp9IrQvz/w640-h360/days_above50.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Number of days with low temperatures at/under 20</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5o_zx6ocPZbgD4N1yzOm-bG0QH9ZXtFWuVNKOvwqKp1eccDzelooqQGPot-4sRpyOo7QdFPw7aBY4o_gIduVeFaCSQV8c-75YsJYEXJJpKUJheDofJQG0KuCeg6eze9BbYVgoJlQu-AzUX9kRRQu6o6Qlw1kKd3Y7Q-K6cbSgkGr4IcKVMe7-/s1280/lows_under20.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5o_zx6ocPZbgD4N1yzOm-bG0QH9ZXtFWuVNKOvwqKp1eccDzelooqQGPot-4sRpyOo7QdFPw7aBY4o_gIduVeFaCSQV8c-75YsJYEXJJpKUJheDofJQG0KuCeg6eze9BbYVgoJlQu-AzUX9kRRQu6o6Qlw1kKd3Y7Q-K6cbSgkGr4IcKVMe7-/w640-h360/lows_under20.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>This animation shows the temperatures across the US starting November 1 through February for each 15 days period. Red indicates above normal. Blue is below normal. Notice how variable the temperatures were in November and December vs January and February. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkX0v0f2b_MgVE1I-VeCqzVxPXS4z2gofcyxXN5RvuS23odTdKHHhndK5Um5gbnfq4r7ARR4OYQ4Kl5N3j3a36sNG4UBTqYaaZhTQnflgYuuYIeW0j5zl9f3zIPKl8Fp5uauigWQu3yC1cQ8JPOBh1oQugAhh8tcDjjpykGiYG_R0S4wqAMYAn/s700/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(10).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkX0v0f2b_MgVE1I-VeCqzVxPXS4z2gofcyxXN5RvuS23odTdKHHhndK5Um5gbnfq4r7ARR4OYQ4Kl5N3j3a36sNG4UBTqYaaZhTQnflgYuuYIeW0j5zl9f3zIPKl8Fp5uauigWQu3yC1cQ8JPOBh1oQugAhh8tcDjjpykGiYG_R0S4wqAMYAn/w640-h496/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(10).gif" width="640" /></a></div>Temperatures around Christmas week 2022 were bitterly cold across much of the middle of the US. Many thought the cold in mid/late December was an indication of a colder January.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYamH3BLjrokeK928QB-PDRfoOJwmwwTCoZqXtpCiqCe9qJwE9P60STCKLVtVpWUn4_Ktwr2g6gdO_vXocsHoOPX7n3D6d5DgGwLcjSHilVFm4jZvIRwsXAeRnZA9Q2N4YHu2ioIhULq-0FsobGouBkpgntd2yljVzX2Rx8ebTD5pj_QwZDlIl/s800/CONUS_NorthAmerica_temps.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="595" data-original-width="800" height="475" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYamH3BLjrokeK928QB-PDRfoOJwmwwTCoZqXtpCiqCe9qJwE9P60STCKLVtVpWUn4_Ktwr2g6gdO_vXocsHoOPX7n3D6d5DgGwLcjSHilVFm4jZvIRwsXAeRnZA9Q2N4YHu2ioIhULq-0FsobGouBkpgntd2yljVzX2Rx8ebTD5pj_QwZDlIl/w640-h475/CONUS_NorthAmerica_temps.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQ-DJafDlTxV0ft0CnaZOoHraWURqFwBCvALTKa1t_Nrc4r1-Ea85xMfqeTSfosLjxyMnme76rfx4OQSH-B0u1fZxoZuVKRA-AtAkUpkzbXPxfkqLAyzzxz1GRyUDTpKs_-ZXr8i0Ydfnki-dcMSaNvZsLpMS3SPTFWueTdZ-FDqlr3EWu5j0h/s984/1224.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQ-DJafDlTxV0ft0CnaZOoHraWURqFwBCvALTKa1t_Nrc4r1-Ea85xMfqeTSfosLjxyMnme76rfx4OQSH-B0u1fZxoZuVKRA-AtAkUpkzbXPxfkqLAyzzxz1GRyUDTpKs_-ZXr8i0Ydfnki-dcMSaNvZsLpMS3SPTFWueTdZ-FDqlr3EWu5j0h/w640-h526/1224.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXQJ23GbDcZmf7gewv2IBueRHVizclBOHMb7IrPxRfu8zuzqp3ttJBPSIC6yKbqsGoveU_DMucoMh0-hl5nknzAzwCHb9E5d_Spy-urWtgi1Y4K5RDXmQLhpq5F5G5lcuei-GqwzD4VVeiwp3jHzB6-RkjnQTUYmIMZuqrbZ-R5rItCb6yFtFh/s984/wc.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXQJ23GbDcZmf7gewv2IBueRHVizclBOHMb7IrPxRfu8zuzqp3ttJBPSIC6yKbqsGoveU_DMucoMh0-hl5nknzAzwCHb9E5d_Spy-urWtgi1Y4K5RDXmQLhpq5F5G5lcuei-GqwzD4VVeiwp3jHzB6-RkjnQTUYmIMZuqrbZ-R5rItCb6yFtFh/w640-h526/wc.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjv30fgrOZ3IRZimCLIEM4sdMGLWnQsS3qRXTl4UFqlGYXHropeBfG_FUlldHM_kc-7yntg7XQeaNcDFxx8Xx-vh2tmYpUlKeTDsyxsrp73IP11iZeAGjifCXaBBeARNx-A5yj1olmIvWr3B7yRDnG6TiR0JgWBB18JAPW-8eRvwh1fGwW7KdqY/s925/Xmas_weekend_WC.jfif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="479" data-original-width="925" height="332" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjv30fgrOZ3IRZimCLIEM4sdMGLWnQsS3qRXTl4UFqlGYXHropeBfG_FUlldHM_kc-7yntg7XQeaNcDFxx8Xx-vh2tmYpUlKeTDsyxsrp73IP11iZeAGjifCXaBBeARNx-A5yj1olmIvWr3B7yRDnG6TiR0JgWBB18JAPW-8eRvwh1fGwW7KdqY/w640-h332/Xmas_weekend_WC.jfif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>The temperature pattern flipped bigtime in January!<br /><div><br /></div><div>January max and min temperatures across the US (map courtesy Brian Brettschneider)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIEUmEd3mdyRqADCnQZ8RO4xPC694cuYLJO0kEge6QtRV1U_jV-gHKgVIje9mbVcQyZL0YrznNGkPgXgS3sB2LGzZvyvqRYg_g2Iv9WEjr6rRUnea0wRXVWYFfZfZkrP7nek6jpsBGGMsx3Gs4-1kvDqxNi9OYSikixP43sb6OER9YgPARwm0J/s2200/Jan_MaxT.jfif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1700" data-original-width="2200" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIEUmEd3mdyRqADCnQZ8RO4xPC694cuYLJO0kEge6QtRV1U_jV-gHKgVIje9mbVcQyZL0YrznNGkPgXgS3sB2LGzZvyvqRYg_g2Iv9WEjr6rRUnea0wRXVWYFfZfZkrP7nek6jpsBGGMsx3Gs4-1kvDqxNi9OYSikixP43sb6OER9YgPARwm0J/w640-h494/Jan_MaxT.jfif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5MVcWkyhgvBzaSJ4CpuI1xdWswweYYIuhYKPeuY0MlmzyPWCuwsqReXshqqvdVxWwag8W5BWHy-JXkASEVq43zverasI0_XkyeqCC-Y5msiW5ON-O0KII0miKPcrdQye1IDEkTOo9ldp3Inl-o4yBbQwPm0QaEUilUOvJPShiH4EGPG4oGazf/s2200/Jan_minT.jfif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1700" data-original-width="2200" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5MVcWkyhgvBzaSJ4CpuI1xdWswweYYIuhYKPeuY0MlmzyPWCuwsqReXshqqvdVxWwag8W5BWHy-JXkASEVq43zverasI0_XkyeqCC-Y5msiW5ON-O0KII0miKPcrdQye1IDEkTOo9ldp3Inl-o4yBbQwPm0QaEUilUOvJPShiH4EGPG4oGazf/w640-h494/Jan_minT.jfif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>December temperatures vs normal</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbUXrWXBQIUegaFV0Uz03H8TOQrcl_doQwiq3N_Nn4hvLxT8BzuUd1PguMpSedcCbr8ihrChxRu3xmaJnSHiG6rp48u4egDstXz9JZwvR9ajTYud6JaaaO10Gnnlut2bf2eTWi0KqCEo5nsMhZexM2FvOpB5CSaIbL3kuKkvMQ2pOkIf2CYKhQ/s550/dec2022T.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="495" data-original-width="550" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbUXrWXBQIUegaFV0Uz03H8TOQrcl_doQwiq3N_Nn4hvLxT8BzuUd1PguMpSedcCbr8ihrChxRu3xmaJnSHiG6rp48u4egDstXz9JZwvR9ajTYud6JaaaO10Gnnlut2bf2eTWi0KqCEo5nsMhZexM2FvOpB5CSaIbL3kuKkvMQ2pOkIf2CYKhQ/w400-h360/dec2022T.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div>Final January and February temperatures vs normal</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2LCBI1tnYTfpMwXN5UHOf2BWF9xQeU8so064NA12RX86LYhi-kG2epNMmk1-4f1o7bqirkvUNd_bUOS4T4E9Fof0GWYWYDUFSIA7UW_UmHB2VIZSwcFPTm0Gc57CBF25ruT8TT4ReCk2r8eNapJnz6Vbn0rYUBqBSuqUN0SI75rtTGr1l_3gp/s550/jan-feb.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="495" data-original-width="550" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2LCBI1tnYTfpMwXN5UHOf2BWF9xQeU8so064NA12RX86LYhi-kG2epNMmk1-4f1o7bqirkvUNd_bUOS4T4E9Fof0GWYWYDUFSIA7UW_UmHB2VIZSwcFPTm0Gc57CBF25ruT8TT4ReCk2r8eNapJnz6Vbn0rYUBqBSuqUN0SI75rtTGr1l_3gp/w400-h360/jan-feb.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div>Final winter temperatures - Dec through Feb versus normal</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvTlojjupNxIjemwAesVVWjZsBfuYVJazjtfJa_U3XD1Y_isO3ar5j9fzod0B-oaWVfSfI3h-1j4dfNiMqMqcwIMYLyWY3hoLYjgNSBPg-zZ73vnh9hENWGNk5TBHhLXg8Lhw7tsSNGO6I2rvR-0fAwYvr7RbsOCj6ez0omy3rtNQWio-jWwdk/s550/dec-feb.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="495" data-original-width="550" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvTlojjupNxIjemwAesVVWjZsBfuYVJazjtfJa_U3XD1Y_isO3ar5j9fzod0B-oaWVfSfI3h-1j4dfNiMqMqcwIMYLyWY3hoLYjgNSBPg-zZ73vnh9hENWGNk5TBHhLXg8Lhw7tsSNGO6I2rvR-0fAwYvr7RbsOCj6ez0omy3rtNQWio-jWwdk/w400-h360/dec-feb.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><div><p><br /></p></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-11553628111100268412023-10-02T07:55:00.005-05:002023-10-02T07:55:49.025-05:00Why The Abnormally Dry September? How Does This Year Rank?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjm5mRn-TYtyUVOGj6-0jGIf2LOXOezWxIa4ydYUiNa-tpuJ_FoQVPp9nAvRvDX8kb35Vmuy-HrARp7aiAv-83IWkJzoW9X6mV3Y22hy5siq0hscGN2CU54NC6i3NIVYlDOu1lGDJdE_hHfXMVbredoy-qZ8BBDd8Y74r7D7nTVvdCJgON7ZQYo/s5184/hannah-domsic-2_gJeve_CBY-unsplash%20(1).jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="3456" data-original-width="5184" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjm5mRn-TYtyUVOGj6-0jGIf2LOXOezWxIa4ydYUiNa-tpuJ_FoQVPp9nAvRvDX8kb35Vmuy-HrARp7aiAv-83IWkJzoW9X6mV3Y22hy5siq0hscGN2CU54NC6i3NIVYlDOu1lGDJdE_hHfXMVbredoy-qZ8BBDd8Y74r7D7nTVvdCJgON7ZQYo/w640-h426/hannah-domsic-2_gJeve_CBY-unsplash%20(1).jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>We just finished one of the driest Septembers on record in northern Ohio. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCtWMo4qvftg2x3Cleh5Ecy7UOFXMe_uir8BpAXd0Y0XDA1_u4Neai02O4gryeBewdmmWCoZLFtexwqvSBsVHAw3yHBVU3cU5gzwahVEuGk6z7UeucPeUFNWT53f2oErlEd7xweTBL6r758H5adUbxpXb3XVANov76zVoItBRIQ1ZejoYUHiu3/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20-%202023-10-02T081915.965.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCtWMo4qvftg2x3Cleh5Ecy7UOFXMe_uir8BpAXd0Y0XDA1_u4Neai02O4gryeBewdmmWCoZLFtexwqvSBsVHAw3yHBVU3cU5gzwahVEuGk6z7UeucPeUFNWT53f2oErlEd7xweTBL6r758H5adUbxpXb3XVANov76zVoItBRIQ1ZejoYUHiu3/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20-%202023-10-02T081915.965.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Comparing August to September shows how the pattern flipped to a drier one starting in late August.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXRbCnhnZENn6-YAKXbFa3IhGRB7sDBwU0pWPY9-1p1CkNfGSQ5EJIQVPADch3TQ3ZKWnq2n9DcVwluQxuZpZxaJ0swl2DRNkwN-XewOoW9PHgWiKszU3APy9SisQuhTC86nwhYFXHNn7hR__4Tg5XC7dcw46gaKqfvznfwEbflpZKLB5j2pBL/s1280/Calendar%20RAINFALL%202.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXRbCnhnZENn6-YAKXbFa3IhGRB7sDBwU0pWPY9-1p1CkNfGSQ5EJIQVPADch3TQ3ZKWnq2n9DcVwluQxuZpZxaJ0swl2DRNkwN-XewOoW9PHgWiKszU3APy9SisQuhTC86nwhYFXHNn7hR__4Tg5XC7dcw46gaKqfvznfwEbflpZKLB5j2pBL/w640-h360/Calendar%20RAINFALL%202.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>It wasn't just across Ohio, much of the Ohio Valley, mid-west and dep south (exception is east coast) saw below normal rainfall in September.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFQj3W-eFfBjpS5tEJlBygemRYkSCaJv8cuo9faSuFqns96lLOG4DWKHfX0TvnXl2FPvDNiJl4YfLKR1ARATxslkqPuhgiB9MoIZ7utZta-5LHSdNaa86FrCBom6p4HjOl9g2m6PdFbSLBlhjDKLoSdLEsJ3s0pA7r2-r0_8yYCJe9XDdBe22V/s984/hrap-all-east-30day_anom-6161600.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFQj3W-eFfBjpS5tEJlBygemRYkSCaJv8cuo9faSuFqns96lLOG4DWKHfX0TvnXl2FPvDNiJl4YfLKR1ARATxslkqPuhgiB9MoIZ7utZta-5LHSdNaa86FrCBom6p4HjOl9g2m6PdFbSLBlhjDKLoSdLEsJ3s0pA7r2-r0_8yYCJe9XDdBe22V/w640-h526/hrap-all-east-30day_anom-6161600.png" width="640" /></a></div>The comparisons are stark when comparing the <b>percentage of normal</b> for the mid-west/Great Lakes versus August. Blue/green are regions above normal. Brown/tan/white colors are below normal. <div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0nsnnVwLprl0ov5DZ_MzNIGHVRpg2-9iw_XhPSNCOsWwJ0Iqo_oq20lFbRm28hZ1uO9I9qrdxiKZyqgZvoW-AYRn8H1FdCpyPwAD4oPhn-8jmuYY1McSwVsJHtFaKDIfDNPWXFUOCCibXVtlxb4JBcBdMCfkM9ci0DPDLJHWlCOBeBa70YHWe/s1200/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(10).