Baseball All-time Leaderboards Looking Alot Different

I love to check out the all-time leader boards on baseball-reference.com. Its thrilling to watch current players pass up players from the 1930s or 40s.  Derek Jeter closing in on Eddie Murray on the all-time hits list.  Adam Dunn getting close to 2000 career strikeouts to name a few.

Its also an exercise in gaining perspective. The historic figures like Mantle, Ruth, Williams, Aaron, Mays, etc still occupy positions at the top of most offensive lists. The era of the longball (commonly referred to as "the steroid era" to which I say other factors along with PEDs influenced the offensive increase) is behind us. The players who played in the 1990s are slowly becoming baseball retirees or soon will. The time of the 21st century player is here as they creep up the leader boards. 

Yet there is always a few players on the leader boards who are just "hanging on". Their days are numbered yet they continue to play in extremely part-time roles. So I cleaned up the leader boards for a few stats by "retiring" certain players who 1) either haven't played a game this year and are free agents, 2) who said that they are definitely retiring at the end of the season (the Omar Vizquels of the league), 3) players who are still under contract next year and will play regardless (Todd Helton) or 4)--and this is where it gets more speculative--players who are having a sub-par year as a utility fielder or a one-a-week pinch hitter. 

Note: One player who I couldn't decide on was Bobby Abreu along a few starters like Bartolo Colon.

After eliminating these players, I reshuffled the active leader boards and came up with these prospective leader lists as they MIGHT LOOK LIKE at the start of the 2013 season. The first number is the actual stat (as of August 16th), the second is the player's first year, the third is their position on the all-time list. The leader boards all of a sudden look a whole lot different!  Aside from Jeter and A-Rod, not many players are close to the top.

RUNS SCORED

Alex Rodriguez  1878     1994      12th
Derek Jeter        1839     1995      15th
Bobby Abreu     1439     1996      80th
Todd Helton       1360     1997      97th
Albert Pujols      1357     2001    101st
Carlos Beltran    1252     1998    142nd
Scott Rolen        1204     1996    167th
Andruw Jones    1199     1996    171st
Ichiro Suzuki      1181     2001    190th
Jimmy Rollins     1149     2000    206th

HITS

Derek Jeter        3245    1995    13th
Alex Rodriguez   2872    1994    41st
Ichiro Suzuki      2554    2001    88th
Bobby Abreu     2434    1996    111th
Todd Helton      2420    1997    113th
Carlos Lee         2237    1999    162nd
Albert Pujols      2199    2001    175th
Adrian Beltre     2164    1998    188th
Paul Konerko    2143    1997    199th
Juan Pierre         2111    2000    211th

HOMERUNS

Alex Rodriguez    644    1994    5th
Albert Pujols       471     2001    31st
Andruw Jones     432    1996    41st
Paul Konerko      414    1997    47th
David Ortiz         401    1997    49th
Adam Dunn         399    2001    50th
Alfonso Soriano   361    1999    74th
Lance Berkman   360    1999    75th
Carlos Lee          355    1999    79th
Todd Helton        354    1997    82nd


DOUBLES

Todd Helton       570    1997    22nd
Bobby Abreu     565    1996    23rd
Derek Jeter        516    1995    44th
Scott Rolen        511    1996    48th
Alex Rodriguez   509    1994    50th
Albert Pujols      487    2001    67th
David Ortiz        481    1997    76th
Carlos Lee         462    1999    87th
Adrian Beltre     452    1998    94th
Alfonso Soriano 426    1999    134th


GAMES PLAYED

Derek Jeter          2541    1995    45th
Alex Rodriguez    2496    1994    56th
Bobby Abreu       2325    1996    98th
Andruw Jones      2170    1996    143rd
Todd Helton         2123    1997    167th
Paul Konerko       2099    1997    177th
Adrain Beltre        2071    1998    194th
Carlos Lee           2055    1999    199th
Scott Rolen          2010    1996    225th
Raul Ibanez          1912    1996    286th


STEALS

Juan Pierre        582    2000    21st
Ichiro Suzuki     441    2001    54th
Carl Crawford   430    2002    57th
Bobby Abreu    398    1996    72nd
Jose Reyes        398    2003    74th
Jimmy Rollins    391    2000    79th
Derek Jeter       346    1995    112th
Chone Figgins    337    2002    120th
Alez Rodruguez 316    1994    148th
Rafawl Furcal     314    2000    152nd

WINS

Andy Pettitte         243    1995    54th
Roy Halladay        194    1998    129th
Tim Hudson          193    1999    134th
CC Sabathia         188    2001    144th
Livan Hernandez   177    1996    164th
Mark Muehrle       170    2000    179th
Bartolo Colon       170    1997    184th
Kevin Millwood    167    1997    197th
Roy Oswalt           163    2001    212th
Barry Zito              154    2000    237th

Will the Warmer Lake Increase Lake Effect Snow in November?

