As of this writing (September 5th) not one hurricane has developed in the Atlantic Ocean. Only 7 Tropical Storms as of September 5th.
Since 1960, there have only been 5 years with no Atlantic hurricanes before September 1st. This season now makes only the 6th year in which no hurricanes have formed up till now. Interestingly, each of those years which include 1967, 1984, 1988, 2001 and 2002 all eventually became very active. Prior to satellites, the latest first hurricane on record occurred in 1941. During that year, the first detected tropical storm formed on Sept. 11th. It was not until a second tropical storm strengthened, on Sept. 18 to a hurricane. Several other reports have sited September 16th as the latest date in 1941. The National Hurricane Center database shows development on the 18th in this graphic. Either way, we are heading into uncharted territory should we make it through the end of next week without a hurricane.
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| Storm #2 - 9-18-1941 - Cat 1 - winds 80 |
The dates of the latest first hurricanes and the final hurricane numbers:
Gustav 9-11-2002 - Cat 2 - winds 85 - 3 Hurricanes - One hit US/Louisiana
Erin 9-8-2001 - Cat3 - winds 105 - 8 Hurricanes - None hit US
Debby 9-2-1988 - Cat1 - winds 65 - 5 Hurricanes - None hit US
Diana 9-10-1984 - Cat4 - winds 115 - 4 Hurricanes - Diana hit Carolina coast
Arlene 9-2-1967 - Cat1 - winds 75 - 6 Hurricanes - one hit US/southern Texas
Storm #2 - 9-18-1941 - Cat 1 - winds 80 - 4 Hurricanes - two hit US/Florida and Texas
Gustav 9-11-2002 - Cat 2 - winds 85 mph
Diana 9-10-1984 - Cat4 - winds 115 mph
A few tropical waves could develop in the next week but nothing significant as of right now.
Could we go the entire season WITHOUT a hurricane? Highly unlikely. Its only happened twice, 1907 and 1914. The data from the early part of the century is a bit suspect so its possible that one developed in the open ocean without being noticed.
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