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0nsnnVwLprl0ov5DZ_MzNIGHVRpg2-9iw_XhPSNCOsWwJ0Iqo_oq20lFbRm28hZ1uO9I9qrdxiKZyqgZvoW-AYRn8H1FdCpyPwAD4oPhn-8jmuYY1McSwVsJHtFaKDIfDNPWXFUOCCibXVtlxb4JBcBdMCfkM9ci0DPDLJHWlCOBeBa70YHWe/w640-h360/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(10).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>What changed in late August/September?</div><div><br /></div><div>Upper level pattern was stalled in August. Frequent fronts and rainfall.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmDCGTQ7XV9izDd2QKIHGMAiV3Z32uGTomPXYQ1VGJXVdpQlmbknVhAUzxHsAJgCl4jSp2uEqWZ7OXIp7aDUC9BVpw89VpvTpkDjg37fxWb6csG05ft33g-jnEE4Q0Dkn9RgjEtQx7d0yi0Y9ggIFvmSvNaiafMqJortPuQPNlBpAq-GlYjz8c/s700/august1.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmDCGTQ7XV9izDd2QKIHGMAiV3Z32uGTomPXYQ1VGJXVdpQlmbknVhAUzxHsAJgCl4jSp2uEqWZ7OXIp7aDUC9BVpw89VpvTpkDjg37fxWb6csG05ft33g-jnEE4Q0Dkn9RgjEtQx7d0yi0Y9ggIFvmSvNaiafMqJortPuQPNlBpAq-GlYjz8c/w640-h496/august1.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">AUGUST 1-15</td></tr></tbody></table>Pattern started changing in late August. High pressure began to build across the upper mid-west and across western Canada.<br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqsUNsMAyASNxmYT93yfkgylftoax3EKd8VmVmdoGuGWB56XFyCxC1iR5ekbiUjuNiq2pUw3xKywPrBXZuGs1KKeSjQjJa646QML-hWUGR78aydaOmAAS8E3-jxXae3u4ctmINoDg5F2GGCdeWtVIhTew1QuK8eFT0g6xUitCBHfYD4A9Jm92h/s700/august2.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqsUNsMAyASNxmYT93yfkgylftoax3EKd8VmVmdoGuGWB56XFyCxC1iR5ekbiUjuNiq2pUw3xKywPrBXZuGs1KKeSjQjJa646QML-hWUGR78aydaOmAAS8E3-jxXae3u4ctmINoDg5F2GGCdeWtVIhTew1QuK8eFT0g6xUitCBHfYD4A9Jm92h/w640-h496/august2.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">AUGUST 16-31</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>By September, the pattern settled into this configuration. High pressure over Canada and across the SW US. Low pressure across the Gulf of Alaska and a weak low across the mid Atlantic (tropically driven)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivPvaK8JoCDxcV0jONKoJLKdKKjQXv5yyhHgWER2Se6MLop8AVo7gC_F4m-cqwKHgremVE7weL1jNUfaJjSxEee-fvVRu67QdnEZApJ4omVLLqeOUysZ0QQ741Akha1Oq0YcKj3aZjvbq8FSjk6L8MHYF84SnbgTCMx_12XWMmm8E7aiqZ0UII/s700/500mB1.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivPvaK8JoCDxcV0jONKoJLKdKKjQXv5yyhHgWER2Se6MLop8AVo7gC_F4m-cqwKHgremVE7weL1jNUfaJjSxEee-fvVRu67QdnEZApJ4omVLLqeOUysZ0QQ741Akha1Oq0YcKj3aZjvbq8FSjk6L8MHYF84SnbgTCMx_12XWMmm8E7aiqZ0UII/w640-h496/500mB1.gif" width="640" /></a></div>You'd figure some of the moisture from the east coast/mid-Atlantic low would influence our weather across Ohio and the Great Lakes given the overall flow around the ridge over Canada. Yet the relative humidity, degree of rising air (Lifted Index) and the zonal winds were well below average. <div><br /></div><div>Overall relative humidity:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtqFN5T2R12rp9OkEg608yS4Vy0uEm7yPNJyEZHso_c8qR7zVLul7z7rhZubSsKDeykFQYDYEsSJKKNpKjh5Lxzb4BGZp6bnaMlFolP32VErmC8x-II9xtUpTy3X5JLb9kUq9vAFlbkSF7K4oe2Hv41NLx3xgkyAhyphenhyphenqBccNT4b2wqnJo_FjFR9/s585/RH.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="510" data-original-width="585" height="349" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtqFN5T2R12rp9OkEg608yS4Vy0uEm7yPNJyEZHso_c8qR7zVLul7z7rhZubSsKDeykFQYDYEsSJKKNpKjh5Lxzb4BGZp6bnaMlFolP32VErmC8x-II9xtUpTy3X5JLb9kUq9vAFlbkSF7K4oe2Hv41NLx3xgkyAhyphenhyphenqBccNT4b2wqnJo_FjFR9/w400-h349/RH.gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Rising air (Lifted Index)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWA3XMLYfZetGxNYzyIvUlE-FYv3CJT4bM3G3fm5X765-Yuj6_z_Nvg5eOrr_CzjFF5pfSD-S_iDZpVIS3uJUd7thyphenhyphenuz4hvcpf1zipcGccWLNmHYl1RevizThAlDnju4uOaULYi6czHJj-mNaYv61Xu-kdFxVkvyk9_uHs3dyxRlJ0wEMV_3-V/s582/LI.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="520" data-original-width="582" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWA3XMLYfZetGxNYzyIvUlE-FYv3CJT4bM3G3fm5X765-Yuj6_z_Nvg5eOrr_CzjFF5pfSD-S_iDZpVIS3uJUd7thyphenhyphenuz4hvcpf1zipcGccWLNmHYl1RevizThAlDnju4uOaULYi6czHJj-mNaYv61Xu-kdFxVkvyk9_uHs3dyxRlJ0wEMV_3-V/w400-h358/LI.gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Zonal Winds</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihFN0klvJ-4v8W6RN2FVa_hrgMRL7YS92-AN0JmWmhZISi2hijmC47Bs9olO3deg-iakvTDqDcOuOFhj9dbUP4EL2lZQPLNrYwxtEMO9H9bx2r0w2W-KbkHcWT9JeUElD5EM2MdZHnqJeHjlnxmvj2P3IUZXxQIwCUQbn4_NpqL1grejr6-zdA/s593/zonal_wind.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="520" data-original-width="593" height="351" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihFN0klvJ-4v8W6RN2FVa_hrgMRL7YS92-AN0JmWmhZISi2hijmC47Bs9olO3deg-iakvTDqDcOuOFhj9dbUP4EL2lZQPLNrYwxtEMO9H9bx2r0w2W-KbkHcWT9JeUElD5EM2MdZHnqJeHjlnxmvj2P3IUZXxQIwCUQbn4_NpqL1grejr6-zdA/w400-h351/zonal_wind.gif" width="400" /></a></div>Jet stream across North America was especially strong from Indonesia east across the dateline into Mexico and the deep south. Northern branch was also very strong off of eastern Asia, across the Bering Sea and into the eastern Pacific. Very weak jet across the northern half of the US/Canada. This kept the strong low pressure outside the northern US/Great Lakes.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-0mAZvYuhqZTaeQlTY9Y7pQ8cHZcBxJ7yaN8XnSKhgYFHVXajzT_IWCrmy07Bwek96bNWIXw8jyTCiqPMiz_B2lnZ06VNfs8E8K1PVqCYBag0wEAmbt-VITSHDZ2XdUq9iJVb_dTCaKHL4AqwyrqNAiQcFVeOtt-5811_79kA2uf2Vv26gHDU/s1229/jet.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="818" data-original-width="1229" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-0mAZvYuhqZTaeQlTY9Y7pQ8cHZcBxJ7yaN8XnSKhgYFHVXajzT_IWCrmy07Bwek96bNWIXw8jyTCiqPMiz_B2lnZ06VNfs8E8K1PVqCYBag0wEAmbt-VITSHDZ2XdUq9iJVb_dTCaKHL4AqwyrqNAiQcFVeOtt-5811_79kA2uf2Vv26gHDU/w640-h426/jet.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /><div>Dry conditions contributed to above normal temps in the upper mid-west with near normal temps across Ohio.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwqTMP6aRTlKTLDkAmWswLmjJ9VjSlq5FNloHAjLELN0NjPT68BI-qaYvWKduR15rBCVXsRxy7QEPZDM9H0aNl01UdB5c86v1f0uibSeERXn-NAw4KPwjCwVvLWU-dfFZHFh-jbLMi8FSpls85YUMfUxgnWAg_-0YMfb5ZrBVigKc4y6kp342m/s1200/temp_departures.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwqTMP6aRTlKTLDkAmWswLmjJ9VjSlq5FNloHAjLELN0NjPT68BI-qaYvWKduR15rBCVXsRxy7QEPZDM9H0aNl01UdB5c86v1f0uibSeERXn-NAw4KPwjCwVvLWU-dfFZHFh-jbLMi8FSpls85YUMfUxgnWAg_-0YMfb5ZrBVigKc4y6kp342m/w640-h360/temp_departures.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>This is not a precursor of the winter ahead. More on a few of the drivers of winter 2023-24 in the weeks ahead.</div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-62320339107013332422023-08-25T08:52:00.012-05:002023-09-04T06:56:38.352-05:00Historic August Rainfall/Severe Weather Recap<p>The clean up continues after the second round of heavy rain/severe storms across northern Ohio.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjNnln7QU1s_D56T-rnwSB93rCwYWwFAsLvUlMHbQQUVaboZy7n32MO1yBmBKDJrhlwb1ziPh9lM0buHPijnOe0C5b37ckA_tk1AX42CMTifJi2mdhvMHrpo750e-zT80zoSWImRhx6j7ib2M9WC9BuSAHbJ0wfFd4l2Is2EQ5iShy6M1JIhYWB/s724/photo1.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="547" data-original-width="724" height="485" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjNnln7QU1s_D56T-rnwSB93rCwYWwFAsLvUlMHbQQUVaboZy7n32MO1yBmBKDJrhlwb1ziPh9lM0buHPijnOe0C5b37ckA_tk1AX42CMTifJi2mdhvMHrpo750e-zT80zoSWImRhx6j7ib2M9WC9BuSAHbJ0wfFd4l2Is2EQ5iShy6M1JIhYWB/w640-h485/photo1.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><p>17 school districts closed due to damage and power outages:</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgWpIC7z-p4yOU80qcNFA7VTH17pCxLMetxYbRcwJdjA0XUWH0NiD62RJZtzzdStjhRCrsssAJcBMLIhBm8Ytj1sJwMjQVfHax7hWBlUweMnYDdtw6Mnvf9YqEMFBjFJNtDgETO3CXyV1o8LUJhTwjNjAd1eo5Ziq3YL4mI0w8YtM0NJ-jLX4Z/s1280/School%20Closing%201.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgWpIC7z-p4yOU80qcNFA7VTH17pCxLMetxYbRcwJdjA0XUWH0NiD62RJZtzzdStjhRCrsssAJcBMLIhBm8Ytj1sJwMjQVfHax7hWBlUweMnYDdtw6Mnvf9YqEMFBjFJNtDgETO3CXyV1o8LUJhTwjNjAd1eo5Ziq3YL4mI0w8YtM0NJ-jLX4Z/w640-h360/School%20Closing%201.png" width="640" /></a></div><p>Here is the COMPLETE radar loop from August 23 at noon through early August 25 before sunrise. Warnings, watches and lightning are included for northern Ohio.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6EUAJwxxXYeEak9FmQCDIxvhtCt_lQ0dLt9KfS4bBybftrRo9AMr06qGW0LiuSvojG54oRgOSvY5uNf5hroS-gPY9uYrNUIXBFs2Kzib7DrZjxDknV0NbzJ4qp6KUzQBSKdfr837rweYUa4zZSUuN0ZRtmOJz_KYHX1vNkJl9ZfkG3r5rNFf6/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(81).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6EUAJwxxXYeEak9FmQCDIxvhtCt_lQ0dLt9KfS4bBybftrRo9AMr06qGW0LiuSvojG54oRgOSvY5uNf5hroS-gPY9uYrNUIXBFs2Kzib7DrZjxDknV0NbzJ4qp6KUzQBSKdfr837rweYUa4zZSUuN0ZRtmOJz_KYHX1vNkJl9ZfkG3r5rNFf6/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(81).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>I separated the 2 day rain event into 3 separate radar loops starting at 9pm August 24 through August 25 at 3am:</p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0PTBzic1jXvm2aA34H15rXPzoKqhM-zZHgoyL9ch2k_WnzaOGFfifKB04_VBfRsOj1fJFpB6Qk3zUAV4jF0mB6Gm6s2SmQXuEjmM1muR6qOLE1kiIIHrub6qABeljB8x_pMYk-PLSEM5OZ2yAekHnm_5eiQFdNKTz3apCDryzDYdlw_6EmKIf/s638/Record_2023_A.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="461" data-original-width="638" height="289" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0PTBzic1jXvm2aA34H15rXPzoKqhM-zZHgoyL9ch2k_WnzaOGFfifKB04_VBfRsOj1fJFpB6Qk3zUAV4jF0mB6Gm6s2SmQXuEjmM1muR6qOLE1kiIIHrub6qABeljB8x_pMYk-PLSEM5OZ2yAekHnm_5eiQFdNKTz3apCDryzDYdlw_6EmKIf/w400-h289/Record_2023_A.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">August 23 - 12:30PM through August 24 - 5AM<br /><br /></td></tr></tbody></table><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9fNx2RuOkQzAO2xkgxu175K431LhiBa8kITMW9SOTQLe-0AbyVcHISQtj7GqpAkfg7IafwN_HveHz7QYx99_zQdee2Tb2RgTNZpLH5D8PbdkOOrHv5HomqqbUrNoKUMXHaUombTdwsLzLOx_Xxc8K16ElkXlRuI_qmPhZP63LXNC1X4dMCLNu/s638/Record_2023_C.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="461" data-original-width="638" height="289" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9fNx2RuOkQzAO2xkgxu175K431LhiBa8kITMW9SOTQLe-0AbyVcHISQtj7GqpAkfg7IafwN_HveHz7QYx99_zQdee2Tb2RgTNZpLH5D8PbdkOOrHv5HomqqbUrNoKUMXHaUombTdwsLzLOx_Xxc8K16ElkXlRuI_qmPhZP63LXNC1X4dMCLNu/w400-h289/Record_2023_C.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">August 24 - 5AM through August 24 9AM</td></tr></tbody></table><p><br /></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhwIibWojpEZ8F3hzdsqT-ayDp5kjj92T1xM2BBMwEQiRmxgGeEQPWKQ5BXnj8_n3AE5Z1BDk8NonnOl65pN1vay2U1pTVjWFJkXTowzBoSlnq-k3ISTMv38cA5Myrm6IZONsQ6-PrCj8BKF8nqDV3mjL5Ues_Tqy0onF-4uAF0JdoSoR4ByGu/s638/Record_2023_B.