Northeast Ohio weather and science blog covering severe storms, long term outlooks, climate, behavioral meteorology, technology and other observations
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Wednesday, June 09, 2010
1953 Ohio Tornado Photos
It was back in 1953, June 8th to be exact, that another tornado outbreak occurred in Ohio and Michigan which killed many people. Here are two photos of the tornado from different locations. The first was taken at Hopkins Airport. The second was taken in Wood county; the same county where last weekend's tornado resulted in many fatalities.
Tornado warnings didn't exist in 1953. In fact, it was illegal to mention the word "tornado" prior to World War II. The tornado pictured below was an F4 with winds of over 260 miles per hour. The tornado touched down in Birmingham, Ohio around 8:30PM and continued east.
It approached Hopkins Airport and continued into the western suburbs. Damage was reported from West 130th to West 117th and Bellaire where 100 homes were leveled. The tornado was around a 1/2 mile wide as it approached West 45th street around 10PM. Damage from West 28th to West 25th and Detroit was incredibly severe. Five people were killed in one home at Franklin Circle. The tornado, now retreating back into the cloud, passed directly over Terminal Tower in downtown Cleveland. The funnel cloud moved out over Lake Erie at East 40th street and fell apart. A total of 18 deaths were reported across Ohio on June 8th.
An interesting footnote on the tornado outbreak: Many thought that the tornado outbreak resulted from the atomic testing in Nevada. A congressional investigation was pushed but never materialized. Photos and material credit: Dick Goddard
Tornado warnings didn't exist in 1953. In fact, it was illegal to mention the word "tornado" prior to World War II. The tornado pictured below was an F4 with winds of over 260 miles per hour. The tornado touched down in Birmingham, Ohio around 8:30PM and continued east.
It approached Hopkins Airport and continued into the western suburbs. Damage was reported from West 130th to West 117th and Bellaire where 100 homes were leveled. The tornado was around a 1/2 mile wide as it approached West 45th street around 10PM. Damage from West 28th to West 25th and Detroit was incredibly severe. Five people were killed in one home at Franklin Circle. The tornado, now retreating back into the cloud, passed directly over Terminal Tower in downtown Cleveland. The funnel cloud moved out over Lake Erie at East 40th street and fell apart. A total of 18 deaths were reported across Ohio on June 8th.
An interesting footnote on the tornado outbreak: Many thought that the tornado outbreak resulted from the atomic testing in Nevada. A congressional investigation was pushed but never materialized. Photos and material credit: Dick Goddard
The tornado track from tornadohistoryproject.com
Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Northern Ohio Tornado Outbreak on June 5th and 6th
The tornado outbreak this past weekend across northern Ohio was somewhat of a rarity in that it resulted in fatalities. The last tornado in northern Ohio that resulted in a death was in 2002. Prior to that, it was in the mid 1980s.
The Wood County tornado in northwestern Ohio Saturday night was upgraded to an EF4 by the National Weather Service. It first touched down near I-80 and Oregon Road (East of Perrysburg) at 11:15 PM EDT and then moved through the south side of Moline and then near Metcalf Airport. The tornado then crossed the northwest side of Millbury into Ottaway County following Trowbridge Road and lifted at 11:30 PM EDT just west of Clay Center. At least 50 buildings were damaged or destroyed. Here is a map of the path and damage with the radar loop as the tornado passed through. The tornado recap is as follows:
The complete update from the National Weather Service is HERE
3 Other tornadoes were also confirmed in northern Ohio. Here is a basic map with path length, width and wind speeds. The EF4 was the Wood County tornado. The EF0 moved through Richland county 2 miles north of Lucas. The northern EF1 tornado touched down southwest of Andover near the intersection of Mann Road and Creek Road traveling ENE. The southern EF1 tornado developed in Holmes county 2 miels northwest of Berlin and moved southeast to Walnut Creek, Ohio then onto Sugarcreek in Tuscarawas County. All information is courtesy of the National Weather Service HERE ON THEIR WEBSITE. Click on "previous version" numbers for the details of each tornado.
The Wood County tornado in northwestern Ohio Saturday night was upgraded to an EF4 by the National Weather Service. It first touched down near I-80 and Oregon Road (East of Perrysburg) at 11:15 PM EDT and then moved through the south side of Moline and then near Metcalf Airport. The tornado then crossed the northwest side of Millbury into Ottaway County following Trowbridge Road and lifted at 11:30 PM EDT just west of Clay Center. At least 50 buildings were damaged or destroyed. Here is a map of the path and damage with the radar loop as the tornado passed through. The tornado recap is as follows:
The complete update from the National Weather Service is HERE
3 Other tornadoes were also confirmed in northern Ohio. Here is a basic map with path length, width and wind speeds. The EF4 was the Wood County tornado. The EF0 moved through Richland county 2 miles north of Lucas. The northern EF1 tornado touched down southwest of Andover near the intersection of Mann Road and Creek Road traveling ENE. The southern EF1 tornado developed in Holmes county 2 miels northwest of Berlin and moved southeast to Walnut Creek, Ohio then onto Sugarcreek in Tuscarawas County. All information is courtesy of the National Weather Service HERE ON THEIR WEBSITE. Click on "previous version" numbers for the details of each tornado.
