Thursday, March 28, 2013

Cool March...How About April Temperatures?

BIG QUESTION: WILL APRIL'S TEMPERATURES BE BELOW NORMAL?....

I love the NOAA Reanalysis site! Its interesting to look back at past year's weather and patterns.  I looked at the MARCHES that were COOLER than this MARCH and did a composite of the APRILS that followed (20 of them). What I found isn't too mild. 

The April's that followed were still below normal on average.
  NORMAL HIGH on APRIL 1st is 53; NORMAL HIGH on APRIL 30th is 65.

Keep in mind that this is only a STATISTICAL COMPARISON NOT A DYNAMIC ONE. I didn't weed out or add any atmospheric variables that exist this year versus in the past so don't take this too literally. that said, its an interesting map; one that we will need to watch in the upcoming weeks.

If this holds true, expect highs to stay in the 50s and 60s with some stretches of mid 40s throughout the month. Let's see what the actual pattern brings!

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