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="461" data-original-width="638" height="289" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhwIibWojpEZ8F3hzdsqT-ayDp5kjj92T1xM2BBMwEQiRmxgGeEQPWKQ5BXnj8_n3AE5Z1BDk8NonnOl65pN1vay2U1pTVjWFJkXTowzBoSlnq-k3ISTMv38cA5Myrm6IZONsQ6-PrCj8BKF8nqDV3mjL5Ues_Tqy0onF-4uAF0JdoSoR4ByGu/w400-h289/Record_2023_B.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">August - 9PM through August 25 - 5AM</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;">Historic rainfall over 48 hours with two separate large clusters of rain/storms:</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKE3hf1GYCx3MJqtlG4nzXYRZ6Vm74DOEFBlBMAK2P_DZHB34KPG7fQlakYwfelG-rLDpbM_BB9oBwGjhVt2OfJBoxSRVpHXsNonGPenSy8lIR41wEv2F-EvURxg_XtYrLBArUmjoXIbvt6HCGaHBw9ig1rso6PU1JCqI3syK50s7GqgwhLLOb/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(86).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKE3hf1GYCx3MJqtlG4nzXYRZ6Vm74DOEFBlBMAK2P_DZHB34KPG7fQlakYwfelG-rLDpbM_BB9oBwGjhVt2OfJBoxSRVpHXsNonGPenSy8lIR41wEv2F-EvURxg_XtYrLBArUmjoXIbvt6HCGaHBw9ig1rso6PU1JCqI3syK50s7GqgwhLLOb/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(86).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Another vantage point shows the heaviest rain from southern Michigan through Ohio and western PA.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDk558Ty6F8QNZ6sRrmF7mZ5OYER9cGgac_xvCyKCYHaGdmFMuG-xgcBUaRBLdVvFzwcbcWHHwZZE1OFNX93ThtrniPF32kDyZK5cNOO0oHzhdHBijy-hbOKeSUySbJWLCpKEU442Xqk4BQhfloDdQQN7OKUBniWOHy5Y3BnnGlGAV3AmeOJRa/s1200/rainfall_midwest.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDk558Ty6F8QNZ6sRrmF7mZ5OYER9cGgac_xvCyKCYHaGdmFMuG-xgcBUaRBLdVvFzwcbcWHHwZZE1OFNX93ThtrniPF32kDyZK5cNOO0oHzhdHBijy-hbOKeSUySbJWLCpKEU442Xqk4BQhfloDdQQN7OKUBniWOHy5Y3BnnGlGAV3AmeOJRa/w640-h360/rainfall_midwest.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;">Since August 1, most of northern Ohio has received 200-400% of normal rainfall:</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPa6bvRsHW9pQ8Zn7f0EVuJpyJ8fxt4l1x10PJ7GXNTxiqBDIg_nA_JWxGIjXSaz6mKnDV1i9ALJ2hadzHqpqJcTcdg6jvPxFvMzpmCUdshqT3UDH7TIzzoo058L6w-8eEsami8CcC5mfRCWFawiyYm0y1fQE6QzMOWdbd1CwQSt9hwugI5zKq/s1200/percentage.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPa6bvRsHW9pQ8Zn7f0EVuJpyJ8fxt4l1x10PJ7GXNTxiqBDIg_nA_JWxGIjXSaz6mKnDV1i9ALJ2hadzHqpqJcTcdg6jvPxFvMzpmCUdshqT3UDH7TIzzoo058L6w-8eEsami8CcC5mfRCWFawiyYm0y1fQE6QzMOWdbd1CwQSt9hwugI5zKq/w640-h360/percentage.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Severe storm warnings were widespread. Most of northern Ohio was under a severe thunderstorm warning at some point between August 23 and early August 25.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQE1JUw8Ag-bsglZfDX1MOg_PcQaXcHodewxFwuOIyPUu6Og-urS_iRYxnO6-qMtGiVwuViMkatWo10BKQo-8LE3otyLPHRVCQaulSKav_xFPq-lsEoSom_TEEd9TwDhwfQLVmtSF4R_9i-qm7AjW1tHJSh4Uq_gOw6NehiCQcQst6LvmUGjiU/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(89).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQE1JUw8Ag-bsglZfDX1MOg_PcQaXcHodewxFwuOIyPUu6Og-urS_iRYxnO6-qMtGiVwuViMkatWo10BKQo-8LE3otyLPHRVCQaulSKav_xFPq-lsEoSom_TEEd9TwDhwfQLVmtSF4R_9i-qm7AjW1tHJSh4Uq_gOw6NehiCQcQst6LvmUGjiU/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(89).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKgIFG0hkPY0GUc93bfQ3G6a2pbowEVSsRBwcEt17-D4IPp2pReFpEmVEXqiEHI8P2B7K3yj3EycY6tWnYz_fKZBZBUyEE7oqgWulNSlc8E1UA3D6C-yCjw_buGV9jN-jygLRJaCXpU4son4qbkywbsSB5CHxS5k9StD1zcLrw_gHxWkhvn-xR/s1280/JUNK28.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKgIFG0hkPY0GUc93bfQ3G6a2pbowEVSsRBwcEt17-D4IPp2pReFpEmVEXqiEHI8P2B7K3yj3EycY6tWnYz_fKZBZBUyEE7oqgWulNSlc8E1UA3D6C-yCjw_buGV9jN-jygLRJaCXpU4son4qbkywbsSB5CHxS5k9StD1zcLrw_gHxWkhvn-xR/w640-h360/JUNK28.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;">4 tornado warnings. 12 tornadoes. </span><a href="https://www.weather.gov/cle/event_20230824_severe" style="text-align: left;">COMPLETE NWS RECAP</a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYOEpPQ6bYyv2Zj2H22F4axo-w6M43JA8lZV954_UB2Gf99fDW7tHEQEGLfbUXEzqftDdgfHuZS_dhSh5OwTts5TGiFImSmImKyOP3R1f_CK6FBxoYWgxjHAcqIF51nZPBKRWp1ahFxvxA6KQkMicN132Odu_DR2Ve1OxCBr-Imhy1d4KFq0aJ/s1600/tor_2023.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="900" data-original-width="1600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYOEpPQ6bYyv2Zj2H22F4axo-w6M43JA8lZV954_UB2Gf99fDW7tHEQEGLfbUXEzqftDdgfHuZS_dhSh5OwTts5TGiFImSmImKyOP3R1f_CK6FBxoYWgxjHAcqIF51nZPBKRWp1ahFxvxA6KQkMicN132Odu_DR2Ve1OxCBr-Imhy1d4KFq0aJ/w640-h360/tor_2023.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>The EF-1 that occurred on the east side of Cleveland was the first tornado that occurred within the Cleveland city limits since July 12, 1992 per NWS Cleveland. That tornado occurred near Hopkins Airport.</p><p>Here are ALL of the tornadoes from 1950 to 2022 in Cuyahoga County</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9aOgLgP074HREkGq2K6oHnURaL3uu_7YkRYSzfS9saGRaWxJLUwnxn88DG84pF320c3Eh0PbjCx7LqBUourDG1d-Rm80Wqe3dks_VQRnRuC289b6qMo-pyNpqFb908009f5uE0tY8Q3Mrd8NOmgt_e6KSb8iMjsaQS5eYgyEq6i1zcmqHP00W/s800/cuy_tornadoes.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="800" data-original-width="800" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9aOgLgP074HREkGq2K6oHnURaL3uu_7YkRYSzfS9saGRaWxJLUwnxn88DG84pF320c3Eh0PbjCx7LqBUourDG1d-Rm80Wqe3dks_VQRnRuC289b6qMo-pyNpqFb908009f5uE0tY8Q3Mrd8NOmgt_e6KSb8iMjsaQS5eYgyEq6i1zcmqHP00W/w640-h640/cuy_tornadoes.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7R0bFNck3uOLEkm2h3eRVYmrRC_pJUh2xuHw-ecHO0gENU4JLeIT8xfo6vJKdTdjYXFlYKnSZwTIlGjoS8BR4DykahzvRl3WbrILR3DHBbCCLnrHVENekm83RnS3mmQguQY7I80Qrrt9xiz6DAua2-X_m5oJyB0zXzl8oDkYLSPWxF-qHMym-/s1280/JUNK21.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><br /><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7R0bFNck3uOLEkm2h3eRVYmrRC_pJUh2xuHw-ecHO0gENU4JLeIT8xfo6vJKdTdjYXFlYKnSZwTIlGjoS8BR4DykahzvRl3WbrILR3DHBbCCLnrHVENekm83RnS3mmQguQY7I80Qrrt9xiz6DAua2-X_m5oJyB0zXzl8oDkYLSPWxF-qHMym-/w640-h360/JUNK21.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Why did this heavy rain occur? What were the factors that lead to this?</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOM2dafK6dS3tdwLV6Icgk4ZCSz9Wbavaa5leHcJUeygcauBe1v6numdlVF-zB4m9OAJchSNF8luXGH69yP2dN9Cwa6B2Cd8RUH5Cf0uOSmsQPaxUbLLnU-Oaph8w9c9G4umc9Gv4mquVDXgympiXsOaNSIGSJdMGC4qahSCkowlrU-Sa00rA6/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(88).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOM2dafK6dS3tdwLV6Icgk4ZCSz9Wbavaa5leHcJUeygcauBe1v6numdlVF-zB4m9OAJchSNF8luXGH69yP2dN9Cwa6B2Cd8RUH5Cf0uOSmsQPaxUbLLnU-Oaph8w9c9G4umc9Gv4mquVDXgympiXsOaNSIGSJdMGC4qahSCkowlrU-Sa00rA6/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(88).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>The huge ridge of heat in the central US has been a fixture for at least a week. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCwi-ErCIrujdFr96zAlXnFwwBO3BAhNWkAgrnF-OXOpAG4a7msme38QODzu7Qo-tDH-ay9VF4WCiUr_rw1y9AkcOIC8I8AudyRCRzU4p1niMethyWG5P9s27dLs38QuOkM8jMD7rIZkp0lT_jTB3ErkV3uzhreMEjkKyIS5pCX2wXhIK2ogbZ/s984/ridge1.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCwi-ErCIrujdFr96zAlXnFwwBO3BAhNWkAgrnF-OXOpAG4a7msme38QODzu7Qo-tDH-ay9VF4WCiUr_rw1y9AkcOIC8I8AudyRCRzU4p1niMethyWG5P9s27dLs38QuOkM8jMD7rIZkp0lT_jTB3ErkV3uzhreMEjkKyIS5pCX2wXhIK2ogbZ/w640-h526/ridge1.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Where high pressure resides, low pressure has to follow either down or up stream. Disturbances rode up and over the ridge and down through the Great Lakes. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5llqLXiyD8r-OyuwieKbkPoTr5E4uOYjyCC4qM8zy1mLSo-ZyyFFM5GRpN3i3HJhE51bMTY90SL7ug_EFG3etJUY8twMJeVfVYAtGlWMcgGFNt994YW2TyWD6xCPFtL_f8-N8EhC8LsDw-y6giyLmU9l_PYbjttvN3MgGTYGG8ReALHDGKWLf/s984/ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-z850_speed-1692835200-1692835200-1692964800-20.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5llqLXiyD8r-OyuwieKbkPoTr5E4uOYjyCC4qM8zy1mLSo-ZyyFFM5GRpN3i3HJhE51bMTY90SL7ug_EFG3etJUY8twMJeVfVYAtGlWMcgGFNt994YW2TyWD6xCPFtL_f8-N8EhC8LsDw-y6giyLmU9l_PYbjttvN3MgGTYGG8ReALHDGKWLf/w640-h526/ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-z850_speed-1692835200-1692835200-1692964800-20.gif" width="640" /></a></div><p>Great lakes radar loop from Wednesday through Friday: The excessive heat watches/warnings are shown in red.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdauuWoww2EKJB4xvSnYmMNI-ySVKZXgWAU8uH1rjUUxIkV3mMkLxRk0zsQJE9xbDiuBvgnqI08WRT6kFparODIWoLFOMuqQlUCLtsACr8bhLeV-SLwxqEHkfXMZuSjfygAK3cmrA3Y3NtEt0OUUF2IOtthmqY2sojPdNyxpx0KXAjc1Pa-SGx/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(82).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdauuWoww2EKJB4xvSnYmMNI-ySVKZXgWAU8uH1rjUUxIkV3mMkLxRk0zsQJE9xbDiuBvgnqI08WRT6kFparODIWoLFOMuqQlUCLtsACr8bhLeV-SLwxqEHkfXMZuSjfygAK3cmrA3Y3NtEt0OUUF2IOtthmqY2sojPdNyxpx0KXAjc1Pa-SGx/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(82).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Couple this with the high humidity (dewpoints above 75) and you have the recipe for heavy rainfall.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQx5OtDnfSaM1OeQjKJpNAH_gptlxZ0K1DVWraB97L_i8vdWYaCsqJV9RDjlrL5q1Y2LtXscFMEFsjBXrrEL-AzwsJEXt_4DBesnwpnDHsZ73ieJwbGJ41-q6l0v4eo56OyhS7CcmZ22R_D9gcLbC5JNrykRz2JDV176coel--Y6OiW8HAUuvc/s984/Dp.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQx5OtDnfSaM1OeQjKJpNAH_gptlxZ0K1DVWraB97L_i8vdWYaCsqJV9RDjlrL5q1Y2LtXscFMEFsjBXrrEL-AzwsJEXt_4DBesnwpnDHsZ73ieJwbGJ41-q6l0v4eo56OyhS7CcmZ22R_D9gcLbC5JNrykRz2JDV176coel--Y6OiW8HAUuvc/w640-h526/Dp.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Interestingly, the historic Derecho in 1969 on the 4th of July produced MORE rainfall!<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiI_yo47CSkRx3_PLNrnq1JlRfzOMsskq4Ic24JXFc2gORe6AVlGjY8kL4zVhX2dQb_HL7pzkFVMkVRv9GG2JSGlLOctAqU-Fkz6PHrHuix1BZRl_tn2ltnv0kwFwnEJePK2thCsvGf832C1QLIsaFBd5gNXctrlngnEvM2t7qsgeKkDBWl2N55/s1200/july41969.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiI_yo47CSkRx3_PLNrnq1JlRfzOMsskq4Ic24JXFc2gORe6AVlGjY8kL4zVhX2dQb_HL7pzkFVMkVRv9GG2JSGlLOctAqU-Fkz6PHrHuix1BZRl_tn2ltnv0kwFwnEJePK2thCsvGf832C1QLIsaFBd5gNXctrlngnEvM2t7qsgeKkDBWl2N55/w640-h360/july41969.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Here are the final rainfall numbers between August 23-25 using the same perspective as the 1969 map above (for comparison)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXsjAqUNgJsxxYR7hbjkjE-fJ4lwmLd-ex_7Tvs7hKP9q3JfkNJmTcF54la4is5uFKKeI5AEpninMi_TgUrDcd1OiYeNQbyNX6dwG2bZIWru7fFhFVSVVGOIBrIkPVKYM9IX6iVsbg-GxE8M_7QdD5EWDczmc5IdIz6Hslxwg6UfhMaRE5A5uU/s1200/823-25_rainfall.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXsjAqUNgJsxxYR7hbjkjE-fJ4lwmLd-ex_7Tvs7hKP9q3JfkNJmTcF54la4is5uFKKeI5AEpninMi_TgUrDcd1OiYeNQbyNX6dwG2bZIWru7fFhFVSVVGOIBrIkPVKYM9IX6iVsbg-GxE8M_7QdD5EWDczmc5IdIz6Hslxwg6UfhMaRE5A5uU/w640-h360/823-25_rainfall.