Wednesday, June 02, 2010
The Oil Spill Over Cleveland
I ran into this handy tool which allows you to superimpose the oil spill over any location using google maps.
Credit http://www.beowulfe.com/oil/ for developing this mashup. Just type in the location or zip code!
Credit http://www.beowulfe.com/oil/ for developing this mashup. Just type in the location or zip code!
Tuesday, June 01, 2010
Guatamalan Sinkhole...Again!
Yet another sinkhole has formed in Guatamala. This image looks Photoshopped but its real.
Guatamala is not unfamiliar with sinkholes. Back in February of 2007, an underground sewage flow from a ruptured main dissolving the rock below it. That sinkhole was 330 feet deep pictured below.
The depth of this hole is still unknown.
Guatamala is not unfamiliar with sinkholes. Back in February of 2007, an underground sewage flow from a ruptured main dissolving the rock below it. That sinkhole was 330 feet deep pictured below.
Sunday, May 30, 2010
Niles, Newton Falls Tornado of 1985
It was 25 year ago back on May 31, 1985. A tornado outbreak occurred in northeastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania and New York and portions of Canada. The most intense tornado touched down near the Ravenna Arsenal in Portage County and continued on the ground for almost 50 miles. It devasted Niles, Newton Falls, Hubbard, killed dozens of people and continued into Pennsylvania.
This tornado was an EF-5, the strongest of all tornadoes with winds of more than 300 mph and a width of a mile and a half. This was the last EF-5 tornado to hit Ohio and the first since the Xenia tornado outbreak back in 1974.
Thunderstorms began to develop in the late afternoon east of Cleveland as the temperatures rose into the middle 80s. The upper levels of the atmosphere were ripe with energy. For anoutbreak of severe weather to occur, you need a "dry slot" in the middle of the atmosphere.
This allows the super-humid to "rise" into air that isn't saturated. If the air in the middle of the atmosphere wasn't dry, storms couldn't have risen and blossomed into severe storms. In this case, the air was dry all of the way out to Missouri.
The storms didn't look that impressive from space.
By midnight that night, 21 tornadoes had touched town in Northeast Ohio along along with the only F5 tornado (the strongest) in the Unite States.
Here are some great links showing more specifics on the tornado outbreak. Special thanks to the NWS in Cleveland for the meteorology of that day and these additional sites for their photos and commentary.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/cle/office/localinterest/1985Tornado/storm_data.pdf
http://www.angelfire.com/pa/pawx/053185.html
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/05149/511826.stm
Friday, May 28, 2010
Why the Increase in Hurricanes this year?
If you are making a trip to the east coast from Myrtle Beach to the Outer Banks to Hilton Head down to Miami, pay attention to the tropical forecast this summer and fall as tropical storms will be a plenty.
Click here for the FULL HURRICANE OUTLOOK
Why is season going to be so active? Here is a technical/sciency peek into how the experts come up with their HURRICANE FORECASTS:
======================================================
The first factor is whether an EL NINO or LA NINA is present. Remember that EL NINO/LA NINAs are changes in sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. These changes alter the position and direction of the jet stream in the atmosphere either BREAKING APART tropical systems of allowing them to BUILD INTO HURRICANES.
Last year, EL NINO BROKE APART THE STORMS.
This year without EL NINO, and with LA NINA rapidly developing, the sheer is weak so the environment is very strong for TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. Storms are steered right into the Caribbean.
The next factor is the temperature of the Atlantic Ocean. For the last several months, the Atlantic SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES have been at levels not seen in decades. Remember last winter's cold spells? That same arctic pattern responsible for our winter cold drove the Bermuda High south allowing the ocean to heat up to near record levels. The red shades on the map below show the warmer than normal water in the central Atlantic.
One other factor that will be present in hurricane forecasts for years to come has to do with a decadal cycle of high and low hurricane frequency. The ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION or the AMO is a cyclical pattern of sea surface temperature completing a cold/warm/back to cold cycle every 70 years or so. Since 1995, we have been in a warm cycle. Here is the cycles since 1860.
There are also US LANDFALL HURRICANE TRENDS that correlate to the AMO. Check these out below. The left image is a reflection of the current WARM CYCLE. We can expect more US landfall hurricanes in a WARM AMO cycle which will more than likely continue for the next 20 years.
Factor in a turbulent and strong LOOP CURRENT shown here...
which has a history of rapidly intensifying hurricanes like Katrina and Rita in 2005...
and you get this year's ABOVE NORMAL HURRICANE SEASON.
