Friday, January 03, 2025

Sure, January Is Supposed To Be Cold. Why Is This Year Different?

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When I derive long range outlooks especially in winter, the responses are usually something like "January is Supposed to be cold. What...
Thursday, December 19, 2024

How Often Do Conditions Develop To Produce Lake Effect Snow?

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One of the many variables to produce lake effect snow is a significant enough difference between the water temperature and the temperature 5...
Tuesday, December 17, 2024

What Happened to the "Warm" Lake Erie?

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It was only a little over 3 weeks ago (November 18) when Lake Erie was the warmest ever at this point in November. Satellite water temperatu...
Monday, December 16, 2024

First San Francisco Tornado Warning Ever!

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Tornadoes in California are a rarity but not unprecedented.   Here is the short list of tornado warnings issued by the NWS office in San Fra...
Monday, December 09, 2024

FINAL snow totals from Thanksgiving Weekend Lake Effect Event

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  Ashtabula County...   1 NNE Saybrook         63.2"   1 NNE Geneva           50.5"    2 ESE Monroe Center    45.2"       Edg...
Thursday, November 07, 2024

Winter Weather Outlook 2024-25

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 Full Video here.  Email with any questions:  scott.sabol@fox8.com
Wednesday, September 25, 2024

Rainfall Rates, Atmospheric Moisture & Humidity - Part IV

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In the previous three posts, I examined WHY it was so dry and warm, the temperatures during and prior and the lack of rain mid month. This p...
Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Why Was It So Dry and Warm? Part III

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The answer has many elements. We'll work from the more direct and near-by causes to the antecedent ones. The pattern across North Americ...