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Oh and almost 75,000 lightning strokes over the 48 hour period across Ohio!<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0WBa2rGxO4g820OQ2Lq-0GjeNno1OwY0cIgyHcJZtFjA8wZ7XWJjhZSWftihrqytnpYLY9LT3GqWxFb6trIWMnNtSX31K-EY6XWg0J7OVgbyJ0zY_8zONt-_y_ukGc9oRqTJW55OWUUb_uB_pJRe1Q2frLH9h8t-v8E5U2EEG9xLPYvqEWl_Q/s1024/lightning823-25.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0WBa2rGxO4g820OQ2Lq-0GjeNno1OwY0cIgyHcJZtFjA8wZ7XWJjhZSWftihrqytnpYLY9LT3GqWxFb6trIWMnNtSX31K-EY6XWg0J7OVgbyJ0zY_8zONt-_y_ukGc9oRqTJW55OWUUb_uB_pJRe1Q2frLH9h8t-v8E5U2EEG9xLPYvqEWl_Q/w640-h480/lightning823-25.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /><p><br /></p></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-8974714462766959442023-07-20T05:56:00.003-05:002023-07-20T05:56:26.028-05:00Why So Much Smoke From Canada This Summer?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtaeUX3nzW9h5_0ePPQfspmZ2YStbRmkq35ypXvwqofzDhkWs9bHblghuZ_-QE3jguxp9_qaNO3-MdRI4FIIfvat3BsjBOgoAVU3JmrZJUK3QSPFPc4Upua9HsklozdHR5ZAUcdf91HwQR3AWctmXDG0TpD4pitZ8wvoyKXf63_-ymGHEwUp5v/s680/NOAA_snoke.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="383" data-original-width="680" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtaeUX3nzW9h5_0ePPQfspmZ2YStbRmkq35ypXvwqofzDhkWs9bHblghuZ_-QE3jguxp9_qaNO3-MdRI4FIIfvat3BsjBOgoAVU3JmrZJUK3QSPFPc4Upua9HsklozdHR5ZAUcdf91HwQR3AWctmXDG0TpD4pitZ8wvoyKXf63_-ymGHEwUp5v/w640-h360/NOAA_snoke.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>The air quality across the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and much of New England recently has been very poor due to the smoke from Canadian fires in eastern Ontario and portions of Quebec. </p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXz0WMckd_Wd9YWN4q7bOWOmx-l8z0RPCeIA-ULpWOUXMZCeMMCOIIWqBOGW624LI6-qj-O8UQwvfR_-PK1EBgy6XIyvN4kDdivMWBFQLGDoA9YJph0JDO_Ki7zJiYs4_K5j3OgSehsn3RLor3YecFrHMtAzq4UGTLKE6eSs_CoMnCQ943R2kl/s1655/20230628_084306.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="862" data-original-width="1655" height="334" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXz0WMckd_Wd9YWN4q7bOWOmx-l8z0RPCeIA-ULpWOUXMZCeMMCOIIWqBOGW624LI6-qj-O8UQwvfR_-PK1EBgy6XIyvN4kDdivMWBFQLGDoA9YJph0JDO_Ki7zJiYs4_K5j3OgSehsn3RLor3YecFrHMtAzq4UGTLKE6eSs_CoMnCQ943R2kl/w640-h334/20230628_084306.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">June 28 Air Quality Levels</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEink1DguCDkHjHeUcjJht96jE9RFOkrwUKKYtfo7nXu9yzogAC6CFYMy3oD0kj2JUsdYyXW_NQ6xB-zof6Wx6jSjlO_3PB3lAaCYcIraczdEkudrzFLwyACjlQ3rxvqJkHz8RmXY-Lu72YiT5SklfUOfGEo89DuPt-4K-pDw5V7twl5x1VBo5bK/s781/Screenshot_20230628-090031.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="781" data-original-width="540" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEink1DguCDkHjHeUcjJht96jE9RFOkrwUKKYtfo7nXu9yzogAC6CFYMy3oD0kj2JUsdYyXW_NQ6xB-zof6Wx6jSjlO_3PB3lAaCYcIraczdEkudrzFLwyACjlQ3rxvqJkHz8RmXY-Lu72YiT5SklfUOfGEo89DuPt-4K-pDw5V7twl5x1VBo5bK/w276-h400/Screenshot_20230628-090031.png" width="276" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">June 28 Air Quality Over Great Lakes</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Earlier in the week, smoke from the fires in western Canada were the culprit. </p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBz2i9My5aRKfQOzxMtM76Yn9hjpRCcpmd_bup5qQ97Z9H1MHSSudLVpxCmEJRjfhELfQNRNAo7Oo-U5lBAFKT8iTnOva7J8Hg8m8N5niPZEvQ7vTHiAhYNFP4XxkT9MWs21EmYXN0EakTXo2RW2xzDCz6gwEaNi3AMRERj3hl3nNjWpKu6ZZw/s1094/can4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="668" data-original-width="1094" height="390" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBz2i9My5aRKfQOzxMtM76Yn9hjpRCcpmd_bup5qQ97Z9H1MHSSudLVpxCmEJRjfhELfQNRNAo7Oo-U5lBAFKT8iTnOva7J8Hg8m8N5niPZEvQ7vTHiAhYNFP4XxkT9MWs21EmYXN0EakTXo2RW2xzDCz6gwEaNi3AMRERj3hl3nNjWpKu6ZZw/w640-h390/can4.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Current Conditions in Canada</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQUZHg8FELeoW1uMqzbeA4kbg1xWWIeUW8N0mM-fzl-R4OZcrm23o-vXGmpGKptQftIBe6jbt0Qmduw2WI_dcxf559DGSsi3hGeG0PcAK59iNXVEg77u5LRx5qeMWJwZd-9BwskdqE1AScjfRfEMLPJ0otvJqWjnnjohpM8qWDXNhYvR5B5b-4/s1097/can1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="717" data-original-width="1097" height="261" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQUZHg8FELeoW1uMqzbeA4kbg1xWWIeUW8N0mM-fzl-R4OZcrm23o-vXGmpGKptQftIBe6jbt0Qmduw2WI_dcxf559DGSsi3hGeG0PcAK59iNXVEg77u5LRx5qeMWJwZd-9BwskdqE1AScjfRfEMLPJ0otvJqWjnnjohpM8qWDXNhYvR5B5b-4/w400-h261/can1.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Area Burned vs All Years Since 1980</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpbw9bHkyyFyyqEeN0xDxWco59o6r-mT3rkMQnykH6EW1ORnNUDyrNxK0uQptPlwP8_was0OcowTUDeZZHU4u8ULWhxdf17FPabORhXoaGavZaZ0xNizNtpX7CMNUCq3QkR3Mi2hO5C9-ri5klicI2miXUFyZthrmTVZ8qqDF25A1ysrB0qVut/s1090/can2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="706" data-original-width="1090" height="259" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpbw9bHkyyFyyqEeN0xDxWco59o6r-mT3rkMQnykH6EW1ORnNUDyrNxK0uQptPlwP8_was0OcowTUDeZZHU4u8ULWhxdf17FPabORhXoaGavZaZ0xNizNtpX7CMNUCq3QkR3Mi2hO5C9-ri5klicI2miXUFyZthrmTVZ8qqDF25A1ysrB0qVut/w400-h259/can2.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Fire Stars Since 1980</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Why has smoke from the north impacted our air quality and sky condition this summer? Has this happened before? Is this low air quality unprecedented? </p><p></p><blockquote><b>The smoke movement has to do with the overall weather pattern across North America. In late May and June the pattern featured an abnormally strong and stagnant ridge of high pressure over central Canada and high pressure over Texas. The flow is clockwise so the winds steered the smoke from Quebec south into the Great Lakes. Now in July the ridge over Canada has weakened. A trough has replaced the ridge. The dominant flow has been northwesterly bring in fast moving cold fronts from the west and northwest recently. The flow steered smoke from the fires in western Canada into the upper mid-west and Great Lakes. </b></blockquote><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEji9IMV1ALTtPXFlnLVmwaOsm3-c_GJ0HuutuM2pGsbY_9COhst4Ud3xPIA8BSMT2_9Gy3HWqzVyedB5uv38uNelUWSQRjfaC6uJI7gjmHfnuWCxJuNGG0Wh0zEVTWiRvaOg3Y4oUHPuipd9h12mS79MvUl8XRkETHTwDVLahkCyZdXcUcUYdE2/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(19).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEji9IMV1ALTtPXFlnLVmwaOsm3-c_GJ0HuutuM2pGsbY_9COhst4Ud3xPIA8BSMT2_9Gy3HWqzVyedB5uv38uNelUWSQRjfaC6uJI7gjmHfnuWCxJuNGG0Wh0zEVTWiRvaOg3Y4oUHPuipd9h12mS79MvUl8XRkETHTwDVLahkCyZdXcUcUYdE2/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20(19).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Watch how the high pressure ridge (warmer colors) developed in May across Canada. Also notice how the ridge faded and emerged further east then central Canada by early June. Also notice how there was little southern high pressure. Pockets of blue indicate low pressure. No sign of the Bermuda high to establish a southwesterly wind across the central US keeping the smoke north.</p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiweSeuubYiG1q34AlOMZguKpRXMPY3D4tIwY7zxEaxwNlLoS8y1UzLeE5qN77doN6e03z4uRWvu7Fz_-A55JKaxB67hMU3ZMUtnhh4X8eCLa3a-pjUSTErH8D1T9uoumM7b6Vtydh2cmW6Ch5039v1ZbnsmkAJAfmrlHKhgzqXzK3trNMqwCjG/s700/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(1)%20(1).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="700" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiweSeuubYiG1q34AlOMZguKpRXMPY3D4tIwY7zxEaxwNlLoS8y1UzLeE5qN77doN6e03z4uRWvu7Fz_-A55JKaxB67hMU3ZMUtnhh4X8eCLa3a-pjUSTErH8D1T9uoumM7b6Vtydh2cmW6Ch5039v1ZbnsmkAJAfmrlHKhgzqXzK3trNMqwCjG/w640-h496/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(1)%20(1).gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Upper Level Pattern (3 day periods) - Early May thru June 24-26</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><p>This abnormally strong Canadian ridge created record setting temperatures in May and June across western Canada</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiskaezDmA3wAcQVsMbHGnv-Hit0VsviDyn92_yWX8zDq7nKATb815q5ejvuyGU2qw3hWYUYoNTcBupu4m0mR4k8EbKfRAeH8h5NkhtYZpw5-ic83fzXbqd_s5imZg58mCIDwtDbWHbDCflSWB97Xcmuf-h92Ftde664v94Lvcbg8MDc0iEDQ8i/s2200/20230705_141036.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1700" data-original-width="2200" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiskaezDmA3wAcQVsMbHGnv-Hit0VsviDyn92_yWX8zDq7nKATb815q5ejvuyGU2qw3hWYUYoNTcBupu4m0mR4k8EbKfRAeH8h5NkhtYZpw5-ic83fzXbqd_s5imZg58mCIDwtDbWHbDCflSWB97Xcmuf-h92Ftde664v94Lvcbg8MDc0iEDQ8i/w640-h494/20230705_141036.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>Soil moisture dropped both in western and eastern Canada. Dry conditions began to spread across the Great Lakes.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1xcdtbc9D47WLtF7QXHsig-Zm3V08-vbat5UhGsAN-oC8NHvreRJx7BWb5JfWLsPMuwM7k_dhmBa_ftbcSsxa_HP1GIYqa3GtBNop3hDlNLcAeVYRwNSzhb0RFxPDOehXSPI6FlswPzHRIldsn44pAJ6BYxd27jlFjvnARv_4SEGENFX-z9-_/s2200/20230707_061136.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1700" data-original-width="2200" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1xcdtbc9D47WLtF7QXHsig-Zm3V08-vbat5UhGsAN-oC8NHvreRJx7BWb5JfWLsPMuwM7k_dhmBa_ftbcSsxa_HP1GIYqa3GtBNop3hDlNLcAeVYRwNSzhb0RFxPDOehXSPI6FlswPzHRIldsn44pAJ6BYxd27jlFjvnARv_4SEGENFX-z9-_/w640-h494/20230707_061136.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><p>When we look at the air pollution data since 1980 for Cleveland and surrounding locations, the time of year where pollution becomes more of a problem is summer. Warm and often times stagnant air creates conditions that keep pollution from dissipating. What really stands out on this graphic is the frequency of low air quality in the 1980s and 1990s between May and August. Look at the summer of 1988. 36 days with highs in the 90s with a few 100 degree days and little wind. Compare this to early summer of 2023 (bottom of graphic - red arrow). Only a few days in late May, June 28 and July 17-18 air quality was considered poor.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQTnpgBPq6t_VKY_6V2nsvw93vCGlniISr2v_lXGcpSXKwgqtf0MXf8AwWDTfTCR8ZuxzCWM8j7TkMa90vaR43V5IO941K1rEPdFKW5e-aS6V83yzOLFU3d4PMU4u82m-MMAY3J-PeUMcCPq3EucYPdpL-Om01_dbHoK1OCrSCvrF0545RjK-e/s1489/AQI_1980_2023.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="985" data-original-width="1489" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQTnpgBPq6t_VKY_6V2nsvw93vCGlniISr2v_lXGcpSXKwgqtf0MXf8AwWDTfTCR8ZuxzCWM8j7TkMa90vaR43V5IO941K1rEPdFKW5e-aS6V83yzOLFU3d4PMU4u82m-MMAY3J-PeUMcCPq3EucYPdpL-Om01_dbHoK1OCrSCvrF0545RjK-e/w640-h424/AQI_1980_2023.