I recently posted on Facebook and Twitter the Lake Erie water temperature reaching 80 for the first time since 2001.  This prompted emails and comments asking whether or not the warmer lake temperature will have an impact on lake effect snow.  Here are several points
to keep in mind before we take a look at the factors that effect the temperature of the lake:

*  The difference between most summers Lake Erie water temperature to this summer's record temperature is fairly small.  In 2010, a very warm summer which got an early start in April, the lake water temperature reached 76 for several weeks. In 2009, a much cooler summer, the water temp reach 74 for a few days in mid August.  While these summers were markedly different, the lake water temperature difference was only a few degrees.

*  The official water temperature is taken at the Cleveland Crib (water intake several miles offshore) and at a depth of 40 feet. So the surface temperature may be several degrees warmer than the official reading

What are the factors that have contributed to the lake water temperature trend this summer?

1. Timing

The timing of this summer's first burst of heat was a bit different than in years past.  The 11 days stretch in late June into early July was the warmest and longest stretch in late June/early July since 1949.  That stretch was only 9 days. This sudden surge of heat occurred at just
the right time of early summer when the lake was the most vulnerable to rapid warming. 


The Lake Erie water temp averages a rise of 5 degrees from June 30th to July 15th--67 to 72.  By the end of July, the water temp was near 80!  As of August 9th, the water temp is still at
80.

2. No significant storms

Lack of any strong storm systems over the lake kept the lake still.  A strong front produces strong wind shifts horizontally. As storms develop, cold downdrafts race out of those storms. These motions "stir" the lake mixing the warmer water on the surface with the cooler water beneath resulting in a cooler lake.

3. Little snow melt in late winter/early spring

Spring snow melt would have resulted in more runoff into the lake from the tributaries like the Cuyahoga, Chagrin, Grand and others overturning the surface water keeping temperatures cooler longer.

Check out the sediment from the runoff last March in this high resolution satellite photo

Compare this with an early August high resolution satellite shot. Notice very little sediment from runoff

4. Old Fashioned Heat

Continuous daytime temperatures in early July above 90 with overnight lows above normal aided in the warming. We've had 23 days so far.

 -----------------------------------------

Which leading us to The Big Question: Will water temperatures at 80 (higher in isolated spots) play a role in increasing lake effect snow in early winter?

The first thing to remember is the actual water temperature isn't the key component to lake effect snow.  Its the DIFFERENCE between the lake temperature AND the temperature of the colder air moving over the water.

In most years, the water temperature begins to drop at roughly the same rate in September and October regardless of the highest water temperature reached during the summer.  The graphic below compares the cooling of Lake Erie in the fall of three years. 2010--a very
warm summer--to 2009, a relatively cool summer followed by 2001 which was the last time the lake reached 80.

Does the peak temperature and its duration impact the temperature drop?  Not at all. The drop each year was the same even with prolonged time at the highest temperature

2010 Highest temp:  76 (July 24-Aug 27)  35 DAYS
2009 Highest temp:  74 (Aug 21-28)            8 DAYS
2001 Highest temp:  80 (Aug 10-12)            3 DAYS

By the time lake effect snow season begins, the water temperature year-to-year is roughly the same.  So unless we get an early season shot of cold air, early season (late October-early December) lake effect snow shouldn't be effected by the somewhat warmer Lake Erie water.

Famous last words :)

2012 Northeast Ohio Drought Compared to Past Droughts

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has an excellent write up on the current OHIO drought and how it compares to past droughts. The NWS hydrologist Sarah Jamison goes into great detail on what constitutes a drought and the parameters that are used in determining drought severity.

 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/cle/wx_events/2012/July/drought/drought.php

I wanted to take the drought analysis one step closer to home. The NWS analysis was for Ohio as a whole. Why not use the same data (Palmer Drought Severity Index) but for Northeastern Ohio instead?  After all, a hyper local analysis should give a more accurate description of the conditions in locations like Cleveland, Akron, Ashtabula, Lorain and Mansfield.