Click here for the FULL HURRICANE OUTLOOK
Why is season going to be so active? Here is a technical/sciency peek into how the experts come up with their HURRICANE FORECASTS:
======================================================
The first factor is whether an EL NINO or LA NINA is present. Remember that EL NINO/LA NINAs are changes in sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. These changes alter the position and direction of the jet stream in the atmosphere either BREAKING APART tropical systems of allowing them to BUILD INTO HURRICANES.
Last year, EL NINO BROKE APART THE STORMS.
This year without EL NINO, and with LA NINA rapidly developing, the sheer is weak so the environment is very strong for TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. Storms are steered right into the Caribbean.
The next factor is the temperature of the Atlantic Ocean. For the last several months, the Atlantic SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES have been at levels not seen in decades. Remember last winter's cold spells? That same arctic pattern responsible for our winter cold drove the Bermuda High south allowing the ocean to heat up to near record levels. The red shades on the map below show the warmer than normal water in the central Atlantic.
One other factor that will be present in hurricane forecasts for years to come has to do with a decadal cycle of high and low hurricane frequency. The ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION or the AMO is a cyclical pattern of sea surface temperature completing a cold/warm/back to cold cycle every 70 years or so. Since 1995, we have been in a warm cycle. Here is the cycles since 1860.
There are also US LANDFALL HURRICANE TRENDS that correlate to the AMO. Check these out below. The left image is a reflection of the current WARM CYCLE. We can expect more US landfall hurricanes in a WARM AMO cycle which will more than likely continue for the next 20 years.
Factor in a turbulent and strong LOOP CURRENT shown here...
which has a history of rapidly intensifying hurricanes like Katrina and Rita in 2005...
and you get this year's ABOVE NORMAL HURRICANE SEASON.
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Hurricane Season Outlook 2010 - National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center - Hurricane Outlook Press Release
As indicated earlier this year, the National Hurricane Center as well as other experts have been hinted at an above normal hurricane season which starts June 1st.
Here are the bullet points of the NHC's seasonal outlook with some analysis:
Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA is projecting a 70 percent probability of the following ranges:
* 14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including:
* 8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which:
* 3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)
The outlook ranges exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
The factors that support the outlook are:
* Upper atmospheric winds conducive for storms. Wind shear, which can tear apart storms, will be weaker since El Niño in the eastern Pacific has dissipated. Strong wind shear helped suppress storm development during the 2009 hurricane season.
* Warm Atlantic Ocean water. Sea surface temperatures are expected to remain above average where storms often develop and move across the Atlantic. Record warm temperatures – up to four degrees Fahrenheit above average – are now present in this region.
* High activity era continues. Since 1995, the tropical multi-decadal signal has brought favorable ocean and atmospheric conditions in sync, leading to more active hurricane seasons. Eight of the last 15 seasons rank in the top ten for the most named storms with 2005 in first place with 28 named storms.
“The main uncertainty in this outlook is how much above normal the season will be. Whether or not we approach the high end of the predicted ranges depends partly on whether or not La Niña develops this summer,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center
“If this outlook holds true, this season could be one of the more active on record,” said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator.
Click here for the ENTIRE OUTLOOK.
Labels:
climate,
hurricane season,
hurricanes,
Weather
Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Muckelhead Photo from Cleveland
This was a photo taken outside the WJW FOX 8 studios in May of 2009. That "shadow" looking thing on the ground is actually a pile of Muckelheads.
Now imagine that the pile is thousands of these...(image credit: flickr "kuddlyteddybear2004")
Monday, May 24, 2010
Our First Tropical Storm Already?
...Its a good possibility.
Last week, a pocket of tropical moisture began to develop into an organized area of low pressure. Although not unusual to have tropical systems this time of year, to have one develop in this area of the Atlantic Ocean is somewhat rare due to the relatively cool ocean water temperatures.
The moisture in the Atlantic was incredible this past weekend. Notice the warmer colors in the middle of this image showing tropical moisture.
Here is the satellite picture showing the system.
Lots of dry air pushing into the backend of this system which could weaken it later this week.
Computer model projections keep it stationery.
While this "tropical pocket of moisture" probably won't gather enough steam to turn into a full fledged tropical storm, we are expecting a very active tropical storm season with several landfalling hurricanes or tropical storms along the US coast. More on tha tlater.
Last week, a pocket of tropical moisture began to develop into an organized area of low pressure. Although not unusual to have tropical systems this time of year, to have one develop in this area of the Atlantic Ocean is somewhat rare due to the relatively cool ocean water temperatures.
The moisture in the Atlantic was incredible this past weekend. Notice the warmer colors in the middle of this image showing tropical moisture.
Here is the satellite picture showing the system.
Lots of dry air pushing into the backend of this system which could weaken it later this week.
Computer model projections keep it stationery.
While this "tropical pocket of moisture" probably won't gather enough steam to turn into a full fledged tropical storm, we are expecting a very active tropical storm season with several landfalling hurricanes or tropical storms along the US coast. More on tha tlater.
Labels:
hurricanes,
Science,
tropical storms,
Weather
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