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>This was the same pattern that kept the humidity in northern Ohio at decades low levels in May and most of June although the recently higher July humidity brought up the seasonal average.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQ4V_MN29ZKITnGIg8EMUVUpvy_2PKWb6TPLo8--R_1wFjKgC9dRDCIdK_SbNZKAZPTbPGz7E_aWxvLIcyGWslM0ml-DzQqUWpx1h4cqWn91vz0CJktAAUj8p8nIHdQPB3TZxb6ClAl506deal65IHMZNGVw6rU_at2vgsZB9uO8F-65e3WryU/s1200/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(6).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="357" data-original-width="1200" height="190" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQ4V_MN29ZKITnGIg8EMUVUpvy_2PKWb6TPLo8--R_1wFjKgC9dRDCIdK_SbNZKAZPTbPGz7E_aWxvLIcyGWslM0ml-DzQqUWpx1h4cqWn91vz0CJktAAUj8p8nIHdQPB3TZxb6ClAl506deal65IHMZNGVw6rU_at2vgsZB9uO8F-65e3WryU/w640-h190/ezgif.com-gif-maker%20(6).gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Both summer time high pressure ridges are not linked. Often times they will merge briefly. That has not happened this summer. Below is a long range forecast for July 31, 2023. Notice both ridges are distant.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmH6MNSaPvZhq__-BhzZ_KAOUANC0B_L37jmcbosTyEuqfB6nb6zxs5WkEQeQzjG3RRvcLZGDTtJR-jVvBjZw70iEExjzf9wSeB4VcI8ToAnJo8cYQkI9M1oXeu8gJxwPyIyz7tXJLHAbmIBS3z4Eashfuiwm2YZ69AM-Hm9n2J1gPan_yoTBR/s984/july31.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmH6MNSaPvZhq__-BhzZ_KAOUANC0B_L37jmcbosTyEuqfB6nb6zxs5WkEQeQzjG3RRvcLZGDTtJR-jVvBjZw70iEExjzf9wSeB4VcI8ToAnJo8cYQkI9M1oXeu8gJxwPyIyz7tXJLHAbmIBS3z4Eashfuiwm2YZ69AM-Hm9n2J1gPan_yoTBR/w400-h329/july31.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>This is also the same pattern that has kept most of the extreme heat in the deep south and away from the Ohio Valley. </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoSYmePxD5DYk2oxqtq4CT1zPVoVzppJ5ljCPBTY7tkkrBj9iiyaFSuRpXkIyWipuxcuQbQDgnlcq6pUzPiJAAFIT0ZAUJ4Uy1rsB5fURA7SZhMHeazMc8bl2gOP_GCRbs1jkU6Ftnnk_gFAZyCqMKV1NKq5C852CJe2NXJ5JKWzhTKhnu-kKL/s984/cdas-all-conus-t2m_f_anom_60day_back-9811200.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoSYmePxD5DYk2oxqtq4CT1zPVoVzppJ5ljCPBTY7tkkrBj9iiyaFSuRpXkIyWipuxcuQbQDgnlcq6pUzPiJAAFIT0ZAUJ4Uy1rsB5fURA7SZhMHeazMc8bl2gOP_GCRbs1jkU6Ftnnk_gFAZyCqMKV1NKq5C852CJe2NXJ5JKWzhTKhnu-kKL/w640-h526/cdas-all-conus-t2m_f_anom_60day_back-9811200.png" width="640" /></a></div><p><br /></p><p>If this were a typical late spring and summer with the Bermuda High establishing itself over the southeastern US, the dominant flow would be southwesterly keeping the smoke up north. Look for this pattern to continue from time to time in August and September. The developing El Nino is probably a contributor.</p><br /></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-13580423186581634532023-07-05T18:07:00.003-05:002023-07-06T04:56:35.288-05:00July 3rd Warmest on Record GLOBLLY. Here is the Breakdown<p><span face="Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" style="background-color: white; font-size: 16px;">According to NCEP (National Center for Environmental Prediction), July 3rd was the warmest day on record GLOBALLY. Note this is not for one city, one state, one region or one country. It's the entire planet. </span></p><p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFG_-kd0L_VEwIfrnp5gwv7GUPmzbssSCK3jIbu1hdsiCMDaajPbQEK6TD_zssgUiPGrQb2GFiriPn1g1AVQnpLyf979l2EbatXtomWTaVDyqK7-emhPJYp2cagRjg17Wq6xOpzBCwYrBKzM0sVv8Ci8fvUaFsgglSMvOKei4gSlBolHYi0jKX/s984/0703.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="546" data-original-width="984" height="356" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFG_-kd0L_VEwIfrnp5gwv7GUPmzbssSCK3jIbu1hdsiCMDaajPbQEK6TD_zssgUiPGrQb2GFiriPn1g1AVQnpLyf979l2EbatXtomWTaVDyqK7-emhPJYp2cagRjg17Wq6xOpzBCwYrBKzM0sVv8Ci8fvUaFsgglSMvOKei4gSlBolHYi0jKX/w640-h356/0703.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Global Temperatures vs Normal 18z July 3rd</td></tr></tbody></table><p></p><div class="x_ContentPasted0" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><b>The average global temperature reached 17.01 degrees Celsius (62.62 Fahrenheit), surpassing the August 2016 record of 16.92C (62.46F). </b></span></div><div class="x_ContentPasted0" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div class="x_ContentPasted0" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><b>The largest warmer anomalies are located near Antarctica.</b></span></div><div style="background-color: white; border: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size: 16px; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><br /></div><span face="Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" style="background-color: white; font-size: 16px;">I broke down the globe into 9 different locations. The break down is done to show how the temperature anomalies vary within each region. Each image shows the locations with above normal (warmer colors) temperatures and below normal (cooler colors) temperatures on July 3rd. The global average takes into account ALL of these regions below.</span><div><br /></div><div>First North America. I labeled regions that are above normal with "AN" and below normal with "BN"</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZx8YvAqmo_a4k-iiLeLoaP1Wxlm6Ezvfu3u6DZUO6hCHlMXlvKhoR14J4LiJRodEeLdD7Qnun7NMhCj1Qrr4aAeEBgHF77ewz7MVLnhrMDFMSIyXd-lOieNlhMfmPct-w8wnX-ailsb3JIbb3wgwFeLZxe5ixfBW489afrejVKBPEPwUbFhg6/s984/0703a.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZx8YvAqmo_a4k-iiLeLoaP1Wxlm6Ezvfu3u6DZUO6hCHlMXlvKhoR14J4LiJRodEeLdD7Qnun7NMhCj1Qrr4aAeEBgHF77ewz7MVLnhrMDFMSIyXd-lOieNlhMfmPct-w8wnX-ailsb3JIbb3wgwFeLZxe5ixfBW489afrejVKBPEPwUbFhg6/w640-h526/0703a.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Now the lower 48 states:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAfUXphu2eJx03KVr0APYyJ8HrmV3gA87k2vy679t3AAzVr-MmPJ-vAE2xf7s9tZVaWzT4OWJPt5RQwqZcuBPr3RsFHZxgqj6WwfXBYZio9TzSsr34v0Y2LEPGGlzW2EaoZGhGggJsdBdjPFopO4wJ0XKf-z-y6iVnf-o4G_VLuqaD9d3eWr8n/s984/US.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAfUXphu2eJx03KVr0APYyJ8HrmV3gA87k2vy679t3AAzVr-MmPJ-vAE2xf7s9tZVaWzT4OWJPt5RQwqZcuBPr3RsFHZxgqj6WwfXBYZio9TzSsr34v0Y2LEPGGlzW2EaoZGhGggJsdBdjPFopO4wJ0XKf-z-y6iVnf-o4G_VLuqaD9d3eWr8n/w640-h526/US.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /></div><br /><div>The Caribbean and Mexico:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIQNreKQAW399MXsYWSpDtubeQTwwtBonw5Wa0k2Bacr_EqflgQB_TuPrB5slizEo8MUfhFtDUybjvfJ4M61z77KoNanJQn41eIQPs9sxuOnRMI5aljeEuFbMxUUd7Yy6Z6IB_jJZ2eoQfIr__hRNY701WoISc33BtDZnQGUpw4HoBilYTAats/s984/caribbean.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIQNreKQAW399MXsYWSpDtubeQTwwtBonw5Wa0k2Bacr_EqflgQB_TuPrB5slizEo8MUfhFtDUybjvfJ4M61z77KoNanJQn41eIQPs9sxuOnRMI5aljeEuFbMxUUd7Yy6Z6IB_jJZ2eoQfIr__hRNY701WoISc33BtDZnQGUpw4HoBilYTAats/w640-h526/caribbean.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div>Canada:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEil2Kx_JOgldV4sq8LS03PS48SHw059XBF5PgtYCCGqC6DMdupfMjH28_s44J-pyJvlqwl-EEjjwbGsyL3xWFfI5jol08tFUnRuwqUS8m-x_VW82DFW2L9tXMbuSmLEq1-vdlJsYcO5N738_VT9lIPvsmO9nayDr8hZzgJmNGBqVffNWnKMZ90Y/s984/canada.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEil2Kx_JOgldV4sq8LS03PS48SHw059XBF5PgtYCCGqC6DMdupfMjH28_s44J-pyJvlqwl-EEjjwbGsyL3xWFfI5jol08tFUnRuwqUS8m-x_VW82DFW2L9tXMbuSmLEq1-vdlJsYcO5N738_VT9lIPvsmO9nayDr8hZzgJmNGBqVffNWnKMZ90Y/w640-h526/canada.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div>South America:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9PlS7PXrzQffHG9vVKJy7bt6nJytKytW4Sn8J0I3mW6q373Zjh0TTkJzCzR0F55avyleli3eVMfdEvkjcgnOlW81M1YuqqK4zM0OOVfMMN-v0HpL3L9ymNgRKcvumV4GeYuanNHnh-343iUNG4cvcweNyPVAEu7ZmjoawH4JxbTCWMrs1cVkF/s984/SA.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9PlS7PXrzQffHG9vVKJy7bt6nJytKytW4Sn8J0I3mW6q373Zjh0TTkJzCzR0F55avyleli3eVMfdEvkjcgnOlW81M1YuqqK4zM0OOVfMMN-v0HpL3L9ymNgRKcvumV4GeYuanNHnh-343iUNG4cvcweNyPVAEu7ZmjoawH4JxbTCWMrs1cVkF/w640-h526/SA.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div>Europe:<div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0bIZ7X3RyIXvOYIbZ8_zPD1-xaoJPnS4SPF5_Xh9aCbTQZJevXE5-C5aP14c7N32BOwAao2HbW9LkeAKKI8dR3iYy7AU1QhwGnh40I33GJ6rQSr3aMlHrMTtPRBtqLKXkQqkJpm1EEro4K1TPCGbpY3dBED5DU6o-0NvL5GmSu691T5aQPkcd/s984/europe.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0bIZ7X3RyIXvOYIbZ8_zPD1-xaoJPnS4SPF5_Xh9aCbTQZJevXE5-C5aP14c7N32BOwAao2HbW9LkeAKKI8dR3iYy7AU1QhwGnh40I33GJ6rQSr3aMlHrMTtPRBtqLKXkQqkJpm1EEro4K1TPCGbpY3dBED5DU6o-0NvL5GmSu691T5aQPkcd/w640-h526/europe.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div>Asia:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOpHHD5ufhXpEwK1OkLLlGlvvNJ5aKxuSaX0FewIfVw1DcfN4zr_P53pVT-n3-0JgpyShDhpKk1Y1GDWGWkFloGA3M9ulYkBwFLKJB1tWZJcDiFx3bBzYI_0n9IHHlWBnR_v91OMR6Q_6Ov_114tUk1jWfJyk7QRHLxAv0u5ovoM-dtjc0pmrs/s984/asia.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOpHHD5ufhXpEwK1OkLLlGlvvNJ5aKxuSaX0FewIfVw1DcfN4zr_P53pVT-n3-0JgpyShDhpKk1Y1GDWGWkFloGA3M9ulYkBwFLKJB1tWZJcDiFx3bBzYI_0n9IHHlWBnR_v91OMR6Q_6Ov_114tUk1jWfJyk7QRHLxAv0u5ovoM-dtjc0pmrs/w640-h526/asia.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>Middle East:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibvn4ojnurAfGEUqEFd2O7CxrtzwH-maYVJxqZhO3DC7UVzLVfG0nlG11zpcMOdwxic1uAnl20y1IX79SSkuSULYgGPzSeJ5BI3P9jQTFHnQ9CjqQjuIhD0Ec4NeAKbxG8jMPlxdFfA0iDyDd-1CckK5-Fe-_LMYM6ds3idKVO-zFWJWjXQvZl/s984/middle_east.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibvn4ojnurAfGEUqEFd2O7CxrtzwH-maYVJxqZhO3DC7UVzLVfG0nlG11zpcMOdwxic1uAnl20y1IX79SSkuSULYgGPzSeJ5BI3P9jQTFHnQ9CjqQjuIhD0Ec4NeAKbxG8jMPlxdFfA0iDyDd-1CckK5-Fe-_LMYM6ds3idKVO-zFWJWjXQvZl/w640-h526/middle_east.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div>Africa:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhn7f6Od4coOyKYmIYR5-Gac-GcUvA3XEifZwVQS0KteQ2VYAWnItVumyYjjSSS6uqS2qp50g1N03aTDcQVgEhUzZrJ0waHAEQPHRs-Hj5b0gth4zx4ghGr-ugXFDxnZQWCEPcJzAkMtsgHXt8kkeL_nXZJb_0PEs9jrywjO30266fiNFqVDdb1/s984/africa.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhn7f6Od4coOyKYmIYR5-Gac-GcUvA3XEifZwVQS0KteQ2VYAWnItVumyYjjSSS6uqS2qp50g1N03aTDcQVgEhUzZrJ0waHAEQPHRs-Hj5b0gth4zx4ghGr-ugXFDxnZQWCEPcJzAkMtsgHXt8kkeL_nXZJb_0PEs9jrywjO30266fiNFqVDdb1/w640-h526/africa.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>Australia:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgEpB7FS0tK6YXvTuKHkVsiUovI02T5JK6T71r1M27jTXl_udr-IsJtpnt3uuuncMyA9EweqHti2l1SWpqqHluWDvjfe9_uiYvVTRr4xOWqYM6I2IxWFiekq6gVKR5qfrf510dqEKLvvWl4lDIVCieEW5cwZjc9aDrzqrZoTl_B0IYDVST93oZ1/s984/australia.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgEpB7FS0tK6YXvTuKHkVsiUovI02T5JK6T71r1M27jTXl_udr-IsJtpnt3uuuncMyA9EweqHti2l1SWpqqHluWDvjfe9_uiYvVTRr4xOWqYM6I2IxWFiekq6gVKR5qfrf510dqEKLvvWl4lDIVCieEW5cwZjc9aDrzqrZoTl_B0IYDVST93oZ1/w640-h526/australia.