Drought Conditions: Lower means drier/higher means wetter

I kept all graphical elements the same as the NWS graph except I used the PDSI numbers for the northeastern Ohio climate region instead of the Ohio numbers. The data is available for free at the NOAA/NCEP/CPC site for drought monitoring. The lower the number the drier the conditions.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/cdus/pastdata/palmer/wpdoeas1.txt

http://www7.ncdc.noaa.gov/CDO/CDODivisionalSelect.jsp#

Compare the graph above with the NWS Ohio drought graph below.

Several things stand out:   First the drought of 1988 wasn't as severe in NE Ohio as it was in other parts of the state. The 1930-31 and 1934-35 drought didn't recover as fast in NE Ohio as in the rest of the state (red line). Third, the current drought started off far wetter in December/January (presumably due to lake effect snow melt--even with the mild winter conditions) than the rest of Ohio. Finally, the drop in the PDSI from January to July is the largest drop over a 6 months span since the huge drop from December of 1990 to July of 1991.


What does all of this mean short-term?

• Drought conditions will continue through August and September which will increase the probability of above normal temperatures. Dry air feeds the dry air which makes the ground drier still.  The drier the air, the easier it is to heat up. August of 1988 had 11 days at 90 or better.  We can count on a handful of 90 degree days before Labor Day.

• This drought came on fast even after an incredibly wet 2011 and early 2012. This summer hasn't been as dry as the summer of 1988.  We need frequent storms that are short in duration producing an inch or less of rain. This will do wonders in alleviating the dry ground conditions heading into the fall.  The pattern would need to significantly change for this to happen. It is showing some signs of this change as of early August.

• Given the lack of soil moisture in the middle of the continent (which feeds the ridge of heat which has broken apart fronts this summer) the pattern will be very difficult to overcome between now and mid September.

By the way, everyone is trying to draw correlations to winter snowfall and the summer drought.  I'll have more on this in the weeks ahead. Until then, keep watering the garden!

Media and the Recent Heatwave: Try Telling the ENTIRE Story

The heat wave last week was one of the most extreme in recent memory here in Ohio. Temps climbed to 98 on July 7th in Cleveland for the first time since 1995. Akron reached 101 which was the first 100+ since the drought summer of 1988.  Almost 2800 high temperature records were either tied of broken in early July after almost 3300 records tied or broken in June.

Once again the media continues to use this event as a Global Warming rallying cry saying that this US centered heat wave is a direct result of Global Warming.

Months ago, I wrote about the need for the media to report the complete story on these hot button science issues. Informing the public on "the whys" in simple, easy-to-digest terms can be done. Yet reporters continue to latch onto one element that sells without telling the entire scientific story. This recent heat wave coverage is another example.

I am not diminishing the significance of this heat wave by any stretch. Our dry winter has given way to a drier spring and summer. Drought conditions now envelop more than 50% of the 48 contiguous states.

The resultant effect on corn prices are already bring felt as corn futures were lowered by 12% July 11th.  Yet two weeks of record breaking heat and increasingly worse drought conditions from the west to the Ohio Valley is an invitation for the media to release the proverbial global warming dogs warning that this drought, is driven by Global warming.

As I have repeatedly stated, I am not debating Global Warming. I am not here to debate the temperature data sets used in determining global temperatures. I am highly critical of using Anthropogenic Global Warming (regardless of what data set you use) as the root cause of every weather disaster from US landfall hurricanes to east coast snowstorms to heat waves. I said this when the east coast was hit with Hurricane Irene last August. I said this during the extreme cold felt in Alaska last winter. I said this especially during the recent tornado outbreaks this past spring.  Sighting Global Warming as the cause the recent US heat wave is putting the cart before the horse. What the National media fails to address are the antecedent conditions that are needed to produce heatwaves. What are these antecedent conditions?  Let's work backward from each effect to its cause or causes. Its not a simple linear cause-and-effect relationship as one might expect. Addressing each one individually helps put into context each ingredient from what we see and feel--the heat and drought--to the more nebulous concepts in the atmosphere--the jet stream for example--that drive them.

