Many people have come up to me and said, "So. What happened to that forecast of '7 days at 90 or better this summer' you predicted"?
My answer, "The summer is still young." And yes, I'm still sticking to my initial prediction. Cooler air is coming...
So far as of June 8th, we've had 3 days at 90 or better. Alot of this heat is due to two main factors: Decreased soil moisture which reduces the amount of evaporation (which is a cooling process) and high pressure aloft which steers warmth north.
Look at the flow last month (May)
Even NEW extended models which take into account the interaction between the ocean cycles and general atmospheric conditions around the earth show a "cooler than normal" pattern for July and August. Normal high in July is 82. So this would predict a better chance at upper 70s versus upper 80s.