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /><div><span face="Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" style="background-color: white; font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></div><div><span face="Calibri, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" style="background-color: white; font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></div></div></div></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-80008529730062834962023-06-19T07:28:00.009-05:002023-06-19T08:44:22.159-05:00Tornado Recap<p>For the first time since early September last year, northern Ohio saw it's first tornado warnings June 15. Not the latest on record but close. </p><p>Latest first tornado warning in order (after June 1st):</p><p>July 24, 2005</p><p>June 24, 1999</p><p>June 22, 1990</p><p>June 19, 2021</p><p><b>June 15, 2023</b></p><p>June 5, 2016</p><p>June 3, 1989</p><p>June 1, 1987</p><p>Not every tornado warning means there were actual touchdowns. In most instances (75% of the time approximately) the warning is issued due to doppler radar indicated rotation within the storm. Last Thursday, not only did we have multiple tornado warnings, we had multiple tornadoes! Here is the list: (h/t Mackenzie Bart and Dontae Jones for the graphic)</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioAfj5UMM_58KRhaKT6PwoAckYx8PEK9j9AadndYUhXziPH4_ZJVIgt87Ko_a7lcD6n5vuI9QUDXtfQoBHyUXAp7Gf3Dy2R-h7bUlBoXfEn8a7x3Efwj_GC7ObLoq5dT1YPwbTr1tgCGzFQu8iMC8qKBIxr3s8zfhGiDPeO4JAtApw_4yPL9J4/s1280/JUNK15A.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioAfj5UMM_58KRhaKT6PwoAckYx8PEK9j9AadndYUhXziPH4_ZJVIgt87Ko_a7lcD6n5vuI9QUDXtfQoBHyUXAp7Gf3Dy2R-h7bUlBoXfEn8a7x3Efwj_GC7ObLoq5dT1YPwbTr1tgCGzFQu8iMC8qKBIxr3s8zfhGiDPeO4JAtApw_4yPL9J4/w640-h360/JUNK15A.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMLiIOmJDcyfxwbu9AQHZY4Ev1lpd5Ia8H8QIUgD-hD9y9x4P9kKmpMpl-WlFYw1StKkRHVexPlcVQIl29PEk4sNDuIeNMlDNA5BLKaQKhf0Z7I30EN-ZJsZOGI_gfdvHezs8FW6GIRPFpS0Fb4HY4OpvqrX7ry4hyOdNhP5QSuQocroA_uEq0/s1280/JUNK15.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMLiIOmJDcyfxwbu9AQHZY4Ev1lpd5Ia8H8QIUgD-hD9y9x4P9kKmpMpl-WlFYw1StKkRHVexPlcVQIl29PEk4sNDuIeNMlDNA5BLKaQKhf0Z7I30EN-ZJsZOGI_gfdvHezs8FW6GIRPFpS0Fb4HY4OpvqrX7ry4hyOdNhP5QSuQocroA_uEq0/w640-h360/JUNK15.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><p><a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=CLE&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1">NWS statement here</a></p><p>Red dots indicate the approximate location of each tornado</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihn576Bu3cdOsI1NoE5RHxPLbJCsRqgY8f1yAEb6I3IJfLhzZQYtZH_osTbAZ4OXyfPGFzf_Spbufg6Y2L1KgMtE3QqpAtG_mtXVWvMBy6NPVFzWjcFrHdb-mIw8pBeYPvvsBgTsxTVTpozZWP2t8thq6fMBQalmDdS8PJi10uXOb1AfT8eRrZ/s1280/JUNK11.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihn576Bu3cdOsI1NoE5RHxPLbJCsRqgY8f1yAEb6I3IJfLhzZQYtZH_osTbAZ4OXyfPGFzf_Spbufg6Y2L1KgMtE3QqpAtG_mtXVWvMBy6NPVFzWjcFrHdb-mIw8pBeYPvvsBgTsxTVTpozZWP2t8thq6fMBQalmDdS8PJi10uXOb1AfT8eRrZ/w640-h360/JUNK11.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Here is a nice video of a constructed powerpoint of the entire severe storm event via the Iowa State University - Mesonet Site (IEM Raccoon). 88 slides total. 5 seconds per slide. Well worth it.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4vzd7KKSSiWCoLbWQqcnEzbDnc7AmzU3C8ISDOWNvXH0Ui9V1Fom4jl-bZLycybdGoE6yojn3iTCLEtDIFTH4HQzJZQwV5SACgBaBayxasRvs_eSE_M97QFlyQ4vfw4nmF0di2TAw59PPKMkU6dgY90L766gl-Nssu_YwMIfXjKrD7mcSaiyK/s1440/CLE-SV_TO-CLE_GIF.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1080" data-original-width="1440" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4vzd7KKSSiWCoLbWQqcnEzbDnc7AmzU3C8ISDOWNvXH0Ui9V1Fom4jl-bZLycybdGoE6yojn3iTCLEtDIFTH4HQzJZQwV5SACgBaBayxasRvs_eSE_M97QFlyQ4vfw4nmF0di2TAw59PPKMkU6dgY90L766gl-Nssu_YwMIfXjKrD7mcSaiyK/w640-h480/CLE-SV_TO-CLE_GIF.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div>Video format from youtube</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe allowfullscreen="" class="BLOG_video_class" height="383" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/eP-CGI0zfrM" width="572" youtube-src-id="eP-CGI0zfrM"></iframe></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /></div>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-59572384262668746962023-06-02T09:40:00.005-05:002023-06-02T09:40:42.353-05:00Little Humidity. Little Rainfall. The Complete May 2023 Recap<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnesLkevvp9VrnUn9Cg0sG6-QPows_9tGn_G9CTRRjOTWvz5RdB1sJSisYN6TDvJjNzw42pEVKt5g8iqlofvOeLgF1SyzyqrvEfFwWNE5AFzJXCWfxK2wJUHk8s4OdKiHocVERuvuPfa55Z-RXPwC90-5Qh2Tojet7XkRvXnSNiEr7s_-EqQ/s1280/Timelapse%20Put-In-Bay.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnesLkevvp9VrnUn9Cg0sG6-QPows_9tGn_G9CTRRjOTWvz5RdB1sJSisYN6TDvJjNzw42pEVKt5g8iqlofvOeLgF1SyzyqrvEfFwWNE5AFzJXCWfxK2wJUHk8s4OdKiHocVERuvuPfa55Z-RXPwC90-5Qh2Tojet7XkRvXnSNiEr7s_-EqQ/w640-h360/Timelapse%20Put-In-Bay.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Lots of colorful 👇 charts here so be prepared! </p><p>We were coming off of an extremely wet April. Temperatures were slightly above normal. 7 of the last 10 days had measurable rainfall. Back in late April the changes in the tropical Pacific (SOI drop), northern Atlantic (negative NAO) and Bering Sea Low pressure were strongly pointing to a cooler than normal start to May.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTFF_Kzj-xmTfeHf7s1cQ8S4uY8bqdd7nh9yD9oQBU9WgyQvFZ4Zfc0inA8en_VMiRUPWeBniflLm26SoaE-LYha9bteUUsSbI35hTn2LJvBYj5iB0tZ3NhMpabFKyYkNirRgBMNUkbo1iIblRCwHLGRQTmO1YHH9zfm4q4FOWcze3a9psSg/s1075/SOI_graph2023.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="514" data-original-width="1075" height="306" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTFF_Kzj-xmTfeHf7s1cQ8S4uY8bqdd7nh9yD9oQBU9WgyQvFZ4Zfc0inA8en_VMiRUPWeBniflLm26SoaE-LYha9bteUUsSbI35hTn2LJvBYj5iB0tZ3NhMpabFKyYkNirRgBMNUkbo1iIblRCwHLGRQTmO1YHH9zfm4q4FOWcze3a9psSg/w640-h306/SOI_graph2023.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK1fy4-S5UTA87uo7QiHgEpjBbhNfDG00ipVNSiGqrfY6D2hDMm3nYVEoSDLOJKsosQUdLnHwzqADnUR7tdod2wlDLfU87F33tmbFGGBVJx-hxJDUJFWiQYyxA9DQc-kyf_OfVFAfOFiyph7UYf8_OLeoe9qBz5Ehfj5RSh_gjdCrXsCi6dw/s1630/euro424-504.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="946" data-original-width="1630" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK1fy4-S5UTA87uo7QiHgEpjBbhNfDG00ipVNSiGqrfY6D2hDMm3nYVEoSDLOJKsosQUdLnHwzqADnUR7tdod2wlDLfU87F33tmbFGGBVJx-hxJDUJFWiQYyxA9DQc-kyf_OfVFAfOFiyph7UYf8_OLeoe9qBz5Ehfj5RSh_gjdCrXsCi6dw/w640-h372/euro424-504.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" width="640" /></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Early May Outlook posted back on April 21</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK1fy4-S5UTA87uo7QiHgEpjBbhNfDG00ipVNSiGqrfY6D2hDMm3nYVEoSDLOJKsosQUdLnHwzqADnUR7tdod2wlDLfU87F33tmbFGGBVJx-hxJDUJFWiQYyxA9DQc-kyf_OfVFAfOFiyph7UYf8_OLeoe9qBz5Ehfj5RSh_gjdCrXsCi6dw/s1630/euro424-504.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The upper level pattern in 7 day increments: 500mB (18,000 feet on left) Jet stream on the right featured an active west-to-east storm track left over from late April.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqPB1_sxxujM4LvEPSACF0djgm-8ZRZWlfAUgwVlafVyEiEPEeXT9ndJwWlvGRgcF7dkmxaSCBKHsnJnjQ2m-7ZzaPwvq9H1-Rq3E8RFKwb8SFe-c886ixfDAasm8FaZwfv64EdyFDfKTuCzElUsimwGvabc1rfWGR6aOskCqycuQ1DK8uFA/s1285/1.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="1285" height="270" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqPB1_sxxujM4LvEPSACF0djgm-8ZRZWlfAUgwVlafVyEiEPEeXT9ndJwWlvGRgcF7dkmxaSCBKHsnJnjQ2m-7ZzaPwvq9H1-Rq3E8RFKwb8SFe-c886ixfDAasm8FaZwfv64EdyFDfKTuCzElUsimwGvabc1rfWGR6aOskCqycuQ1DK8uFA/w640-h270/1.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">May 1 to May 7</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">By the second week of April, the ridge over central Canada shifts west and south.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKvVCIqtT4wD2xvsTgqW59yG5t7xoBmnTk5Lwskv2DxYMW-BrnyQtcP7pHcVYlsf6jKlLuByHkjASAz_A0fqljwbWqsMR6Y4Strnrxgi_Djf3qQ0KEM-_qRsmdlcqon4DIcmXH3q8JmeQPHCuxltfxe_XtvFh-tStFOY8FTtHdc0c_PZTWAg/s1293/3.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="1293" height="268" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKvVCIqtT4wD2xvsTgqW59yG5t7xoBmnTk5Lwskv2DxYMW-BrnyQtcP7pHcVYlsf6jKlLuByHkjASAz_A0fqljwbWqsMR6Y4Strnrxgi_Djf3qQ0KEM-_qRsmdlcqon4DIcmXH3q8JmeQPHCuxltfxe_XtvFh-tStFOY8FTtHdc0c_PZTWAg/w640-h268/3.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">May 8 to May 14</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Notice the split flow which emerged in the middle of the month. Storm track along the southern border and west to east through central Canada and into New England.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhb8J36jW7c0T_SX2mfLXlIhqv27MbYMUVTdyf-ou2nak9YdrdS5s0fUz2WRUS8v3NrgkrQWwA458M6W9XU4KR6ah1dp3pKRglnP2d6z064DW_OPkAEYqeonibe359dR2trXjbVOa-sfxwEkXpYd1ZxlvgsxgNlHzB7_-GeRkTbDnhns0oGfQ/s1282/4.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="1282" height="270" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhb8J36jW7c0T_SX2mfLXlIhqv27MbYMUVTdyf-ou2nak9YdrdS5s0fUz2WRUS8v3NrgkrQWwA458M6W9XU4KR6ah1dp3pKRglnP2d6z064DW_OPkAEYqeonibe359dR2trXjbVOa-sfxwEkXpYd1ZxlvgsxgNlHzB7_-GeRkTbDnhns0oGfQ/w640-h270/4.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">May 15 to May 21</td></tr></tbody></table><br />By the final week of May, two pronounced jet stream tracks kept storm systems away from the central keeping the mid-west and corn belt very dry.<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEglmtPgbP8yAMbDebB3GC6YYQjmbSR0-SIcRRkZ7cxC7Bf7Wp-b5U2lVAzTmOuKhiOVmH0QF4xu6AK40M4ImsQD0YIbOcfe_EO1qsaTfrOMBLGliszsDbRiZ-H6AAyf8zFdMWYbUA5qCerOnIX8bPJsz28NJ1eAda3EmEqM8L69NWUr_aR3HQ/s1292/5.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="1292" height="268" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEglmtPgbP8yAMbDebB3GC6YYQjmbSR0-SIcRRkZ7cxC7Bf7Wp-b5U2lVAzTmOuKhiOVmH0QF4xu6AK40M4ImsQD0YIbOcfe_EO1qsaTfrOMBLGliszsDbRiZ-H6AAyf8zFdMWYbUA5qCerOnIX8bPJsz28NJ1eAda3EmEqM8L69NWUr_aR3HQ/w640-h268/5.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Overall temperatures west of the Mississippi and in the upper mid-west were above normal.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjC5e8eojTgG2taHPhzNd5_nIWl1IeLbixuC_ceTdcV7t-GEuZKUz9v_N7gN3EGS-594TUXZOsoKfwNVNtjzr264S8J5jWZhsJYBRT_0wIyDXBcTQKMkM6aGKpagYydC57swbc1Or8QDNOjD8UjA7NvCqwtBN5uahBp-MTSNYgXcHEiYW9QWw/s984/cdas-all-conus-t2m_f_anom_30day_back-5577600.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjC5e8eojTgG2taHPhzNd5_nIWl1IeLbixuC_ceTdcV7t-GEuZKUz9v_N7gN3EGS-594TUXZOsoKfwNVNtjzr264S8J5jWZhsJYBRT_0wIyDXBcTQKMkM6aGKpagYydC57swbc1Or8QDNOjD8UjA7NvCqwtBN5uahBp-MTSNYgXcHEiYW9QWw/w640-h526/cdas-all-conus-t2m_f_anom_30day_back-5577600.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The center of the heat was in western Canada.