First, the warming needs to not only be present at the surface where we measure it but throughout the mid levels of the atmosphere.  This warming is driven by the large scale high pressure ridge which develop each summer across the continent varying in strength from year to year.  This high pressure ridge promotes sinking air and little cloud cover.  The drought conditions in the midwest enhance this ridge making it stronger which warms the atmosphere further and higher which suppresses cloud development further which makes the drought conditions worse.  This feedback mechanism becomes self-sustaining which is necessary in making the heat more record-setting and long lasting and tougher to break. This high pressure heat ridge is called a "block".

Let's step away even further. What causes these high pressure ridges?

Ridges like the one in late June/early July are created by the overall wave pattern across the hemisphere. Now its getting a bit nebulous so stay the course here!  The atmosphere flows like a river of water. In fact, the fluid equations that describe blood flow through the heart are similar to what describes atmospheric motion. Liquid water, blood, oil or air. They are all fluids. Now imagine a rock in a stream which deflects the flow water. Ever notice the little "spins" of water on the other side of the rock?

Landmasses like North America act like a rock in a stream deflecting, shifting, slowing or speeding up the behavior of the atmosphere that flows above it.  Remember that the earth spin like a top. The speed of the earth's rotation increases closer to the north and south pole than at the equator. This change in velocity at different latitudes and its interaction with landmasses causes turbulent spins like a rock in a stream which causes persistent low and high pressure areas. Each low and high resides in these troughs and ridges around the hemisphere. 

 

Often times, the wave pattern can get struck. Instead of the waves flowing in a typical "trough-ridge-trough" pattern, the waves stop progressing. The jet stream "breaks the wave".  Either you get stuck under a trough (unsettled, cooler pattern) or a ridge (dry and warmer pattern).

Click on this link for an animation of the current jet stream pattern.

This past winter, the US was stuck under a ridge (milder winter) yet Europe was stuck under a persistent trough (cold and snowy). Are the waves slowing down causing more blocks and persistent weather?  According to one paper, it depends on what season you look at.  Little change in speed has been observed during the summer months since 1980. Notice how flat the red line is in the following graphic.

Image courtesy of "http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2012/04/slowing-rossby-waves-leading-to-extreme.html"

As we take a few more steps back, we see that the tropics (thousands of miles away from the US) can act as enhancers of these ridges and troughs. El Nino and other changes in the oceans close to the equator and further north are reflected "down the atmospheric stream".  These can cause a chain of effects throughout the atmosphere ultimately impacting the troughs and ridges across the US like the one that was present during the last heat wave.

Experts at the National Center for Atmospheric Research have found these connections to El Nino and La Nina. “Teleconnections are important,” says NCAR's Kevin Trenberth, who has studied ENSO's global impacts extensively. “A lot of blocking is traceable back to the nature of convection in the tropics.”

Ultimately, are these "blocks" that cause heat waves more frequent and what does the future hold?  According to NCAR, computer projections are not very good at predicting the beginnings of these blocks and how long they will last.  "Looking toward the end of this century, the preliminary analysis indicates a slight increase in blocking overall. However, two recent studies suggest that blocking might actually decrease in the northern Atlantic and Pacific, as the average location of the polar jet stream shifts northward." According to the following study.

So what does all of this mean?  As we pull back from the US heat and examine the causes from afar first, we find that:

1) Heatwaves caused are local events caused by heat ridges governed by the wave pattern across the hemisphere
2) Hemispheric waves slow or speed up depending on the season. Jet stream behavior causes wave breaking which creates a "block"3) The behavior in the tropics both in the oceans and the tropical atmosphere can enhance the development of a ridge over the US
4) The changing oceans outside of the tropics (North Pacific, North Atlantic, Arctic Ocean et all) can effect the overall wave pattern
5) The drought conditions present in the central US feed the ridge which reinforces the blocking ridge even further
6) Computer projections of blocking patterns for the future decades are not very reliable
6) Some scientists believe that changing arctic ice due to Anthropogenic Global Warming could have an effect on the overall wave pattern
7) Randomness inherent in the atmosphere makes blocking ridges very difficult to forecast

Here they are. Seven bullet points. Some easy to understand; some not so basic. Remember that these often don't exhibit a linear relationship. The simple "butterfly effect" looks good but its an over simplification. I mentioned in a previous post months ago that predicting the influence of teleconnections like El Nino on regional weather patterns is like trying to recreate Grandma's soup. You can measure each ingredient exactly, cook the soup yet it might not taste quiet the same each time. 

