Saturday, January 03, 2015

Current Radar Loops - Freezing Rain, Steady Rain, Arctic Air

Spotty freezing (rain that hits the ground and freezes on untreated surfaces) will be mixed in with general rain this morning. The transition to all rain will continue by late morning as temperatures climb into the upper 30s, lower 40s by mid afternoon.

Rainfall amounts will be significant. See graphic below.




Current OHIO temperatures


Current Ohio Valley radar loop
Central Great Lakes sector loop



Temps will climb into the 50s tonight and early Sunday then drop by late afternoon.




Arctic air returns next week with lake effect on Monday, General "Clipper Snow" Tuesday for all of northern Ohio (several inches very possible) then more lake effect Wednesday and early Thursday. Its not only Cleveland and northern Ohio. Much of the eastern 2/3rds of the US will experience temperatures similar to last January.


Lake Erie water temperature is 37. Typically we need an approximately 23 degree temperature difference (Fahrenheit scale) between the lake water and the air aloft (5000 foot level) for lake effect to develop. That puts the threshold at 14 degrees Fahrenheit at 5000 feet. By Wednesday of next week, the temperature will drop to -9!  Again, this is all in Fahrenheit.  (-22 to -25 for meteorological purposes in northern Ohio). For comparison, the "Polar Vortex" event last January had a 5000 foot temperature (850 mB) of -23.

Daytime highs might stay in the single digits Thursday according to one projection.


I hesitate to give snowfall projections this far out. But considering that the extended models have been very consistent with this arctic air or late (some too warm; some too far west with the cold), posting a preliminary snow forecast seem reasonable. TUESDAY'S CLIPPER could drop between 2-4"+ across northern Ohio.

By the end of next week, significant snow cover will blanket much of the snowbelt.  Get ready.  Winter is back!




Friday, January 02, 2015

My 2014 Movie List


About 10 years, I began a huge project of creating a list of movies that I hadn't seen.  The rules were simple.  Any movie can make the list--documentary, comedy, drama, it didn't matter.  Little did I know that the list would continue to grow. One movie would lead to a list of movies by the same director or main actor or actress. Pretty soon, I was scouring the AFI top 100 movie list for more additions.  The project snowballed and at the end, the list was almost 500 movies long!


My fanatic movie watching lists since 2009:

2009 MOVIE LIST  100 total
2010 MOVIE LIST  120 total
2011 MOVIE LIST  150 total
2012 MOVIE LIST  110 total
2013 MOVIE LIST    90 total

Here is the 2014 movie list (94) in no particular order:

MY 2014 MOVIES LIST IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER. My favorites in RED. What movies did you see this year? Comment below.

INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS
AMERICAN HUSTLE
DON JON
LONE SURVIVOR
WEST SIDE STORY
ROPE
DEER HUNTER
CAPTAIN PHILLIPS
ALL IS LOST
AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY

NEBRASKA
HER
BLUE JASMINE
THE WOLF OF WALL STREET
ENOUGH SAID
MEAN STREETS
PHILOMENA
THE FIFTH ESTATE
FROZEN
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2

JAWS 2
NOBODY'S FOOL
THE CANDIDATE
MUPPET MOVIE
ANCHORMAN 2
OUT OF THE FURNACE
A FEW DOLLARS MORE
THE APARTMENT
DOUBLE INDEMNITY

SECRET LIFE OF WALTER MITTY
THE RESCUERS
LAURA
LIFE AND TIMES OF JUDGE ROY BEAN
CAPTAIN AMERICA
PITCH PERFECT
THE BIG SLEEP
TO CATCH A THIEF
AMERICAN TALE
THE GOONIES

THE BICYCLE THIEF
CAPE FEAR
THE LEGO MOVIE
BEYOND TOMORROW
FRACKNATION
BRIDGE ON THE RIVER KWAI
GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
THE GRADUATE
THE NEWTON BOYS
TAPE

BAD WORDS
THE SEARCHERS
THE NORTH FACE
BLUE RUIN
SLACKER
SNOWPIERCER
CHEF
LOCKE

BRICK
THE SWITCH

LAWNMOWER MAN
IT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO LEARN TO PLOW BY READING BOOKS
SUNSET BLVD
EXTRACT
PEABODY AND SHERMAN
DRAFT DAY
EXPENDABLES 3
ONCE UPON A TIME IN THE WEST
CITY LIGHTS
TREASURE OF THE SIERRA MADRE

BOYHOOD
WHIPLASH
GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY

NONSTOP
TMNT
BIG HERO 6
22 JUMP STREET
TRANSFORMERS 3
INTERSTELLAR
THEORY OF EVERYTHING

HIGH NOON
BEGIN AGAIN
ST. VINCENT
STILL ALICE
COLD IN JULY

UNDER THE SKIN
GONE GIRL
ANNIE HALL
CALVARY
NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM 2

NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM 3
PREDESTINATION
HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON
IDA