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Aside from lake effect snow, predicting how tropical systems will effect northeastern Ohio days in advance is one of the toughest tasks as a meteorologist here in Ohio. Its only happened 14 times since 1851 so there aren't many examples to learn from. Here are the 14 tropical system tracks as they crossed over Ohio. Its a jumbled mess of lines but you get the idea. Notice Katrina, Opal, Hugo and Fran from recent memory.
Opal in 1995; Dennis is a good one too.