Once again, the science gets overly simplified by the media.  Simplification becomes the mantra for these type of stories. Maybe that's what the general public wants.  Maybe that's what sells and gets ratings.
 I realize that in this flash-and-dash media world we live, simplification is more important than getting it right. But just once, couldn't a reporter take just one or two of these points, expand on one or two of them as they relate to the recent heatwave/drought?

Is this too much to ask?

Thermometer Photos from Saturday's Heat

Officially, Hopkins reached 98 for the first time since July 14, 1995. Akron hit 101 late Saturday afternoon--the first triple digit reading sin 1988. Heat index peaked at 112!

Rather than writing about the causes of the heat this past week/weekend, I figured I'd show some thermometer photos sent to me at the peak of the heat Saturday.

Jack Kuwik, Hudson

Canton

Brian Gawlak, Canton

Matt Higgins, Kamm's Corners

Debbie Ballachino, Garfield Heights at 3:20PM

Derechos & The Ring of Fire: Storm Threat Continues

Most people have never heard of the term "Derecho" until this past week. A Derecho is a violent, long lasting straight line storm system that can reach severe limits. Its a term that Meteorologists rarely use because its somewhat technical and more so, because they don't occur very often. Unlike ordinary severe storms that pop up typically in summer, these are large complexes that can travel hundreds of miles. Derechos behave like a larger scale weather system which makes they especially powerful and potential destructive. Instead of slowing down, Derechos can GAIN forward speed which makes the forecasting that much more difficult.

This is what happened on Friday; a smaller scale event happened yesterday. The potential still exists for a repeat over the next few days.


CURRENT OHIO VALLEY RADAR

 
Great swirl photo taken in Sandusky as the storm moved through

Notice how fast the line of storms moved from 2PM to 8PM.

75% of West Virginia was without power over the weekend.

The line continued through D.C. and off of the east coast

The "Ring of Fire" ahead of the heat ridge continues to act as the roller coaster sliding these storm clusters right into Indiana and Ohio. While the energy isn't quiet what it was Friday, the conditions for more storm clusters are still present.

Summer Heat, Our Dry Ground and the July Outlook

Over the last several weeks, we've been watching the heat dome gain strength in the middle of the country. Given the ocean surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean both in the tropical and in the higher latitudes (off of the California coast and north of Hawaii) they all strongly drive the trough/cool pattern along the west coast with a central ridge/warmer conditions in the middle of the country.

Like any recipe from grandma you try to replicate, put too much or too little of one ingredient that seems
insignificant at the time can drastically alter the taste of the dish.  The atmosphere is no different.  The conditions for a warmer than normal summer were ready in the middle of the county, cooler in the west and near normal in the east.  Throw in a newly developed condition or conditions unforeseen a few months ago and the overall pattern can change drastically for us in Ohio and in other places. 

The "newly developed conditions" this early summer originate from two completely separate, totally
disconnected regions of the world.  The first condition, the Ohio Valley drought/dry ground, is the easiest to visualize because it is effecting everyone right now and will effect more of us in the pocketbook come harvest time. How does your lawn look? Not very good I would imagine.

Look at the recent drought indicator map. Notice the two spheres of extreme drought; one out west and one in the Ohio Valley.

The dry ground in Ohio and in the state west through Illinois and south to Arkansas is getting severe. The drier the soil, the more the heat dome/ridge in the central US deepens. The hot atmosphere is feeding off of the dry soil making the ridge stronger. Highs temps on Thursday reached 100+ in western Ohio

Compare the temps for the first 24 days of June to the temps on the 24th itself. See how the heat was out west then it moved east into Ohio.

Look at last June. The drought was in Texas.

The extreme heat was in Texas in June of 2011

Remember, the dry ground isn't the primary driver but an enhancer. The bigger question will be whether or not the drought conditions in the central US into Northeastern Ohio will fuel more heat into July.

This summer, unlike 2011, 2010 and 2009, we have no El Nino or La Nina (although El Nino is showing strong signs of building). Instead of using those Pacific markers to determine overall patterns across Ohio and the US, we need to use other tropical drivers.  These are called the Madden Julian Oscillation. Every 30-40 days, tropical disturbances originate in the western Indian Ocean and move east into the tropical Pacific.