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQnltxKMVvzx09K9rUZlhSH2tTZfFD6HqklSLiSAmNYIPJKBpGtRSivq5GvfC_8yKkt44Ik1O1oy-O2vGZXc1R6zkWP0hhtF4xcHaFLHGbNvrrFEOF9UVBxIGxagxNHGkLjTcZwlil3muovKNyRYtDQ3Mp2D6SPgbM4FsFeJlfZoxP1DktwQ/s984/cdas-all-namer-t2m_f_anom_30day_back-5577600.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQnltxKMVvzx09K9rUZlhSH2tTZfFD6HqklSLiSAmNYIPJKBpGtRSivq5GvfC_8yKkt44Ik1O1oy-O2vGZXc1R6zkWP0hhtF4xcHaFLHGbNvrrFEOF9UVBxIGxagxNHGkLjTcZwlil3muovKNyRYtDQ3Mp2D6SPgbM4FsFeJlfZoxP1DktwQ/w640-h526/cdas-all-namer-t2m_f_anom_30day_back-5577600.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjm_rXfFBFEdd8t996rQ5xnU-CFVd9QjwQ3pGNRbuodSLtLVT5fg0JZIyg4W79rOLlBsqBJA2Vh7RToZLyKugJyRkHEW0cx01K63GRf_myPu4VOGeax-ipfgtTY0u9nVBvwZBUh-PDnguQS3N8B6r2zT_dU65lmrTZScVf8q_qty8Qm1ht5Iw/s1200/may_temperature_rank.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjm_rXfFBFEdd8t996rQ5xnU-CFVd9QjwQ3pGNRbuodSLtLVT5fg0JZIyg4W79rOLlBsqBJA2Vh7RToZLyKugJyRkHEW0cx01K63GRf_myPu4VOGeax-ipfgtTY0u9nVBvwZBUh-PDnguQS3N8B6r2zT_dU65lmrTZScVf8q_qty8Qm1ht5Iw/w640-h360/may_temperature_rank.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The split flow kept a large portion of the central US, deep south and Great Lakes extremely dry.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_rGcBov9rtPB7OLMAm2YF3tEvnjF--ukabGEHgH2NchsZgklOs4yjNPO9Y89xJYj_qGzfuPnLjY-YghsesW7z9nPFpE2cPZyDRZ2xWTxQadWDo5KmbFthfUSQg5gUmYnE4vpidvxNZWehxye7BMB1P4U7KrnGIu8PVlCQF5Z-K5j9Fbyoyg/s1000/PRECIP_ANOM.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="751" data-original-width="1000" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_rGcBov9rtPB7OLMAm2YF3tEvnjF--ukabGEHgH2NchsZgklOs4yjNPO9Y89xJYj_qGzfuPnLjY-YghsesW7z9nPFpE2cPZyDRZ2xWTxQadWDo5KmbFthfUSQg5gUmYnE4vpidvxNZWehxye7BMB1P4U7KrnGIu8PVlCQF5Z-K5j9Fbyoyg/w640-h480/PRECIP_ANOM.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEje7urkc3r6vAZKKUif2BHal81Woz7gRufSdKF3aEPPC2kDNhFGA8HI4z2LSOCaLmivMr0PhRKd_IBSq57f8eiRgZOYxPADK2jb1ESaSmgyw_yRWIbbxvjmVD0BQnZdlbFSe0mSbuIBzmoSMnoP1ClChh_KtwzmSZDQ1I1EM3ku3R2q6_lzTQ/s1200/may_rainfall_rank.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEje7urkc3r6vAZKKUif2BHal81Woz7gRufSdKF3aEPPC2kDNhFGA8HI4z2LSOCaLmivMr0PhRKd_IBSq57f8eiRgZOYxPADK2jb1ESaSmgyw_yRWIbbxvjmVD0BQnZdlbFSe0mSbuIBzmoSMnoP1ClChh_KtwzmSZDQ1I1EM3ku3R2q6_lzTQ/w640-h360/may_rainfall_rank.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">In northern Ohio, we had rain to start the month which skewed the overall totals. 25 of the 31 days were dry.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1KHZaIgZu4vGXbWqfz_h8VnvXggOfLghhvo9MjK7F4k4pV66SIXvRS2psjXyB36Ml6RQdYwC7l-CtL9xCQsbVw4nSIDr64ao6XNmZcWcTrKrGNNulO0ZkGMbFj7fkv-zUPb-JVChJg6gajfvMlP2AQovuEkq99XgDfU04gJdoyFCHfur6fw/s1280/JUNK28.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1KHZaIgZu4vGXbWqfz_h8VnvXggOfLghhvo9MjK7F4k4pV66SIXvRS2psjXyB36Ml6RQdYwC7l-CtL9xCQsbVw4nSIDr64ao6XNmZcWcTrKrGNNulO0ZkGMbFj7fkv-zUPb-JVChJg6gajfvMlP2AQovuEkq99XgDfU04gJdoyFCHfur6fw/w400-h225/JUNK28.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMTriGUWqjIad-r-1wgT0QjuxWrNeA8ka2vRe-0EydEb3zUtUAZ5rVZXZXUu3h4egCS9q5DCgq26YMPRzZ65UcrZ9i2g9uWAbkzzplxc2tKsNeTazo1xpFURFFohJpsOMV-RbahEjFUWTqL_Y6KnrPQOuGQWNwxHSkIykVZxFZC7dsPeztVA/s1280/Calendar%20RAINFALL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMTriGUWqjIad-r-1wgT0QjuxWrNeA8ka2vRe-0EydEb3zUtUAZ5rVZXZXUu3h4egCS9q5DCgq26YMPRzZ65UcrZ9i2g9uWAbkzzplxc2tKsNeTazo1xpFURFFohJpsOMV-RbahEjFUWTqL_Y6KnrPQOuGQWNwxHSkIykVZxFZC7dsPeztVA/w640-h360/Calendar%20RAINFALL.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Temperatures in northern Ohio were slightly below average. We had more days below than above. Days in grey were a degree to either side of average.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilhAZu_0iy1pi8BXTnYxU5D_Sv97z2StWmX_SyaPbz5chra6Vkaiz7yMz-G2MueIkVZmB77I6o3YJq-GXXlbEjRc6AzMh7j2_msUntLE8eDSVL8WitbT8agbIInI2TMFSJZktcscGe2POY_v7sWWZ2xOcEj4vSg5nm4WmD6hfAG3U436wWJQ/s1280/Calendar%20temperature%20departure.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilhAZu_0iy1pi8BXTnYxU5D_Sv97z2StWmX_SyaPbz5chra6Vkaiz7yMz-G2MueIkVZmB77I6o3YJq-GXXlbEjRc6AzMh7j2_msUntLE8eDSVL8WitbT8agbIInI2TMFSJZktcscGe2POY_v7sWWZ2xOcEj4vSg5nm4WmD6hfAG3U436wWJQ/w640-h360/Calendar%20temperature%20departure.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">By far the biggest element was the lack of humidity. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4ymkm-g6ioRHSwbdAefVSBOqqx6P21mLN1HaNQwTB9bUSrGjIAr3OACp-5v3ipiR5_cEXlIYeDooUC_WZwDusnKJbu_SaBC0oF4gupJhK3q5yCPLZ25IMC42M253tIYb4ftR8mnWyWKkP3akcfHZU1gtVF5b6YNLnrFQPgCc8H_bEGyU4Kw/s1280/Spring_Humidity.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4ymkm-g6ioRHSwbdAefVSBOqqx6P21mLN1HaNQwTB9bUSrGjIAr3OACp-5v3ipiR5_cEXlIYeDooUC_WZwDusnKJbu_SaBC0oF4gupJhK3q5yCPLZ25IMC42M253tIYb4ftR8mnWyWKkP3akcfHZU1gtVF5b6YNLnrFQPgCc8H_bEGyU4Kw/w640-h360/Spring_Humidity.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">In fact, April had more humid periods than May. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEe7_C0xLn57YdzdNrJ8MJK6q1IXCHrF3Mfut8yG-WXOyimN6Va1dahW_PAn_dOO3U8sCdqFi0r-ucqW-cR99jiFi1LPttotvi5FcMz7KkF7tkbk5nTnsDO3ylD_BbnOjukh9twDnEOyvfDMFL5dB0ody7_WuAFIK-8sQ_XsYJy-1GVoTCHA/s1280/May_Humidity.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEe7_C0xLn57YdzdNrJ8MJK6q1IXCHrF3Mfut8yG-WXOyimN6Va1dahW_PAn_dOO3U8sCdqFi0r-ucqW-cR99jiFi1LPttotvi5FcMz7KkF7tkbk5nTnsDO3ylD_BbnOjukh9twDnEOyvfDMFL5dB0ody7_WuAFIK-8sQ_XsYJy-1GVoTCHA/w640-h360/May_Humidity.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">We average more than 105 total hours of high humidity in May. We ONLY had ONE HOUR! Only 1966, 67, 68 and 1971 compare.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhsiDI2u3m95z1DhN0dl6Emwya0px9R0Syzv4rrVOxkqVLRoqTO7OH5pl1X3oYf9EfO3HAUuRPUh4Oxu6qakCxmPrFDisKgbLxqPYasfuOI6K20BouanwA_-InlGj-TMArSNjJqUGf69Q8DBUspBYEBzWkFjs94866z_tNcvoe6rd6PK14zbQ/s1200/DP_above60_sinceMay1_31.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="344" data-original-width="1200" height="184" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhsiDI2u3m95z1DhN0dl6Emwya0px9R0Syzv4rrVOxkqVLRoqTO7OH5pl1X3oYf9EfO3HAUuRPUh4Oxu6qakCxmPrFDisKgbLxqPYasfuOI6K20BouanwA_-InlGj-TMArSNjJqUGf69Q8DBUspBYEBzWkFjs94866z_tNcvoe6rd6PK14zbQ/w640-h184/DP_above60_sinceMay1_31.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>April and May high humidity periods (total hours) compared to past years.</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbQvfzCrrQD8zG2vB62ZoK_Pc23pQxeOTSxEkC901IdK0-iFx4z4_YGKxuS9v7xXG59lCNY_N-G4f4L_Nt07ohqgVgiwbGzv_teC2Kg0uuzo59Csj5Il3vPu-RPmP0ZOjeN8pYHF8JW2T-7Z_EemkIi8OWQLQveQPMXhBBTcqCPtgPDzlgLQ/s1200/DP_above60_sinceApril1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="344" data-original-width="1200" height="184" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbQvfzCrrQD8zG2vB62ZoK_Pc23pQxeOTSxEkC901IdK0-iFx4z4_YGKxuS9v7xXG59lCNY_N-G4f4L_Nt07ohqgVgiwbGzv_teC2Kg0uuzo59Csj5Il3vPu-RPmP0ZOjeN8pYHF8JW2T-7Z_EemkIi8OWQLQveQPMXhBBTcqCPtgPDzlgLQ/w640-h184/DP_above60_sinceApril1.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>The average northern Ohio humidity in May was the 3rd lowest since the last 1940s.</div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiVm9lmekcQuiFuiDyx3f9wpnATHJ8de_PYJprUnN6GRUMJd-vh4Bg-8YRBHXzRngTCfxtPSpt96P491tujqGSHuV8DeTgWod5bb92HZUFFoTSGDepnlT5G5-NOO85GcK3LrSNvwh8NIEwmvEdAP-_ZWOiOR4_oOzENMsPNfisysFobfFM6A/s1200/DP_May_history.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiVm9lmekcQuiFuiDyx3f9wpnATHJ8de_PYJprUnN6GRUMJd-vh4Bg-8YRBHXzRngTCfxtPSpt96P491tujqGSHuV8DeTgWod5bb92HZUFFoTSGDepnlT5G5-NOO85GcK3LrSNvwh8NIEwmvEdAP-_ZWOiOR4_oOzENMsPNfisysFobfFM6A/w640-h360/DP_May_history.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Severe storm warnings were non-existent in Ohio and surrounding states compared to April.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLexArG0ZQs2_7A0oEBItBi3pmU9nKwCV7ECm8Ky3IaNILLyGvMxkxKDZLqUijPbPgGV-DxI3JR3f4lVY7wardpN6z5sMZjX8-BUHt7UgQxok2acAR38TFJTEs9PmIgxvq_UlK-82o57uu-17bsiaBIgL2i6B84Xffrx9k-8Vva_kieJCNgw/s600/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20-%202023-06-02T094759.423.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="600" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLexArG0ZQs2_7A0oEBItBi3pmU9nKwCV7ECm8Ky3IaNILLyGvMxkxKDZLqUijPbPgGV-DxI3JR3f4lVY7wardpN6z5sMZjX8-BUHt7UgQxok2acAR38TFJTEs9PmIgxvq_UlK-82o57uu-17bsiaBIgL2i6B84Xffrx9k-8Vva_kieJCNgw/w640-h360/ezgif.com-video-to-gif%20-%202023-06-02T094759.423.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_07Pt98LIYZ0OTGj0tOFyXFrTa0Hsu_4l8zax9Q46zS-pA1TCeP2UhFAucqKh0iRBZ7YLCsU-kKpvVTnhWnhBwP33zPXLVquJ9F1BaLg8XLLSfs2wpVhg7x2MYYKoUk5ZBslA5D-1M5wATg1GF0d1qdOZaxgIyJo190EfhT4l2xJQxtjSnw/s1200/SSW_departure.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_07Pt98LIYZ0OTGj0tOFyXFrTa0Hsu_4l8zax9Q46zS-pA1TCeP2UhFAucqKh0iRBZ7YLCsU-kKpvVTnhWnhBwP33zPXLVquJ9F1BaLg8XLLSfs2wpVhg7x2MYYKoUk5ZBslA5D-1M5wATg1GF0d1qdOZaxgIyJo190EfhT4l2xJQxtjSnw/w640-h360/SSW_departure.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">What about June? On May 22nd, the tropical Pacific indicated a HUGE drop in the SOI. Using the historical analogs, the "less humid & dry" pattern looks to continue through the middle of the month. The projections on June 2 were latching onto this idea bigtime.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0PaaXfMnIN__a25cDNlQw5KQRJYHTbyRsA5frN11vYHuJD6kReEWylCQFLGLGcZdnTUoN39u69wI3FpOedmnyEKn-wIhSpgSwdfu98BouavfgS6UGwsa-gBMNmtEOVgMgS4JjXsb72KEK1BVax6V9F67Mp3nvzEQ3cUixApvCnSmmCyT7HA/s1461/SOI_drop_ElNino_21dayANALOG.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="966" data-original-width="1461" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0PaaXfMnIN__a25cDNlQw5KQRJYHTbyRsA5frN11vYHuJD6kReEWylCQFLGLGcZdnTUoN39u69wI3FpOedmnyEKn-wIhSpgSwdfu98BouavfgS6UGwsa-gBMNmtEOVgMgS4JjXsb72KEK1BVax6V9F67Mp3nvzEQ3cUixApvCnSmmCyT7HA/w640-h424/SOI_drop_ElNino_21dayANALOG.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div>What we will watch during the second half of June/early July is how much the severe dry conditions will persist. If they do, the dry ground could feed the central US ridge further enhancing the heat. More on this in the weeks ahead.<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div><br /></div><br /><p><br /></p>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-34847395933682011992023-05-12T06:50:00.001-05:002023-05-12T06:50:07.655-05:00How Does The Weak Cleveland Guardians Offense Compare to Past Years?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1L4pxXj0cFcE1mgYwjDaNrAhJ1EQVl6zdCgtuGxthv4B01H4qtUqqpYmWz_atSqLUrd4XgPPtYNlfUM-CyVPiB-QiqiG0m3x6-orXMFaoER12yn4lVbPTjrbmFydTtK-EXWz0dhenTlmd5c4EtI0jsQyERv67arBNjJWCH-ZFlGGGLO8Okw/s789/Cle-Guardians.