Temperatures from mid September to mid October have been well above normal. The warm autumns have been more frequent over the last 10 years than in years past. In fact, last year between Sept 15 and Oct 15 was WARMER than this year!
There have been only a few years (2025, 2024, 2017 and 1986) where the last half of September was warmer than the first half.
Temperatures vs normal across the US:
Overall upper level pattern across the US:
Rainfall has been well below normal until the last 2 weeks of October:







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