When El Nino or La Nina is present, they dampen the effects of the MJO. Absent of any El Nino/La Nina, the MJO has a chance to work its magic.  The strength and position of the disturbed MJO area greatly alters the pressure patterns in the tropical Pacific which can mimmick El Nino or La Nina conditions for a much shorter period of time. These changes cause a shift in the position of the troughs/ridges across the US and the speed at which they move across the continent

If the MJO becomes weak, the steering currents across North America can relax which can result in persistent ridging/quiet/hot weather in spots. Guess what the conditions are in the Pacific here in late June/early July?  No El Nino, No La Nina and a very weak MJO. 

This all means that we are stuck on the edge of the heat wave in the central US.

Until the MJO budges, expect the heat to continue into early July.  If the MJO comes around to a phase like we had in the middle of June, we might have a return to highs in the 70s. As of this writing, the chances are small.

Like I said earlier, long range forecasts are like trying to make your grandma's signature soup. You might have all of the ingredients lined up.  Forget to add something or add too much of another and you get a completely different soup. This summer's forecast is tasting alot like that soup! 

My Top 20 Movie List - Last Several Years

Since 2005, I began a huge project of creating a list of movies that I haven't seen.  The rules were simple.  Any movie can make the list--documentary, comedy, drama, it didn't matter.  Little did I know that the list would continue to grow. One movie would lead to a list of movies by the same director.  Pretty soon, I was scouring the AFI top 100 movie list for more additions.  The project snowballed and at the end, the list was almost 500 movies long!

The list was immense and intimidating. So I realized that I needed to pair down the list to a more manageable length. Over the last 2+ years, I started keeping track of the movies I watched ranking them informally as I went. The list below (not counting documentaries) is my Top 20 in no particular order.

NETWORK
FOLLOWING
DOWNFALL
GOOD NIGHT, GOOD LUCK
11:14
OLD BOY
BARTON FINK
THE GHOST WRITER
INCEPTION
SAW
PERSEPOLIS
CACHE
DRIVE
THE GUARD
THE WHITE RIBBON
CITY OF GOD
SECRET IN THEIR EYES
BARNEY'S VERSION
WIN WIN
THE SKIN I LIVE IN

The original 50:

Quiz Show
Moon
Network
The Conversation
Following
Traffic
Downfall
Casino
The Usual Suspects
Good Night, Good Luck

Fight Club
11:14
Videodrome
The Killing Fields
Old Boy
Barton Fink
Most Dangerous Man in America
2009: Lost Memories
Blow
The Ghost Writer

Inception
The Kids Are Alright
The Fog of War
I Love You Phillip Morris
The Fighter
Winnebago Man
Saw
Carlos The Jackel
Percepolis
Rounders

American Splendor
A Film Unfinished
Inside Job
London Blvd
Cache
Biutiful
Synedoche, NY
Gasland
Drive
The Guard

Hot Coffee
The White Ribbon
City of God
Secret in their Eyes
Marwencol
Harlen County, USA
Berney's Version
Mother
Win Win
The Skin I Live In

Update: Tropical Storm Debby/Heavy Rain over Florida

Earlier on this summer, I blogged about the above normal water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and along the Atlantic coastline and how these areas would be the most primed for tropical storm development. So far, this has held true with the exception of Chris

Now, Tropical Storm Debby is spinning its way closer and closer to the Gulf Coast.  The computer projections are having a difficult time coming to a consensus on its future behavior. The National Hurricane Center has 26 separate computer projections at their disposal. The plot of all these projections doesn't help much. This map looks like a spider web although the latest projections are a bit more in line with bringing Debby into the northern half of Florida.

The official NHC track is determined by picking the best possible projection that best represents the current conditions and past characteristics of the tropical storm. Below is the current NHC track which takes it over the Florida Panhandle over the next 5+ days.

The radar shows the rotation and heavy rain bands over Florida.

More than a foot of rain could fall over the panhandle of Florida.

If this drifts over Florida and back over the very warm water of the Atlantic along the Georgia/South Carolina coastline, this "might" develop further into a hurricane.  If you are driving to Florida this week or vacationing anywhere in the southeastern US.  Keep updated on the latest Debby information.

This will need to be watched carefully over the next 4-7 days!  Lots of uncertainty.

History of 90 Degrees Days In Cleveland

How many 90 degree days have we had in Cleveland since 1980?

What is the 90 degree temperature trend per decade over the last century in Cleveland?

What month are we more likely to see the most 90 degree days?