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="576" data-original-width="789" height="468" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1L4pxXj0cFcE1mgYwjDaNrAhJ1EQVl6zdCgtuGxthv4B01H4qtUqqpYmWz_atSqLUrd4XgPPtYNlfUM-CyVPiB-QiqiG0m3x6-orXMFaoER12yn4lVbPTjrbmFydTtK-EXWz0dhenTlmd5c4EtI0jsQyERv67arBNjJWCH-ZFlGGGLO8Okw/w640-h468/Cle-Guardians.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>How does this year's offense rank? How does it compare to each season since 2015 through May 10th?</p><p><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDlVYG6wNQMcqUv53VpjjAoThIF7yCx1-kfFTOGgmC0V4Je9NMb2CyxUqPvDbSSmZa6AQMwqmkORNcSNHAiIPR9F53d74xnf4CKzj1DF58m5biEHQiWHXRPtaWqekLOdOJhDeH7STnZY-9wvXxqydW3ZpE3CWmcXksBFSq_sag-NaueOCq9g/s886/CLE_guardians_May10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="267" data-original-width="886" height="192" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDlVYG6wNQMcqUv53VpjjAoThIF7yCx1-kfFTOGgmC0V4Je9NMb2CyxUqPvDbSSmZa6AQMwqmkORNcSNHAiIPR9F53d74xnf4CKzj1DF58m5biEHQiWHXRPtaWqekLOdOJhDeH7STnZY-9wvXxqydW3ZpE3CWmcXksBFSq_sag-NaueOCq9g/w640-h192/CLE_guardians_May10.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>The fact that they are only 3 games below .500 is a testament to their pitching especially relief pitching. Their ability to score runs has been near or at the bottom of the league across the board. The only season close to this season was 2019. All data below is through May 10th since 2015.</p><p>(RISP = Runners in scoring position)</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRjRr7qe4mcnmjf78WkUIti8C2XK5d-uCcbzl6udG2QHFEGsxzFh7bSUkxp4N_wDwYiTSXDMYS_2yCJY05WQIm3PI0L_9rSSvyWEdenOfvDg52Wnrup3NcQUIvzjxphjT3mm7dn308TCzLGR2ErMiwBW3ClUtUw9PfQFnz_3a1vrKVyqvB1g/s752/CLE_guardians_May10b.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="223" data-original-width="752" height="190" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRjRr7qe4mcnmjf78WkUIti8C2XK5d-uCcbzl6udG2QHFEGsxzFh7bSUkxp4N_wDwYiTSXDMYS_2yCJY05WQIm3PI0L_9rSSvyWEdenOfvDg52Wnrup3NcQUIvzjxphjT3mm7dn308TCzLGR2ErMiwBW3ClUtUw9PfQFnz_3a1vrKVyqvB1g/w640-h190/CLE_guardians_May10b.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Cleveland Guardians record as of May 11th: (thru 37 games)</p><p>2023: <span style="font-size: x-large; font-weight: 700;">17 -20</span></p><p>2022: 17 - 20</p><p>2021: 21 -16</p><p>2019: 20 - 17</p><p>2018: 18 - 19</p><p>2017: 20 -17</p><p>2016: 20 - 17</p><p>2015: 14 - 23</p>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19939498.post-45821433706027185752023-04-25T05:37:00.002-05:002023-04-25T05:37:31.115-05:00When Will This Cool/Unsettled Pattern Change?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZ3DOBU87JeUsbUwI4Ud2E5r7Btu5hyRFV3l0_cXkrSZXlJIMQXcEVHXz3y0DVU-iIfVzEQXSihdvRhBIUf0-Ix_uqcSaPc-IyLH07D7a-iPfiAebq91n20riQb6xDLDFJ1YivGSCGC2zh_JzmF-q4Xk8Wu68y8AZ7CGZd5tv4vEB9Q1hv2g/s876/snow_on_springflowers.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="493" data-original-width="876" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZ3DOBU87JeUsbUwI4Ud2E5r7Btu5hyRFV3l0_cXkrSZXlJIMQXcEVHXz3y0DVU-iIfVzEQXSihdvRhBIUf0-Ix_uqcSaPc-IyLH07D7a-iPfiAebq91n20riQb6xDLDFJ1YivGSCGC2zh_JzmF-q4Xk8Wu68y8AZ7CGZd5tv4vEB9Q1hv2g/w400-h225/snow_on_springflowers.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><p>It's not uncommon for April to feature stalled low pressure with long stretches of "cool" air across the Great Lakes/New England. Our long stretch of warmth a few weeks ago makes this cooler/cloudy/rainy pattern that much harder to deal with. What does the long range (2-3 week outlook) say?</p><p>The southern oscillation index went through some significant changes over the last week and a half. The greater these day-to-day changes the stronger the effect across North America, Here is the peer reviewed research: <a href="https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.7775">PAPER HERE</a></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhduBW7vG0mNXodbThFDAjhOeMblKv-D4yLwu7sk8UEX3O_7zQVEhmrC721Tsz94a3BjA2t5o2VE8t4HgHBRPD3clul_AJENQes9w-XfQ25IKrAeizuIgYpI7vjv_gQ2jxPlu-F5k_lN-D0xkLy42KzO1Vf6gyfFbn3xfXFsJOcVrFJVR3nWg/s1075/SOI_graph.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="514" data-original-width="1075" height="306" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhduBW7vG0mNXodbThFDAjhOeMblKv-D4yLwu7sk8UEX3O_7zQVEhmrC721Tsz94a3BjA2t5o2VE8t4HgHBRPD3clul_AJENQes9w-XfQ25IKrAeizuIgYpI7vjv_gQ2jxPlu-F5k_lN-D0xkLy42KzO1Vf6gyfFbn3xfXFsJOcVrFJVR3nWg/w640-h306/SOI_graph.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>SOI analog forecast show the Great Lakes/Eastern US trough backing off by mid month. How quickly will the Southeast ridge build back is the big question.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZguueli9mf2UaBD3rYdCxOZe19fCLTVmFWJ9kSsRjEV9iKspHmlA74KfEy1w641hBm3BeUy7tizSOu-zqIZhWj9EnZzG_dGAqpdmBueKB-srI3e2iuraOEI68tcPxy61wPhi7SAIhM-EHHVKxd3N_33BIzpULUBcGgP-Qvc42r5r_Lv3bw/s1062/soi_analogs.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="413" data-original-width="1062" height="248" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZguueli9mf2UaBD3rYdCxOZe19fCLTVmFWJ9kSsRjEV9iKspHmlA74KfEy1w641hBm3BeUy7tizSOu-zqIZhWj9EnZzG_dGAqpdmBueKB-srI3e2iuraOEI68tcPxy61wPhi7SAIhM-EHHVKxd3N_33BIzpULUBcGgP-Qvc42r5r_Lv3bw/w640-h248/soi_analogs.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">Another element going forward this summer and fall will be the building El Nino. I'm not going to go into the specifics of that here. Perhaps a blog post on this in the weeks and months ahead. But as La Nina decays, the overall effects will be cascading across the Pacific augmenting the jet stream and the weather across North America.</span></span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">Watch the decaying La Nina as shown through the weekly sea surface temperature anomalies from December 2022 to mid April 2023: Watch the blue area disappear slowly.</span></span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjt4LcUFgye-4VNmrR324eNzplzK9OtBx5MKoiqwMm2RqBikRaGA_ajLG-nSALwoKngafRfF6dkGJHWh8hOaYQNM67xAP8iVj3-daLMd-ApJ6tMJye7CeXs5hs8NFfVAXYxqAbgacUM99gdmrhN6SAti3prJ4Qy6ntOEGpMQQtckWGS2VJfsg/s988/Record_2023_04_25_05_53_07_651.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="575" data-original-width="988" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjt4LcUFgye-4VNmrR324eNzplzK9OtBx5MKoiqwMm2RqBikRaGA_ajLG-nSALwoKngafRfF6dkGJHWh8hOaYQNM67xAP8iVj3-daLMd-ApJ6tMJye7CeXs5hs8NFfVAXYxqAbgacUM99gdmrhN6SAti3prJ4Qy6ntOEGpMQQtckWGS2VJfsg/w640-h372/Record_2023_04_25_05_53_07_651.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies</td></tr></tbody></table><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div></span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-size: 15px;">The big drivers of the pattern change have been the ridge of high pressure in the Gulf of Alaska and the western corners of North America along, the deep low pressure over the Aleutian islands and the stalled ridge over Greenland (negative North Atlantic Oscillation). The position of these high pressure ridges have allowed low pressure to undercut them through the middle of the US. This has significantly suppressed the Bermuda high which brought us the warmth a couple weeks ago locking in below normal temperatures across the eastern 2/3 of the US.</span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">Based upon all of these factors, I don't foresee any long stretches over warmth across the Great lakes and Ohio valley through at least the middle of May. </span></span></div><div dir="auto" style="border: 0px; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color: #242424; font-family: Segoe UI, Segoe UI Web (West European), Segoe UI, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica Neue, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg9Kuae-hGVO8EM2gSHixfLiZHfZieB4-W5PW9Hskxa-yN4wHsG8OXD5RvpqS2y14VLPDc_UODQawfHa5p9LrIbkGMaPov3ywl41gZpaeQXvvp10l6OKaBe-Y445iYO89cvR16YSPprFOV6IGd4QfU6j5CuXj_DxmrwYOy_mCULQ3EHCW3sQ/s1630/euro424-504.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="946" data-original-width="1630" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg9Kuae-hGVO8EM2gSHixfLiZHfZieB4-W5PW9Hskxa-yN4wHsG8OXD5RvpqS2y14VLPDc_UODQawfHa5p9LrIbkGMaPov3ywl41gZpaeQXvvp10l6OKaBe-Y445iYO89cvR16YSPprFOV6IGd4QfU6j5CuXj_DxmrwYOy_mCULQ3EHCW3sQ/w640-h372/euro424-504.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>The reinforcing front Sunday/Monday of next week could produce rain/snow mix. Here was my forecast tweet from April 20 on the early May rain/snow mix potential.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-eEQo_5_RlOgyKqMhwK3dyt8BF7CHm0lQSMq2OCeBLUw6q60IOTjtbhetLNaopwyVtbzfZor_iQ9bSRH_dgYjxCYl_4VPs2X5KURgIIOcjLHPisxQOX8EOWwi8nVZs1XPcwQtKY68mvsdi4S8p-ejhv4rc9DYqP-AxRu6cYditAcxRSVBHQ/s568/Screenshot_20230425-060735.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="568" data-original-width="540" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-eEQo_5_RlOgyKqMhwK3dyt8BF7CHm0lQSMq2OCeBLUw6q60IOTjtbhetLNaopwyVtbzfZor_iQ9bSRH_dgYjxCYl_4VPs2X5KURgIIOcjLHPisxQOX8EOWwi8nVZs1XPcwQtKY68mvsdi4S8p-ejhv4rc9DYqP-AxRu6cYditAcxRSVBHQ/s320/Screenshot_20230425-060735.png" width="304" /></a></div><br /><p>As of this writing (April 25) the new EURO and GFS models show the Greenland Ridge & western North America ridge (red areas) holding strong until the second week of May then gradual weakening. This flattens the trough across the central US bringing an end to the unsettled pattern. These solutions were indicated on the SOI analogs more than a week ago.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjA15Q4qugFfHdDL8oLq-3I5PRBBHqsaG8wAGJZAeV2nsbRhEZH6N9sKOqW0Se-AIKf1dMrx9xQYSXllj9dhwqCTPWCH7hIrAz-axlD11vYvOdOooOQvcuZkGeXsDJnYgn-Jj7IX918FbpurcbVpxlCHOtWaDTEyZ05Lfq7dj3i-d6lCDEYQg/s984/EURO4252023.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjA15Q4qugFfHdDL8oLq-3I5PRBBHqsaG8wAGJZAeV2nsbRhEZH6N9sKOqW0Se-AIKf1dMrx9xQYSXllj9dhwqCTPWCH7hIrAz-axlD11vYvOdOooOQvcuZkGeXsDJnYgn-Jj7IX918FbpurcbVpxlCHOtWaDTEyZ05Lfq7dj3i-d6lCDEYQg/w640-h526/EURO4252023.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p>Temperatures per the GFS also corroborate what the SOI analogs indicated 2 weeks ago. <b>That is gradual improvement across the central US and Ohio Valley but still no big signs of any long stretches of warmth.</b></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhI7KxGQ7ToVu85k2bAQxF6NB5mXaEuQJkayLVu--vN2za-95Jolynk3CB-VZ9oUgoVyxIjUq-aY7R9_RmjSSmQn_D1XTFTGIyTUBErgfhpuJ8MldDQjeE5GOX5oCeKA97cefzbRWFbCsDqPEm0jtbr66DF6R06WCLt-YPQbwiM8gcTEb1zPQ/s984/GFS_temps.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhI7KxGQ7ToVu85k2bAQxF6NB5mXaEuQJkayLVu--vN2za-95Jolynk3CB-VZ9oUgoVyxIjUq-aY7R9_RmjSSmQn_D1XTFTGIyTUBErgfhpuJ8MldDQjeE5GOX5oCeKA97cefzbRWFbCsDqPEm0jtbr66DF6R06WCLt-YPQbwiM8gcTEb1zPQ/w640-h526/GFS_temps.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><p><br /></p>Scott Sabolhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17235888970645262082noreply@blogger.com0